Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for SIX-E-20
Off-shore

Impact

Tropical Cyclone SIX-E-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries United States, Mexico
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 76 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.5 m (15 Jul 21:30 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 76 km/h 0.5 m 37 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 90 km/h 0.6 m 301 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

90 km/h

Up to 40 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population

Estimations based on the bulletin of 15 Jul 2020 18:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormUnited States, Mexico40287
+
United States33440 
Mexico6847 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 13 Jul 2020 18:00 83 -
- - - - - United States
GREEN 2 14 Jul 2020 00:00 90 -
- - - - - United States
GREEN 3 14 Jul 2020 06:00 50 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 14 Jul 2020 12:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 14 Jul 2020 18:00 76 -
- - - - - United States
GREEN 6 15 Jul 2020 00:00 68 -
- - - - - United States, Mexico
GREEN 7 15 Jul 2020 06:00 65 -
- - - - - United States, Mexico
GREEN 8 15 Jul 2020 12:00 43 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 15 Jul 2020 18:00 76 -
- - - - - United States, Mexico




Impact estimation for the next 72h





Rain exposed population

Estimations based on the bulletin of 15 Jul 2020 18:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmMexico7 
50-100 mmMexico1042084 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 13 Jul 2020 18:00 67 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 14 Jul 2020 00:00 156 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 14 Jul 2020 06:00 144 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 14 Jul 2020 12:00 152 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 14 Jul 2020 18:00 64 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 15 Jul 2020 00:00 84 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 15 Jul 2020 06:00 47 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 15 Jul 2020 12:00 37 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 15 Jul 2020 18:00 242 Few people
- - - - Mexico




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.5 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.5m in El Golfo de Santa Clara, Mexico. This height is estimated for 15 Jul 2020 21:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Calculation based on the bulletin of 15 Jul 2020 18:00 UTC
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
15 Jul 2020 21:30 El Golfo de Santa Clara Mexico  0.5
15 Jul 2020 21:30 El Tornillal Mexico  0.4
15 Jul 2020 20:00 Puerto Venustiano Carranza Mexico  0.4
15 Jul 2020 21:15 San Felipe Mexico  0.4
15 Jul 2020 19:00 Desembarcadero de Miller Mexico  0.3
15 Jul 2020 22:15 La Choya Mexico  0.2
15 Jul 2020 22:15 Puerto Penasco Mexico  0.2
15 Jul 2020 18:00 Maudlowe United States  0.2
15 Jul 2020 18:00 Tivoli United States  0.2
15 Jul 2020 18:00 Austwell United States  0.2
15 Jul 2020 18:00 Green Lake United States  0.2
15 Jul 2020 18:00 North Seadrift United States  0.2
15 Jul 2020 18:00 Long Mott United States  0.2
15 Jul 2020 18:00 Seadrift United States  0.2
15 Jul 2020 18:00 Spanish Village United States  0.2
15 Jul 2020 19:00 Cedros Mexico  0.2
15 Jul 2020 23:00 Puertecitos Mexico  0.2
15 Jul 2020 18:00 Rancho Cepeda Mexico  0.2
15 Jul 2020 18:00 Rancho San Francisco Mexico  0.2
15 Jul 2020 18:00 Colonia Camalu Mexico  0.2
16 Jul 2020 00:00 Corpus Christi United States  0.2
16 Jul 2020 00:00 North Beach United States  0.2
16 Jul 2020 00:00 Gardendale United States  0.2
16 Jul 2020 00:00 Doyle United States  0.2
16 Jul 2020 00:00 Orange Grove United States  0.2
16 Jul 2020 00:00 Peary Place United States  0.2
16 Jul 2020 00:00 Portland United States  0.2
16 Jul 2020 00:00 Flour Bluff United States  0.2
16 Jul 2020 00:00 Caruthers Cove Colonia United States  0.2
16 Jul 2020 00:00 Ingleside United States  0.2
16 Jul 2020 00:00 Kenney Lane West Colonia United States  0.2
16 Jul 2020 00:00 Port Ingleside United States  0.2
16 Jul 2020 00:00 Indian Trails Lane Colonia United States  0.2
15 Jul 2020 22:45 Rancho Bahia Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 23:45 Tecomate Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 23:45 Cabo Tepoca Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 19:00 Isla Natividad Mexico  0.1
16 Jul 2020 00:00 Puerto Libertad Mexico  0.1
16 Jul 2020 00:00 El Desemboque Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 18:00 Cachoana Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 23:30 Molino Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 23:30 Molino Lacy Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 22:00 Port Mansfield United States  0.1
15 Jul 2020 18:15 Las Arenitas Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 18:30 Atanacio Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 18:30 El Paredoncito Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 18:45 Montecito United States  0.1
15 Jul 2020 18:45 Summerland United States  0.1
15 Jul 2020 18:45 Serena Park United States  0.1
15 Jul 2020 18:45 Franciscan Village United States  0.1
15 Jul 2020 18:45 Carpinteria United States  0.1
15 Jul 2020 18:45 Rincon United States  0.1
15 Jul 2020 18:45 Shepards United States  0.1
15 Jul 2020 18:45 Punta United States  0.1
15 Jul 2020 18:45 Faria United States  0.1
15 Jul 2020 18:45 Dulah United States  0.1
15 Jul 2020 18:00 San Rafael Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 18:00 Guaymas Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 18:00 Empalme Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 18:15 The Muirlands United States  0.1
15 Jul 2020 18:15 Azure Vista United States  0.1
15 Jul 2020 18:15 Ocean Beach United States  0.1
15 Jul 2020 18:15 Mission Beach United States  0.1
15 Jul 2020 18:15 Fort Rosecrans United States  0.1
15 Jul 2020 18:15 Roseville United States  0.1
15 Jul 2020 18:15 Campland on the Bay Trailer Park United States  0.1
15 Jul 2020 18:15 Loma Portal United States  0.1
15 Jul 2020 18:15 San Diego United States  0.1
15 Jul 2020 18:15 Coronado United States  0.1
15 Jul 2020 18:15 Imperial Beach United States  0.1
15 Jul 2020 18:15 Boal United States  0.1
16 Jul 2020 00:00 Agua de las Flores Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 19:00 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 18:45 El Sauzal Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 18:45 Cabo Punta Banda Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 18:45 Ensenada Mexico  0.1
16 Jul 2020 00:00 Bahia Kino Mexico  0.1
16 Jul 2020 00:00 El Barril Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 18:00 Erendria Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 19:30 San Juanico Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 19:30 Boca del Melgoita Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 19:30 Buenaventura Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 18:30 San Buenaventura United States  0.1
15 Jul 2020 18:30 Ventura United States  0.1
15 Jul 2020 18:30 Hollywood By The Sea United States  0.1
15 Jul 2020 18:30 Channel Islands Beach United States  0.1
15 Jul 2020 18:30 Oxnard United States  0.1
15 Jul 2020 18:45 San Pedro United States  0.1
15 Jul 2020 18:45 Wilmington United States  0.1
15 Jul 2020 18:45 Signal Hill United States  0.1
15 Jul 2020 18:45 Belmont Shore United States  0.1
15 Jul 2020 18:45 Surfside United States  0.1
15 Jul 2020 18:45 Seal Beach United States  0.1
15 Jul 2020 18:45 Sunset Beach United States  0.1
15 Jul 2020 18:45 Huntington Beach United States  0.1
15 Jul 2020 19:15 Queretaro Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 19:15 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 18:00 Guasimas Mexico  0.1

Calculation folder at this link