Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for FRANCISCO-20
in Madagascar, Mauritius,
07 Feb 2020 00 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone FRANCISCO-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 76 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (07 Feb 03:00 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Madagascar)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 76 km/h 0.3 m 121 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 83 km/h 0.5 m 947 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

83 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 07 Feb 2020 00:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 04 Feb 2020 00:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 04 Feb 2020 12:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 05 Feb 2020 00:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 05 Feb 2020 12:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 06 Feb 2020 00:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 06 Feb 2020 12:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 07 Feb 2020 00:00 79 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 07 Feb 2020 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmMadagascar7,964 
50-100 mmMadagascar71,028 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 04 Feb 2020 00:00 245 -
- - - - - Seychelles
Blue 2 04 Feb 2020 12:00 494 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 05 Feb 2020 00:00 389 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 05 Feb 2020 12:00 292 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 06 Feb 2020 00:00 215 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 06 Feb 2020 12:00 449 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 07 Feb 2020 00:00 594 8 thousand
- - - - Madagascar




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Andrangazaha, Madagascar. This height is estimated for 07 Feb 2020 03:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 07 Feb 2020 00:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
07 Feb 2020 03:00 Andrangazaha Madagascar  0.3
07 Feb 2020 03:00 Fandrarazana Madagascar  0.3
07 Feb 2020 03:00 Manompana Madagascar  0.3
07 Feb 2020 03:00 Vatobe Madagascar  0.3
07 Feb 2020 03:00 Lokintsy Madagascar  0.3
07 Feb 2020 03:00 Tanambe Madagascar  0.3
07 Feb 2020 08:15 Bevatry Madagascar  0.3
07 Feb 2020 08:15 Kamendriky Madagascar  0.3
07 Feb 2020 10:15 Analanampotsy Madagascar  0.3
07 Feb 2020 10:15 Ampasimbe Madagascar  0.3
07 Feb 2020 10:15 Manakalana Madagascar  0.3
07 Feb 2020 10:15 Soanierana Ivongo Madagascar  0.3
07 Feb 2020 02:45 Ambodifototra Madagascar  0.2
07 Feb 2020 02:45 Lonkintsy Madagascar  0.2
07 Feb 2020 02:45 Lohatrozona Madagascar  0.2
07 Feb 2020 02:45 Ambodiatafa Madagascar  0.2
