Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for VERONICA-19
in Australia

Impact

Tropical Cyclone VERONICA-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Australia
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 212 km/h
Maximum storm surge 1.5 m (23 Mar 04:15 UTC)
Vulnerability Low (Australia)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 212 km/h 0.0 m 1603 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 202 km/h 2.2 m 1279 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 20 Mar 2019 06:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormAustralia39,432 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 19 Mar 2019 18:00 202 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 20 Mar 2019 00:00 209 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 20 Mar 2019 06:00 212 -
- - - - - Australia
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h

Rainfall

1279 mm

Up to 6.8 million can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 20 Mar 2019 06:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmIndonesia304,061 
100-250 mmIndonesia, Timor-Leste6,534,473
+
Indonesia6,527,390 
Timor-Leste7,083 
50-100 mmIndonesia, Timor-Leste, Australia21,151,911
+
Indonesia21,063,619 
Timor-Leste88,213 
Australia79 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 19 Mar 2019 18:00 1398 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 20 Mar 2019 00:00 1687 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 20 Mar 2019 06:00 1603 6.8 million
- - - Indonesia, Timor-Leste, Australia




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

1.5 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  1.5m in East Lewis I, Australia. This height is estimated for 23 Mar 2019 04:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 20 Mar 2019 06:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
23 Mar 2019 04:15 East Lewis I Australia  1.5
23 Mar 2019 04:15 Dampier Australia  1.5
23 Mar 2019 04:15 Karratha Australia  1.5
23 Mar 2019 06:00 Wickham Australia  1.2
23 Mar 2019 06:00 Point Samson Australia  1.2
23 Mar 2019 06:00 Cossack Australia  1.2
23 Mar 2019 06:00 Port Hedland Australia  0.8
23 Mar 2019 06:00 Wedgefield Australia  0.8
23 Mar 2019 06:00 Ah Chong I Australia  0.7
22 Mar 2019 21:00 Mardie Australia  0.6
21 Mar 2019 10:45 Derby Australia  0.5
21 Mar 2019 10:15 Derby Australia  0.5
23 Mar 2019 06:00 Condon Australia  0.5
21 Mar 2019 04:45 Pardoo Australia  0.4
21 Mar 2019 02:45 Broome Australia  0.4
21 Mar 2019 03:00 Thangoo Australia  0.4
20 Mar 2019 07:45 Albany Australia  0.3
20 Mar 2019 07:45 Emu Point Australia  0.3
21 Mar 2019 04:15 Waterbank Australia  0.3
21 Mar 2019 04:15 Kennedys Cottage Australia  0.3
22 Mar 2019 20:15 Onslow Australia  0.3
20 Mar 2019 16:15 Pender Australia  0.3
22 Mar 2019 23:15 Glenroy Australia  0.2
23 Mar 2019 04:15 Exmouth Australia  0.2
21 Mar 2019 07:15 Kollan I Australia  0.2
23 Mar 2019 04:15 Learmonth Australia  0.2
21 Mar 2019 16:00 Setiroek Indonesia  0.2
21 Mar 2019 15:00 Bapuju Indonesia  0.2
21 Mar 2019 15:00 Bahaur Indonesia  0.2
21 Mar 2019 15:00 Kualalupak Indonesia  0.2
21 Mar 2019 16:30 Pagatan Indonesia  0.2
20 Mar 2019 07:00 Oakdale Australia  0.2
21 Mar 2019 14:45 Aluhaluh Indonesia  0.2
21 Mar 2019 14:15 Tambakkarangan Indonesia  0.2
21 Mar 2019 14:15 Bawahalajung Indonesia  0.2
20 Mar 2019 07:00 Minarup Australia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 11:30 Pagatan Indonesia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 11:30 Semisir Indonesia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 11:30 Salinau Indonesia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 11:30 Semaras Indonesia  0.2
20 Mar 2019 11:00 Muntjar Indonesia  0.2
20 Mar 2019 11:00 Blimbing Indonesia  0.2
20 Mar 2019 11:00 Dadapan Indonesia  0.2
20 Mar 2019 11:00 Banyuwangi Indonesia  0.2
20 Mar 2019 11:00 Banjuwangi Indonesia  0.2
20 Mar 2019 11:00 Gilimanuk Indonesia  0.2
20 Mar 2019 11:00 Penginoeman Indonesia  0.2
