Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for VERONICA-19
in Australia

Impact

Tropical Cyclone VERONICA-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Australia
Exposed population 20 thousand in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 220 km/h
Maximum storm surge 3.2 m (23 Mar 12:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Low (Australia)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 220 km/h 0.0 m 1541 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 202 km/h 2.2 m 1279 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

202 km/h

Up to 20 thousand in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 20 Mar 2019 12:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
CAT. 2Australia1,876 
CAT. 1Australia22,094 
Tropical StormAustralia16,850 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 19 Mar 2019 18:00 202 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 20 Mar 2019 00:00 209 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 20 Mar 2019 06:00 212 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 20 Mar 2019 12:00 220 20 thousand
- - - Australia
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 20 Mar 2019 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmIndonesia470,081 
100-250 mmIndonesia, Australia7,339,387
+
Indonesia7,331,540 
Australia7,847 
50-100 mmIndonesia, Timor-Leste, Australia28,677,739
+
Indonesia28,632,190 
Timor-Leste14,168 
Australia31,381 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 19 Mar 2019 18:00 1398 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 20 Mar 2019 00:00 1687 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 20 Mar 2019 06:00 1603 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 20 Mar 2019 12:00 1541 7.8 million
- - - Indonesia, Timor-Leste, Australia




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

3.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  3.2m in Wickham, Australia. This height is estimated for 23 Mar 2019 12:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 20 Mar 2019 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
23 Mar 2019 12:00 Wickham Australia  3.2
23 Mar 2019 12:00 Point Samson Australia  3.2
23 Mar 2019 12:00 Cossack Australia  3.2
23 Mar 2019 11:30 East Lewis I Australia  2.5
23 Mar 2019 11:30 Dampier Australia  2.5
23 Mar 2019 11:30 Karratha Australia  2.5
23 Mar 2019 12:00 Port Hedland Australia  1.8
23 Mar 2019 12:00 Wedgefield Australia  1.8
23 Mar 2019 12:00 Condon Australia  0.8
23 Mar 2019 05:00 Ah Chong I Australia  0.8
23 Mar 2019 12:00 Pardoo Australia  0.7
21 Mar 2019 23:30 Derby Australia  0.6
22 Mar 2019 20:45 Mardie Australia  0.6
21 Mar 2019 10:15 Derby Australia  0.5
21 Mar 2019 03:00 Broome Australia  0.4
21 Mar 2019 03:00 Thangoo Australia  0.4
21 Mar 2019 04:15 Waterbank Australia  0.3
21 Mar 2019 04:30 Kennedys Cottage Australia  0.3
20 Mar 2019 16:15 Pender Australia  0.3
22 Mar 2019 19:15 Onslow Australia  0.3
21 Mar 2019 07:15 Kollan I Australia  0.3
22 Mar 2019 22:45 Glenroy Australia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 09:30 Learmonth Australia  0.2
23 Mar 2019 01:15 Exmouth Australia  0.2
21 Mar 2019 14:45 Bapuju Indonesia  0.2
21 Mar 2019 14:45 Bahaur Indonesia  0.2
21 Mar 2019 15:30 Pagatan Indonesia  0.2
21 Mar 2019 14:45 Kualalupak Indonesia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 11:15 Pagatan Indonesia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 11:15 Semisir Indonesia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 11:15 Salinau Indonesia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 11:15 Semaras Indonesia  0.2
21 Mar 2019 16:00 Setiroek Indonesia  0.2
21 Mar 2019 14:00 Aluhaluh Indonesia  0.2
21 Mar 2019 14:00 Tambakkarangan Indonesia  0.2
21 Mar 2019 14:00 Bawahalajung Indonesia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 11:15 Boenati Indonesia  0.2
20 Mar 2019 14:15 Kencong Indonesia  0.2
20 Mar 2019 14:15 Lodjedjer Indonesia  0.2
20 Mar 2019 13:15 Muntjar Indonesia  0.2
20 Mar 2019 13:15 Blimbing Indonesia  0.2
20 Mar 2019 13:15 Dadapan Indonesia  0.2
20 Mar 2019 13:15 Banyuwangi Indonesia  0.2
20 Mar 2019 13:15 Banjuwangi Indonesia  0.2
20 Mar 2019 13:15 Gilimanuk Indonesia  0.2
20 Mar 2019 13:15 Penginoeman Indonesia  0.2
20 Mar 2019 13:15 Belimbingsari Indonesia  0.2
20 Mar 2019 13:15 Tjandikesuma Indonesia  0.2
20 Mar 2019 13:15 Banjoebiroe Indonesia  0.2
20 Mar 2019 13:15 Cupel Indonesia  0.2
21 Mar 2019 14:30 Tabanio Indonesia  0.2
20 Mar 2019 15:30 Safety Bay Australia  0.2
20 Mar 2019 15:30 Rockingham Australia  0.2
20 Mar 2019 15:30 Fremantle Australia  0.2
20 Mar 2019 15:30 North Fremantle Australia  0.2
20 Mar 2019 15:30 Mosman Park Australia  0.2
20 Mar 2019 15:30 Cottesloe Australia  0.2
20 Mar 2019 15:30 East Fremantle Australia  0.2
20 Mar 2019 15:30 Coogee Australia  0.2
20 Mar 2019 15:30 Peppermint Grove Australia  0.2
20 Mar 2019 15:30 Spearwood Australia  0.2
20 Mar 2019 15:30 Bicton Australia  0.2
20 Mar 2019 15:30 Wattleup Australia  0.2
21 Mar 2019 09:30 Tapianbalai Indonesia  0.2
20 Mar 2019 19:30 Albany Australia  0.2
20 Mar 2019 19:30 Emu Point Australia  0.2
21 Mar 2019 14:45 Pagetan Indonesia  0.2
21 Mar 2019 03:00 Manoelairoti Indonesia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 03:00 Namosain Indonesia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 03:00 Kupang Indonesia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 03:00 Poeloedae Indonesia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 03:00 Soelamoe Indonesia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 03:00 Maoelafa Indonesia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 03:00 Pitai Indonesia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 03:00 Manikin Indonesia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 03:00 Pariti Indonesia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 03:00 Naimoeti Indonesia  0.1
