Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for FRANCISCO-20
in Madagascar, Mauritius,
05 Feb 2020 12 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone FRANCISCO-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 86 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (05 Feb 18:15 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Madagascar)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 86 km/h 0.3 m 292 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 83 km/h 0.5 m 947 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

83 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 05 Feb 2020 12:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 04 Feb 2020 00:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 04 Feb 2020 12:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 05 Feb 2020 00:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 05 Feb 2020 12:00 86 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 05 Feb 2020 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmMadagascar1,167 
50-100 mmMadagascar, Reunion165,768
+
Madagascar148,661 
Reunion17,107 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 04 Feb 2020 00:00 245 -
- - - - - Seychelles
Blue 2 04 Feb 2020 12:00 494 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 05 Feb 2020 00:00 389 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 05 Feb 2020 12:00 1310 1 thousand
- - - - Madagascar, Reunion




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Bevatry, Madagascar. This height is estimated for 05 Feb 2020 18:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 05 Feb 2020 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
05 Feb 2020 18:15 Bevatry Madagascar  0.3
05 Feb 2020 18:15 Kamendriky Madagascar  0.3
05 Feb 2020 18:45 Antohgo Madagascar  0.3
05 Feb 2020 18:45 Andopitaly Madagascar  0.3
05 Feb 2020 18:45 Soahazo Madagascar  0.3
05 Feb 2020 18:45 Moravano Madagascar  0.3
05 Feb 2020 18:45 Andramasay Madagascar  0.3
05 Feb 2020 18:45 Ambozaka Madagascar  0.3
05 Feb 2020 18:45 Antanambao Samaka Madagascar  0.3
05 Feb 2020 15:45 Andrangazaha Madagascar  0.3
05 Feb 2020 15:45 Fandrarazana Madagascar  0.3
05 Feb 2020 15:45 Manompana Madagascar  0.3
05 Feb 2020 15:45 Vatobe Madagascar  0.3
05 Feb 2020 15:45 Lokintsy Madagascar  0.3
05 Feb 2020 15:45 Tanambe Madagascar  0.3
05 Feb 2020 21:15 Maroantsetra Madagascar  0.3
05 Feb 2020 21:15 Andranofotsy Madagascar  0.3
05 Feb 2020 21:15 Mahalevona Madagascar  0.3
05 Feb 2020 21:15 Ambanizana Madagascar  0.3
05 Feb 2020 21:15 Benjana Madagascar  0.3
05 Feb 2020 18:45 Manomba Madagascar  0.3
05 Feb 2020 18:45 Ankatrafay Madagascar  0.3
05 Feb 2020 18:45 Antandrokomby Madagascar  0.3
05 Feb 2020 18:30 Belailay Madagascar  0.3
05 Feb 2020 21:15 Voloina Madagascar  0.3
05 Feb 2020 21:15 Manambia Madagascar  0.3
05 Feb 2020 21:15 Rantabe Madagascar  0.3
05 Feb 2020 21:15 Maintimbato Madagascar  0.3
05 Feb 2020 21:30 Anantoraka Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2020 18:30 Tsilambana Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2020 21:00 Behavoa Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2020 21:00 Befamata Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2020 21:00 Zavo Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2020 12:15 Ambodifototra Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2020 12:15 Lonkintsy Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2020 12:15 Lohatrozona Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2020 12:15 Ambodiatafa Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2020 12:30 Manakalana Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2020 12:30 Soanierana Ivongo Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2020 20:15 Ankerefo Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2020 20:15 Marofototra Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2020 20:15 Voalavo Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2020 12:15 Vohilava Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2020 20:00 Belavenoka Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2020 18:30 Maintirano Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2020 18:30 Andemba Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2020 18:30 Ambalabao Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2020 12:30 Antanetilava Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2020 12:30 Manambato Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2020 12:45 Ampasimbe Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2020 18:15 Andranovoribe Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2020 18:15 Vilamatsa Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2020 18:15 Ankerefo Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2020 17:15 Ambodiadabo Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2020 17:15 Ampasibe Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2020 17:15 Analalava Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2020 17:15 Androlavy Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2020 17:15 Ananalava Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2020 21:15 Tampolo Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2020 21:15 Antalavia Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2020 18:15 Ambato Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2020 18:15 Ambaliha Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2020 18:15 Antanamazava Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2020 18:15 Ambatomainty Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2020 18:15 Manehoko Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2020 15:45 Analanampotsy Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2020 21:00 Lavanono Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2020 17:30 Antanimandry Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2020 17:30 Ambodibonara Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2020 17:30 Tanambao Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2020 17:30 Anjabe Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2020 17:30 Andranomena Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2020 20:00 Marovazha Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2020 16:45 Antsisikala Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2020 16:45 Antsahalalina Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2020 16:45 Andranovondronina Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2020 16:45 Betsimiranja Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2020 16:45 Ambinanililabe Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2020 16:45 Antseranana Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2020 16:45 Anjiabe Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2020 