20 Mar 2019 11:00 Belimbingsari Indonesia  0.2
20 Mar 2019 11:00 Tjandikesuma Indonesia  0.2
20 Mar 2019 11:00 Banjoebiroe Indonesia  0.2
20 Mar 2019 11:00 Cupel Indonesia  0.2
21 Mar 2019 14:30 Tabanio Indonesia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 11:15 Boenati Indonesia  0.2
20 Mar 2019 18:00 Safety Bay Australia  0.2
20 Mar 2019 18:00 Rockingham Australia  0.2
20 Mar 2019 18:00 Fremantle Australia  0.2
20 Mar 2019 18:00 North Fremantle Australia  0.2
20 Mar 2019 18:00 Mosman Park Australia  0.2
20 Mar 2019 18:00 Cottesloe Australia  0.2
20 Mar 2019 18:00 East Fremantle Australia  0.2
20 Mar 2019 18:00 Coogee Australia  0.2
20 Mar 2019 18:00 Peppermint Grove Australia  0.2
20 Mar 2019 18:00 Spearwood Australia  0.2
20 Mar 2019 18:00 Bicton Australia  0.2
20 Mar 2019 18:00 Wattleup Australia  0.2
21 Mar 2019 14:45 Pagetan Indonesia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 11:15 Tapianbalai Indonesia  0.2
20 Mar 2019 11:00 Lancelin Australia  0.1
20 Mar 2019 14:15 Kencong Indonesia  0.1
20 Mar 2019 14:15 Lodjedjer Indonesia  0.1
20 Mar 2019 08:15 Esperance Australia  0.1
20 Mar 2019 08:15 Doombup Australia  0.1
20 Mar 2019 07:15 Hopetoun Australia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 03:00 Manoelairoti Indonesia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 03:00 Namosain Indonesia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 03:00 Kupang Indonesia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 03:00 Poeloedae Indonesia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 03:00 Soelamoe Indonesia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 03:00 Maoelafa Indonesia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 03:00 Pitai Indonesia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 03:00 Manikin Indonesia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 03:00 Pariti Indonesia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 03:00 Naimoeti Indonesia  0.1
20 Mar 2019 11:00 Seabird Australia  0.1
20 Mar 2019 07:00 Jerdacuttup Australia  0.1
20 Mar 2019 08:00 Masara Indonesia  0.1
20 Mar 2019 08:00 Tioro Indonesia  0.1
20 Mar 2019 08:00 Kembano Indonesia  0.1
20 Mar 2019 08:00 Tampo Indonesia  0.1
20 Mar 2019 08:00 Napabalana Indonesia  0.1
20 Mar 2019 08:00 Bonea Indonesia  0.1
20 Mar 2019 08:00 Koroni Indonesia  0.1
20 Mar 2019 08:00 Lebo Indonesia  0.1
20 Mar 2019 08:00 Maoedoeloeng Indonesia  0.1
20 Mar 2019 08:00 Waingapu Indonesia  0.1
20 Mar 2019 08:00 Matawai Indonesia  0.1
20 Mar 2019 08:00 Pajeti Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 15:30 Wansabari Indonesia  0.1
20 Mar 2019 19:15 Illawong Australia  0.1
20 Mar 2019 19:15 Coolimba Australia  0.1
20 Mar 2019 08:00 Raha Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 15:15 Pamandali Indonesia  0.1
20 Mar 2019 18:30 Denison Australia  0.1
20 Mar 2019 18:30 Port Denison Australia  0.1
20 Mar 2019 18:30 Dongara Australia  0.1
20 Mar 2019 18:45 Yanchep Australia  0.1
20 Mar 2019 18:45 Quinns Rock Australia  0.1
20 Mar 2019 18:45 Mullalloo Beach Australia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 15:15 Lakara Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 15:00 Toroboeloe Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 15:15 Tinangea Indonesia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 02:15 Bundera Bundera Australia  0.1
20 Mar 2019 13:15 Brassan Indonesia  0.1
20 Mar 2019 19:00 Two Rocks Australia  0.1
20 Mar 2019 10:15 Gregory Australia  0.1
20 Mar 2019 10:15 Lynton Australia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 02:45 Keoen Indonesia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 02:45 Daeoerendale Indonesia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 02:45 Mamaloek Indonesia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 02:45 Eahun Indonesia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 02:45 Pepela Indonesia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 02:45 Roti Indonesia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 02:45 Batuidu Indonesia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 02:45 Usulain Indonesia  0.1
