Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for SIX-E-20
Off-shore

Impact

Tropical Cyclone SIX-E-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries United States, Mexico
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 65 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (15 Jul 10:00 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 65 km/h 0.3 m 47 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 90 km/h 0.6 m 301 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

90 km/h

Up to 220 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population

Estimations based on the bulletin of 15 Jul 2020 06:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormUnited States, Mexico220456
+
United States217797 
Mexico2659 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 13 Jul 2020 18:00 83 -
- - - - - United States
GREEN 2 14 Jul 2020 00:00 90 -
- - - - - United States
GREEN 3 14 Jul 2020 06:00 50 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 14 Jul 2020 12:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 14 Jul 2020 18:00 76 -
- - - - - United States
GREEN 6 15 Jul 2020 00:00 68 -
- - - - - United States, Mexico
GREEN 7 15 Jul 2020 06:00 76 -
- - - - - United States, Mexico




Impact estimation for the next 72h





Rain exposed population

Estimations based on the bulletin of 15 Jul 2020 06:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
50-100 mmMexico6847755 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 13 Jul 2020 18:00 67 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 14 Jul 2020 00:00 156 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 14 Jul 2020 06:00 144 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 14 Jul 2020 12:00 152 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 14 Jul 2020 18:00 64 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 15 Jul 2020 00:00 84 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 15 Jul 2020 06:00 230 -
- - - - - Mexico




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Puerto Venustiano Carranza, Mexico. This height is estimated for 15 Jul 2020 10:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Calculation based on the bulletin of 15 Jul 2020 06:00 UTC
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
15 Jul 2020 10:00 Puerto Venustiano Carranza Mexico  0.3
15 Jul 2020 08:15 El Golfo de Santa Clara Mexico  0.3
15 Jul 2020 08:30 San Felipe Mexico  0.3
15 Jul 2020 08:15 El Tornillal Mexico  0.3
15 Jul 2020 08:45 La Choya Mexico  0.3
15 Jul 2020 08:45 Puerto Penasco Mexico  0.3
15 Jul 2020 09:15 Maudlowe United States  0.2
15 Jul 2020 09:15 Tivoli United States  0.2
15 Jul 2020 09:15 Austwell United States  0.2
15 Jul 2020 09:15 Green Lake United States  0.2
15 Jul 2020 09:15 North Seadrift United States  0.2
15 Jul 2020 09:15 Long Mott United States  0.2
15 Jul 2020 09:15 Seadrift United States  0.2
15 Jul 2020 10:30 Spanish Village United States  0.2
15 Jul 2020 10:00 Guasimas Mexico  0.2
15 Jul 2020 11:15 Tecomate Mexico  0.2
15 Jul 2020 11:15 Cabo Tepoca Mexico  0.2
15 Jul 2020 09:00 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.2
15 Jul 2020 09:00 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.2
15 Jul 2020 09:30 Desembarcadero de Miller Mexico  0.2
15 Jul 2020 09:15 Bahia Kino Mexico  0.2
15 Jul 2020 12:00 Rancho Bahia Mexico  0.2
15 Jul 2020 10:15 Puertecitos Mexico  0.2
15 Jul 2020 08:45 Queretaro Mexico  0.2
15 Jul 2020 08:45 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.2
15 Jul 2020 11:15 Puerto Libertad Mexico  0.2
15 Jul 2020 08:15 San Juanico Mexico  0.2
15 Jul 2020 08:15 Boca del Melgoita Mexico  0.2
15 Jul 2020 08:15 Buenaventura Mexico  0.2
15 Jul 2020 11:15 El Desemboque Mexico  0.2
15 Jul 2020 10:00 Empalme Mexico  0.2
15 Jul 2020 06:30 Point Comfort United States  0.2
15 Jul 2020 06:30 Magnolia Beach United States  0.2
15 Jul 2020 06:30 Indianola United States  0.2
15 Jul 2020 06:30 Olivia United States  0.2
15 Jul 2020 06:30 Weedhaven United States  0.2
15 Jul 2020 06:30 Port Alto United States  0.2
15 Jul 2020 06:30 Carancahua United States  0.2
15 Jul 2020 06:30 El Campo Club Community United States  0.2
15 Jul 2020 06:30 Camp Hulen United States  0.2
15 Jul 2020 10:45 San Rafael Mexico  0.2
15 Jul 2020 06:15 Palacios United States  0.2
15 Jul 2020 06:15 Collegeport United States  0.2
15 Jul 2020 06:15 Simpsonville United States  0.2
15 Jul 2020 06:15 Citrus Grove United States  0.2
15 Jul 2020 10:30 Guaymas Mexico  0.2
15 Jul 2020 08:45 Adolfo Lopez Mateos Mexico  0.2
15 Jul 2020 09:15 La Florida Mexico  0.2
15 Jul 2020 10:15 Tastiota Mexico  0.2
15 Jul 2020 06:45 Port Lavaca United States  0.2
15 Jul 2020 06:45 Alamo Beach United States  0.2
15 Jul 2020 06:45 Port O'Connor United States  0.2
15 Jul 2020 09:00 Rancho Cepeda Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 09:00 Rancho San Francisco Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 09:00 Colonia Camalu Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 11:15 Molino Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 11:15 Molino Lacy Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 08:45 Cedros Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 10:30 Datilito Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 10:30 La Paz Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 10:30 Rosario Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 10:45 Agua de las Flores Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 10:45 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 10:45 San Bruno Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 10:45 El Barril Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 10:15 San Jose Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 10:15 Atanacio Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 10:15 El Paredoncito Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 10:00 Borabampo Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 09:45 Loreto Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 09:45 Ligui Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 09:45 Tripui Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 10:00 San Carlos Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 10:15 Mulege Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 10:15 Los Dolores Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 10:15 Liliba Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 09:30 Los Burros Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 10:00 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 10:15 San Ignacio Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 09:45 San Bruno Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 09:45 Las Bocas Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 10:00 San Juanico Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 10:00 San Carlos Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 08:45 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 08:45 El Guatamota Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 10:30 Cachoana Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 09:45 San Cosme Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 08:45 Isla Natividad Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 09:45 Camahuiroa Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 09:45 Topolobampo Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 09:15 Madero Amarillo Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 06:45 Loyola Beach United States  0.1
15 Jul 2020 06:45 Orange Grove United States  0.1
15 Jul 2020 06:45 La Parra Landing United States  0.1
15 Jul 2020 06:45 El Martillo United States  0.1
15 Jul 2020 06:45 Yarborough United States  0.1
15 Jul 2020 09:30 Santa Marta Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 10:15 El Aquajito Mexico  0.1

Calculation folder at this link