Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for SIX-E-20
Off-shore

Impact

Tropical Cyclone SIX-E-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries United States, Mexico
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 68 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (16 Jul 01:00 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 68 km/h 0.3 m 84 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 90 km/h 0.6 m 301 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

90 km/h

Up to 70 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population

Estimations based on the bulletin of 16 Jul 2020 00:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormUnited States, Mexico66742
+
United States65355 
Mexico1387 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 13 Jul 2020 18:00 83 -
- - - - - United States
GREEN 2 14 Jul 2020 00:00 90 -
- - - - - United States
GREEN 3 14 Jul 2020 06:00 50 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 14 Jul 2020 12:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 14 Jul 2020 18:00 76 -
- - - - - United States
GREEN 6 15 Jul 2020 00:00 68 -
- - - - - United States, Mexico
GREEN 7 15 Jul 2020 06:00 65 -
- - - - - United States, Mexico
GREEN 8 15 Jul 2020 12:00 43 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 15 Jul 2020 18:00 76 -
- - - - - United States
GREEN 10 16 Jul 2020 00:00 68 -
- - - - - United States, Mexico




Impact estimation for the next 72h





Rain exposed population

Estimations based on the bulletin of 16 Jul 2020 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
50-100 mmMexico851092 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 13 Jul 2020 18:00 67 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 14 Jul 2020 00:00 156 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 14 Jul 2020 06:00 144 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 14 Jul 2020 12:00 152 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 14 Jul 2020 18:00 64 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 15 Jul 2020 00:00 84 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 15 Jul 2020 06:00 47 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 15 Jul 2020 12:00 37 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 15 Jul 2020 18:00 37 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 16 Jul 2020 00:00 204 -
- - - - - Mexico




