Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for VERONICA-19
in Australia

Impact

Tropical Cyclone VERONICA-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Australia
Exposed population 20 thousand in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 212 km/h
Maximum storm surge 3.7 m (23 Mar 13:15 UTC)
Vulnerability Low (Australia)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 212 km/h 0.0 m 1590 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 202 km/h 2.2 m 1279 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

202 km/h

Up to 20 thousand in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 21 Mar 2019 06:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
CAT. 3Australia11,437 
CAT. 2Australia3,937 
CAT. 1Australia6,435 
Tropical StormAustralia27,597 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 19 Mar 2019 18:00 202 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 20 Mar 2019 00:00 209 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 20 Mar 2019 06:00 212 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 20 Mar 2019 12:00 220 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 20 Mar 2019 18:00 212 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 21 Mar 2019 00:00 212 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 21 Mar 2019 06:00 212 20 thousand
- - Australia
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 21 Mar 2019 06:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
500-750 mmIndonesia, Australia18,105
+
Indonesia18,035 
Australia70 
250-500 mmIndonesia, Australia572,007
+
Indonesia556,040 
Australia15,967 
100-250 mmIndonesia, Australia12,210,995
+
Indonesia12,206,476 
Australia4,519 
50-100 mmIndonesia, Timor-Leste, Australia30,832,319
+
Indonesia30,806,068 
Timor-Leste22,758 
Australia3,493 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 19 Mar 2019 18:00 1398 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 20 Mar 2019 00:00 1687 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 20 Mar 2019 06:00 1603 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 20 Mar 2019 12:00 1541 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 20 Mar 2019 18:00 1548 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 21 Mar 2019 00:00 1622 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 21 Mar 2019 06:00 1590 12.8 million
- - Indonesia, Timor-Leste, Australia




