Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for FRANCISCO-20
in Madagascar, Mauritius,
08 Feb 2020 00 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone FRANCISCO-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 79 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (08 Feb 00:00 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Madagascar)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 79 km/h 0.3 m 310 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 83 km/h 0.5 m 947 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

83 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 08 Feb 2020 00:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 04 Feb 2020 00:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 04 Feb 2020 12:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 05 Feb 2020 00:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 05 Feb 2020 12:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 06 Feb 2020 00:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 06 Feb 2020 12:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 07 Feb 2020 00:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 07 Feb 2020 12:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 08 Feb 2020 00:00 79 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 08 Feb 2020 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
50-100 mmMadagascar, Reunion39,375
+
Madagascar19,098 
Reunion20,277 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 04 Feb 2020 00:00 245 -
- - - - - Seychelles
Blue 2 04 Feb 2020 12:00 494 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 05 Feb 2020 00:00 389 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 05 Feb 2020 12:00 292 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 06 Feb 2020 00:00 215 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 06 Feb 2020 12:00 449 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 07 Feb 2020 00:00 121 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 07 Feb 2020 12:00 189 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 08 Feb 2020 00:00 491 -
- - - - - Madagascar, Reunion




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Bevatry, Madagascar. This height is estimated for 08 Feb 2020 00:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 08 Feb 2020 00:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
08 Feb 2020 00:00 Bevatry Madagascar  0.3
08 Feb 2020 00:00 Kamendriky Madagascar  0.3
08 Feb 2020 03:30 Voloina Madagascar  0.3
08 Feb 2020 03:30 Manambia Madagascar  0.3
08 Feb 2020 03:30 Anantoraka Madagascar  0.3
08 Feb 2020 03:30 Maroantsetra Madagascar  0.3
08 Feb 2020 03:30 Andranofotsy Madagascar  0.3
08 Feb 2020 03:30 Mahalevona Madagascar  0.3
08 Feb 2020 00:30 Ambato Madagascar  0.3
08 Feb 2020 00:30 Ambaliha Madagascar  0.3
08 Feb 2020 00:30 Antanamazava Madagascar  0.3
08 Feb 2020 00:30 Ambatomainty Madagascar  0.3
