Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for LINCOLN-24 in Australia from 15 Feb 2024 18:00 UTC to 24 Feb 2024 06:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for LINCOLN-24

in Australia

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone LINCOLN-24 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	ECMWF
Exposed countries
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	54 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.2 m (18 Feb 00:45 UTC)
Vulnerability	Low (Australia)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
ECMWF Current	54 km/h	0.2 m	131 mm	0.5
ECMWF Overall	68 km/h	1.3 m	727 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

68 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 18 Feb 2024 00:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5
1	15 Feb 2024 00:00	54	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	15 Feb 2024 12:00	61	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	16 Feb 2024 00:00	61	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	16 Feb 2024 12:00	58	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	17 Feb 2024 00:00	47	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	17 Feb 2024 12:00	50	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	18 Feb 2024 00:00	58	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 18 Feb 2024 00:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
100-250 mm	Indonesia, Papua New Guinea, Australia	435,230	+
	Indonesia	315,379
	Papua New Guinea	110,426
	Australia	9,424
50-100 mm	Indonesia, Papua New Guinea, Australia	12,178,645	+
	Indonesia	11,504,434
	Papua New Guinea	657,110
	Australia	17,100

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	15 Feb 2024 00:00	209	-	-	-	-	-	-	Indonesia, Australia
2	15 Feb 2024 12:00	140	-	-	-	-	-	-	Indonesia, Australia
3	16 Feb 2024 00:00	114	-	-	-	-	-	-	Indonesia, Papua New Guinea, Australia
4	16 Feb 2024 12:00	89	-	-	-	-	-	-	Indonesia, Australia
5	17 Feb 2024 00:00	92	-	-	-	-	-	-	Indonesia, Papua New Guinea, Australia
6	17 Feb 2024 12:00	135	9 thousand		-	-	-	-	Indonesia, Australia
7	18 Feb 2024 00:00	483	440 thousand		-	-	-	-	Indonesia, Papua New Guinea, Australia

