Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for VERONICA-19
in Australia

Impact

Tropical Cyclone VERONICA-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Australia
Exposed population 20 thousand in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 194 km/h
Maximum storm surge 3.9 m (23 Mar 18:15 UTC)
Vulnerability Low (Australia)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 194 km/h 0.0 m 805 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 202 km/h 2.2 m 1279 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

202 km/h

Up to 20 thousand in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 22 Mar 2019 18:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
CAT. 3Australia13,326 
CAT. 2Australia2,044 
CAT. 1Australia328 
Tropical StormAustralia30,170 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 19 Mar 2019 18:00 202 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 20 Mar 2019 00:00 209 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 20 Mar 2019 06:00 212 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 20 Mar 2019 12:00 220 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 20 Mar 2019 18:00 212 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 21 Mar 2019 00:00 212 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 21 Mar 2019 06:00 212 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 21 Mar 2019 12:00 212 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 21 Mar 2019 18:00 220 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 22 Mar 2019 00:00 212 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 22 Mar 2019 06:00 198 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 22 Mar 2019 12:00 202 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 22 Mar 2019 18:00 194 20 thousand
- - Australia
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 22 Mar 2019 18:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
750-1000 mmAustralia16 
500-750 mmIndonesia, Australia3,497
+
Indonesia3,002 
Australia495 
250-500 mmIndonesia, Australia598,832
+
Indonesia582,457 
Australia16,375 
100-250 mmIndonesia, Australia12,725,705
+
Indonesia12,724,256 
Australia1,449 
50-100 mmIndonesia, Timor-Leste, Australia37,603,240
+
Indonesia37,592,629 
Timor-Leste7,388 
Australia3,223 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 19 Mar 2019 18:00 1398 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 20 Mar 2019 00:00 1687 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 20 Mar 2019 06:00 1603 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 20 Mar 2019 12:00 1541 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 20 Mar 2019 18:00 1548 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 21 Mar 2019 00:00 1622 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 21 Mar 2019 06:00 1590 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 21 Mar 2019 12:00 1624 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 21 Mar 2019 18:00 1084 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 22 Mar 2019 00:00 1066 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 22 Mar 2019 06:00 720 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 22 Mar 2019 12:00 707 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 22 Mar 2019 18:00 805 13.3 million
- Indonesia, Timor-Leste, Australia




