Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for VERONICA-19
in Australia

Impact

Tropical Cyclone VERONICA-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Australia
Exposed population Few people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 122 km/h
Maximum storm surge 1.2 m (24 Mar 12:30 UTC)
Vulnerability Low (Australia)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 122 km/h 0.0 m 546 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 202 km/h 2.2 m 1279 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

202 km/h

Up to Few people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 24 Mar 2019 12:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
CAT. 1Australia10 
Tropical StormAustralia43,615 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 19 Mar 2019 18:00 202 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 20 Mar 2019 00:00 209 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 20 Mar 2019 06:00 212 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 20 Mar 2019 12:00 220 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 20 Mar 2019 18:00 212 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 21 Mar 2019 00:00 212 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 21 Mar 2019 06:00 212 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 21 Mar 2019 12:00 212 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 21 Mar 2019 18:00 220 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 22 Mar 2019 00:00 212 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 22 Mar 2019 06:00 198 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 22 Mar 2019 12:00 202 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 22 Mar 2019 18:00 194 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 23 Mar 2019 00:00 180 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 23 Mar 2019 06:00 187 - - - - - - -
GREEN 16 23 Mar 2019 12:00 173 - - - - - - -
GREEN 17 23 Mar 2019 18:00 158 - - - - - - -
GREEN 18 24 Mar 2019 00:00 162 - - - - - - -
GREEN 19 24 Mar 2019 06:00 148 - - - - - - -
GREEN 20 24 Mar 2019 12:00 122 Few people
- - - - Australia
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 24 Mar 2019 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmIndonesia, Australia432,713
+
Indonesia432,580 
Australia133 
100-250 mmIndonesia, Australia21,685,399
+
Indonesia21,684,855 
Australia544 
50-100 mmIndonesia, Timor-Leste, Australia39,342,008
+
Indonesia39,268,368 
Timor-Leste72,443 
Australia1,197 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 19 Mar 2019 18:00 1398 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 20 Mar 2019 00:00 1687 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 20 Mar 2019 06:00 1603 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 20 Mar 2019 12:00 1541 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 20 Mar 2019 18:00 1548 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 21 Mar 2019 00:00 1622 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 21 Mar 2019 06:00 1590 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 21 Mar 2019 12:00 1624 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 21 Mar 2019 18:00 1084 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 22 Mar 2019 00:00 1066 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 22 Mar 2019 06:00 720 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 22 Mar 2019 12:00 707 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 22 Mar 2019 18:00 805 - - - - - - -
Blue 14 23 Mar 2019 00:00 1193 - - - - - - -
Blue 15 23 Mar 2019 06:00 1214 - - - - - - -
Blue 16 23 Mar 2019 12:00 1404 - - - - - - -
Blue 17 23 Mar 2019 18:00 1435 - - - - - - -
Blue 18 24 Mar 2019 00:00 1252 - - - - - - -
Blue 19 24 Mar 2019 06:00 1026 - - - - - - -
Blue 20 24 Mar 2019 12:00 546 22.1 million
- - - Indonesia, Timor-Leste, Australia