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.2m in Kuria, Papua New Guinea. This height is estimated for 18 Feb 2024 00:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 18 Feb 2024 00:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	18 Feb 2024 00:45	Kuria	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	18 Feb 2024 00:45	Mirua	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	18 Feb 2024 00:45	Asaramio	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	18 Feb 2024 00:45	Tapapi	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	18 Feb 2024 00:45	Amagoa	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	18 Feb 2024 00:45	Sisiama No 1	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	18 Feb 2024 00:45	Bamio	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	18 Feb 2024 00:45	Orapoi	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	18 Feb 2024 08:30	Tugara	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	18 Feb 2024 08:30	Buniki	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	18 Feb 2024 08:30	Bina No 1	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	18 Feb 2024 08:30	Airua	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	18 Feb 2024 08:30	Bunigi	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	18 Feb 2024 08:00	Segero	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	18 Feb 2024 08:00	Dibiri	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	18 Feb 2024 08:00	Oropai	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	18 Feb 2024 08:00	Tirere	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	18 Feb 2024 08:00	Maipani	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	18 Feb 2024 07:30	Misiki	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	18 Feb 2024 07:30	Giwaretore	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	18 Feb 2024 07:30	Gibu	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	18 Feb 2024 07:30	Ibou	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	18 Feb 2024 07:30	Morigio I	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	18 Feb 2024 07:30	Mapoi'a	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	18 Feb 2024 06:15	Katatai	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	18 Feb 2024 06:15	Sui	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	18 Feb 2024 06:15	Parama	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	18 Feb 2024 06:15	Mibu	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	18 Feb 2024 05:00	Auti	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	18 Feb 2024 05:00	Daware	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	18 Feb 2024 05:00	Iasa	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	18 Feb 2024 07:00	Ekeirau	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	18 Feb 2024 00:00	Running Creek	Australia	0.2
	18 Feb 2024 05:00	Aibinio	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	18 Feb 2024 05:00	Ipisia	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	18 Feb 2024 11:00	Gladstone	Australia	0.2
	18 Feb 2024 02:15	Ok Village	Australia	0.2
	18 Feb 2024 00:00	Aloszville	Australia	0.2
	18 Feb 2024 06:45	Pai-a	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	18 Feb 2024 06:45	Namaituri	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	18 Feb 2024 02:45	Mairipepea	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	18 Feb 2024 02:45	Moravamu	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	18 Feb 2024 02:45	Kamaua	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	18 Feb 2024 02:45	Mira	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	18 Feb 2024 02:45	Koravaki	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	18 Feb 2024 02:45	Mariki	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	18 Feb 2024 02:45	Ara'ava	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	18 Feb 2024 02:45	Kinipo	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	18 Feb 2024 08:15	Moinamu	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	18 Feb 2024 08:15	Goari	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	18 Feb 2024 08:15	Ubua	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	18 Feb 2024 08:15	Dopima	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	18 Feb 2024 08:15	Babai	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	18 Feb 2024 10:00	Broome	Australia	0.2
	18 Feb 2024 10:00	Thangoo	Australia	0.2
	18 Feb 2024 06:45	Avioua	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	18 Feb 2024 06:45	Veraibari	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	18 Feb 2024 06:45	Mirimairau	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	18 Feb 2024 06:45	Uramu I	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	18 Feb 2024 06:45	Kaivu	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	18 Feb 2024 05:30	Dameramuda	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	18 Feb 2024 05:30	Umuda I	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	18 Feb 2024 04:30	Gesco	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	18 Feb 2024 00:30	Apiope	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	18 Feb 2024 00:30	Ravi-kevau	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	18 Feb 2024 00:30	Marea	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	18 Feb 2024 00:30	Iuku	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	18 Feb 2024 00:30	Herekera	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	18 Feb 2024 06:00	Agobara	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	18 Feb 2024 06:00	Samari	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	18 Feb 2024 06:00	Oromosapuo	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	18 Feb 2024 00:00	Akoma	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	18 Feb 2024 00:00	Kapai	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	18 Feb 2024 12:00	Wyndham	Australia	0.2
	18 Feb 2024 10:45	Tamala	Australia	0.2
	18 Feb 2024 12:00	Derby	Australia	0.2
	18 Feb 2024 12:00	Nanga	Australia	0.2
	18 Feb 2024 00:45	Cape York	Australia	0.2
	18 Feb 2024 12:00	Carrarang	Australia	0.2
	18 Feb 2024 02:30	Salebe	Indonesia	0.2
	18 Feb 2024 02:30	Modan	Indonesia	0.2
	18 Feb 2024 02:45	Daru	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	18 Feb 2024 02:45	Dorogari	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	18 Feb 2024 08:15	Ture Ture	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	18 Feb 2024 08:15	Boze	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	18 Feb 2024 08:15	Ume	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	18 Feb 2024 12:00	Useless Loop	Australia	0.2
	18 Feb 2024 12:00	Derby	Australia	0.2
	18 Feb 2024 06:00	Sidabadu	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	18 Feb 2024 06:00	Saibai	Australia	0.2
	18 Feb 2024 06:00	Hamlet of Togo	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	18 Feb 2024 06:00	Mabaduan	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	18 Feb 2024 06:00	Waidoro	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	18 Feb 2024 12:00	Hamelin Pool	Australia	0.2
	18 Feb 2024 12:00	Hamelin	Australia	0.2
	18 Feb 2024 08:00	Koba	Indonesia	0.2
	18 Feb 2024 08:00	Perlang	Indonesia	0.2
	18 Feb 2024 08:00	Kadawa	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	18 Feb 2024 00:45	Port Kennedy	Australia	0.2
	18 Feb 2024 11:30	Fannie Bay	Australia	0.2
	18 Feb 2024 11:30	Parap	Australia	0.2
	18 Feb 2024 11:30	Darwin	Australia	0.2
	18 Feb 2024 11:30	Nightcliff	Australia	0.2
	18 Feb 2024 11:30	Ludmilla	Australia	0.2
	18 Feb 2024 11:30	Bagot	Australia	0.2
	18 Feb 2024 11:30	Leanyer	Australia	0.2
	18 Feb 2024 11:30	Knuckeys Lagoon	Australia	0.2
	18 Feb 2024 11:30	Berrimah	Australia	0.2
	18 Feb 2024 12:00	The Palms	Australia	0.2
	18 Feb 2024 12:00	Larrakeyah	Australia	0.2
	18 Feb 2024 08:45	Pangkalpinang	Indonesia	0.2
	18 Feb 2024 08:45	Batoebeloebang	Indonesia	0.2
	18 Feb 2024 08:30	Namang	Indonesia	0.2