07 Feb 2020 06:30 Ampanakana Madagascar  0.2
07 Feb 2020 06:30 Fararano Madagascar  0.2
07 Feb 2020 06:30 Ambanisanjo Madagascar  0.2
07 Feb 2020 06:30 Antsorokaka Madagascar  0.2
07 Feb 2020 06:30 Ambatobe Madagascar  0.2
07 Feb 2020 06:30 Antanifatsy Madagascar  0.2
07 Feb 2020 06:30 Mahatsaborimaika Madagascar  0.2
07 Feb 2020 02:45 Vohilava Madagascar  0.2
07 Feb 2020 05:15 Marofototra Madagascar  0.2
07 Feb 2020 05:15 Voalavo Madagascar  0.2
07 Feb 2020 08:30 Tsilambana Madagascar  0.2
07 Feb 2020 07:45 Behavoa Madagascar  0.2
07 Feb 2020 07:45 Befamata Madagascar  0.2
07 Feb 2020 07:45 Zavo Madagascar  0.2
07 Feb 2020 08:15 Ambalabao Madagascar  0.2
07 Feb 2020 02:30 Antanetilava Madagascar  0.2
07 Feb 2020 02:30 Manambato Madagascar  0.2
07 Feb 2020 09:30 Ankerefo Madagascar  0.2
07 Feb 2020 05:00 Manampatra Madagascar  0.2
07 Feb 2020 05:00 Vilamatsa Madagascar  0.2
07 Feb 2020 01:30 Maroantsetra Madagascar  0.2
07 Feb 2020 01:30 Andranofotsy Madagascar  0.2
07 Feb 2020 01:30 Mahalevona Madagascar  0.2
07 Feb 2020 01:30 Ambanizana Madagascar  0.2
07 Feb 2020 01:30 Benjana Madagascar  0.2
07 Feb 2020 04:45 Manehoko Madagascar  0.2
07 Feb 2020 04:45 Antanimandry Madagascar  0.2
07 Feb 2020 04:45 Ambodibonara Madagascar  0.2
07 Feb 2020 04:15 Ambato Madagascar  0.2
07 Feb 2020 04:15 Ambaliha Madagascar  0.2
07 Feb 2020 04:15 Antanamazava Madagascar  0.2
07 Feb 2020 04:15 Ambatomainty Madagascar  0.2
07 Feb 2020 01:00 Voloina Madagascar  0.2
07 Feb 2020 01:00 Manambia Madagascar  0.2
07 Feb 2020 01:00 Anantoraka Madagascar  0.2
07 Feb 2020 04:45 Andriana Madagascar  0.2
07 Feb 2020 04:45 Ambatoxavavy Madagascar  0.2
07 Feb 2020 04:45 Andrafia Madagascar  0.2
07 Feb 2020 04:45 Anjiabe Madagascar  0.2
07 Feb 2020 04:45 Ambolikapika Madagascar  0.2
07 Feb 2020 04:45 Nosy Faly Madagascar  0.2
07 Feb 2020 08:00 Ankerefo Madagascar  0.2
07 Feb 2020 09:30 Belavenoka Madagascar  0.2
07 Feb 2020 00:45 Rantabe Madagascar  0.2
07 Feb 2020 10:30 Ampasina Madagascar  0.2
07 Feb 2020 10:30 Antakobola Madagascar  0.2
07 Feb 2020 07:45 Bevoalavo Est Madagascar  0.2
07 Feb 2020 05:45 Antsisikala Madagascar  0.2
07 Feb 2020 05:45 Antsahalalina Madagascar  0.2
07 Feb 2020 05:45 Andranovondronina Madagascar  0.2
07 Feb 2020 05:45 Betsimiranja Madagascar  0.2
07 Feb 2020 05:45 Ambinanililabe Madagascar  0.2
07 Feb 2020 05:45 Antseranana Madagascar  0.2
07 Feb 2020 05:45 Anjiabe Madagascar  0.2
07 Feb 2020 05:45 Andasoa Madagascar  0.2
07 Feb 2020 05:45 Amoronjia-Orangea Madagascar  0.2
07 Feb 2020 05:45 Ampasindava Madagascar  0.2
07 Feb 2020 05:15 Tanambao Madagascar  0.2
07 Feb 2020 05:15 Anjabe Madagascar  0.2
07 Feb 2020 05:15 Andranomena Madagascar  0.2
07 Feb 2020 06:45 Quinga Mozambique  0.2
07 Feb 2020 06:45 Metula Mozambique  0.2
07 Feb 2020 04:30 Ampombilava Madagascar  0.2