20 Mar 2019 19:15 North Beach Australia  0.1
20 Mar 2019 19:15 Scarborough Australia  0.1
20 Mar 2019 19:15 Swanbourne Australia  0.1
20 Mar 2019 19:15 Claremont Australia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 15:45 Roliai Indonesia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 02:15 Ningaloo Australia  0.1
20 Mar 2019 06:45 Taponggaja Indonesia  0.1
20 Mar 2019 06:45 Matarape Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 15:45 Daole Indonesia  0.1
20 Mar 2019 13:15 Prancak Indonesia  0.1
20 Mar 2019 13:15 Negara Indonesia  0.1
20 Mar 2019 09:15 Falcon Australia  0.1
20 Mar 2019 09:15 Mandurah Australia  0.1
20 Mar 2019 09:15 Warnbro Australia  0.1
20 Mar 2019 09:15 Peelhurst Australia  0.1
20 Mar 2019 09:15 Singleton Australia  0.1
20 Mar 2019 09:15 Karnup Australia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 02:30 Cardabia Australia  0.1
20 Mar 2019 11:00 Guilderton Australia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 16:00 Lemo Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 16:00 Laora Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 16:00 Kasiputih Indonesia  0.1
20 Mar 2019 23:00 Langadai Indonesia  0.1
20 Mar 2019 19:00 Horrocks Australia  0.1
20 Mar 2019 23:00 Sembelimbingan Indonesia  0.1
20 Mar 2019 23:00 Berangas Indonesia  0.1
20 Mar 2019 23:00 Soengaibali Indonesia  0.1
20 Mar 2019 10:15 Kalbarri Australia  0.1
20 Mar 2019 15:45 Mboe Eain Indonesia  0.1
20 Mar 2019 15:45 Nembrala Indonesia  0.1
20 Mar 2019 15:45 Abuan Indonesia  0.1
20 Mar 2019 15:45 Ulua Indonesia  0.1
20 Mar 2019 15:45 Toedameda Indonesia  0.1
20 Mar 2019 15:45 Batutuah Indonesia  0.1
20 Mar 2019 15:45 Oeseda Indonesia  0.1
20 Mar 2019 15:45 Namodale Indonesia  0.1
20 Mar 2019 15:45 Husdale Indonesia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 14:00 Batakam Indonesia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 14:00 Kandangan Indonesia  0.1
20 Mar 2019 07:00 Wawalalindu Indonesia  0.1
20 Mar 2019 07:00 Molawe Indonesia  0.1
20 Mar 2019 07:00 Tinobu Indonesia  0.1
20 Mar 2019 07:00 Molore Indonesia  0.1
20 Mar 2019 07:00 Belalo Indonesia  0.1
20 Mar 2019 07:00 Kokapi Indonesia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 02:45 Warroora Australia  0.1
20 Mar 2019 06:00 Konaweha Indonesia  0.1
20 Mar 2019 06:00 Kolaka Indonesia  0.1
20 Mar 2019 06:00 Tambea Indonesia  0.1
20 Mar 2019 06:00 Poendoei Indonesia  0.1
20 Mar 2019 06:00 Baru Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 12:00 Kebanjar Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 12:00 Baliga Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 12:00 Laboean Indonesia  0.1
20 Mar 2019 16:15 Throng Indonesia  0.1
20 Mar 2019 16:15 Adoenara Indonesia  0.1
20 Mar 2019 16:15 Lamakera Indonesia  0.1
20 Mar 2019 16:15 Papelawe Indonesia  0.1
20 Mar 2019 16:15 Sagu Indonesia  0.1
20 Mar 2019 16:15 Wotanglolong Indonesia  0.1
20 Mar 2019 16:15 Lewokeling Indonesia  0.1
20 Mar 2019 16:15 Witihama Indonesia  0.1
20 Mar 2019 16:15 Boleng Indonesia  0.1
20 Mar 2019 16:15 Nereng Indonesia  0.1
20 Mar 2019 16:15 Lewoleba Indonesia  0.1
20 Mar 2019 16:15 Lamanuna Indonesia  0.1
20 Mar 2019 16:15 Riangeba Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 11:30 Sawarangan Indonesia  0.1
20 Mar 2019 09:45 Geraldton Australia  0.1
20 Mar 2019 09:45 Drummond Cove Australia  0.1
20 Mar 2019 09:45 Popes Landing Australia  0.1
20 Mar 2019 09:45 Waggrakine Australia  0.1
20 Mar 2019 09:45 Greenough Australia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 12:15 Batoe Porong Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 10:45 Pasuruan Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 10:45 Bayeman Indonesia  0.1
20 Mar 2019 06:15 Vasse Australia  0.1
20 Mar 2019 06:15 Broadwater Australia  0.1
20 Mar 2019 06:15 Busselton Australia  0.1
20 Mar 2019 06:15 Wonnerup Australia  0.1
20 Mar 2019 06:15 Ludlow Australia  0.1