Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for VERONICA-19
in Australia

Impact

Tropical Cyclone VERONICA-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Australia
Exposed population 20 thousand in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 212 km/h
Maximum storm surge 3.1 m (23 Mar 16:45 UTC)
Vulnerability Low (Australia)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 212 km/h 0.0 m 1066 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 202 km/h 2.2 m 1279 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

202 km/h

Up to 20 thousand in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 22 Mar 2019 00:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
CAT. 3Australia06 
CAT. 2Australia15,355 
CAT. 1Australia668 
Tropical StormAustralia30,315 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 19 Mar 2019 18:00 202 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 20 Mar 2019 00:00 209 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 20 Mar 2019 06:00 212 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 20 Mar 2019 12:00 220 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 20 Mar 2019 18:00 212 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 21 Mar 2019 00:00 212 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 21 Mar 2019 06:00 212 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 21 Mar 2019 12:00 212 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 21 Mar 2019 18:00 220 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 22 Mar 2019 00:00 212 20 thousand
- - Australia
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 22 Mar 2019 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
500-750 mmIndonesia, Australia17,962
+
Indonesia17,333 
Australia629 
250-500 mmIndonesia, Australia596,143
+
Indonesia580,066 
Australia16,077 
100-250 mmIndonesia, Australia13,762,733
+
Indonesia13,761,737 
Australia996 
50-100 mmIndonesia, Timor-Leste, Australia40,955,307
+
Indonesia40,953,227 
Timor-Leste1,339 
Australia741 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 19 Mar 2019 18:00 1398 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 20 Mar 2019 00:00 1687 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 20 Mar 2019 06:00 1603 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 20 Mar 2019 12:00 1541 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 20 Mar 2019 18:00 1548 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 21 Mar 2019 00:00 1622 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 21 Mar 2019 06:00 1590 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 21 Mar 2019 12:00 1624 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 21 Mar 2019 18:00 1084 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 22 Mar 2019 00:00 1066 14.4 million
- - Indonesia, Timor-Leste, Australia