08 Feb 2020 00:30 Manehoko Madagascar  0.3
08 Feb 2020 00:30 Antanimandry Madagascar  0.3
08 Feb 2020 00:15 Andriana Madagascar  0.3
08 Feb 2020 00:15 Ambatoxavavy Madagascar  0.3
08 Feb 2020 00:15 Andrafia Madagascar  0.3
08 Feb 2020 00:15 Anjiabe Madagascar  0.3
08 Feb 2020 00:15 Ambolikapika Madagascar  0.3
08 Feb 2020 00:15 Nosy Faly Madagascar  0.3
08 Feb 2020 03:30 Rantabe Madagascar  0.3
08 Feb 2020 00:15 Ambodibonara Madagascar  0.2
08 Feb 2020 00:00 Tsilambana Madagascar  0.2
08 Feb 2020 00:00 Tanambao Madagascar  0.2
08 Feb 2020 00:00 Anjabe Madagascar  0.2
08 Feb 2020 00:00 Andranomena Madagascar  0.2
08 Feb 2020 00:15 Manomba Madagascar  0.2
08 Feb 2020 00:15 Ankatrafay Madagascar  0.2
08 Feb 2020 00:15 Antandrokomby Madagascar  0.2
08 Feb 2020 00:00 Ampombilava Madagascar  0.2
08 Feb 2020 00:15 Andranovoribe Madagascar  0.2
08 Feb 2020 00:00 Ambalabao Madagascar  0.2
08 Feb 2020 08:15 Antananabe Madagascar  0.2
08 Feb 2020 08:15 Anjiamalandy Madagascar  0.2
08 Feb 2020 08:15 Mandrony Madagascar  0.2
08 Feb 2020 08:15 Anorotsangana Madagascar  0.2
08 Feb 2020 08:15 Maromokotra Madagascar  0.2
08 Feb 2020 08:15 Marokitrana Madagascar  0.2
08 Feb 2020 08:15 Ampiambesa Madagascar  0.2
08 Feb 2020 08:15 Antetezampolaka Madagascar  0.2
08 Feb 2020 11:00 Manampatra Madagascar  0.2
08 Feb 2020 11:00 Vilamatsa Madagascar  0.2
08 Feb 2020 00:30 Belailay Madagascar  0.2
08 Feb 2020 00:45 Ambatomilahy Madagascar  0.2
08 Feb 2020 00:45 Ankirijibe Madagascar  0.2
08 Feb 2020 00:45 Ankazobe Madagascar  0.2
08 Feb 2020 00:45 Manampea Madagascar  0.2
08 Feb 2020 00:45 Antsafy Madagascar  0.2
08 Feb 2020 00:45 Onara Madagascar  0.2
08 Feb 2020 00:15 Ambaramidada Madagascar  0.2
08 Feb 2020 04:15 Ambanizana Madagascar  0.2
08 Feb 2020 04:15 Benjana Madagascar  0.2
08 Feb 2020 11:00 Marofototra Madagascar  0.2
08 Feb 2020 11:00 Voalavo Madagascar  0.2
08 Feb 2020 01:15 Manakalana Madagascar  0.2
08 Feb 2020 01:15 Soanierana Ivongo Madagascar  0.2
08 Feb 2020 01:15 Andrangazaha Madagascar  0.2
08 Feb 2020 01:15 Fandrarazana Madagascar  0.2
08 Feb 2020 01:15 Ambodifototra Madagascar  0.2
08 Feb 2020 01:15 Lonkintsy Madagascar  0.2
08 Feb 2020 01:00 Tambohorano Madagascar  0.2
08 Feb 2020 08:30 Ambariomena Madagascar  0.2
08 Feb 2020 08:30 Antsahabe Madagascar  0.2
08 Feb 2020 08:30 Ampasimpilily Madagascar  0.2
08 Feb 2020 08:30 Bejongoro Madagascar  0.2
08 Feb 2020 08:30 Ampandrano Madagascar  0.2
08 Feb 2020 08:30 Andrafialava Madagascar  0.2
08 Feb 2020 08:30 Maromanjo Madagascar  0.2
08 Feb 2020 08:30 Anompaka Madagascar  0.2
08 Feb 2020 08:30 Madirotelo Madagascar  0.2
08 Feb 2020 00:15 Ankerefo Madagascar  0.2
08 Feb 2020 10:45 Ankerefo Madagascar  0.2
08 Feb 2020 04:15 Antohgo Madagascar  0.2
08 Feb 2020 01:15 Analanampotsy Madagascar  0.2
08 Feb 2020 01:15 Ampasimbe Madagascar  0.2
08 Feb 2020 05:00 Mahavanona Madagascar  0.2
08 Feb 2020 05:00 Fenerive Madagascar  0.2
08 Feb 2020 05:00 Ampasina Madagascar  0.2
