Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for SIX-E-20
Off-shore

Impact

Tropical Cyclone SIX-E-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries United States, Mexico
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 76 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.5 m (14 Jul 20:30 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 76 km/h 0.5 m 64 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 90 km/h 0.6 m 301 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

90 km/h

Up to 20 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population

Estimations based on the bulletin of 14 Jul 2020 18:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormUnited States, Mexico23904
+
United States18976 
Mexico4928 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 13 Jul 2020 18:00 83 -
- - - - - United States
GREEN 2 14 Jul 2020 00:00 90 -
- - - - - United States
GREEN 3 14 Jul 2020 06:00 50 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 14 Jul 2020 12:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 14 Jul 2020 18:00 76 -
- - - - - United States, Mexico




Impact estimation for the next 72h





Rain exposed population

Estimations based on the bulletin of 14 Jul 2020 18:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
50-100 mmMexico1672681 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 13 Jul 2020 18:00 67 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 14 Jul 2020 00:00 156 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 14 Jul 2020 06:00 144 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 14 Jul 2020 12:00 152 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 14 Jul 2020 18:00 174 -
- - - - - Mexico




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.5 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.5m in La Choya, Mexico. This height is estimated for 14 Jul 2020 20:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Calculation based on the bulletin of 14 Jul 2020 18:00 UTC
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
14 Jul 2020 20:30 La Choya Mexico  0.5
14 Jul 2020 20:30 Puerto Penasco Mexico  0.5
14 Jul 2020 21:15 El Golfo de Santa Clara Mexico  0.4
14 Jul 2020 20:30 San Felipe Mexico  0.4
14 Jul 2020 21:30 El Tornillal Mexico  0.4
14 Jul 2020 18:00 Puerto Venustiano Carranza Mexico  0.3
14 Jul 2020 19:15 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.2
14 Jul 2020 22:45 San Juanico Mexico  0.2
14 Jul 2020 22:45 Boca del Melgoita Mexico  0.2
14 Jul 2020 22:45 Buenaventura Mexico  0.2
14 Jul 2020 19:15 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.2
14 Jul 2020 20:30 Rancho Bahia Mexico  0.2
14 Jul 2020 21:15 Puertecitos Mexico  0.2
15 Jul 2020 00:00 Maudlowe United States  0.2
15 Jul 2020 00:00 Tivoli United States  0.2
15 Jul 2020 00:00 Austwell United States  0.2
15 Jul 2020 00:00 Green Lake United States  0.2
15 Jul 2020 00:00 North Seadrift United States  0.2
15 Jul 2020 00:00 Long Mott United States  0.2
15 Jul 2020 00:00 Seadrift United States  0.2
14 Jul 2020 18:00 Bahia Kino Mexico  0.2
14 Jul 2020 18:45 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.2
15 Jul 2020 00:00 Corpus Christi United States  0.2
15 Jul 2020 00:00 North Beach United States  0.2
15 Jul 2020 00:00 Gardendale United States  0.2
15 Jul 2020 00:00 Doyle United States  0.2
15 Jul 2020 00:00 Orange Grove United States  0.2
15 Jul 2020 00:00 Peary Place United States  0.2
15 Jul 2020 00:00 Portland United States  0.2
15 Jul 2020 00:00 Flour Bluff United States  0.2
15 Jul 2020 00:00 Caruthers Cove Colonia United States  0.2
15 Jul 2020 00:00 Ingleside United States  0.2
15 Jul 2020 00:00 Kenney Lane West Colonia United States  0.2
15 Jul 2020 00:00 Port Ingleside United States  0.2
15 Jul 2020 00:00 Indian Trails Lane Colonia United States  0.2
14 Jul 2020 19:45 Puerto Libertad Mexico  0.2
14 Jul 2020 22:45 La Florida Mexico  0.1
14 Jul 2020 22:45 Adolfo Lopez Mateos Mexico  0.1
14 Jul 2020 19:00 Queretaro Mexico  0.1
14 Jul 2020 18:45 San Rafael Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 00:00 Spanish Village United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 20:00 Tecomate Mexico  0.1
14 Jul 2020 20:00 Cabo Tepoca Mexico  0.1
14 Jul 2020 19:15 Molino Mexico  0.1
14 Jul 2020 19:15 Molino Lacy Mexico  0.1
14 Jul 2020 19:15 El Desemboque Mexico  0.1
14 Jul 2020 18:45 San Pedro United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 18:45 Wilmington United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 18:45 Signal Hill United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 18:45 Belmont Shore United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 18:45 Surfside United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 18:45 Seal Beach United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 18:45 Sunset Beach United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 18:45 Huntington Beach United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 19:30 Rancho Cepeda Mexico  0.1
14 Jul 2020 19:30 Rancho San Francisco Mexico  0.1
14 Jul 2020 19:30 Colonia Camalu Mexico  0.1