16:45 Andasoa Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2020 16:45 Amoronjia-Orangea Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2020 16:45 Ampasindava Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2020 17:30 Ampombilava Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2020 17:30 Andriana Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2020 17:30 Ambatoxavavy Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2020 17:30 Andrafia Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2020 17:30 Nosy Faly Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2020 20:30 Manampatra Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2020 21:15 Fananehana Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2020 19:00 Ankirijibe Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2020 19:00 Kivalo Est Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2020 21:00 Bevoalavo Est Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2020 18:45 Ampanihy Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2020 18:45 Reharaka Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2020 19:00 Tambohorano Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2020 19:00 Ambatomilahy Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2020 23:30 Ampasina Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2020 23:30 Antakobola Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2020 18:30 Appontement Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2020 18:30 Ankoadavo Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2020 17:45 Anjiabe Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2020 17:00 Ambolikapika Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2020 19:45 Ankoakala Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2020 19:45 Ambato Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2020 23:00 Antananabe Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2020 23:00 Anjiamalandy Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2020 23:00 Mandrony Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2020 23:00 Anorotsangana Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2020 23:00 Maromokotra Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2020 23:00 Marokitrana Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2020 23:00 Ampiambesa Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2020 23:00 Antetezampolaka Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2020 17:30 Ambaramidada Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2020 17:00 Bejongoro Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2020 17:00 Ampandrano Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2020 17:00 Andrafialava Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2020 17:00 Maromanjo Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2020 17:00 Madirotelo Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2020 17:00 Andamoty Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2020 17:00 Bevoay Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2020 17:30 Singalana Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2020 17:30 Antetikireja Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2020 17:30 Antaribao Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2020 17:30 Ampasindava Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2020 17:30 Ankinganifahatelo Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2020 23:30 Mahavanona Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2020 23:30 Fenerive Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2020 21:15 Ampalaza Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2020 19:00 Morondava Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2020 19:00 Antserananbondro Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2020 15:30 Anoromby Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2020 16:45 Maromandia Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2020 15:30 Rantranavona Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2020 19:15 Ankirijibe Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2020 19:15 Ankazobe Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2020 15:30 Manambolosy Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2020 15:30 Fahambahy Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2020 15:30 Tampolo Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2020 15:30 Mananara Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2020 18:00 Baly Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2020 19:15 Manampea Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2020 18:30 Soahanina Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2020 18:30 Tamotamo Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2020 19:45 Onara Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2020 21:30 Fampotabe Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2020 15:15 Andilamboahangy Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2020 15:15 Ambatofitarafana Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2020 15:15 Seranambe Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2020 19:30 Antsafy Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2020 21:00 Ambalanosy Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2020 15:00 Ambodimanga Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2020 15:00 Ivontaka Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2020 15:00 Antanambe Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2020 20:30 Anakao Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2020 20:30 Ankiririsa Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2020 20:30 Ankilimivony Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2020 20:30 Besamata Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2020 20:30 Miary Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2020 20:30 Behazomby Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2020 20:30 Anja-Belitsaka Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2020 20:45 Ankazoabo Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2020 20:45 Lavavolo Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2020 20:45 Itampolo Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2020 20:45 Besasavy Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2020 20:45 Efoetsy Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2020 20:45 Androka Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2020 20:45 Tanilahy Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2020 17:30 Fadrina Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2020 17:15 Andranira Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2020 17:15 Ambaliha Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2020 17:15 