08 Feb 2020 05:00 Antakobola Madagascar  0.2
08 Feb 2020 01:15 Lokintsy Madagascar  0.2
08 Feb 2020 01:15 Lohatrozona Madagascar  0.2
08 Feb 2020 01:15 Tanambe Madagascar  0.2
08 Feb 2020 11:15 Belavenoka Madagascar  0.2
08 Feb 2020 03:30 Maintimbato Madagascar  0.2
08 Feb 2020 00:30 Maintirano Madagascar  0.2
08 Feb 2020 00:30 Andemba Madagascar  0.2
08 Feb 2020 08:15 Bevoay Madagascar  0.2
08 Feb 2020 03:30 Tampolo Madagascar  0.2
08 Feb 2020 03:30 Antalavia Madagascar  0.2
08 Feb 2020 00:30 Ambaliha Madagascar  0.2
08 Feb 2020 00:30 Mandrorohabe Madagascar  0.2
08 Feb 2020 00:30 Mailakapasy Madagascar  0.2
08 Feb 2020 00:30 Antsahampano Madagascar  0.2
08 Feb 2020 00:30 Ambohimena Madagascar  0.2
08 Feb 2020 00:30 Andranira Madagascar  0.2
08 Feb 2020 08:15 Maromandia Madagascar  0.2
08 Feb 2020 00:30 Antotoro Madagascar  0.2
08 Feb 2020 00:30 Ampohana Madagascar  0.2
08 Feb 2020 05:30 Vohilava Madagascar  0.2
08 Feb 2020 00:00 Baly Madagascar  0.2
08 Feb 2020 04:30 Ambodiatafa Madagascar  0.2
08 Feb 2020 00:00 Fadrina Madagascar  0.2
08 Feb 2020 04:00 Andopitaly Madagascar  0.2
08 Feb 2020 00:00 Soalala Madagascar  0.1
08 Feb 2020 08:30 Ambodizaotra Madagascar  0.1
08 Feb 2020 11:15 Behavoa Madagascar  0.1
08 Feb 2020 11:15 Befamata Madagascar  0.1
08 Feb 2020 00:00 Ankazomalemy Madagascar  0.1
08 Feb 2020 00:00 Bobasakoa Madagascar  0.1
08 Feb 2020 12:00 Zavo Madagascar  0.1
08 Feb 2020 11:45 Lavanono Madagascar  0.1
08 Feb 2020 01:00 Ampanakana Madagascar  0.1
08 Feb 2020 01:00 Fararano Madagascar  0.1
08 Feb 2020 01:00 Ambanisanjo Madagascar  0.1
08 Feb 2020 01:00 Antsorokaka Madagascar  0.1
08 Feb 2020 01:00 Ambatobe Madagascar  0.1
08 Feb 2020 01:00 Antanifatsy Madagascar  0.1
08 Feb 2020 01:00 Mahatsaborimaika Madagascar  0.1
08 Feb 2020 11:15 Bevoalavo Est Madagascar  0.1
08 Feb 2020 05:15 Ambinany Madagascar  0.1
08 Feb 2020 05:15 Antalaha Madagascar  0.1
08 Feb 2020 05:15 Antsirabato Madagascar  0.1
08 Feb 2020 05:15 Anjahamarina Madagascar  0.1
08 Feb 2020 05:15 Ambalabe Madagascar  0.1
08 Feb 2020 05:30 Manompana Madagascar  0.1
08 Feb 2020 08:30 Ambalihabe Madagascar  0.1
08 Feb 2020 08:45 Metuge Mozambique  0.1
08 Feb 2020 08:45 Mussange Mozambique  0.1
08 Feb 2020 08:45 Acache Mozambique  0.1
08 Feb 2020 08:45 Porto Amelia Mozambique  0.1
08 Feb 2020 08:45 Messequero Mozambique  0.1
08 Feb 2020 08:45 Atolo Mozambique  0.1
08 Feb 2020 08:45 Murrebue Mozambique  0.1
08 Feb 2020 08:45 Luguni Mozambique  0.1
08 Feb 2020 08:45 Tari Mozambique  0.1
08 Feb 2020 08:45 Vatobe Madagascar  0.1
08 Feb 2020 08:45 Andamoty Madagascar  0.1
08 Feb 2020 01:45 Marovazha Madagascar  0.1
08 Feb 2020 04:00 Fananehana Madagascar  0.1
08 Feb 2020 11:45 Antanambao Samaka Madagascar  0.1
08 Feb 2020 01:30 Ankoakala Madagascar  0.1
08 Feb 2020 01:30 Ambato Madagascar  0.1
08 Feb 2020 09:15 Ampitily Madagascar  0.1
08 Feb 2020 09:15 Singalana Madagascar  0.1
