Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for VERONICA-19
in Australia

Impact

Tropical Cyclone VERONICA-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Australia
Exposed population 20 thousand in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 180 km/h
Maximum storm surge 3.6 m (23 Mar 20:15 UTC)
Vulnerability Low (Australia)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 180 km/h 0.0 m 1193 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 202 km/h 2.2 m 1279 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

202 km/h

Up to 20 thousand in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 23 Mar 2019 00:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
CAT. 2Australia14,798 
CAT. 1Australia776 
Tropical StormAustralia29,608 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 19 Mar 2019 18:00 202 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 20 Mar 2019 00:00 209 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 20 Mar 2019 06:00 212 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 20 Mar 2019 12:00 220 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 20 Mar 2019 18:00 212 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 21 Mar 2019 00:00 212 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 21 Mar 2019 06:00 212 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 21 Mar 2019 12:00 212 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 21 Mar 2019 18:00 220 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 22 Mar 2019 00:00 212 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 22 Mar 2019 06:00 198 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 22 Mar 2019 12:00 202 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 22 Mar 2019 18:00 194 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 23 Mar 2019 00:00 180 20 thousand
- - - Australia
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 23 Mar 2019 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
more than 1000 mmAustralia144 
750-1000 mmAustralia9,385 
500-750 mmIndonesia, Australia7,305
+
Indonesia974 
Australia6,331 
250-500 mmIndonesia, Australia544,532
+
Indonesia544,109 
Australia423 
100-250 mmIndonesia, Australia9,843,085
+
Indonesia9,839,411 
Australia3,674 
50-100 mmIndonesia, Timor-Leste, Australia31,647,930
+
Indonesia31,637,101 
Timor-Leste6,286 
Australia4,543 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 19 Mar 2019 18:00 1398 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 20 Mar 2019 00:00 1687 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 20 Mar 2019 06:00 1603 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 20 Mar 2019 12:00 1541 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 20 Mar 2019 18:00 1548 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 21 Mar 2019 00:00 1622 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 21 Mar 2019 06:00 1590 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 21 Mar 2019 12:00 1624 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 21 Mar 2019 18:00 1084 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 22 Mar 2019 00:00 1066 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 22 Mar 2019 06:00 720 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 22 Mar 2019 12:00 707 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 22 Mar 2019 18:00 805 - - - - - - -
Blue 14 23 Mar 2019 00:00 1193 10.4 million
Indonesia, Timor-Leste, Australia