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

1.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  1.2m in Port Hedland, Australia. This height is estimated for 24 Mar 2019 12:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 24 Mar 2019 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
24 Mar 2019 12:30 Port Hedland Australia  1.2
24 Mar 2019 12:30 Wedgefield Australia  1.2
25 Mar 2019 03:15 Cossack Australia  0.7
25 Mar 2019 03:30 Wickham Australia  0.6
25 Mar 2019 03:30 Point Samson Australia  0.6
25 Mar 2019 07:15 East Lewis I Australia  0.6
25 Mar 2019 07:15 Dampier Australia  0.6
25 Mar 2019 07:15 Karratha Australia  0.6
24 Mar 2019 14:45 Condon Australia  0.4
24 Mar 2019 12:00 Pardoo Australia  0.4
25 Mar 2019 09:00 Derby Australia  0.4
26 Mar 2019 08:15 Learmonth Australia  0.4
25 Mar 2019 08:45 Derby Australia  0.4
26 Mar 2019 05:15 Mardie Australia  0.2
26 Mar 2019 06:15 Exmouth Australia  0.2
26 Mar 2019 03:15 Onslow Australia  0.2
25 Mar 2019 15:00 Setiroek Indonesia  0.2
25 Mar 2019 06:00 Umbulan Padulmanan Indonesia  0.2
26 Mar 2019 06:45 Ah Chong I Australia  0.2
25 Mar 2019 14:30 Pagatan Indonesia  0.2
25 Mar 2019 05:15 Topoali Indonesia  0.2
25 Mar 2019 15:00 Segintong Indonesia  0.2
24 Mar 2019 12:15 Thangoo Australia  0.2
24 Mar 2019 14:30 Glenroy Australia  0.2
24 Mar 2019 12:00 Broome Australia  0.2
25 Mar 2019 05:00 Gunung Indonesia  0.1
27 Mar 2019 12:00 Batoe Porong Indonesia  0.1
27 Mar 2019 12:00 Kebanjar Indonesia  0.1
25 Mar 2019 10:00 Pedes Indonesia  0.1
25 Mar 2019 10:00 Sungaibuntu Indonesia  0.1
27 Mar 2019 12:00 Baliga Indonesia  0.1
27 Mar 2019 12:00 Laboean Indonesia  0.1
25 Mar 2019 01:15 Kolitjaah Indonesia  0.1
25 Mar 2019 01:15 Tjiteureup Indonesia  0.1
25 Mar 2019 01:15 Labuhan Indonesia  0.1
25 Mar 2019 01:15 Kaduperasi Indonesia  0.1
26 Mar 2019 18:45 Bapuju Indonesia  0.1
26 Mar 2019 18:45 Bahaur Indonesia  0.1
25 Mar 2019 01:15 Babakancibeber Indonesia  0.1
25 Mar 2019 06:45 Pangkal Dudat Indonesia  0.1
25 Mar 2019 06:45 Tandjungkiras Indonesia  0.1
25 Mar 2019 06:45 Membalong Indonesia  0.1
25 Mar 2019 06:45 Djepuh Indonesia  0.1
24 Mar 2019 13:45 Cardabia Australia  0.1
24 Mar 2019 13:30 Ningaloo Australia  0.1
24 Mar 2019 13:45 Gnaraloo Australia  0.1
24 Mar 2019 12:30 Bundera Bundera Australia  0.1
25 Mar 2019 01:30 Anjer-Kidu Indonesia  0.1
26 Mar 2019 18:15 Kualalupak Indonesia  0.1
24 Mar 2019 13:45 Warroora Australia  0.1
25 Mar 2019 15:45 Tandjoengselaka Indonesia  0.1
24 Mar 2019 12:15 Waterbank Australia  0.1
25 Mar 2019 01:30 Bakau Indonesia  0.1
25 Mar 2019 01:30 Ketapang Indonesia  0.1
25 Mar 2019 01:15 Merak Indonesia  0.1
24 Mar 2019 15:15 Kollan I Australia  0.1
27 Mar 2019 12:00 Sumberkuning Indonesia  0.1
24 Mar 2019 14:00 Pender Australia  0.1
25 Mar 2019 16:00 Mutua Indonesia  0.1
25 Mar 2019 07:45 Patrol Indonesia  0.1
25 Mar 2019 07:45 Kandanghaur Indonesia  0.1
27 Mar 2019 12:00 Pasuruan Indonesia  0.1
25 Mar 2019 09:45 Cangkring Indonesia  0.1
25 Mar 2019 09:45 Indramaju Indonesia  0.1
