Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for VERONICA-19
in Australia

Impact

Tropical Cyclone VERONICA-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Australia
Exposed population 20 thousand in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 212 km/h
Maximum storm surge 3.9 m (23 Mar 09:30 UTC)
Vulnerability Low (Australia)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 212 km/h 0.0 m 1624 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 202 km/h 2.2 m 1279 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

202 km/h

Up to 20 thousand in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 21 Mar 2019 12:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
CAT. 3Australia15,191 
CAT. 2Australia245 
CAT. 1Australia904 
Tropical StormAustralia34,405 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 19 Mar 2019 18:00 202 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 20 Mar 2019 00:00 209 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 20 Mar 2019 06:00 212 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 20 Mar 2019 12:00 220 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 20 Mar 2019 18:00 212 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 21 Mar 2019 00:00 212 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 21 Mar 2019 06:00 212 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 21 Mar 2019 12:00 212 20 thousand
- - Australia
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 21 Mar 2019 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
500-750 mmIndonesia, Australia30,940
+
Indonesia30,801 
Australia139 
250-500 mmIndonesia, Australia693,155
+
Indonesia676,675 
Australia16,480 
100-250 mmIndonesia, Australia12,314,187
+
Indonesia12,313,101 
Australia1,086 
50-100 mmIndonesia, Timor-Leste, Australia34,012,252
+
Indonesia34,001,881 
Timor-Leste9,564 
Australia807 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 19 Mar 2019 18:00 1398 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 20 Mar 2019 00:00 1687 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 20 Mar 2019 06:00 1603 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 20 Mar 2019 12:00 1541 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 20 Mar 2019 18:00 1548 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 21 Mar 2019 00:00 1622 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 21 Mar 2019 06:00 1590 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 21 Mar 2019 12:00 1624 13 million
- - Indonesia, Timor-Leste, Australia




