Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for SIX-E-20
Off-shore

Impact

Tropical Cyclone SIX-E-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries United States, Mexico
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 50 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (14 Jul 08:00 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 50 km/h 0.3 m 144 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 90 km/h 0.6 m 301 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

90 km/h

Up to 320 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population

Estimations based on the bulletin of 14 Jul 2020 06:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormUnited States, Mexico317364
+
United States198346 
Mexico119018 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 13 Jul 2020 18:00 83 -
- - - - - United States
GREEN 2 14 Jul 2020 00:00 90 -
- - - - - United States
GREEN 3 14 Jul 2020 06:00 79 -
- - - - - United States, Mexico




Impact estimation for the next 72h





Rain exposed population

Estimations based on the bulletin of 14 Jul 2020 06:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
50-100 mmMexico1258521 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 13 Jul 2020 18:00 67 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 14 Jul 2020 00:00 156 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 14 Jul 2020 06:00 206 -
- - - - - Mexico




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in La Choya, Mexico. This height is estimated for 14 Jul 2020 08:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Calculation based on the bulletin of 14 Jul 2020 06:00 UTC
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
14 Jul 2020 08:00 La Choya Mexico  0.3
14 Jul 2020 08:00 Puerto Penasco Mexico  0.3
14 Jul 2020 06:30 Novillero Mexico  0.2
14 Jul 2020 06:30 Cuantla Mexico  0.2
14 Jul 2020 06:30 Cuamecate Mexico  0.2
14 Jul 2020 08:00 Puerto Venustiano Carranza Mexico  0.2
14 Jul 2020 07:30 El Tornillal Mexico  0.2
14 Jul 2020 08:30 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.2
14 Jul 2020 07:30 El Golfo de Santa Clara Mexico  0.2
14 Jul 2020 07:30 San Felipe Mexico  0.2
14 Jul 2020 06:00 Rancho Bahia Mexico  0.2
14 Jul 2020 06:15 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
14 Jul 2020 06:15 El Nuevo Mexico  0.2
14 Jul 2020 06:30 Puertecitos Mexico  0.2
14 Jul 2020 08:15 Buenaventura Mexico  0.2
14 Jul 2020 08:15 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.2
14 Jul 2020 06:15 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.1
14 Jul 2020 10:00 Salina Cruz Mexico  0.1
14 Jul 2020 10:00 Lagarto Mexico  0.1
14 Jul 2020 08:15 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.1
14 Jul 2020 06:00 Puerto Libertad Mexico  0.1
14 Jul 2020 10:15 Guasimas Mexico  0.1
14 Jul 2020 06:15 Mims United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 06:15 Hoskins United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 06:15 Peterson Landing United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 06:15 Port Morris United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 06:15 Red Fish Cove United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 06:15 Bay Harbor United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 06:15 Sea Isle United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 08:45 San Juanico Mexico  0.1
14 Jul 2020 08:45 Boca del Melgoita Mexico  0.1
14 Jul 2020 06:00 Molino Mexico  0.1
14 Jul 2020 06:00 Molino Lacy Mexico  0.1
14 Jul 2020 06:30 La Puerta Mexico  0.1
14 Jul 2020 11:45 Boca del Rio Mexico  0.1
14 Jul 2020 11:45 La Playa Colorada Mexico  0.1
14 Jul 2020 06:15 Toro Mocho Mexico  0.1
14 Jul 2020 08:15 Queretaro Mexico  0.1
14 Jul 2020 10:30 San Rafael Mexico  0.1
14 Jul 2020 06:30 Jarilla Mexico  0.1
14 Jul 2020 08:00 Desembarcadero de Miller Mexico  0.1
14 Jul 2020 07:30 Rancho Cepeda Mexico  0.1
14 Jul 2020 07:30 Rancho San Francisco Mexico  0.1
14 Jul 2020 07:30 Colonia Camalu Mexico  0.1
14 Jul 2020 10:45 Maudlowe United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 10:45 Tivoli United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 10:45 Austwell United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 10:45 Green Lake United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 10:45 North Seadrift United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 10:45 Long Mott United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 10:45 Seadrift United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 08:00 Port Alto United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 08:00 Carancahua United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 08:00 El Campo Club Community United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 08:00 Camp Hulen United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 08:00 Palacios United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 08:00 Collegeport United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 08:00 Simpsonville United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 08:00 Citrus Grove United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 06:30 Point Comfort United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 06:30 Magnolia Beach United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 06:30 Indianola United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 06:30 Olivia United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 06:30 Weedhaven United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 09:00 La Florida Mexico  0.1
14 Jul 2020 09:00 San Carlos Mexico  0.1
14 Jul 2020 08:30 Bahia Kino Mexico  0.1
14 Jul 2020 10:00 Empalme Mexico  0.1
14 Jul 2020 06:30 Caimanero Mexico  0.1
14 Jul 2020 12:00 Spanish Village United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 06:00 El Desemboque Mexico  0.1
14 Jul 2020 10:30 Rincon United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 10:30 Shepards United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 10:30 Punta United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 10:30 Faria United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 10:30 Dulah United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 10:30 San Buenaventura United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 10:30 Ventura United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 10:30 Hollywood By The Sea United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 10:30 Channel Islands Beach United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 10:30 Oxnard United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 08:30 Adolfo Lopez Mateos Mexico  0.1
14 Jul 2020 06:45 Port Lavaca United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 06:45 Alamo Beach United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 06:45 Port O'Connor United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 10:45 Montecito United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 10:45 Summerland United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 10:45 Serena Park United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 10:45 Franciscan Village United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 10:45 Carpinteria United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 06:00 Tecomate Mexico  0.1
14 Jul 2020 06:00 Cabo Tepoca Mexico  0.1
14 Jul 2020 06:00 Surfside United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 06:00 Surfside Beach United States  0.1

Calculation folder at this link