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Puerto Venustiano Carranza, Mexico. This height is estimated for 16 Jul 2020 01:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Calculation based on the bulletin of 16 Jul 2020 00:00 UTC
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
16 Jul 2020 01:00 Puerto Venustiano Carranza Mexico  0.3
16 Jul 2020 06:00 La Choya Mexico  0.3
16 Jul 2020 06:00 Puerto Penasco Mexico  0.3
16 Jul 2020 02:00 San Rafael Mexico  0.2
16 Jul 2020 02:45 Bahia Kino Mexico  0.2
16 Jul 2020 00:15 Maudlowe United States  0.2
16 Jul 2020 00:15 Tivoli United States  0.2
16 Jul 2020 00:15 Austwell United States  0.2
16 Jul 2020 00:15 Green Lake United States  0.2
16 Jul 2020 00:15 North Seadrift United States  0.2
16 Jul 2020 00:15 Long Mott United States  0.2
16 Jul 2020 00:15 Seadrift United States  0.2
16 Jul 2020 02:15 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.2
16 Jul 2020 02:15 San Bruno Mexico  0.2
16 Jul 2020 02:00 Guasimas Mexico  0.2
16 Jul 2020 04:30 Salina Cruz Mexico  0.2
16 Jul 2020 04:30 Lagarto Mexico  0.2
16 Jul 2020 04:15 Novillero Mexico  0.2
16 Jul 2020 02:00 Tastiota Mexico  0.2
16 Jul 2020 01:00 Datilito Mexico  0.2
16 Jul 2020 01:00 La Paz Mexico  0.2
16 Jul 2020 01:00 Rosario Mexico  0.2
16 Jul 2020 04:30 Cuantla Mexico  0.2
16 Jul 2020 04:30 Cuamecate Mexico  0.2
16 Jul 2020 01:45 Empalme Mexico  0.2
16 Jul 2020 01:45 Spanish Village United States  0.2
16 Jul 2020 01:30 Guaymas Mexico  0.2
16 Jul 2020 01:45 San Carlos Mexico  0.2
16 Jul 2020 00:15 Corpus Christi United States  0.2
16 Jul 2020 00:15 North Beach United States  0.2
16 Jul 2020 00:15 Gardendale United States  0.2
16 Jul 2020 00:15 Doyle United States  0.2
16 Jul 2020 00:15 Orange Grove United States  0.2
16 Jul 2020 00:15 Peary Place United States  0.2
16 Jul 2020 00:15 Portland United States  0.2
16 Jul 2020 00:15 Flour Bluff United States  0.2
16 Jul 2020 00:15 Caruthers Cove Colonia United States  0.2
16 Jul 2020 00:15 Ingleside United States  0.2
16 Jul 2020 00:15 Kenney Lane West Colonia United States  0.2
16 Jul 2020 00:15 Port Ingleside United States  0.2
16 Jul 2020 00:15 Indian Trails Lane Colonia United States  0.2
16 Jul 2020 04:00 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
16 Jul 2020 04:00 El Nuevo Mexico  0.2
16 Jul 2020 01:45 Mulege Mexico  0.2
16 Jul 2020 01:45 Los Dolores Mexico  0.2
16 Jul 2020 01:30 Las Bocas Mexico  0.1
16 Jul 2020 01:30 Camahuiroa Mexico  0.1
16 Jul 2020 04:15 Majada Villalobos Mexico  0.1
16 Jul 2020 02:15 El Barril Mexico  0.1
16 Jul 2020 01:45 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.1
16 Jul 2020 02:45 Atanacio Mexico  0.1
16 Jul 2020 02:45 El Paredoncito Mexico  0.1
16 Jul 2020 02:00 San Ignacio Mexico  0.1
16 Jul 2020 04:15 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.1
16 Jul 2020 01:30 San Jose Mexico  0.1
16 Jul 2020 00:00 Tecomate Mexico  0.1
16 Jul 2020 00:00 Cabo Tepoca Mexico  0.1
16 Jul 2020 02:00 Liliba Mexico  0.1
16 Jul 2020 02:30 Loreto Mexico  0.1
16 Jul 2020 02:30 Ligui Mexico  0.1
16 Jul 2020 02:30 Tripui Mexico  0.1
16 Jul 2020 04:15 Garrapateras Mexico  0.1
16 Jul 2020 02:00 San Juanico Mexico  0.1
16 Jul 2020 02:30 Cachoana Mexico  0.1
16 Jul 2020 01:30 San Bruno Mexico  0.1
16 Jul 2020 01:45 Borabampo Mexico  0.1
16 Jul 2020 01:30 San Cosme Mexico  0.1
16 Jul 2020 00:00 Puerto Libertad Mexico  0.1
16 Jul 2020 01:45 Los Burros Mexico  0.1