07 Feb 2020 01:00 Maintimbato Madagascar  0.2
07 Feb 2020 10:00 Mahavanona Madagascar  0.2
07 Feb 2020 10:00 Fenerive Madagascar  0.2
07 Feb 2020 07:45 Lavanono Madagascar  0.2
07 Feb 2020 07:00 Antananabe Madagascar  0.2
07 Feb 2020 07:00 Anjiamalandy Madagascar  0.2
07 Feb 2020 07:00 Mandrony Madagascar  0.2
07 Feb 2020 07:00 Anorotsangana Madagascar  0.2
07 Feb 2020 07:00 Maromokotra Madagascar  0.2
07 Feb 2020 07:00 Marokitrana Madagascar  0.2
07 Feb 2020 07:00 Ampiambesa Madagascar  0.2
07 Feb 2020 07:00 Antetezampolaka Madagascar  0.2
07 Feb 2020 02:45 Antsikafoka Madagascar  0.2
07 Feb 2020 02:45 Mahambo Madagascar  0.2
07 Feb 2020 05:15 Marovazha Madagascar  0.2
07 Feb 2020 04:45 Andranovoribe Madagascar  0.2
07 Feb 2020 07:00 Momade Mozambique  0.2
07 Feb 2020 07:00 Metopa Mozambique  0.2
07 Feb 2020 05:15 Ambaramidada Madagascar  0.2
07 Feb 2020 06:45 Maromanjo Madagascar  0.1
07 Feb 2020 06:45 Madirotelo Madagascar  0.1
07 Feb 2020 06:45 Bevoay Madagascar  0.1
07 Feb 2020 06:45 Maromandia Madagascar  0.1
07 Feb 2020 06:45 Bejongoro Madagascar  0.1
07 Feb 2020 06:45 Ampandrano Madagascar  0.1
07 Feb 2020 06:45 Andrafialava Madagascar  0.1
07 Feb 2020 06:45 Andamoty Madagascar  0.1
07 Feb 2020 07:45 Manomba Madagascar  0.1
07 Feb 2020 07:45 Belailay Madagascar  0.1
07 Feb 2020 07:45 Ankatrafay Madagascar  0.1
07 Feb 2020 07:45 Antandrokomby Madagascar  0.1
07 Feb 2020 00:45 Tampolo Madagascar  0.1
07 Feb 2020 01:00 Antalavia Madagascar  0.1
07 Feb 2020 08:30 Ankaratravitra Madagascar  0.1
07 Feb 2020 08:30 Faux-Cap Madagascar  0.1
07 Feb 2020 08:00 Ampondrahazo Madagascar  0.1
07 Feb 2020 00:45 Fananehana Madagascar  0.1
07 Feb 2020 08:45 Ankarimbary Madagascar  0.1
07 Feb 2020 08:45 Savana Madagascar  0.1
07 Feb 2020 08:45 Mangatsiatra Madagascar  0.1
07 Feb 2020 08:45 Tataho Madagascar  0.1
07 Feb 2020 08:30 Antavy Atsimo Madagascar  0.1
07 Feb 2020 08:30 Ampary Madagascar  0.1
07 Feb 2020 08:45 Manakara Madagascar  0.1
07 Feb 2020 08:45 Loharano Madagascar  0.1
07 Feb 2020 05:45 Palma Mozambique  0.1
07 Feb 2020 05:45 Quionga Mozambique  0.1
07 Feb 2020 05:45 Boala Mozambique  0.1
07 Feb 2020 05:45 Maganja Mozambique  0.1
07 Feb 2020 05:45 Quiwia Mozambique  0.1
07 Feb 2020 08:45 Ambalanosy Madagascar  0.1
07 Feb 2020 08:30 Talaky Madagascar  0.1
07 Feb 2020 04:45 Ankoakala Madagascar  0.1
07 Feb 2020 04:45 Ambato Madagascar  0.1
07 Feb 2020 05:15 Andranira Madagascar  0.1
07 Feb 2020 05:15 Ambaliha Madagascar  0.1
07 Feb 2020 05:15 Mandrorohabe Madagascar  0.1
07 Feb 2020 05:15 Mailakapasy Madagascar  0.1
07 Feb 2020 05:15 Antsahampano Madagascar  0.1
07 Feb 2020 07:00 Ambariomena Madagascar  0.1
07 Feb 2020 07:00 Antsahabe Madagascar  0.1
07 Feb 2020 04:45 Fadrina Madagascar  0.1
07 Feb 2020 07:45 Metuge Mozambique  0.1