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

3.6 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  3.6m in Port Hedland, Australia. This height is estimated for 23 Mar 2019 20:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 23 Mar 2019 00:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
23 Mar 2019 20:15 Port Hedland Australia  3.6
23 Mar 2019 20:15 Wedgefield Australia  3.6
23 Mar 2019 19:15 Condon Australia  1.2
23 Mar 2019 19:45 Pardoo Australia  1.1
23 Mar 2019 03:00 East Lewis I Australia  0.9
23 Mar 2019 03:00 Dampier Australia  0.9
23 Mar 2019 03:00 Karratha Australia  0.9
23 Mar 2019 06:45 Wickham Australia  0.8
23 Mar 2019 06:45 Point Samson Australia  0.8
23 Mar 2019 06:45 Cossack Australia  0.8
23 Mar 2019 04:30 Ah Chong I Australia  0.6
23 Mar 2019 06:00 Mardie Australia  0.5
23 Mar 2019 00:15 Derby Australia  0.4
24 Mar 2019 07:30 Broome Australia  0.4
24 Mar 2019 07:30 Thangoo Australia  0.4
23 Mar 2019 02:15 Onslow Australia  0.3
23 Mar 2019 00:00 Derby Australia  0.3
23 Mar 2019 10:45 Learmonth Australia  0.3
23 Mar 2019 05:15 Glenroy Australia  0.3
24 Mar 2019 08:00 Waterbank Australia  0.3
23 Mar 2019 09:15 Exmouth Australia  0.3
24 Mar 2019 08:00 Kennedys Cottage Australia  0.3
23 Mar 2019 11:00 Muntjar Indonesia  0.2
23 Mar 2019 11:00 Blimbing Indonesia  0.2
23 Mar 2019 11:00 Dadapan Indonesia  0.2
23 Mar 2019 11:00 Banyuwangi Indonesia  0.2
23 Mar 2019 11:00 Banjuwangi Indonesia  0.2
23 Mar 2019 11:00 Gilimanuk Indonesia  0.2
23 Mar 2019 11:00 Penginoeman Indonesia  0.2
23 Mar 2019 11:00 Belimbingsari Indonesia  0.2
23 Mar 2019 11:00 Tjandikesuma Indonesia  0.2
23 Mar 2019 11:00 Banjoebiroe Indonesia  0.2
23 Mar 2019 11:00 Cupel Indonesia  0.2
23 Mar 2019 06:45 Pender Australia  0.2
25 Mar 2019 16:00 Setiroek Indonesia  0.2
23 Mar 2019 09:00 Cardabia Australia  0.2
25 Mar 2019 15:30 Pagatan Indonesia  0.2
23 Mar 2019 04:15 Kollan I Australia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 08:30 Bundera Bundera Australia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 04:30 Warroora Australia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 07:30 Ningaloo Australia  0.1
25 Mar 2019 14:30 Bapuju Indonesia  0.1
25 Mar 2019 14:30 Bahaur Indonesia  0.1
25 Mar 2019 16:30 Umbulan Padulmanan Indonesia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 04:45 Gnaraloo Australia  0.1
25 Mar 2019 16:00 Segintong Indonesia  0.1
24 Mar 2019 10:00 Masara Indonesia  0.1
24 Mar 2019 10:00 Tioro Indonesia  0.1
24 Mar 2019 10:00 Kembano Indonesia  0.1
24 Mar 2019 10:00 Tampo Indonesia  0.1
24 Mar 2019 10:00 Napabalana Indonesia  0.1
24 Mar 2019 10:00 Bonea Indonesia  0.1
24 Mar 2019 10:00 Koroni Indonesia  0.1
24 Mar 2019 10:00 Lebo Indonesia  0.1
24 Mar 2019 10:15 Wansabari Indonesia  0.1
24 Mar 2019 10:15 Pamandali Indonesia  0.1
24 Mar 2019 07:00 Carnarvon Australia  0.1
24 Mar 2019 10:15 Raha Indonesia  0.1
24 Mar 2019 10:00 Lakara Indonesia  0.1
25 Mar 2019 14:00 Kualalupak Indonesia  0.1
24 Mar 2019 10:00 Toroboeloe Indonesia  0.1
24 Mar 2019 06:00 Cape Cuvier Australia  0.1
25 Mar 2019 11:30 Cangkring Indonesia  0.1
25 Mar 2019 11:30 Indramaju Indonesia  0.1
24 Mar 2019 09:45 Tinangea Indonesia  0.1
24 Mar 2019 06:00 Quobba Australia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 08:30 Keoen Indonesia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 08:30 Daeoerendale Indonesia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 08:30 Mamaloek Indonesia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 08:30 Eahun Indonesia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 08:30 Pepela Indonesia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 08:30 Roti Indonesia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 08:30 Batuidu Indonesia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 08:30 Usulain Indonesia  0.1
24 Mar 2019 12:00 Aluhaluh Indonesia  0.1
24 Mar 2019 12:00 Tambakkarangan Indonesia  0.1
24 Mar 2019 12:00 Bawahalajung Indonesia  0.1
25 Mar 2019 09:15 Patrol Indonesia  0.1
25 Mar 2019 09:15 Kandanghaur Indonesia  0.1
25 Mar 2019 20:00 Pangkal Dudat Indonesia  0.1
25 Mar 2019 20:00 Tandjungkiras Indonesia  0.1
25 Mar 2019 20:00 Membalong Indonesia  0.1
25 Mar 2019 20:00 Djepuh Indonesia  0.1
24 Mar 2019 09:45 Roliai Indonesia  0.1
24 Mar 2019 01:00 Kencong Indonesia  0.1
24 Mar 2019 01:00 Lodjedjer Indonesia  0.1
24 Mar 2019 09:15 Lemo Indonesia  0.1
24 Mar 2019 09:15 Daole Indonesia  0.1
24 Mar 2019 09:15 Laora Indonesia  0.1
24 Mar 2019 09:15 Kasiputih Indonesia  0.1
25 Mar 2019 16:15 Tandjoengselaka Indonesia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 07:00 Brassan Indonesia  0.1
25 Mar 2019 21:15 Tandjungbatuaajer Indonesia  0.1
25 Mar 2019 21:15 Tandjungklumpang Indonesia  0.1
25 Mar 2019 11:45 Pedes Indonesia  0.1
25 Mar 2019 11:45 Sungaibuntu Indonesia  0.1
25 Mar 2019 15:15 Tabanio Indonesia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 02:45 Mboe Eain Indonesia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 02:45 Nembrala Indonesia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 02:45 Abuan Indonesia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 02:45 Ulua Indonesia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 02:45 Toedameda Indonesia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 02:45 Batutuah Indonesia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 02:45 Oeseda Indonesia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 02:45 Namodale Indonesia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 02:45 Husdale Indonesia  0.1
24 Mar 2019 12:15 Pagatan Indonesia  0.1
24 Mar 2019 12:15 Semisir Indonesia  0.1
24 Mar 2019 12:15 Salinau Indonesia  0.1
24 Mar 2019 12:15 Semaras Indonesia  0.1
25 Mar 2019 23:45 Cilancang Indonesia  0.1
25 Mar 2019 23:45 Cirebon Indonesia  0.1
25 Mar 2019 23:30 Karangampel Indonesia  0.1
25 Mar 2019 15:15 Pagetan Indonesia  0.1
25 Mar 2019 23:45 Losan Indonesia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 14:30 Maoedoeloeng Indonesia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 14:30 Waingapu Indonesia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 14:30 Matawai Indonesia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 14:30 Pajeti Indonesia  0.1
25 Mar 2019 21:45 Simnangpesa Indonesia  0.1
25 Mar 2019 16:30 Mutua Indonesia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 09:30 Lakohembi Indonesia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 06:45 Prancak Indonesia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 06:45 Negara Indonesia  0.1
25 Mar 2019 23:30 Bulakamba Indonesia  0.1
24 Mar 2019 12:15 Tapianbalai Indonesia  0.1
25 Mar 2019 21:15 Kendal Indonesia  0.1
25 Mar 2019 21:15 Mangkang-Kulan Indonesia  0.1
25 Mar 2019 21:15 Djomblang Indonesia  0.1
25 Mar 2019 21:15 Semarang Indonesia  0.1
25 Mar 2019 08:00 Klampok Indonesia  0.1