Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for SIX-E-20
Off-shore

Impact

Tropical Cyclone SIX-E-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries United States, Mexico
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 90 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (14 Jul 02:15 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 90 km/h 0.3 m 156 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 90 km/h 0.6 m 301 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

90 km/h

Up to 110 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population

Estimations based on the bulletin of 14 Jul 2020 00:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormUnited States, Mexico105690
+
United States98718 
Mexico6972 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 13 Jul 2020 18:00 83 -
- - - - - United States
GREEN 2 14 Jul 2020 00:00 90 -
- - - - - United States, Mexico




Impact estimation for the next 72h





Rain exposed population

Estimations based on the bulletin of 14 Jul 2020 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
50-100 mmMexico562394 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 13 Jul 2020 18:00 67 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 14 Jul 2020 00:00 229 -
- - - - - Mexico




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Puerto Venustiano Carranza, Mexico. This height is estimated for 14 Jul 2020 02:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Calculation based on the bulletin of 14 Jul 2020 00:00 UTC
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
14 Jul 2020 02:15 Puerto Venustiano Carranza Mexico  0.3
14 Jul 2020 04:45 San Rafael Mexico  0.2
14 Jul 2020 03:45 La Choya Mexico  0.2
14 Jul 2020 03:45 Puerto Penasco Mexico  0.2
14 Jul 2020 03:00 Novillero Mexico  0.2
14 Jul 2020 03:00 Cuantla Mexico  0.2
14 Jul 2020 05:30 Tecomate Mexico  0.2
14 Jul 2020 05:30 Cabo Tepoca Mexico  0.2
14 Jul 2020 03:00 Cuamecate Mexico  0.2
14 Jul 2020 05:00 Bahia Kino Mexico  0.2
14 Jul 2020 03:00 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
14 Jul 2020 03:00 El Nuevo Mexico  0.2
14 Jul 2020 05:45 El Golfo de Santa Clara Mexico  0.2
14 Jul 2020 02:00 La Florida Mexico  0.2
14 Jul 2020 02:00 Adolfo Lopez Mateos Mexico  0.2
14 Jul 2020 04:15 Guasimas Mexico  0.2
14 Jul 2020 06:00 Rancho Bahia Mexico  0.2
14 Jul 2020 05:45 El Tornillal Mexico  0.2
14 Jul 2020 02:45 Toro Mocho Mexico  0.2
14 Jul 2020 01:15 Corpus Christi United States  0.2
14 Jul 2020 01:15 North Beach United States  0.2
14 Jul 2020 01:15 Gardendale United States  0.2
14 Jul 2020 01:15 Doyle United States  0.2
14 Jul 2020 01:15 Orange Grove United States  0.2
14 Jul 2020 01:15 Peary Place United States  0.2
14 Jul 2020 01:15 Portland United States  0.2
14 Jul 2020 01:15 Flour Bluff United States  0.2
14 Jul 2020 01:15 Caruthers Cove Colonia United States  0.2
14 Jul 2020 01:15 Ingleside United States  0.2
14 Jul 2020 01:15 Kenney Lane West Colonia United States  0.2
14 Jul 2020 01:15 Port Ingleside United States  0.2
14 Jul 2020 01:15 Indian Trails Lane Colonia United States  0.2
14 Jul 2020 06:00 San Felipe Mexico  0.2
14 Jul 2020 05:00 San Juanico Mexico  0.2
14 Jul 2020 05:00 Boca del Melgoita Mexico  0.2
14 Jul 2020 05:00 Buenaventura Mexico  0.2
14 Jul 2020 04:15 Tastiota Mexico  0.2
14 Jul 2020 03:00 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.2
14 Jul 2020 02:00 Desembarcadero de Miller Mexico  0.2
14 Jul 2020 04:15 Empalme Mexico  0.2
14 Jul 2020 04:45 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.2
14 Jul 2020 04:45 San Bruno Mexico  0.2
14 Jul 2020 05:30 Puerto Libertad Mexico  0.2
14 Jul 2020 05:00 Salina Cruz Mexico  0.1
14 Jul 2020 05:00 Lagarto Mexico  0.1
14 Jul 2020 06:00 Puertecitos Mexico  0.1
14 Jul 2020 05:15 El Desemboque Mexico  0.1
14 Jul 2020 02:15 Rincon United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 02:15 Shepards United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 02:15 Punta United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 02:15 Faria United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 02:15 Dulah United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 02:15 San Buenaventura United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 02:15 Ventura United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 02:15 Hollywood By The Sea United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 02:15 Channel Islands Beach United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 02:15 Oxnard United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 03:00 La Puerta Mexico  0.1
14 Jul 2020 05:15 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.1
14 Jul 2020 05:15 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.1
14 Jul 2020 00:15 Chaparral Mexico  0.1
14 Jul 2020 03:00 Boca del Rio Mexico  0.1
14 Jul 2020 03:00 La Playa Colorada Mexico  0.1
14 Jul 2020 04:15 Guaymas Mexico  0.1
14 Jul 2020 02:15 San Blas Mexico  0.1
14 Jul 2020 02:15 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
14 Jul 2020 06:00 Mims United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 06:00 Hoskins United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 06:00 Peterson Landing United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 06:00 Port Morris United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 06:00 Red Fish Cove United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 06:00 Bay Harbor United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 06:00 Sea Isle United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 06:00 Molino Mexico  0.1