14 Jul 2020 18:15 Rincon United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 18:15 Shepards United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 18:15 Punta United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 18:15 Faria United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 18:15 Dulah United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 18:15 San Buenaventura United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 18:15 Ventura United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 18:15 Hollywood By The Sea United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 18:15 Channel Islands Beach United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 18:15 Oxnard United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 19:45 Cuantla Mexico  0.1
14 Jul 2020 19:45 Cuamecate Mexico  0.1
14 Jul 2020 18:15 Datilito Mexico  0.1
14 Jul 2020 18:15 La Paz Mexico  0.1
14 Jul 2020 18:15 Rosario Mexico  0.1
14 Jul 2020 19:30 San Carlos Mexico  0.1
14 Jul 2020 18:30 The Muirlands United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 18:30 Azure Vista United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 18:30 Ocean Beach United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 18:30 Mission Beach United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 18:30 Fort Rosecrans United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 18:30 Roseville United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 18:30 Campland on the Bay Trailer Park United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 18:30 Loma Portal United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 18:30 San Diego United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 18:30 Coronado United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 18:30 Imperial Beach United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 18:30 Boal United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 18:30 Agua de las Flores Mexico  0.1
14 Jul 2020 18:45 Rancho Palos Verdes United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 18:45 Rolling Hills Estates United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 18:45 Rolling Hills United States  0.1
15 Jul 2020 00:00 Tecolutla Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 00:00 La Guadalupe Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 00:00 Monte Gordo Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 00:00 Nautla Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 00:00 Gregory United States  0.1
15 Jul 2020 00:00 Country Acres Colonia United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 18:45 Newport Beach United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 18:45 Cliff Haven United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 18:45 Bay Shores United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 18:45 Castellammare United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 18:45 Pacific Palisades United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 18:45 Santa Monica United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 18:45 Sawtelle United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 18:45 Marina del Rey United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 18:45 Playa del Rey United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 18:45 Alsace United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 18:45 El Segundo United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 18:45 Manhattan Beach United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 18:45 Hermosa Beach United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 18:45 Palos Verdes Estates United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 18:45 Clifton United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 18:45 Redondo Beach United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 18:45 Guasimas Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 00:00 Bayside United States  0.1
15 Jul 2020 00:00 Country Estates Colonia United States  0.1
15 Jul 2020 00:00 Aransas Pass United States  0.1
15 Jul 2020 00:00 Estes United States  0.1
15 Jul 2020 00:00 Mustang Beach United States  0.1
15 Jul 2020 00:00 Port Aransas United States  0.1
15 Jul 2020 00:00 Rockport United States  0.1
15 Jul 2020 00:00 Shell Ridge United States  0.1
15 Jul 2020 00:00 Copano Village United States  0.1
15 Jul 2020 00:00 Fulton United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 18:45 Rancho Boca de San Jose Mexico  0.1
14 Jul 2020 18:45 Erendria Mexico  0.1
14 Jul 2020 18:45 El Barril Mexico  0.1
14 Jul 2020 18:30 Guaymas Mexico  0.1
14 Jul 2020 18:30 Empalme Mexico  0.1
14 Jul 2020 18:15 Desembarcadero de Miller Mexico  0.1
14 Jul 2020 18:45 Rosarito Mexico  0.1
14 Jul 2020 18:45 Santa Marie Mexico  0.1
14 Jul 2020 22:00 Port Mansfield United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 18:45 Tastiota Mexico  0.1
14 Jul 2020 19:45 Novillero Mexico  0.1
14 Jul 2020 22:00 Lamar United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 18:45 Malibu United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 18:45 Monte Nido United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 18:45 Las Flores United States  0.1

Calculation folder at this link