Mandrorohabe Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2020 17:15 Mailakapasy Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2020 17:15 Antsahampano Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2020 17:00 Ampasimpilily Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2020 17:00 Anompaka Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2020 20:45 Belefotsy Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2020 20:30 Soalara Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2020 17:15 Ampitily Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2020 17:45 Soalala Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2020 20:45 Ankirijibe Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2020 20:45 Ankoba Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2020 20:45 Antseranandaka Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2020 20:45 Mite Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2020 20:30 Tulear Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2020 20:30 Ankilibe Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2020 20:30 Saint Augustin Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2020 20:45 Manahy Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2020 21:00 Ambatomilo Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2020 21:00 Bekodoy Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2020 21:00 Salary Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2020 23:45 Palma Mozambique  0.1
05 Feb 2020 23:45 Quionga Mozambique  0.1
05 Feb 2020 23:45 Boala Mozambique  0.1
05 Feb 2020 23:45 Maganja Mozambique  0.1
05 Feb 2020 23:45 Quiwia Mozambique  0.1
05 Feb 2020 22:00 Ambatoharana Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2020 22:00 Vinanivao Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2020 20:30 Belalanda Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2020 21:00 Tsifota Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2020 21:00 Manombo Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2020 21:00 Ambolomailaka Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2020 20:30 Antseranambe Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2020 23:30 Andringahely Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2020 23:30 Ampisikanana Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2020 21:00 Morombe Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2020 18:45 Andanivato Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2020 20:30 Tsiandamba Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2020 21:00 Build v7.1 2008-03-26 Europa Island  0.1
05 Feb 2020 21:00 Warren Point Europa Island  0.1
05 Feb 2020 17:15 Antotoro Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2020 17:15 Ampohana Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2020 23:30 Ampondrahazo Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2020 23:30 Meronvi Mozambique  0.1
05 Feb 2020 23:30 Quissengue Mozambique  0.1
05 Feb 2020 23:30 Olumbe Mozambique  0.1
05 Feb 2020 17:30 Ambohimena Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2020 23:00 Ambariomena Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2020 23:00 Antsahabe Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2020 21:00 Ambohitrabo Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2020 21:00 Andalambezo Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2020 17:15 Ankazomalemy Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2020 17:15 Bobasakoa Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2020 20:45 Andavadoaka Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2020 21:15 Anadramy Nord Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2020 21:15 Bekoropoka Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2020 21:15 Mangolovolo Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2020 20:45 Befandeva Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2020 12:00 Antsikafoka Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2020 12:00 Mahambo Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2020 12:30 Namahoaka Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2020 23:45 Bawala Mozambique  0.1
05 Feb 2020 22:00 Loharano Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2020 22:00 Itenina Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2020 17:45 Ampitilova Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2020 17:45 Antsianitia Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2020 17:45 Ambondrombe Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2020 17:45 Ankilahila Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2020 21:00 Ambohibe Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2020 22:00 Manakara Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2020 21:45 Ampanakana Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2020 21:45 Fararano Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2020 21:45 Ambanisanjo Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2020 21:45 Antsorokaka Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2020 21:45 Ambatobe Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2020 21:45 Antanifatsy Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2020 21:45 Mahatsaborimaika Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2020 21:00 Andranopasy Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2020 21:00 Tsiboka Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2020 21:00 Belo-sur-Mer Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2020 21:00 Ambararata Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2020 21:00 Ankevo Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2020 21:00 Ankiliabo Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2020 19:00 Marosakoa Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2020 19:00 Berafia Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2020 19:00 Tsianinkiro Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2020 19:00 Mahabo Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2020 18:30 Ampapamena Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2020 18:30 Masokoamena Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2020 18:30 Katsepy Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2020 18:30 Majunga Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2020 18:30 Boanamary Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2020 18:30 Moraharivo Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2020 18:45 Manometimay Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2020 18:45 Antsamaka Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2020 20:45 Ankelifolo Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2020 20:45 Marofihitsa Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2020 20:45 Ankaratravitra Madagascar  0.1