14 Jul 2020 06:00 Molino Lacy Mexico  0.1
14 Jul 2020 03:00 Jarilla Mexico  0.1
14 Jul 2020 04:45 El Barril Mexico  0.1
14 Jul 2020 03:15 Bayside United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 03:15 Country Acres Colonia United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 03:15 Country Estates Colonia United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 03:15 Aransas Pass United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 03:15 Estes United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 03:15 Mustang Beach United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 03:15 Port Aransas United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 03:15 Rockport United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 03:15 Shell Ridge United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 03:15 Copano Village United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 03:15 Fulton United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 00:00 Point Comfort United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 00:00 Magnolia Beach United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 00:00 Indianola United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 00:00 Olivia United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 00:00 Weedhaven United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 00:00 Port Alto United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 00:00 Carancahua United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 00:00 El Campo Club Community United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 00:00 Camp Hulen United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 00:30 Gregory United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 03:45 San Jose Mexico  0.1
14 Jul 2020 03:45 Atanacio Mexico  0.1
14 Jul 2020 03:45 El Paredoncito Mexico  0.1
14 Jul 2020 03:45 Las Bocas Mexico  0.1
14 Jul 2020 02:30 Lamar United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 03:30 Camahuiroa Mexico  0.1
14 Jul 2020 04:15 San Carlos Mexico  0.1
14 Jul 2020 01:15 Cedros Mexico  0.1
14 Jul 2020 00:00 Port Mansfield United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 02:30 Perihuete Mexico  0.1
14 Jul 2020 00:00 El Mezquite Mexico  0.1
14 Jul 2020 05:15 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.1
14 Jul 2020 02:45 Caimanero Mexico  0.1
14 Jul 2020 04:45 Agua de las Flores Mexico  0.1
14 Jul 2020 02:30 Dimas Mexico  0.1
14 Jul 2020 03:45 Borabampo Mexico  0.1
14 Jul 2020 04:00 Mulege Mexico  0.1
14 Jul 2020 04:00 Los Dolores Mexico  0.1
14 Jul 2020 06:00 Palacios United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 06:00 Collegeport United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 06:00 Simpsonville United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 06:00 Citrus Grove United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 03:15 Datilito Mexico  0.1
14 Jul 2020 03:15 La Paz Mexico  0.1
14 Jul 2020 03:15 Rosario Mexico  0.1
14 Jul 2020 03:00 Los Burros Mexico  0.1
14 Jul 2020 04:00 San Ignacio Mexico  0.1
14 Jul 2020 04:00 Liliba Mexico  0.1
14 Jul 2020 01:00 Tecolutla Mexico  0.1
14 Jul 2020 01:00 La Guadalupe Mexico  0.1
14 Jul 2020 01:00 Monte Gordo Mexico  0.1
14 Jul 2020 01:00 Nautla Mexico  0.1
14 Jul 2020 04:00 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.1
14 Jul 2020 00:00 Colonia Simon Bolivar Mexico  0.1
14 Jul 2020 00:00 Ejido Lavaderos Mexico  0.1
14 Jul 2020 00:00 El Porvenir Mexico  0.1
14 Jul 2020 05:45 Freeport United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 05:45 Quintana United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 05:45 Surfside United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 05:45 Surfside Beach United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 02:30 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.1
14 Jul 2020 02:30 El Guatamota Mexico  0.1
14 Jul 2020 00:30 Port Lavaca United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 00:30 Alamo Beach United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 00:30 Port O'Connor United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 02:15 Franciscan Village United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 02:15 Carpinteria United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 03:15 Loreto Mexico  0.1
14 Jul 2020 03:15 Ligui Mexico  0.1
14 Jul 2020 03:15 Tripui Mexico  0.1
14 Jul 2020 00:45 Queretaro Mexico  0.1
14 Jul 2020 03:30 San Cosme Mexico  0.1
14 Jul 2020 02:45 Altata Mexico  0.1
14 Jul 2020 02:45 El Castillo Mexico  0.1
14 Jul 2020 02:45 San Juan de la Costa Mexico  0.1
14 Jul 2020 05:30 Gulf Park United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 05:30 Hoskins United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 05:30 Bryan Beach United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 05:30 Valasco Heights United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 03:30 San Bruno Mexico  0.1
14 Jul 2020 04:00 San Juanico Mexico  0.1

Calculation folder at this link