Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for SIX-E-20
Off-shore

Impact

Tropical Cyclone SIX-E-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries United States, Mexico
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 83 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (14 Jul 00:00 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 83 km/h 0.2 m 67 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 90 km/h 0.6 m 301 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

90 km/h

Up to 80 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population

Estimations based on the bulletin of 13 Jul 2020 18:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormUnited States, Mexico77326
+
United States69157 
Mexico8169 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 13 Jul 2020 18:00 94 -
- - - - - United States, Mexico




Impact estimation for the next 72h





Rain exposed population

Estimations based on the bulletin of 13 Jul 2020 18:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
50-100 mmMexico596237 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 13 Jul 2020 18:00 173 -
- - - - - Mexico




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in La Choya, Mexico. This height is estimated for 14 Jul 2020 00:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Calculation based on the bulletin of 13 Jul 2020 18:00 UTC
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
14 Jul 2020 00:00 La Choya Mexico  0.2
14 Jul 2020 00:00 Puerto Penasco Mexico  0.2
14 Jul 2020 00:00 El Golfo de Santa Clara Mexico  0.2
13 Jul 2020 21:30 Puerto Venustiano Carranza Mexico  0.2
14 Jul 2020 00:00 El Tornillal Mexico  0.2
13 Jul 2020 20:15 Colonia Simon Bolivar Mexico  0.2
13 Jul 2020 20:15 Ejido Lavaderos Mexico  0.2
13 Jul 2020 20:15 El Porvenir Mexico  0.2
13 Jul 2020 21:15 Chaparral Mexico  0.2
14 Jul 2020 00:00 Corpus Christi United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 00:00 North Beach United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 00:00 Gardendale United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 00:00 Doyle United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 00:00 Orange Grove United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 00:00 Peary Place United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 00:00 Portland United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 00:00 Flour Bluff United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 00:00 Caruthers Cove Colonia United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 00:00 Ingleside United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 00:00 Kenney Lane West Colonia United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 00:00 Port Ingleside United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 00:00 Indian Trails Lane Colonia United States  0.1
13 Jul 2020 22:15 El Mezquite Mexico  0.1
13 Jul 2020 22:30 Port Mansfield United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 00:00 San Felipe Mexico  0.1
13 Jul 2020 20:30 El Martillo United States  0.1
13 Jul 2020 20:30 Yarborough United States  0.1
13 Jul 2020 23:15 Gregory United States  0.1
13 Jul 2020 23:15 Country Acres Colonia United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 00:00 Point Comfort United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 00:00 Magnolia Beach United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 00:00 Indianola United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 00:00 Olivia United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 00:00 Weedhaven United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 00:00 Port Alto United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 00:00 Carancahua United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 00:00 El Campo Club Community United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 00:00 Camp Hulen United States  0.1
13 Jul 2020 23:15 La Florida Mexico  0.1
13 Jul 2020 23:15 Adolfo Lopez Mateos Mexico  0.1
13 Jul 2020 19:30 Rincon United States  0.1
13 Jul 2020 19:30 Shepards United States  0.1
13 Jul 2020 19:30 Punta United States  0.1
13 Jul 2020 19:30 Faria United States  0.1
13 Jul 2020 19:30 Dulah United States  0.1
13 Jul 2020 19:30 San Buenaventura United States  0.1
13 Jul 2020 19:30 Ventura United States  0.1
13 Jul 2020 19:30 Hollywood By The Sea United States  0.1
13 Jul 2020 19:30 Channel Islands Beach United States  0.1
13 Jul 2020 19:30 Oxnard United States  0.1
13 Jul 2020 23:30 Country Estates Colonia United States  0.1
13 Jul 2020 23:30 Aransas Pass United States  0.1
13 Jul 2020 23:30 Estes United States  0.1
13 Jul 2020 20:30 Rancho Magueyes Mexico  0.1
13 Jul 2020 20:30 El Mezquital Mexico  0.1
13 Jul 2020 19:30 San Pedro United States  0.1
13 Jul 2020 19:30 Wilmington United States  0.1
13 Jul 2020 19:30 Signal Hill United States  0.1
13 Jul 2020 19:30 Belmont Shore United States  0.1
13 Jul 2020 19:30 Surfside United States  0.1
13 Jul 2020 19:30 Seal Beach United States  0.1
13 Jul 2020 19:30 Sunset Beach United States  0.1
13 Jul 2020 19:30 Huntington Beach United States  0.1
13 Jul 2020 19:45 San Jose de los Leones Mexico  0.1
13 Jul 2020 21:00 Rockport United States  0.1
13 Jul 2020 21:00 Shell Ridge United States  0.1
13 Jul 2020 21:00 Copano Village United States  0.1
13 Jul 2020 21:00 Fulton United States  0.1
13 Jul 2020 21:00 Lamar United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 00:00 Bayside United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 00:00 Mustang Beach United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 00:00 Port Aransas United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 00:00 Palacios United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 00:00 Collegeport United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 00:00 Simpsonville United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 00:00 Citrus Grove United States  0.1
13 Jul 2020 19:30 Mission United States  0.1
13 Jul 2020 19:30 Montecito United States  0.1
13 Jul 2020 19:30 Summerland United States  0.1
13 Jul 2020 19:30 Serena Park United States  0.1
13 Jul 2020 19:30 Franciscan Village United States  0.1
13 Jul 2020 19:30 Carpinteria United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 00:00 Tecolutla Mexico  0.1
14 Jul 2020 00:00 La Guadalupe Mexico  0.1
14 Jul 2020 00:00 Monte Gordo Mexico  0.1
14 Jul 2020 00:00 Nautla Mexico  0.1
13 Jul 2020 20:00 El Americano Mexico  0.1
13 Jul 2020 20:00 Ejido Guandalupe Victoria Mexico  0.1
13 Jul 2020 20:00 Los Ebanos Mexico  0.1

Calculation folder at this link