07 Feb 2020 07:45 Mussange Mozambique  0.1
07 Feb 2020 07:45 Acache Mozambique  0.1
07 Feb 2020 07:45 Porto Amelia Mozambique  0.1
07 Feb 2020 07:45 Messequero Mozambique  0.1
07 Feb 2020 07:45 Atolo Mozambique  0.1
07 Feb 2020 07:45 Murrebue Mozambique  0.1
07 Feb 2020 07:45 Luguni Mozambique  0.1
07 Feb 2020 07:45 Tari Mozambique  0.1
07 Feb 2020 07:30 Ampalaza Madagascar  0.1
07 Feb 2020 06:45 Vila de Mocimboa da Praia Mozambique  0.1
07 Feb 2020 06:45 Libambai Mozambique  0.1
07 Feb 2020 06:45 Meronvi Mozambique  0.1
07 Feb 2020 05:30 Ambatomilahy Madagascar  0.1
07 Feb 2020 05:30 Ankirijibe Madagascar  0.1
07 Feb 2020 05:30 Ankazobe Madagascar  0.1
07 Feb 2020 05:30 Manampea Madagascar  0.1
07 Feb 2020 05:30 Antsafy Madagascar  0.1
07 Feb 2020 05:30 Onara Madagascar  0.1
07 Feb 2020 08:00 Maintirano Madagascar  0.1
07 Feb 2020 08:00 Andemba Madagascar  0.1
07 Feb 2020 00:00 Ambazoamazava Madagascar  0.1
07 Feb 2020 00:00 Ambazoa Madagascar  0.1
07 Feb 2020 00:00 Ankazomanitsy Madagascar  0.1
07 Feb 2020 00:00 Beaniky Madagascar  0.1
07 Feb 2020 05:45 Lotsohina Madagascar  0.1
07 Feb 2020 05:45 Ambatonjanahary Madagascar  0.1
07 Feb 2020 07:15 Ambodiadabo Madagascar  0.1
07 Feb 2020 07:15 Ampasibe Madagascar  0.1
07 Feb 2020 07:15 Analalava Madagascar  0.1
07 Feb 2020 07:15 Androlavy Madagascar  0.1
07 Feb 2020 07:15 Ananalava Madagascar  0.1
07 Feb 2020 07:00 Barroa Mozambique  0.1
07 Feb 2020 07:00 Coluvelane Mozambique  0.1
07 Feb 2020 05:15 Antotoro Madagascar  0.1
07 Feb 2020 05:15 Ampohana Madagascar  0.1
07 Feb 2020 09:00 Antohgo Madagascar  0.1
07 Feb 2020 11:15 Vohitsara Madagascar  0.1
07 Feb 2020 11:15 Ambinanysahavary Madagascar  0.1
07 Feb 2020 11:15 Taratasy Madagascar  0.1
07 Feb 2020 11:15 Mahatsara Madagascar  0.1
07 Feb 2020 11:15 Foulpointe Madagascar  0.1
07 Feb 2020 07:30 Ampanihy Madagascar  0.1
07 Feb 2020 07:30 Reharaka Madagascar  0.1
07 Feb 2020 01:00 Anoromby Madagascar  0.1
07 Feb 2020 06:45 Namahoaka Madagascar  0.1
07 Feb 2020 05:00 Ambohimena Madagascar  0.1
07 Feb 2020 08:30 Andopitaly Madagascar  0.1
07 Feb 2020 08:30 Ambozaka Madagascar  0.1
07 Feb 2020 08:30 Andramasay Madagascar  0.1
07 Feb 2020 08:30 Antanambao Samaka Madagascar  0.1
07 Feb 2020 01:15 Rantranavona Madagascar  0.1
07 Feb 2020 04:45 Baly Madagascar  0.1
07 Feb 2020 07:00 Quissengue Mozambique  0.1
07 Feb 2020 07:00 Ampasimpilily Madagascar  0.1
07 Feb 2020 07:00 Anompaka Madagascar  0.1
07 Feb 2020 00:00 Esanta Madagascar  0.1
07 Feb 2020 07:15 Lunga Mozambique  0.1
07 Feb 2020 07:15 Ali Mozambique  0.1
07 Feb 2020 07:15 Injaca Mozambique  0.1
07 Feb 2020 07:15 Calajulo Mozambique  0.1
07 Feb 2020 07:15 Lumbo Mozambique  0.1
07 Feb 2020 07:15 Mosengeri Mozambique  0.1
07 Feb 2020 07:15 Mocambique Mozambique  0.1
07 Feb 2020 07:45 Soahanina Madagascar  0.1