16 Jul 2020 00:00 El Desemboque Mexico  0.1
16 Jul 2020 02:15 Topolobampo Mexico  0.1
16 Jul 2020 04:15 La Puerta Mexico  0.1
16 Jul 2020 00:30 Rancho Bahia Mexico  0.1
16 Jul 2020 00:00 Puertecitos Mexico  0.1
16 Jul 2020 01:30 El Aquajito Mexico  0.1
16 Jul 2020 03:45 Toro Mocho Mexico  0.1
16 Jul 2020 04:00 Ayutla Mexico  0.1
16 Jul 2020 04:00 Mirador Mexico  0.1
16 Jul 2020 04:00 Tangolunda Mexico  0.1
16 Jul 2020 04:00 Bajo de Arenal Mexico  0.1
16 Jul 2020 00:00 Molino Mexico  0.1
16 Jul 2020 00:00 Molino Lacy Mexico  0.1
16 Jul 2020 02:15 Santa Marta Mexico  0.1
16 Jul 2020 05:45 El Tornillal Mexico  0.1
16 Jul 2020 04:00 Loma Larga Mexico  0.1
16 Jul 2020 04:00 Puerto Angel Mexico  0.1
16 Jul 2020 04:00 La Redonda Mexico  0.1
16 Jul 2020 04:00 Jarilla Mexico  0.1
16 Jul 2020 01:00 San Juan de la Costa Mexico  0.1
16 Jul 2020 00:30 Agua de las Flores Mexico  0.1
16 Jul 2020 05:15 San Felipe Mexico  0.1
16 Jul 2020 03:45 El Golfo de Santa Clara Mexico  0.1
16 Jul 2020 01:30 La Playa Colorada Mexico  0.1
16 Jul 2020 01:45 Tambobiche Mexico  0.1
16 Jul 2020 04:00 Coyote Mexico  0.1
16 Jul 2020 04:00 Tlachicon Mexico  0.1
16 Jul 2020 02:45 Acapulco Mexico  0.1
16 Jul 2020 04:30 Tierra Colorada Mexico  0.1
16 Jul 2020 02:45 Joluta Mexico  0.1
16 Jul 2020 02:45 Lagunillas Mexico  0.1
16 Jul 2020 00:15 San Blas Mexico  0.1
16 Jul 2020 00:15 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
16 Jul 2020 02:45 Calvario Mexico  0.1
16 Jul 2020 02:45 Coyuquillas Mexico  0.1
16 Jul 2020 02:45 Loyola Beach United States  0.1
16 Jul 2020 02:45 Orange Grove United States  0.1
16 Jul 2020 02:45 La Parra Landing United States  0.1
16 Jul 2020 02:45 El Martillo United States  0.1
16 Jul 2020 02:45 Yarborough United States  0.1
16 Jul 2020 04:00 Paso Hondo Mexico  0.1
16 Jul 2020 02:45 Nuxco Mexico  0.1
16 Jul 2020 04:00 Chagues Mexico  0.1
16 Jul 2020 02:30 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
16 Jul 2020 02:30 La Ventana Mexico  0.1
16 Jul 2020 02:30 Ensenada de los Muertos Mexico  0.1
16 Jul 2020 02:45 El Papayo Mexico  0.1
16 Jul 2020 03:45 Puerto Escondido Mexico  0.1
16 Jul 2020 02:45 Zihuatanejo Mexico  0.1
16 Jul 2020 06:00 Point Comfort United States  0.1
16 Jul 2020 06:00 Magnolia Beach United States  0.1
16 Jul 2020 06:00 Indianola United States  0.1
16 Jul 2020 06:00 Olivia United States  0.1
16 Jul 2020 06:00 Weedhaven United States  0.1
16 Jul 2020 06:00 Port Alto United States  0.1
16 Jul 2020 06:00 Carancahua United States  0.1
16 Jul 2020 06:00 El Campo Club Community United States  0.1
16 Jul 2020 06:00 Camp Hulen United States  0.1
16 Jul 2020 02:45 Barrio Nuevo Mexico  0.1
16 Jul 2020 00:00 Port Mansfield United States  0.1
16 Jul 2020 04:00 Caimanero Mexico  0.1
16 Jul 2020 02:45 Las Pinas Mexico  0.1
16 Jul 2020 02:45 Playa Azul Mexico  0.1
16 Jul 2020 02:30 El Marques Mexico  0.1
16 Jul 2020 03:45 Bajos de Chila Mexico  0.1
16 Jul 2020 03:15 Perihuete Mexico  0.1
16 Jul 2020 02:30 Melchor Ocampo Mexico  0.1
16 Jul 2020 06:00 Port Lavaca United States  0.1
16 Jul 2020 06:00 Alamo Beach United States  0.1
16 Jul 2020 06:00 Port O'Connor United States  0.1
16 Jul 2020 01:00 La Boca Mexico  0.1
16 Jul 2020 01:00 Tecolutla Mexico  0.1
16 Jul 2020 01:00 La Guadalupe Mexico  0.1
16 Jul 2020 01:00 Monte Gordo Mexico  0.1
16 Jul 2020 01:00 Nautla Mexico  0.1
16 Jul 2020 04:15 La Tuza Mexico  0.1
16 Jul 2020 01:00 Las Arenitas Mexico  0.1

Calculation folder at this link