27 Mar 2019 12:00 Bayeman Indonesia  0.1
27 Mar 2019 12:00 Probolinggo Indonesia  0.1
27 Mar 2019 12:00 Gending Indonesia  0.1
24 Mar 2019 13:30 Muntjar Indonesia  0.1
24 Mar 2019 13:30 Blimbing Indonesia  0.1
24 Mar 2019 13:30 Dadapan Indonesia  0.1
24 Mar 2019 13:30 Banyuwangi Indonesia  0.1
24 Mar 2019 13:30 Banjuwangi Indonesia  0.1
24 Mar 2019 13:30 Gilimanuk Indonesia  0.1
24 Mar 2019 13:30 Penginoeman Indonesia  0.1
24 Mar 2019 13:30 Belimbingsari Indonesia  0.1
24 Mar 2019 13:30 Tjandikesuma Indonesia  0.1
24 Mar 2019 13:30 Banjoebiroe Indonesia  0.1
24 Mar 2019 13:30 Cupel Indonesia  0.1
24 Mar 2019 16:00 Kennedys Cottage Australia  0.1
27 Mar 2019 12:00 Sampang Indonesia  0.1
25 Mar 2019 02:00 Maringgai Indonesia  0.1
27 Mar 2019 12:00 Kraksaan Indonesia  0.1
25 Mar 2019 07:00 Cilancang Indonesia  0.1
25 Mar 2019 07:00 Cirebon Indonesia  0.1
25 Mar 2019 07:00 Losan Indonesia  0.1
25 Mar 2019 16:30 Aluhaluh Indonesia  0.1
27 Mar 2019 11:45 Pagatan Indonesia  0.1
27 Mar 2019 12:00 Galis Indonesia  0.1
27 Mar 2019 12:00 Prenduan Indonesia  0.1
27 Mar 2019 12:00 Djate Indonesia  0.1
27 Mar 2019 12:00 Karagajar Indonesia  0.1
25 Mar 2019 01:15 Domas Indonesia  0.1
25 Mar 2019 16:45 Tambakkarangan Indonesia  0.1
25 Mar 2019 16:45 Bawahalajung Indonesia  0.1
24 Mar 2019 13:15 Cape Cuvier Australia  0.1
25 Mar 2019 06:45 Karangampel Indonesia  0.1
25 Mar 2019 06:45 Bulakamba Indonesia  0.1
27 Mar 2019 12:00 Bluto Indonesia  0.1
27 Mar 2019 11:30 Semisir Indonesia  0.1
27 Mar 2019 11:30 Salinau Indonesia  0.1
27 Mar 2019 11:30 Semaras Indonesia  0.1
25 Mar 2019 01:30 Tanara Indonesia  0.1
25 Mar 2019 08:00 Muaratjilamaja Indonesia  0.1
25 Mar 2019 06:45 Klampok Indonesia  0.1
25 Mar 2019 01:45 Ketapang Indonesia  0.1
25 Mar 2019 06:00 Tangjungrusa Indonesia  0.1
25 Mar 2019 10:30 Kendal Indonesia  0.1
25 Mar 2019 10:30 Mangkang-Kulan Indonesia  0.1
25 Mar 2019 10:30 Djomblang Indonesia  0.1
25 Mar 2019 10:30 Semarang Indonesia  0.1
25 Mar 2019 10:30 Karangroto Indonesia  0.1
27 Mar 2019 12:00 Besuki Indonesia  0.1
25 Mar 2019 17:00 Tabanio Indonesia  0.1
27 Mar 2019 12:00 Boenati Indonesia  0.1
24 Mar 2019 14:00 Keoen Indonesia  0.1
24 Mar 2019 14:00 Daeoerendale Indonesia  0.1
24 Mar 2019 14:00 Mamaloek Indonesia  0.1
24 Mar 2019 14:00 Eahun Indonesia  0.1
24 Mar 2019 14:00 Pepela Indonesia  0.1
24 Mar 2019 14:00 Roti Indonesia  0.1
24 Mar 2019 14:00 Batuidu Indonesia  0.1
24 Mar 2019 14:00 Usulain Indonesia  0.1
25 Mar 2019 08:15 Pasirputih Indonesia  0.1
27 Mar 2019 12:00 Saroka Indonesia  0.1
27 Mar 2019 12:00 Sumenep Indonesia  0.1
27 Mar 2019 12:00 Bundan Indonesia  0.1
25 Mar 2019 17:00 Pagetan Indonesia  0.1
27 Mar 2019 12:00 Mandingan Indonesia  0.1
27 Mar 2019 12:00 Gedugan Indonesia  0.1
27 Mar 2019 12:00 Djangdjangan Indonesia  0.1
25 Mar 2019 01:45 Kramat Indonesia  0.1
25 Mar 2019 14:45 Tambak Indonesia  0.1
25 Mar 2019 05:15 Dendang Indonesia  0.1
25 Mar 2019 05:45 Simnangpesa Indonesia  0.1
25 Mar 2019 06:00 Tandjungklumpang Indonesia  0.1