	18 Feb 2024 09:45	Shark Bay	Australia	0.2
	18 Feb 2024 09:45	Monkey Mia	Australia	0.2
	18 Feb 2024 10:00	Umbulan Padulmanan	Indonesia	0.2
	18 Feb 2024 00:00	Badu	Australia	0.2
	18 Feb 2024 07:30	Kepoh	Indonesia	0.2
	18 Feb 2024 07:30	Tukak	Indonesia	0.2
	18 Feb 2024 07:30	Penoetoek	Indonesia	0.2
	18 Feb 2024 07:30	Gunung	Indonesia	0.2
	18 Feb 2024 07:30	Lubuk-besar	Indonesia	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 03:15	Toegrama	Indonesia	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 07:15	Bakong	Indonesia	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 07:00	Tandjunglabu	Indonesia	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 02:30	Roefroefoea	Indonesia	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 02:30	Naoer	Indonesia	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 11:45	Denham	Australia	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 00:15	Hammond I	Australia	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 03:30	Sanindara	Indonesia	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 06:45	Carnarvon	Australia	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 06:45	Brassan	Indonesia	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 06:45	Muntjar	Indonesia	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 06:45	Blimbing	Indonesia	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 06:45	Dadapan	Indonesia	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 06:45	Banjuwangi	Indonesia	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 06:45	Penginoeman	Indonesia	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 06:45	Belimbingsari	Indonesia	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 00:00	Dauan	Australia	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 06:30	Lait	Indonesia	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 02:15	Agatebi	Indonesia	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 10:00	Segintong	Indonesia	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 07:15	Suakgual	Indonesia	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 07:15	Nasik	Indonesia	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 07:15	Petaling	Indonesia	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 07:15	Tandjungpandan	Indonesia	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 03:00	Sajengga	Indonesia	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 07:30	Tandjungbinga	Indonesia	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 07:30	Sidjuk	Indonesia	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 05:00	Minjilang	Australia	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 09:30	Waterbank	Australia	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 11:30	Soengaiamang	Indonesia	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 12:00	Sabui	Indonesia	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 02:30	Sakaoeni	Indonesia	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 06:15	Pangkal Dudat	Indonesia	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 08:30	Topoali	Indonesia	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 06:00	Tandjungkiras	Indonesia	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 06:00	Membalong	Indonesia	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 10:15	Setiroek	Indonesia	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 10:00	Pagatan	Indonesia	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 10:15	Dirk Hartog	Australia	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 04:15	Batoe Porong	Indonesia	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 04:15	Kebanjar	Indonesia	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 04:00	Baliga	Indonesia	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 08:45	Batubetumpang	Indonesia	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 06:30	Sungaipadang	Indonesia	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 03:00	Wansabari	Indonesia	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 03:00	Masara	Indonesia	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 03:00	Tioro	Indonesia	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 03:00	Kembano	Indonesia	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 02:45	Tampo	Indonesia	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 02:45	Mabodo	Indonesia	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 02:45	Napabalana	Indonesia	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 02:45	Raha	Indonesia	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 02:45	Bonea	Indonesia	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 03:00	Losan	Indonesia	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 01:15	Gihirkendik	Indonesia	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 01:15	Kokas	Indonesia	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 01:15	Ibuar	Indonesia	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 02:30	Koroni	Indonesia	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 02:30	Lebo	Indonesia	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 03:15	Sidoardjo	Indonesia	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 06:00	Anakasi	Indonesia	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 12:00	Port Augusta West	Australia	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 12:00	Port Augusta	Australia	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 12:00	Stirling North	Australia	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 04:30	Toena Gain	Indonesia	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 04:30	Weri	Indonesia	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 04:30	Antalisa	Indonesia	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 02:45	Pamandali	Indonesia	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 05:45	Padang	Indonesia	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 05:45	Manggar	Indonesia	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 05:45	Lipatkadjang	Indonesia	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 05:45	Pagatan	Indonesia	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 05:45	Semisir	Indonesia	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 05:45	Salinau	Indonesia	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 05:45	Semaras	Indonesia	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 02:45	Toroboeloe	Indonesia	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 02:45	Lakara	Indonesia	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 05:00	Sidaju	Indonesia	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 05:00	Gresik	Indonesia	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 05:00	Pangkalan	Indonesia	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 05:00	Aermata	Indonesia	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 01:45	Moegoetira	Indonesia	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 10:15	Sungaitapah	Indonesia	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 03:30	Laboean	Indonesia	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 03:30	Sumberkuning	Indonesia	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 11:45	Loentji	Indonesia	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 11:45	Koealasapo	Indonesia	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 09:15	Bapuju	Indonesia	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 09:15	Bahaur	Indonesia	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 01:45	Kinara	Indonesia	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 01:45	Aoem	Indonesia	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 02:45	Roliai	Indonesia	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 02:45	Tinangea	Indonesia	0.1

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While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.