Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for SIX-E-20
Off-shore

Impact

Tropical Cyclone SIX-E-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries United States, Mexico
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 68 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (15 Jul 02:00 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 68 km/h 0.3 m 84 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 90 km/h 0.6 m 301 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

90 km/h

Up to 20 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population

Estimations based on the bulletin of 15 Jul 2020 00:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormUnited States, Mexico24257
+
United States161 
Mexico24096 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 13 Jul 2020 18:00 83 -
- - - - - United States
GREEN 2 14 Jul 2020 00:00 90 -
- - - - - United States
GREEN 3 14 Jul 2020 06:00 50 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 14 Jul 2020 12:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 14 Jul 2020 18:00 76 -
- - - - - United States
GREEN 6 15 Jul 2020 00:00 72 -
- - - - - United States, Mexico




Impact estimation for the next 72h





Rain exposed population

Estimations based on the bulletin of 15 Jul 2020 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
50-100 mmUnited States, Mexico2309059
+
United States1455 
Mexico2307604 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 13 Jul 2020 18:00 67 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 14 Jul 2020 00:00 156 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 14 Jul 2020 06:00 144 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 14 Jul 2020 12:00 152 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 14 Jul 2020 18:00 64 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 15 Jul 2020 00:00 239 -
- - - - - United States, Mexico




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Agua del Coyote, Mexico. This height is estimated for 15 Jul 2020 02:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Calculation based on the bulletin of 15 Jul 2020 00:00 UTC
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
15 Jul 2020 02:00 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.3
15 Jul 2020 02:00 Buenaventura Mexico  0.3
15 Jul 2020 06:00 La Choya Mexico  0.3
15 Jul 2020 06:00 Puerto Penasco Mexico  0.3
15 Jul 2020 01:45 San Juanico Mexico  0.2
15 Jul 2020 01:45 Boca del Melgoita Mexico  0.2
15 Jul 2020 02:15 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.2
15 Jul 2020 01:45 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.2
15 Jul 2020 06:00 Maudlowe United States  0.2
15 Jul 2020 06:00 Tivoli United States  0.2
15 Jul 2020 06:00 Austwell United States  0.2
15 Jul 2020 06:00 Green Lake United States  0.2
15 Jul 2020 06:00 North Seadrift United States  0.2
15 Jul 2020 06:00 Long Mott United States  0.2
15 Jul 2020 06:00 Seadrift United States  0.2
15 Jul 2020 02:00 Queretaro Mexico  0.2
15 Jul 2020 05:30 Spanish Village United States  0.2
15 Jul 2020 05:30 Puerto Venustiano Carranza Mexico  0.2
15 Jul 2020 01:45 Adolfo Lopez Mateos Mexico  0.2
15 Jul 2020 01:45 Corpus Christi United States  0.2
15 Jul 2020 01:45 North Beach United States  0.2
15 Jul 2020 01:45 Gardendale United States  0.2
15 Jul 2020 01:45 Doyle United States  0.2
15 Jul 2020 01:45 Orange Grove United States  0.2
15 Jul 2020 01:45 Peary Place United States  0.2
15 Jul 2020 01:45 Portland United States  0.2
15 Jul 2020 01:45 Flour Bluff United States  0.2
15 Jul 2020 01:45 Caruthers Cove Colonia United States  0.2
15 Jul 2020 01:45 Ingleside United States  0.2
15 Jul 2020 01:45 Kenney Lane West Colonia United States  0.2
15 Jul 2020 01:45 Port Ingleside United States  0.2
15 Jul 2020 01:45 Indian Trails Lane Colonia United States  0.2
15 Jul 2020 03:00 La Florida Mexico  0.2
15 Jul 2020 03:00 San Carlos Mexico  0.2
15 Jul 2020 06:00 Port Alto United States  0.2
15 Jul 2020 06:00 Carancahua United States  0.2
15 Jul 2020 06:00 El Campo Club Community United States  0.2
15 Jul 2020 06:00 Camp Hulen United States  0.2
15 Jul 2020 06:00 Palacios United States  0.2
15 Jul 2020 06:00 Collegeport United States  0.2
15 Jul 2020 06:00 Simpsonville United States  0.2
15 Jul 2020 06:00 Citrus Grove United States  0.2
15 Jul 2020 06:00 Point Comfort United States  0.2
15 Jul 2020 06:00 Magnolia Beach United States  0.2
15 Jul 2020 06:00 Indianola United States  0.2
15 Jul 2020 06:00 Olivia United States  0.2
15 Jul 2020 06:00 Weedhaven United States  0.2
15 Jul 2020 00:15 Datilito Mexico  0.2
15 Jul 2020 00:15 La Paz Mexico  0.2
15 Jul 2020 00:15 Rosario Mexico  0.2
15 Jul 2020 02:15 La Boca Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 06:00 Port Lavaca United States  0.1
15 Jul 2020 06:00 Alamo Beach United States  0.1
15 Jul 2020 06:00 Port O'Connor United States  0.1
15 Jul 2020 03:00 La Playa Colorada Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 03:00 Boca del Rio Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 03:15 Cachoana Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 02:15 Los Burros Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 02:30 Perihuete Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 03:30 Bayside United States  0.1
15 Jul 2020 03:30 Country Acres Colonia United States  0.1
15 Jul 2020 03:30 Country Estates Colonia United States  0.1
15 Jul 2020 03:30 Aransas Pass United States  0.1
15 Jul 2020 03:30 Estes United States  0.1
15 Jul 2020 03:30 Mustang Beach United States  0.1
15 Jul 2020 03:30 Port Aransas United States  0.1
15 Jul 2020 03:30 Rockport United States  0.1
15 Jul 2020 03:30 Shell Ridge United States  0.1
15 Jul 2020 03:30 Copano Village United States  0.1
15 Jul 2020 03:30 Fulton United States  0.1
15 Jul 2020 01:00 Tecolutla Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 01:00 La Guadalupe Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 01:00 Monte Gordo Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 01:00 Nautla Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 01:30 Gregory United States  0.1
15 Jul 2020 00:00 Tecomate Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 00:00 Cabo Tepoca Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 03:30 Las Arenitas Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 02:00 San Blas Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 02:00 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 02:30 El Castillo Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 03:15 Bahia Kino Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 03:45 Lamar United States  0.1
15 Jul 2020 04:00 Garrapateras Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 04:00 Majada Villalobos Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 02:30 Loreto Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 02:30 Ligui Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 02:15 Dimas Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 06:00 El Tornillal Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 02:45 San Rafael Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 06:00 El Golfo de Santa Clara Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 04:00 Salina Cruz Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 03:45 Rincon United States  0.1
15 Jul 2020 03:45 Shepards United States  0.1
15 Jul 2020 03:45 Punta United States  0.1
15 Jul 2020 03:45 Faria United States  0.1
15 Jul 2020 03:45 Dulah United States  0.1
15 Jul 2020 03:45 San Buenaventura United States  0.1
15 Jul 2020 03:45 Ventura United States  0.1
15 Jul 2020 03:45 Hollywood By The Sea United States  0.1
15 Jul 2020 03:45 Channel Islands Beach United States  0.1
15 Jul 2020 03:45 Oxnard United States  0.1
15 Jul 2020 02:45 San Francisco Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 02:45 Monteon Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 02:45 La Lima Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 03:00 Topolobampo Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 03:00 Altata Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 02:30 San Bruno Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 03:00 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 03:00 La Ventana Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 03:00 Ensenada de los Muertos Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 02:30 Tripui Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 04:15 Lagarto Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 02:30 San Juan de la Costa Mexico  0.1

Calculation folder at this link