Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for VERONICA-19
in Australia

Impact

Tropical Cyclone VERONICA-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Australia
Exposed population 40 thousand in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 212 km/h
Maximum storm surge 3.6 m (23 Mar 12:15 UTC)
Vulnerability Low (Australia)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 212 km/h 0.0 m 1548 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 202 km/h 2.2 m 1279 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

202 km/h

Up to 40 thousand in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 20 Mar 2019 18:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
CAT. 3Australia2,855 
CAT. 2Australia12,487 
CAT. 1Australia23,481 
Tropical StormAustralia4,524 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 19 Mar 2019 18:00 202 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 20 Mar 2019 00:00 209 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 20 Mar 2019 06:00 212 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 20 Mar 2019 12:00 220 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 20 Mar 2019 18:00 212 40 thousand
- - Australia
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 20 Mar 2019 18:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
500-750 mmIndonesia, Australia993
+
Indonesia974 
Australia19 
250-500 mmIndonesia, Australia481,686
+
Indonesia470,646 
Australia11,040 
100-250 mmIndonesia, Australia8,221,292
+
Indonesia8,196,435 
Australia24,857 
50-100 mmIndonesia, Timor-Leste, Australia25,265,359
+
Indonesia25,255,472 
Timor-Leste5,585 
Australia4,302 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 19 Mar 2019 18:00 1398 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 20 Mar 2019 00:00 1687 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 20 Mar 2019 06:00 1603 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 20 Mar 2019 12:00 1541 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 20 Mar 2019 18:00 1548 8.7 million
- - Indonesia, Timor-Leste, Australia