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

3.1 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  3.1m in Port Hedland, Australia. This height is estimated for 23 Mar 2019 16:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 22 Mar 2019 00:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
23 Mar 2019 16:45 Port Hedland Australia  3.1
23 Mar 2019 16:45 Wedgefield Australia  3.1
23 Mar 2019 02:30 East Lewis I Australia  1.3
23 Mar 2019 02:30 Dampier Australia  1.3
23 Mar 2019 02:30 Karratha Australia  1.3
23 Mar 2019 15:30 Condon Australia  1.3
23 Mar 2019 18:30 Pardoo Australia  1.3
23 Mar 2019 01:15 Wickham Australia  1.1
23 Mar 2019 01:15 Point Samson Australia  1.1
23 Mar 2019 01:15 Cossack Australia  1.1
22 Mar 2019 20:00 Ah Chong I Australia  0.6
22 Mar 2019 11:15 Mardie Australia  0.6
24 Mar 2019 12:15 Broome Australia  0.5
24 Mar 2019 12:15 Thangoo Australia  0.5
22 Mar 2019 00:00 Derby Australia  0.5
23 Mar 2019 00:00 Derby Australia  0.4
24 Mar 2019 11:15 Waterbank Australia  0.3
24 Mar 2019 11:15 Kennedys Cottage Australia  0.3
22 Mar 2019 09:30 Onslow Australia  0.3
22 Mar 2019 21:45 Learmonth Australia  0.3
23 Mar 2019 07:00 Exmouth Australia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 18:15 Glenroy Australia  0.2
23 Mar 2019 04:15 Pender Australia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 06:15 Muntjar Indonesia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 06:15 Blimbing Indonesia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 06:15 Dadapan Indonesia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 06:15 Banyuwangi Indonesia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 06:15 Banjuwangi Indonesia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 06:15 Gilimanuk Indonesia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 06:15 Penginoeman Indonesia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 06:15 Belimbingsari Indonesia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 06:15 Tjandikesuma Indonesia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 06:15 Banjoebiroe Indonesia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 06:15 Cupel Indonesia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 20:00 Kollan I Australia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 11:15 Boenati Indonesia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 11:30 Pagatan Indonesia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 11:30 Semisir Indonesia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 11:30 Salinau Indonesia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 11:30 Semaras Indonesia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 05:15 Keoen Indonesia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 05:15 Daeoerendale Indonesia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 05:15 Mamaloek Indonesia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 05:15 Eahun Indonesia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 05:15 Pepela Indonesia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 05:15 Roti Indonesia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 05:15 Batuidu Indonesia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 05:15 Usulain Indonesia  0.2
24 Mar 2019 08:30 Wansabari Indonesia  0.1
24 Mar 2019 08:30 Masara Indonesia  0.1
24 Mar 2019 08:30 Tioro Indonesia  0.1
24 Mar 2019 08:30 Kembano Indonesia  0.1
24 Mar 2019 08:30 Tampo Indonesia  0.1
24 Mar 2019 08:30 Napabalana Indonesia  0.1
24 Mar 2019 08:30 Raha Indonesia  0.1
24 Mar 2019 08:30 Bonea Indonesia  0.1
24 Mar 2019 08:45 Koroni Indonesia  0.1
24 Mar 2019 08:45 Lebo Indonesia  0.1
24 Mar 2019 08:30 Pamandali Indonesia  0.1
24 Mar 2019 08:30 Lakara Indonesia  0.1
24 Mar 2019 08:45 Toroboeloe Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 11:15 Tapianbalai Indonesia  0.1
24 Mar 2019 08:45 Tinangea Indonesia  0.1
24 Mar 2019 09:30 Roliai Indonesia  0.1
24 Mar 2019 09:30 Daole Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 13:45 Konaweha Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 13:45 Kolaka Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 13:45 Tambea Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 13:45 Poendoei Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 13:45 Baru Indonesia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 23:15 Bundera Bundera Australia  0.1
24 Mar 2019 09:00 Lemo Indonesia  0.1
24 Mar 2019 09:00 Laora Indonesia  0.1
24 Mar 2019 09:00 Kasiputih Indonesia  0.1
24 Mar 2019 21:45 Pagatan Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 22:00 Mboe Eain Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 22:00 Nembrala Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 22:00 Abuan Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 22:00 Ulua Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 22:00 Toedameda Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 22:00 Batutuah Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 22:00 Oeseda Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 22:00 Namodale Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 22:00 Husdale Indonesia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 06:15 Cardabia Australia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 18:45 Kencong Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 18:45 Lodjedjer Indonesia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 23:15 Ningaloo Australia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 16:45 Batoe Porong Indonesia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 16:45 Kebanjar Indonesia  0.1
24 Mar 2019 21:30 Setiroek Indonesia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 16:30 Baliga Indonesia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 16:30 Laboean Indonesia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 05:00 Warroora Australia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 06:15 Brassan Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 04:45 Manoelairoti Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 04:45 Namosain Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 04:45 Kupang Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 04:45 Poeloedae Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 04:45 Soelamoe Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 04:45 Maoelafa Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 04:45 Pitai Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 04:45 Manikin Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 04:45 Pariti Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 04:45 Naimoeti Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 14:45 Langadai Indonesia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 12:30 Sembelimbingan Indonesia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 12:30 Berangas Indonesia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 12:30 Soengaibali Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 11:45 Okaoka Indonesia  0.1
24 Mar 2019 00:45 Gnaraloo Australia  0.1
24 Mar 2019 22:15 Kualalupak Indonesia  0.1
24 Mar 2019 22:15 Aluhaluh Indonesia  0.1
24 Mar 2019 22:15 Tambakkarangan Indonesia  0.1
24 Mar 2019 22:15 Bawahalajung Indonesia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 18:00 Kandangan Indonesia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 18:00 Gresik Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 12:15 Teloekkapalpetjah Indonesia  0.1
24 Mar 2019 22:45 Bapuju Indonesia  0.1
24 Mar 2019 22:45 Bahaur Indonesia  0.1
24 Mar 2019 22:00 Tabanio Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 13:30 Tangetada Indonesia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 07:45 Pringgabaja Indonesia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 07:45 Lombok Indonesia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 15:00 Libureng Indonesia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 15:00 Marek Indonesia  0.1
24 Mar 2019 09:45 Wasalangka Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 06:30 Prancak Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 06:30 Negara Indonesia  0.1
24 Mar 2019 00:15 Cape Cuvier Australia  0.1
24 Mar 2019 21:45 Pagetan Indonesia  0.1