08 Feb 2020 09:15 Antetikireja Madagascar  0.1
08 Feb 2020 09:15 Antaribao Madagascar  0.1
08 Feb 2020 09:15 Ankinganifahatelo Madagascar  0.1
08 Feb 2020 09:30 Ambondrombe Madagascar  0.1
08 Feb 2020 09:30 Ankilahila Madagascar  0.1
08 Feb 2020 09:30 Ankomany Madagascar  0.1
08 Feb 2020 09:30 Marosakoa Madagascar  0.1
08 Feb 2020 09:30 Mariarano Madagascar  0.1
08 Feb 2020 09:30 Berafia Madagascar  0.1
08 Feb 2020 01:00 Quionga Mozambique  0.1
08 Feb 2020 01:00 Boala Mozambique  0.1
08 Feb 2020 01:00 Maganja Mozambique  0.1
08 Feb 2020 01:00 Quiwia Mozambique  0.1
08 Feb 2020 00:45 Ampasimena Madagascar  0.1
08 Feb 2020 09:30 Ampitilova Madagascar  0.1
08 Feb 2020 09:30 Antsianitia Madagascar  0.1
08 Feb 2020 09:15 Ambodiadabo Madagascar  0.1
08 Feb 2020 09:15 Ampasibe Madagascar  0.1
08 Feb 2020 09:15 Analalava Madagascar  0.1
08 Feb 2020 09:15 Androlavy Madagascar  0.1
08 Feb 2020 09:15 Ananalava Madagascar  0.1
08 Feb 2020 00:15 Ampapamena Madagascar  0.1
08 Feb 2020 00:15 Masokoamena Madagascar  0.1
08 Feb 2020 00:15 Katsepy Madagascar  0.1
08 Feb 2020 00:15 Majunga Madagascar  0.1
08 Feb 2020 00:15 Boanamary Madagascar  0.1
08 Feb 2020 00:15 Moraharivo Madagascar  0.1
08 Feb 2020 09:00 Vila de Mocimboa da Praia Mozambique  0.1
08 Feb 2020 09:00 Libambai Mozambique  0.1
08 Feb 2020 09:00 Meronvi Mozambique  0.1
08 Feb 2020 09:00 Quissengue Mozambique  0.1
08 Feb 2020 04:30 Antsikafoka Madagascar  0.1
08 Feb 2020 04:30 Mahambo Madagascar  0.1
08 Feb 2020 04:30 Namahoaka Madagascar  0.1
08 Feb 2020 03:45 Ambalanosy Madagascar  0.1
08 Feb 2020 00:00 Dzamandzar Madagascar  0.1
08 Feb 2020 11:45 Ambozaka Madagascar  0.1
08 Feb 2020 11:45 Andramasay Madagascar  0.1
08 Feb 2020 05:15 Antanetilava Madagascar  0.1
08 Feb 2020 05:15 Manambato Madagascar  0.1
08 Feb 2020 09:30 Andringahely Madagascar  0.1
08 Feb 2020 09:30 Ampisikanana Madagascar  0.1
08 Feb 2020 11:30 Moravano Madagascar  0.1
08 Feb 2020 09:00 Olumbe Mozambique  0.1
08 Feb 2020 09:30 Anjajavy Madagascar  0.1
08 Feb 2020 09:30 Ankaranakatra Madagascar  0.1
08 Feb 2020 09:30 Marovoha Madagascar  0.1
08 Feb 2020 09:30 Ambalatsingy Madagascar  0.1
08 Feb 2020 09:30 Ankinganomby Madagascar  0.1
08 Feb 2020 09:30 Palma Mozambique  0.1
08 Feb 2020 00:15 Marovato Madagascar  0.1
08 Feb 2020 09:30 Antsisikala Madagascar  0.1
08 Feb 2020 09:30 Andranovondronina Madagascar  0.1
08 Feb 2020 09:30 Lotsohina Madagascar  0.1
08 Feb 2020 09:30 Betsimiranja Madagascar  0.1
08 Feb 2020 09:30 Ambatonjanahary Madagascar  0.1
08 Feb 2020 09:30 Ambinanililabe Madagascar  0.1
08 Feb 2020 09:30 Anjiabe Madagascar  0.1
08 Feb 2020 09:30 Amoronjia-Orangea Madagascar  0.1
08 Feb 2020 00:00 Quiterajo Mozambique  0.1
08 Feb 2020 00:00 Ingoane Mozambique  0.1
08 Feb 2020 00:00 Pangane Mozambique  0.1
08 Feb 2020 09:15 Bawala Mozambique  0.1
08 Feb 2020 11:30 Ampalaza Madagascar  0.1
08 Feb 2020 08:45 Tsianinkiro Madagascar  0.1
08 Feb 2020 08:45 Mahabo Madagascar  0.1