07 Feb 2020 10:30 Andringahely Madagascar  0.1
07 Feb 2020 10:30 Ampisikanana Madagascar  0.1
07 Feb 2020 07:00 Ambodizaotra Madagascar  0.1
07 Feb 2020 04:45 Ankazomalemy Madagascar  0.1
07 Feb 2020 04:45 Bobasakoa Madagascar  0.1
07 Feb 2020 00:00 Iambaro Madagascar  0.1
07 Feb 2020 07:15 Ankirijibe Madagascar  0.1
07 Feb 2020 07:15 Ankoba Madagascar  0.1
07 Feb 2020 07:15 Antseranandaka Madagascar  0.1
07 Feb 2020 07:15 Mite Madagascar  0.1
07 Feb 2020 00:00 Ankilihago Madagascar  0.1
07 Feb 2020 08:00 Tamotamo Madagascar  0.1
07 Feb 2020 06:15 Marere Mozambique  0.1
07 Feb 2020 06:15 Lucete Mozambique  0.1
07 Feb 2020 06:15 Quiterajo Mozambique  0.1
07 Feb 2020 01:45 Fahambahy Madagascar  0.1
07 Feb 2020 01:45 Tampolo Madagascar  0.1
07 Feb 2020 01:45 Andilamboahangy Madagascar  0.1
07 Feb 2020 01:45 Mananara Madagascar  0.1
07 Feb 2020 01:45 Ambatofitarafana Madagascar  0.1
07 Feb 2020 01:45 Ivontaka Madagascar  0.1
07 Feb 2020 01:45 Seranambe Madagascar  0.1
07 Feb 2020 06:00 Anjajavy Madagascar  0.1
07 Feb 2020 02:30 Befasy Madagascar  0.1
07 Feb 2020 02:30 Akondro Madagascar  0.1
07 Feb 2020 02:30 Manambondro Madagascar  0.1
07 Feb 2020 02:30 Vohilava Madagascar  0.1
07 Feb 2020 01:45 Manambolosy Madagascar  0.1
07 Feb 2020 08:30 Soahazo Madagascar  0.1
07 Feb 2020 08:30 Moravano Madagascar  0.1
07 Feb 2020 06:15 Ambondrombe Madagascar  0.1
07 Feb 2020 06:15 Ankilahila Madagascar  0.1
07 Feb 2020 06:15 Ankomany Madagascar  0.1
07 Feb 2020 06:15 Marosakoa Madagascar  0.1
07 Feb 2020 06:15 Mariarano Madagascar  0.1
07 Feb 2020 06:15 Berafia Madagascar  0.1
07 Feb 2020 08:15 Tambohorano Madagascar  0.1
07 Feb 2020 04:00 Ampapamena Madagascar  0.1
07 Feb 2020 04:00 Masokoamena Madagascar  0.1
07 Feb 2020 04:00 Katsepy Madagascar  0.1
07 Feb 2020 04:00 Majunga Madagascar  0.1
07 Feb 2020 04:00 Boanamary Madagascar  0.1
07 Feb 2020 04:00 Ampitilova Madagascar  0.1
07 Feb 2020 04:00 Moraharivo Madagascar  0.1
07 Feb 2020 07:00 Ambalihabe Madagascar  0.1
07 Feb 2020 02:45 Antanambe Madagascar  0.1
07 Feb 2020 07:30 Miquindane Mozambique  0.1
07 Feb 2020 07:30 Lurio Mozambique  0.1
07 Feb 2020 07:30 Ombauine Mozambique  0.1
07 Feb 2020 06:45 Morondava Madagascar  0.1
07 Feb 2020 06:45 Antserananbondro Madagascar  0.1
07 Feb 2020 06:45 Ankirijibe Madagascar  0.1
07 Feb 2020 06:45 Kivalo Est Madagascar  0.1
07 Feb 2020 00:00 Point Marianne British Indian Ocean Territory  0.1
07 Feb 2020 00:00 East Point Plantation British Indian Ocean Territory  0.1
07 Feb 2020 06:30 Mangaoka Madagascar  0.1
07 Feb 2020 06:30 Manometimay Madagascar  0.1
07 Feb 2020 06:30 Antsamaka Madagascar  0.1
07 Feb 2020 02:30 Androrangambo Madagascar  0.1
07 Feb 2020 02:30 Ambohidara Madagascar  0.1
07 Feb 2020 02:30 Marosiky Madagascar  0.1
07 Feb 2020 07:30 Marovato Madagascar  0.1