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

3.6 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  3.6m in Wickham, Australia. This height is estimated for 23 Mar 2019 12:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 20 Mar 2019 18:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
23 Mar 2019 12:15 Wickham Australia  3.6
23 Mar 2019 12:15 Point Samson Australia  3.6
23 Mar 2019 12:15 Cossack Australia  3.6
23 Mar 2019 11:15 East Lewis I Australia  2.7
23 Mar 2019 11:15 Dampier Australia  2.7
23 Mar 2019 11:15 Karratha Australia  2.7
23 Mar 2019 15:15 Port Hedland Australia  2.3
23 Mar 2019 15:15 Wedgefield Australia  2.3
23 Mar 2019 13:30 Condon Australia  0.8
23 Mar 2019 05:00 Ah Chong I Australia  0.8
23 Mar 2019 18:00 Pardoo Australia  0.8
22 Mar 2019 22:00 Mardie Australia  0.7
21 Mar 2019 23:30 Derby Australia  0.6
21 Mar 2019 10:00 Derby Australia  0.5
21 Mar 2019 03:15 Broome Australia  0.4
21 Mar 2019 03:15 Thangoo Australia  0.4
21 Mar 2019 04:00 Waterbank Australia  0.4
21 Mar 2019 04:15 Kennedys Cottage Australia  0.4
21 Mar 2019 07:00 Pender Australia  0.3
21 Mar 2019 07:45 Kollan I Australia  0.3
22 Mar 2019 20:30 Onslow Australia  0.3
23 Mar 2019 01:45 Exmouth Australia  0.2
23 Mar 2019 06:00 Glenroy Australia  0.2
20 Mar 2019 23:15 Kencong Indonesia  0.2
20 Mar 2019 23:15 Lodjedjer Indonesia  0.2
21 Mar 2019 14:45 Bapuju Indonesia  0.2
21 Mar 2019 14:45 Bahaur Indonesia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 09:00 Learmonth Australia  0.2
21 Mar 2019 15:30 Pagatan Indonesia  0.2
21 Mar 2019 14:45 Kualalupak Indonesia  0.2
21 Mar 2019 16:00 Setiroek Indonesia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 12:00 Pagatan Indonesia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 12:00 Semisir Indonesia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 12:00 Salinau Indonesia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 12:00 Semaras Indonesia  0.2
21 Mar 2019 14:00 Aluhaluh Indonesia  0.2
21 Mar 2019 14:00 Tambakkarangan Indonesia  0.2
21 Mar 2019 14:00 Bawahalajung Indonesia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 11:15 Boenati Indonesia  0.2
21 Mar 2019 14:30 Tabanio Indonesia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 12:00 Tapianbalai Indonesia  0.2
21 Mar 2019 14:45 Pagetan Indonesia  0.2
21 Mar 2019 02:00 Maoedoeloeng Indonesia  0.2
21 Mar 2019 02:00 Waingapu Indonesia  0.2
21 Mar 2019 02:00 Matawai Indonesia  0.2
21 Mar 2019 02:00 Pajeti Indonesia  0.2
20 Mar 2019 19:30 Albany Australia  0.2
20 Mar 2019 19:30 Emu Point Australia  0.2
21 Mar 2019 01:45 Muntjar Indonesia  0.2
21 Mar 2019 01:45 Blimbing Indonesia  0.2
21 Mar 2019 01:45 Dadapan Indonesia  0.2
21 Mar 2019 01:45 Banyuwangi Indonesia  0.2
21 Mar 2019 01:45 Banjuwangi Indonesia  0.2
21 Mar 2019 01:45 Gilimanuk Indonesia  0.2
21 Mar 2019 01:45 Penginoeman Indonesia  0.2
21 Mar 2019 01:45 Belimbingsari Indonesia  0.2
21 Mar 2019 01:45 Tjandikesuma Indonesia  0.2
21 Mar 2019 01:45 Banjoebiroe Indonesia  0.2
21 Mar 2019 01:45 Cupel Indonesia  0.2
20 Mar 2019 18:00 Safety Bay Australia  0.2
20 Mar 2019 18:00 Rockingham Australia  0.2
20 Mar 2019 18:00 Fremantle Australia  0.2
20 Mar 2019 18:00 North Fremantle Australia  0.2
20 Mar 2019 18:00 Mosman Park Australia  0.2
20 Mar 2019 18:00 Cottesloe Australia  0.2
20 Mar 2019 18:00 East Fremantle Australia  0.2
20 Mar 2019 18:00 Coogee Australia  0.2
20 Mar 2019 18:00 Peppermint Grove Australia  0.2
20 Mar 2019 18:00 Spearwood Australia  0.2
20 Mar 2019 18:00 Bicton Australia  0.2
20 Mar 2019 18:00 Wattleup Australia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 14:45 Masara Indonesia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 14:45 Tioro Indonesia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 14:45 Kembano Indonesia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 14:45 Tampo Indonesia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 14:45 Napabalana Indonesia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 14:45 Bonea Indonesia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 14:45 Koroni Indonesia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 14:45 Lebo Indonesia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 15:00 Raha Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 15:15 Wansabari Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 12:15 Sembelimbingan Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 12:15 Berangas Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 12:15 Soengaibali Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 15:00 Pamandali Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 15:00 Lakara Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 15:00 Toroboeloe Indonesia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 03:00 Manoelairoti Indonesia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 03:00 Namosain Indonesia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 03:00 Kupang Indonesia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 03:00 Poeloedae Indonesia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 03:00 Soelamoe Indonesia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 03:00 Maoelafa Indonesia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 03:00 Pitai Indonesia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 03:00 Manikin Indonesia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 03:00 Pariti Indonesia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 03:00 Naimoeti Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 12:30 Langadai Indonesia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 03:15 Lakohembi Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 15:15 Tinangea Indonesia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 12:45 Bundera Bundera Australia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 04:00 Keoen Indonesia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 04:00 Daeoerendale Indonesia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 04:00 Mamaloek Indonesia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 04:00 Eahun Indonesia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 04:00 Pepela Indonesia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 04:00 Roti Indonesia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 04:00 Batuidu Indonesia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 04:00 Usulain Indonesia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 14:00 Batakam Indonesia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 14:00 Kandangan Indonesia  0.1
20 Mar 2019 19:15 Illawong Australia  0.1
20 Mar 2019 19:15 Coolimba Australia  0.1
20 Mar 2019 18:30 Denison Australia  0.1
20 Mar 2019 18:30 Port Denison Australia  0.1
20 Mar 2019 18:30 Dongara Australia  0.1
20 Mar 2019 18:45 Yanchep Australia  0.1
20 Mar 2019 18:45 Quinns Rock Australia  0.1
20 Mar 2019 18:45 Mullalloo Beach Australia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 13:30 Cardabia Australia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 15:45 Roliai Indonesia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 13:30 Ningaloo Australia  0.1
20 Mar 2019 19:00 Two Rocks Australia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 16:00 Daole Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 16:00 Lemo Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 16:00 Laora Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 16:00 Kasiputih Indonesia  0.1
20 Mar 2019 18:45 North Beach Australia  0.1
20 Mar 2019 18:45 Scarborough Australia  0.1
20 Mar 2019 19:15 Swanbourne Australia  0.1
20 Mar 2019 19:15 Claremont Australia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 08:00 Warroora Australia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 08:45 Komodo Indonesia  0.1
20 Mar 2019 19:00 Gregory Australia  0.1
20 Mar 2019 19:00 Lynton Australia  0.1
20 Mar 2019 19:00 Horrocks Australia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 13:30 Gnaraloo Australia  0.1
20 Mar 2019 20:30 Jerdacuttup Australia  0.1
20 Mar 2019 19:00 Guilderton Australia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 01:15 Brassan Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 12:00 Sawarangan Indonesia  0.1
20 Mar 2019 20:30 Myalup Australia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 12:00 Okaoka Indonesia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 04:00 Belana Timor-Leste  0.1
21 Mar 2019 04:00 Besikama Indonesia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 04:00 Namfaloes Indonesia  0.1
20 Mar 2019 19:45 Lancelin Australia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 04:00 Suai Timor-Leste  0.1