08 Feb 2020 00:15 Quissanga Mozambique  0.1
08 Feb 2020 00:15 Pangome Mozambique  0.1
08 Feb 2020 00:15 Arimba Mozambique  0.1
08 Feb 2020 00:15 Tavari Mozambique  0.1
08 Feb 2020 03:45 Rantranavona Madagascar  0.1
08 Feb 2020 00:45 Andanivato Madagascar  0.1
08 Feb 2020 04:45 Vohitramposina Madagascar  0.1
08 Feb 2020 04:45 Ampitabe Madagascar  0.1
08 Feb 2020 04:45 Amboditafara Madagascar  0.1
08 Feb 2020 04:45 Kalomalala Madagascar  0.1
08 Feb 2020 11:30 Soahazo Madagascar  0.1
08 Feb 2020 00:15 Tsinjorano Madagascar  0.1
08 Feb 2020 07:00 Mangaoka Madagascar  0.1
08 Feb 2020 07:00 Ilomotro Madagascar  0.1
08 Feb 2020 07:00 Andohonko Madagascar  0.1
08 Feb 2020 07:00 Andranotsara Madagascar  0.1
08 Feb 2020 10:15 Amboaboaka Madagascar  0.1
08 Feb 2020 10:15 Matahibory Madagascar  0.1
08 Feb 2020 10:15 Ampasitsilavitra Madagascar  0.1
08 Feb 2020 10:15 Mahabo Madagascar  0.1
08 Feb 2020 00:00 Andamoty Madagascar  0.1
08 Feb 2020 00:00 Madirobe Madagascar  0.1
08 Feb 2020 09:30 Ampasindava Madagascar  0.1
08 Feb 2020 03:30 Anoromby Madagascar  0.1
08 Feb 2020 09:45 Quinga Mozambique  0.1
08 Feb 2020 09:45 Metula Mozambique  0.1
08 Feb 2020 09:45 Momade Mozambique  0.1
08 Feb 2020 09:45 Metopa Mozambique  0.1
08 Feb 2020 03:15 Manambolosy Madagascar  0.1
08 Feb 2020 03:15 Fahambahy Madagascar  0.1
08 Feb 2020 00:00 Msangamkuu Tanzania  0.1
08 Feb 2020 00:00 Msimbati Tanzania  0.1
08 Feb 2020 00:30 Lucete Mozambique  0.1
08 Feb 2020 00:15 Ibo Mozambique  0.1
08 Feb 2020 09:15 Accua Mayotte  0.1
08 Feb 2020 09:15 Moliha Mayotte  0.1
08 Feb 2020 09:15 Dzoumogne Mayotte  0.1
08 Feb 2020 09:15 Chingoni Mayotte  0.1
08 Feb 2020 09:15 Dembeni Mayotte  0.1
08 Feb 2020 09:15 Longoni Mayotte  0.1
08 Feb 2020 09:15 Mamoudzou Mayotte  0.1
08 Feb 2020 09:15 Dzaoudzi Mayotte  0.1
08 Feb 2020 06:00 Ampary Madagascar  0.1
08 Feb 2020 06:00 Talaky Madagascar  0.1
08 Feb 2020 06:00 Iambaro Madagascar  0.1
08 Feb 2020 06:00 Ambazoamazava Madagascar  0.1
08 Feb 2020 03:45 Ankaratravitra Madagascar  0.1
08 Feb 2020 04:30 Nosy-Varika Madagascar  0.1
08 Feb 2020 04:30 Ambinanivolo Madagascar  0.1
08 Feb 2020 04:30 Ambalavontaka Madagascar  0.1
08 Feb 2020 04:30 Masomeloka Madagascar  0.1
08 Feb 2020 09:00 Madimba Tanzania  0.1
08 Feb 2020 09:00 Assane Mozambique  0.1
08 Feb 2020 09:00 Mwambo Tanzania  0.1
08 Feb 2020 00:30 Marere Mozambique  0.1
08 Feb 2020 00:00 Andramy Madagascar  0.1
08 Feb 2020 00:00 Marotaola Madagascar  0.1
08 Feb 2020 00:15 Mtwara Tanzania  0.1
08 Feb 2020 04:30 Tampina Madagascar  0.1
08 Feb 2020 04:30 Marofinaritra Madagascar  0.1
08 Feb 2020 04:30 Ankarefo Madagascar  0.1
08 Feb 2020 00:00 Ambatojoby Madagascar  0.1
08 Feb 2020 00:00 Mahabo Madagascar  0.1
08 Feb 2020 11:45 Appontement Madagascar  0.1
08 Feb 2020 11:45 Ankoadavo Madagascar  0.1
08 Feb 2020 09:15 Nampuita Mozambique  0.1
08 Feb 2020 09:15 Arire Mozambique  0.1
08 Feb 2020 09:15 Macalopa Mozambique  0.1