Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for SIX-E-20
Off-shore

Impact

Tropical Cyclone SIX-E-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries United States, Mexico
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 43 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (15 Jul 14:30 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 43 km/h 0.3 m 37 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 90 km/h 0.6 m 301 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

90 km/h

Up to 20 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population

Estimations based on the bulletin of 15 Jul 2020 12:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormUnited States, Mexico22792
+
United States22787 
Mexico5 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 13 Jul 2020 18:00 83 -
- - - - - United States
GREEN 2 14 Jul 2020 00:00 90 -
- - - - - United States
GREEN 3 14 Jul 2020 06:00 50 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 14 Jul 2020 12:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 14 Jul 2020 18:00 76 -
- - - - - United States
GREEN 6 15 Jul 2020 00:00 68 -
- - - - - United States, Mexico
GREEN 7 15 Jul 2020 06:00 65 -
- - - - - United States, Mexico
GREEN 8 15 Jul 2020 12:00 79 -
- - - - - United States, Mexico




Impact estimation for the next 72h





Rain exposed population

Estimations based on the bulletin of 15 Jul 2020 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
50-100 mmMexico1663215 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 13 Jul 2020 18:00 67 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 14 Jul 2020 00:00 156 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 14 Jul 2020 06:00 144 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 14 Jul 2020 12:00 152 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 14 Jul 2020 18:00 64 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 15 Jul 2020 00:00 84 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 15 Jul 2020 06:00 47 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 15 Jul 2020 12:00 265 -
- - - - - Mexico




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in El Golfo de Santa Clara, Mexico. This height is estimated for 15 Jul 2020 14:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Calculation based on the bulletin of 15 Jul 2020 12:00 UTC
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
15 Jul 2020 14:30 El Golfo de Santa Clara Mexico  0.3
15 Jul 2020 14:30 San Felipe Mexico  0.3
15 Jul 2020 14:15 El Tornillal Mexico  0.3
15 Jul 2020 14:15 La Choya Mexico  0.2
15 Jul 2020 14:15 Puerto Penasco Mexico  0.2
15 Jul 2020 12:00 Maudlowe United States  0.2
15 Jul 2020 12:00 Tivoli United States  0.2
15 Jul 2020 12:00 Austwell United States  0.2
15 Jul 2020 12:00 Green Lake United States  0.2
15 Jul 2020 12:00 North Seadrift United States  0.2
15 Jul 2020 12:00 Long Mott United States  0.2
15 Jul 2020 12:00 Seadrift United States  0.2
15 Jul 2020 12:45 Spanish Village United States  0.2
15 Jul 2020 15:00 Puerto Venustiano Carranza Mexico  0.2
15 Jul 2020 12:00 Rancho Bahia Mexico  0.2
15 Jul 2020 17:45 Rancho Cepeda Mexico  0.2
15 Jul 2020 17:45 Rancho San Francisco Mexico  0.2
15 Jul 2020 17:45 Colonia Camalu Mexico  0.2
15 Jul 2020 17:00 Cuantla Mexico  0.2
15 Jul 2020 17:00 Cuamecate Mexico  0.2
15 Jul 2020 16:45 Novillero Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 12:00 Puerto Libertad Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 13:00 Puertecitos Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 17:30 La Florida Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 17:30 San Carlos Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 16:45 Datilito Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 16:45 La Paz Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 16:45 Rosario Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 12:00 Tecomate Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 12:00 Cabo Tepoca Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 16:00 Bahia Kino Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 16:45 Loreto Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 16:45 Ligui Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 12:00 Molino Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 12:00 Molino Lacy Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 16:45 Tripui Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 17:30 Guasimas Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 16:30 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 15:00 Salina Cruz Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 15:00 Lagarto Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 18:00 Cachoana Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 12:00 El Desemboque Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 17:45 San Rafael Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 16:45 Las Bocas Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 17:00 San Cosme Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 16:45 Guaymas Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 16:45 Empalme Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 16:45 San Bruno Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 16:45 Camahuiroa Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 16:15 Boca del Rio Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 16:15 La Playa Colorada Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 17:45 El Sauzal Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 17:45 Cabo Punta Banda Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 17:45 Ensenada Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 16:30 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 16:30 El Nuevo Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 17:00 San Jose Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 17:00 Atanacio Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 17:00 El Paredoncito Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 16:45 Borabampo Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 16:30 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 12:30 San Juanico Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 12:30 Boca del Melgoita Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 12:30 Buenaventura Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 17:00 San Juan de la Costa Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 17:30 The Muirlands United States  0.1
15 Jul 2020 17:30 Azure Vista United States  0.1
15 Jul 2020 17:30 Ocean Beach United States  0.1
15 Jul 2020 17:30 Mission Beach United States  0.1
15 Jul 2020 17:30 Fort Rosecrans United States  0.1
15 Jul 2020 17:30 Roseville United States  0.1
15 Jul 2020 17:30 Campland on the Bay Trailer Park United States  0.1
15 Jul 2020 17:30 Loma Portal United States  0.1
15 Jul 2020 17:30 San Diego United States  0.1
15 Jul 2020 17:30 Coronado United States  0.1
15 Jul 2020 17:30 Imperial Beach United States  0.1
15 Jul 2020 17:30 Boal United States  0.1
15 Jul 2020 16:45 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 16:45 La Ventana Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 16:45 Ensenada de los Muertos Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 17:00 Tastiota Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 16:45 Madero Amarillo Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 16:45 El Guatamota Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 17:15 El Aquajito Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 12:00 Agua de las Flores Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 18:00 Erendria Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 16:45 Topolobampo Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 16:30 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 16:30 San Bruno Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 16:30 Liliba Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 16:30 San Carlos Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 17:00 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 14:45 Desembarcadero de Miller Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 17:00 San Juanico Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 17:00 Mulege Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 17:00 Los Dolores Mexico  0.1

Calculation folder at this link