20 Mar 2019 23:00 Langadai Indonesia  0.1
20 Mar 2019 15:15 Maoedoeloeng Indonesia  0.1
20 Mar 2019 15:15 Waingapu Indonesia  0.1
20 Mar 2019 15:15 Matawai Indonesia  0.1
20 Mar 2019 15:15 Pajeti Indonesia  0.1
20 Mar 2019 23:00 Sembelimbingan Indonesia  0.1
20 Mar 2019 23:00 Berangas Indonesia  0.1
20 Mar 2019 23:00 Soengaibali Indonesia  0.1
20 Mar 2019 19:15 Illawong Australia  0.1
20 Mar 2019 19:15 Coolimba Australia  0.1
20 Mar 2019 19:00 Yanchep Australia  0.1
20 Mar 2019 19:00 Quinns Rock Australia  0.1
20 Mar 2019 19:00 Mullalloo Beach Australia  0.1
20 Mar 2019 18:30 Denison Australia  0.1
20 Mar 2019 18:30 Port Denison Australia  0.1
20 Mar 2019 18:30 Dongara Australia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 15:45 Masara Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 15:45 Tioro Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 15:45 Kembano Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 15:45 Tampo Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 15:45 Napabalana Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 15:45 Bonea Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 15:45 Koroni Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 15:45 Lebo Indonesia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 10:45 Bundera Bundera Australia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 15:30 Wansabari Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 15:30 Pamandali Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 15:30 Raha Indonesia  0.1
20 Mar 2019 19:00 Two Rocks Australia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 15:30 Lakara Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 15:30 Toroboeloe Indonesia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 02:45 Keoen Indonesia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 02:45 Daeoerendale Indonesia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 02:45 Mamaloek Indonesia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 02:45 Eahun Indonesia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 02:45 Pepela Indonesia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 02:45 Roti Indonesia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 02:45 Batuidu Indonesia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 02:45 Usulain Indonesia  0.1
20 Mar 2019 19:15 North Beach Australia  0.1
20 Mar 2019 19:15 Scarborough Australia  0.1
20 Mar 2019 19:15 Swanbourne Australia  0.1
20 Mar 2019 19:15 Claremont Australia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 15:15 Tinangea Indonesia  0.1
20 Mar 2019 13:00 Brassan Indonesia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 11:00 Ningaloo Australia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 11:00 Cardabia Australia  0.1
20 Mar 2019 13:00 Prancak Indonesia  0.1
20 Mar 2019 13:00 Negara Indonesia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 14:00 Batakam Indonesia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 14:00 Kandangan Indonesia  0.1
20 Mar 2019 19:00 Gregory Australia  0.1
20 Mar 2019 19:00 Lynton Australia  0.1
20 Mar 2019 19:00 Horrocks Australia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 15:45 Roliai Indonesia  0.1
20 Mar 2019 19:00 Guilderton Australia  0.1
20 Mar 2019 16:30 Mboe Eain Indonesia  0.1
20 Mar 2019 16:30 Nembrala Indonesia  0.1
20 Mar 2019 16:30 Abuan Indonesia  0.1
20 Mar 2019 16:30 Ulua Indonesia  0.1
20 Mar 2019 16:30 Toedameda Indonesia  0.1
20 Mar 2019 16:30 Batutuah Indonesia  0.1
20 Mar 2019 16:30 Oeseda Indonesia  0.1
20 Mar 2019 16:30 Namodale Indonesia  0.1
20 Mar 2019 16:30 Husdale Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 16:00 Daole Indonesia  0.1
20 Mar 2019 20:30 Jerdacuttup Australia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 11:15 Okaoka Indonesia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 10:30 Warroora Australia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 16:30 Kasiputih Indonesia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 04:00 Belana Timor-Leste  0.1
22 Mar 2019 16:00 Lemo Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 16:00 Laora Indonesia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 11:15 Sawarangan Indonesia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 04:00 Besikama Indonesia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 04:00 Namfaloes Indonesia  0.1
20 Mar 2019 16:15 Throng Indonesia  0.1
20 Mar 2019 16:15 Adoenara Indonesia  0.1
20 Mar 2019 16:15 Lamakera Indonesia  0.1
20 Mar 2019 16:15 Papelawe Indonesia  0.1
20 Mar 2019 16:15 Sagu Indonesia  0.1
20 Mar 2019 16:15 Wotanglolong Indonesia  0.1
20 Mar 2019 16:15 Lewokeling Indonesia  0.1
20 Mar 2019 16:15 Witihama Indonesia  0.1
20 Mar 2019 16:15 Boleng Indonesia  0.1
20 Mar 2019 16:15 Nereng Indonesia  0.1
20 Mar 2019 16:15 Lewoleba Indonesia  0.1
20 Mar 2019 16:15 Lamanuna Indonesia  0.1
20 Mar 2019 16:15 Riangeba Indonesia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 04:00 Suai Timor-Leste  0.1
20 Mar 2019 19:45 Lancelin Australia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 11:00 Teloekkapalpetjah Indonesia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 08:15 Tungkaranasam Indonesia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 08:15 Sekapoeng Indonesia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 08:45 Carnarvon Australia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 02:30 Lakohembi Indonesia  0.1