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

3.9 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  3.9m in Port Hedland, Australia. This height is estimated for 23 Mar 2019 18:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 22 Mar 2019 18:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
23 Mar 2019 18:15 Port Hedland Australia  3.9
23 Mar 2019 18:15 Wedgefield Australia  3.9
23 Mar 2019 18:00 Condon Australia  1.3
23 Mar 2019 18:30 Pardoo Australia  1.3
23 Mar 2019 07:45 East Lewis I Australia  1.1
23 Mar 2019 07:45 Dampier Australia  1.1
23 Mar 2019 07:45 Karratha Australia  1.1
23 Mar 2019 07:15 Wickham Australia  1.0
23 Mar 2019 07:15 Point Samson Australia  1.0
23 Mar 2019 07:15 Cossack Australia  1.0
22 Mar 2019 23:15 Ah Chong I Australia  0.6
22 Mar 2019 21:15 Mardie Australia  0.5
24 Mar 2019 06:30 Broome Australia  0.5
24 Mar 2019 06:30 Thangoo Australia  0.5
23 Mar 2019 00:15 Derby Australia  0.4
24 Mar 2019 06:00 Derby Australia  0.4
22 Mar 2019 23:45 Onslow Australia  0.3
23 Mar 2019 06:30 Waterbank Australia  0.3
23 Mar 2019 05:15 Glenroy Australia  0.3
23 Mar 2019 06:15 Kennedys Cottage Australia  0.3
23 Mar 2019 10:45 Learmonth Australia  0.3
23 Mar 2019 00:30 Exmouth Australia  0.3
22 Mar 2019 19:30 Pender Australia  0.3
22 Mar 2019 20:00 Kollan I Australia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 20:45 Muntjar Indonesia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 20:45 Blimbing Indonesia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 20:45 Dadapan Indonesia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 20:45 Banyuwangi Indonesia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 20:45 Banjuwangi Indonesia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 20:45 Gilimanuk Indonesia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 20:45 Penginoeman Indonesia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 20:45 Belimbingsari Indonesia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 20:45 Tjandikesuma Indonesia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 20:45 Banjoebiroe Indonesia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 20:45 Cupel Indonesia  0.2
25 Mar 2019 15:00 Setiroek Indonesia  0.2
23 Mar 2019 05:00 Cardabia Australia  0.2
25 Mar 2019 05:15 Umbulan Padulmanan Indonesia  0.1
25 Mar 2019 15:30 Pagatan Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 23:15 Bundera Bundera Australia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 22:00 Mboe Eain Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 22:00 Nembrala Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 22:00 Abuan Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 22:00 Ulua Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 22:00 Toedameda Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 22:00 Batutuah Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 22:00 Oeseda Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 22:00 Namodale Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 22:00 Husdale Indonesia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 04:30 Warroora Australia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 12:15 Ningaloo Australia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 18:45 Kencong Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 18:45 Lodjedjer Indonesia  0.1
25 Mar 2019 15:30 Bapuju Indonesia  0.1
25 Mar 2019 15:30 Bahaur Indonesia  0.1
25 Mar 2019 14:30 Kualalupak Indonesia  0.1
25 Mar 2019 14:15 Aluhaluh Indonesia  0.1
25 Mar 2019 14:15 Tambakkarangan Indonesia  0.1
25 Mar 2019 14:15 Bawahalajung Indonesia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 08:30 Keoen Indonesia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 08:30 Daeoerendale Indonesia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 08:30 Mamaloek Indonesia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 08:30 Eahun Indonesia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 08:30 Pepela Indonesia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 08:30 Roti Indonesia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 08:30 Batuidu Indonesia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 08:30 Usulain Indonesia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 04:45 Gnaraloo Australia  0.1
25 Mar 2019 15:00 Segintong Indonesia  0.1
24 Mar 2019 09:30 Masara Indonesia  0.1
24 Mar 2019 09:30 Tioro Indonesia  0.1
24 Mar 2019 09:30 Kembano Indonesia  0.1
24 Mar 2019 09:30 Tampo Indonesia  0.1
24 Mar 2019 09:30 Napabalana Indonesia  0.1
24 Mar 2019 09:30 Raha Indonesia  0.1
24 Mar 2019 09:30 Bonea Indonesia  0.1
24 Mar 2019 09:30 Pamandali Indonesia  0.1
24 Mar 2019 09:30 Wansabari Indonesia  0.1
24 Mar 2019 09:45 Koroni Indonesia  0.1
24 Mar 2019 09:45 Lebo Indonesia  0.1
25 Mar 2019 14:00 Tabanio Indonesia  0.1
24 Mar 2019 09:30 Lakara Indonesia  0.1
24 Mar 2019 09:45 Toroboeloe Indonesia  0.1
25 Mar 2019 14:30 Pagetan Indonesia  0.1
24 Mar 2019 09:45 Tinangea Indonesia  0.1
25 Mar 2019 05:45 Topoali Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 18:45 Brassan Indonesia  0.1
24 Mar 2019 09:30 Roliai Indonesia  0.1
24 Mar 2019 06:00 Cape Cuvier Australia  0.1
25 Mar 2019 11:15 Pedes Indonesia  0.1
25 Mar 2019 11:15 Sungaibuntu Indonesia  0.1
24 Mar 2019 09:15 Lemo Indonesia  0.1
24 Mar 2019 09:15 Daole Indonesia  0.1
24 Mar 2019 09:15 Laora Indonesia  0.1
24 Mar 2019 09:15 Kasiputih Indonesia  0.1
24 Mar 2019 08:45 Konaweha Indonesia  0.1
24 Mar 2019 08:45 Kolaka Indonesia  0.1
24 Mar 2019 08:45 Tambea Indonesia  0.1
24 Mar 2019 08:45 Poendoei Indonesia  0.1
24 Mar 2019 08:45 Baru Indonesia  0.1
24 Mar 2019 08:00 Carnarvon Australia  0.1
24 Mar 2019 05:45 Quobba Australia  0.1
25 Mar 2019 14:15 Batakam Indonesia  0.1
25 Mar 2019 14:00 Kandangan Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 18:30 Prancak Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 18:30 Negara Indonesia  0.1
25 Mar 2019 07:15 Cilancang Indonesia  0.1
25 Mar 2019 07:15 Cirebon Indonesia  0.1
25 Mar 2019 07:15 Losan Indonesia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 04:15 Waingapu Indonesia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 04:15 Matawai Indonesia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 04:15 Pajeti Indonesia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 04:15 Lakohembi Indonesia  0.1
25 Mar 2019 16:30 Bulumanis Indonesia  0.1
25 Mar 2019 16:30 Batangan Indonesia  0.1
25 Mar 2019 16:30 Rembang Indonesia  0.1
25 Mar 2019 07:15 Karangampel Indonesia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 08:15 Manoelairoti Indonesia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 08:15 Namosain Indonesia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 08:15 Kupang Indonesia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 08:15 Poeloedae Indonesia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 08:15 Soelamoe Indonesia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 08:15 Maoelafa Indonesia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 08:15 Pitai Indonesia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 08:15 Manikin Indonesia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 08:15 Pariti Indonesia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 08:15 Naimoeti Indonesia  0.1