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

3.9 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  3.9m in Port Hedland, Australia. This height is estimated for 23 Mar 2019 09:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 21 Mar 2019 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
23 Mar 2019 09:30 Port Hedland Australia  3.9
23 Mar 2019 09:30 Wedgefield Australia  3.9
23 Mar 2019 13:45 Condon Australia  1.7
23 Mar 2019 14:45 Pardoo Australia  1.6
23 Mar 2019 03:15 East Lewis I Australia  1.1
23 Mar 2019 03:15 Dampier Australia  1.1
23 Mar 2019 03:15 Karratha Australia  1.1
23 Mar 2019 02:00 Wickham Australia  1.0
23 Mar 2019 02:00 Point Samson Australia  1.0
23 Mar 2019 02:00 Cossack Australia  1.0
22 Mar 2019 20:15 Ah Chong I Australia  0.6
22 Mar 2019 10:45 Mardie Australia  0.6
24 Mar 2019 08:00 Broome Australia  0.5
21 Mar 2019 23:30 Derby Australia  0.5
24 Mar 2019 07:45 Thangoo Australia  0.5
23 Mar 2019 00:30 Derby Australia  0.4
24 Mar 2019 06:45 Waterbank Australia  0.3
22 Mar 2019 09:30 Onslow Australia  0.3
24 Mar 2019 06:45 Kennedys Cottage Australia  0.3
23 Mar 2019 08:45 Learmonth Australia  0.3
22 Mar 2019 21:00 Glenroy Australia  0.3
23 Mar 2019 08:45 Exmouth Australia  0.2
21 Mar 2019 18:00 Pender Australia  0.2
21 Mar 2019 18:15 Kollan I Australia  0.2
21 Mar 2019 14:45 Bapuju Indonesia  0.2
21 Mar 2019 14:45 Bahaur Indonesia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 11:15 Pagatan Indonesia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 11:15 Semisir Indonesia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 11:15 Salinau Indonesia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 11:15 Semaras Indonesia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 11:15 Boenati Indonesia  0.2
21 Mar 2019 16:00 Setiroek Indonesia  0.2
21 Mar 2019 15:45 Pagatan Indonesia  0.2
21 Mar 2019 14:45 Kualalupak Indonesia  0.2
21 Mar 2019 16:00 Muntjar Indonesia  0.2
21 Mar 2019 16:00 Blimbing Indonesia  0.2
21 Mar 2019 16:00 Dadapan Indonesia  0.2
21 Mar 2019 16:00 Banyuwangi Indonesia  0.2
21 Mar 2019 16:00 Banjuwangi Indonesia  0.2
21 Mar 2019 16:00 Gilimanuk Indonesia  0.2
21 Mar 2019 16:00 Penginoeman Indonesia  0.2
21 Mar 2019 16:00 Belimbingsari Indonesia  0.2
21 Mar 2019 16:00 Tjandikesuma Indonesia  0.2
21 Mar 2019 16:00 Banjoebiroe Indonesia  0.2
21 Mar 2019 16:00 Cupel Indonesia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 11:15 Tapianbalai Indonesia  0.2
21 Mar 2019 16:45 Manoelairoti Indonesia  0.2
21 Mar 2019 16:45 Namosain Indonesia  0.2
21 Mar 2019 16:45 Kupang Indonesia  0.2
21 Mar 2019 16:45 Poeloedae Indonesia  0.2
21 Mar 2019 16:45 Soelamoe Indonesia  0.2
21 Mar 2019 16:45 Maoelafa Indonesia  0.2
21 Mar 2019 16:45 Pitai Indonesia  0.2
21 Mar 2019 16:45 Manikin Indonesia  0.2
21 Mar 2019 16:45 Pariti Indonesia  0.2
21 Mar 2019 16:45 Naimoeti Indonesia  0.2
21 Mar 2019 15:45 Brassan Indonesia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 14:45 Aluhaluh Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 15:45 Masara Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 15:45 Tioro Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 15:45 Kembano Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 15:45 Tampo Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 15:45 Napabalana Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 15:45 Bonea Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 15:45 Koroni Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 15:45 Lebo Indonesia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 06:15 Cardabia Australia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 15:15 Pamandali Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 15:30 Wansabari Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 15:30 Raha Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 15:45 Lakara Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 15:30 Toroboeloe Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 15:15 Tinangea Indonesia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 14:15 Tambakkarangan Indonesia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 14:15 Bawahalajung Indonesia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 12:15 Kencong Indonesia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 12:15 Lodjedjer Indonesia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 06:00 Bundera Bundera Australia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 14:30 Tabanio Indonesia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 06:45 Ningaloo Australia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 05:15 Keoen Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 05:15 Daeoerendale Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 05:15 Mamaloek Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 05:15 Eahun Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 05:15 Pepela Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 05:15 Roti Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 05:15 Batuidu Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 05:15 Usulain Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 15:30 Roliai Indonesia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 14:45 Pagetan Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 15:30 Daole Indonesia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 14:00 Mboe Eain Indonesia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 14:00 Nembrala Indonesia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 14:00 Abuan Indonesia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 14:00 Ulua Indonesia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 14:00 Toedameda Indonesia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 14:00 Batutuah Indonesia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 14:00 Oeseda Indonesia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 14:00 Namodale Indonesia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 14:00 Husdale Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 14:30 Lemo Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 14:30 Laora Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 14:30 Kasiputih Indonesia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 07:15 Warroora Australia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 16:45 Sembelimbingan Indonesia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 16:45 Berangas Indonesia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 16:45 Soengaibali Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 10:45 Okaoka Indonesia  0.1
24 Mar 2019 02:00 Gnaraloo Australia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 14:45 Langadai Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 13:45 Konaweha Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 13:45 Kolaka Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 13:45 Tambea Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 13:45 Poendoei Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 13:45 Baru Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 14:00 Bangbong Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 14:00 Walue Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 14:00 Rumba Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 14:00 Ronta Indonesia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 23:15 Kebanjar Indonesia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 23:15 Baliga Indonesia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 23:15 Laboean Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 14:00 Labuban-Tobelo Indonesia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 23:00 Batoe Porong Indonesia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 13:45 Maoedoeloeng Indonesia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 13:45 Waingapu Indonesia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 13:45 Matawai Indonesia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 13:45 Pajeti Indonesia  0.1
24 Mar 2019 02:15 Cape Cuvier Australia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 11:00 Teloekkapalpetjah Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 14:15 Laboean-tobelo Indonesia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 18:15 Pringgabaja Indonesia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 18:15 Lombok Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 11:30 Sawarangan Indonesia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 15:45 Prancak Indonesia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 15:45 Negara Indonesia  0.1