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

3.7 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  3.7m in Port Hedland, Australia. This height is estimated for 23 Mar 2019 13:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 21 Mar 2019 06:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
23 Mar 2019 13:15 Port Hedland Australia  3.7
23 Mar 2019 13:15 Wedgefield Australia  3.7
23 Mar 2019 21:45 Pardoo Australia  1.4
23 Mar 2019 04:45 East Lewis I Australia  1.4
23 Mar 2019 04:45 Dampier Australia  1.4
23 Mar 2019 04:45 Karratha Australia  1.4
23 Mar 2019 20:45 Condon Australia  1.3
23 Mar 2019 02:30 Wickham Australia  1.2
23 Mar 2019 02:30 Point Samson Australia  1.2
23 Mar 2019 02:30 Cossack Australia  1.2
22 Mar 2019 21:30 Ah Chong I Australia  0.7
22 Mar 2019 11:15 Mardie Australia  0.6
21 Mar 2019 10:45 Derby Australia  0.5
21 Mar 2019 10:15 Derby Australia  0.5
23 Mar 2019 22:30 Broome Australia  0.4
23 Mar 2019 22:30 Thangoo Australia  0.4
21 Mar 2019 07:00 Pender Australia  0.3
23 Mar 2019 22:30 Waterbank Australia  0.3
21 Mar 2019 08:00 Kollan I Australia  0.3
23 Mar 2019 05:30 Kennedys Cottage Australia  0.3
22 Mar 2019 07:15 Onslow Australia  0.3
22 Mar 2019 22:00 Learmonth Australia  0.3
23 Mar 2019 07:30 Exmouth Australia  0.2
23 Mar 2019 05:15 Glenroy Australia  0.2
21 Mar 2019 14:45 Bapuju Indonesia  0.2
21 Mar 2019 14:45 Bahaur Indonesia  0.2
21 Mar 2019 16:00 Setiroek Indonesia  0.2
21 Mar 2019 15:45 Pagatan Indonesia  0.2
21 Mar 2019 14:45 Kualalupak Indonesia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 11:30 Pagatan Indonesia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 11:30 Semisir Indonesia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 11:30 Salinau Indonesia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 11:30 Semaras Indonesia  0.2
21 Mar 2019 07:45 Kencong Indonesia  0.2
21 Mar 2019 07:45 Lodjedjer Indonesia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 11:15 Boenati Indonesia  0.2
21 Mar 2019 14:45 Aluhaluh Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 11:15 Tapianbalai Indonesia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 12:45 Bundera Bundera Australia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 14:15 Tambakkarangan Indonesia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 14:15 Bawahalajung Indonesia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 16:00 Muntjar Indonesia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 16:00 Blimbing Indonesia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 16:00 Dadapan Indonesia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 16:00 Banyuwangi Indonesia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 16:00 Banjuwangi Indonesia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 16:00 Gilimanuk Indonesia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 16:00 Penginoeman Indonesia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 16:00 Belimbingsari Indonesia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 16:00 Tjandikesuma Indonesia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 16:00 Banjoebiroe Indonesia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 16:00 Cupel Indonesia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 13:15 Cardabia Australia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 14:45 Tabanio Indonesia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 13:00 Ningaloo Australia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 16:45 Manoelairoti Indonesia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 16:45 Namosain Indonesia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 16:45 Kupang Indonesia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 16:45 Poeloedae Indonesia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 16:45 Soelamoe Indonesia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 16:45 Maoelafa Indonesia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 16:45 Pitai Indonesia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 16:45 Manikin Indonesia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 16:45 Pariti Indonesia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 16:45 Naimoeti Indonesia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 06:15 Maoedoeloeng Indonesia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 06:15 Waingapu Indonesia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 06:15 Matawai Indonesia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 06:15 Pajeti Indonesia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 08:15 Langadai Indonesia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 10:00 Safety Bay Australia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 10:00 Rockingham Australia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 10:00 Fremantle Australia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 10:00 North Fremantle Australia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 10:00 Mosman Park Australia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 10:00 Cottesloe Australia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 10:00 East Fremantle Australia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 10:00 Coogee Australia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 10:00 Peppermint Grove Australia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 10:00 Spearwood Australia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 10:00 Bicton Australia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 10:00 Wattleup Australia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 14:45 Pagetan Indonesia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 06:00 Lakohembi Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 15:30 Wansabari Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 15:30 Masara Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 15:30 Tioro Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 15:30 Kembano Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 15:45 Tampo Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 15:45 Napabalana Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 15:45 Bonea Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 15:45 Koroni Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 15:45 Lebo Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 15:15 Pamandali Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 15:30 Raha Indonesia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 12:45 Warroora Australia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 15:30 Lakara Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 15:30 Toroboeloe Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 15:15 Tinangea Indonesia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 08:00 Sembelimbingan Indonesia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 08:00 Berangas Indonesia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 08:00 Soengaibali Indonesia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 23:00 Gnaraloo Australia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 07:45 Brassan Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 15:30 Roliai Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 04:00 Keoen Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 04:00 Daeoerendale Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 04:00 Mamaloek Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 04:00 Eahun Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 04:00 Pepela Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 04:00 Roti Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 04:00 Batuidu Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 04:00 Usulain Indonesia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 07:30 Denison Australia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 07:30 Port Denison Australia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 07:30 Dongara Australia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 12:30 Bangbong Indonesia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 12:30 Walue Indonesia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 12:30 Rumba Indonesia  0.1
24 Mar 2019 02:15 Cape Cuvier Australia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 16:00 Lemo Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 16:00 Daole Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 16:00 Laora Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 16:00 Kasiputih Indonesia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 12:30 Ronta Indonesia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 07:15 Carnarvon Australia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 12:45 Labuban-Tobelo Indonesia  0.1
24 Mar 2019 05:00 Quobba Australia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 12:00 Okaoka Indonesia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 11:00 Bayeman Indonesia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 11:00 Probolinggo Indonesia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 11:00 Gending Indonesia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 23:15 Kebanjar Indonesia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 23:15 Baliga Indonesia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 23:15 Laboean Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 12:15 Teloekkapalpetjah Indonesia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 12:45 Laboean-tobelo Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 12:30 Tungkaranasam Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 12:30 Sekapoeng Indonesia  0.1