Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for VERONICA-19
in Australia

Impact

Tropical Cyclone VERONICA-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Australia
Exposed population 20 thousand in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 198 km/h
Maximum storm surge 3.8 m (23 Mar 17:45 UTC)
Vulnerability Low (Australia)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 198 km/h 0.0 m 720 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 202 km/h 2.2 m 1279 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

202 km/h

Up to 20 thousand in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 22 Mar 2019 06:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
CAT. 3Australia1,875 
CAT. 2Australia13,528 
CAT. 1Australia2,433 
Tropical StormAustralia28,309 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 19 Mar 2019 18:00 202 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 20 Mar 2019 00:00 209 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 20 Mar 2019 06:00 212 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 20 Mar 2019 12:00 220 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 20 Mar 2019 18:00 212 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 21 Mar 2019 00:00 212 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 21 Mar 2019 06:00 212 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 21 Mar 2019 12:00 212 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 21 Mar 2019 18:00 220 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 22 Mar 2019 00:00 212 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 22 Mar 2019 06:00 198 20 thousand
- - Australia
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 22 Mar 2019 06:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
500-750 mmIndonesia, Australia47,802
+
Indonesia32,005 
Australia15,797 
250-500 mmIndonesia, Australia744,941
+
Indonesia743,976 
Australia965 
100-250 mmIndonesia, Australia14,425,104
+
Indonesia14,423,731 
Australia1,373 
50-100 mmIndonesia, Timor-Leste, Australia49,375,827
+
Indonesia49,365,028 
Timor-Leste8,131 
Australia2,668 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 19 Mar 2019 18:00 1398 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 20 Mar 2019 00:00 1687 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 20 Mar 2019 06:00 1603 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 20 Mar 2019 12:00 1541 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 20 Mar 2019 18:00 1548 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 21 Mar 2019 00:00 1622 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 21 Mar 2019 06:00 1590 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 21 Mar 2019 12:00 1624 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 21 Mar 2019 18:00 1084 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 22 Mar 2019 00:00 1066 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 22 Mar 2019 06:00 720 15.2 million
- - Indonesia, Timor-Leste, Australia




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

3.8 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  3.8m in Port Hedland, Australia. This height is estimated for 23 Mar 2019 17:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 22 Mar 2019 06:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
23 Mar 2019 17:45 Port Hedland Australia  3.8
23 Mar 2019 17:45 Wedgefield Australia  3.8
23 Mar 2019 16:15 Condon Australia  1.3
23 Mar 2019 23:15 Pardoo Australia  1.3
23 Mar 2019 04:45 East Lewis I Australia  1.2
23 Mar 2019 04:45 Dampier Australia  1.2
23 Mar 2019 04:45 Karratha Australia  1.2
23 Mar 2019 07:45 Wickham Australia  1.1
23 Mar 2019 07:45 Point Samson Australia  1.1
23 Mar 2019 07:45 Cossack Australia  1.1
22 Mar 2019 19:45 Ah Chong I Australia  0.6
22 Mar 2019 11:15 Mardie Australia  0.6
23 Mar 2019 00:15 Derby Australia  0.5
22 Mar 2019 23:15 Derby Australia  0.4
23 Mar 2019 04:45 Broome Australia  0.4
23 Mar 2019 04:45 Thangoo Australia  0.4
23 Mar 2019 12:30 Onslow Australia  0.3
23 Mar 2019 06:00 Waterbank Australia  0.3
23 Mar 2019 05:45 Kennedys Cottage Australia  0.3
23 Mar 2019 12:45 Glenroy Australia  0.3
23 Mar 2019 02:00 Exmouth Australia  0.3
23 Mar 2019 01:30 Learmonth Australia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 19:30 Pender Australia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 20:00 Kollan I Australia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 08:30 Muntjar Indonesia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 08:30 Blimbing Indonesia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 08:30 Dadapan Indonesia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 08:30 Banyuwangi Indonesia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 08:30 Banjuwangi Indonesia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 08:30 Gilimanuk Indonesia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 08:30 Penginoeman Indonesia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 08:30 Belimbingsari Indonesia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 08:30 Tjandikesuma Indonesia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 08:30 Banjoebiroe Indonesia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 08:30 Cupel Indonesia  0.2
24 Mar 2019 09:30 Masara Indonesia  0.2
24 Mar 2019 09:30 Tioro Indonesia  0.2
24 Mar 2019 09:30 Kembano Indonesia  0.2
24 Mar 2019 09:30 Tampo Indonesia  0.2
24 Mar 2019 09:30 Napabalana Indonesia  0.2
24 Mar 2019 09:30 Raha Indonesia  0.2
24 Mar 2019 09:30 Bonea Indonesia  0.2
24 Mar 2019 09:30 Pamandali Indonesia  0.2
24 Mar 2019 09:45 Koroni Indonesia  0.2
24 Mar 2019 09:45 Lebo Indonesia  0.2
24 Mar 2019 09:30 Wansabari Indonesia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 11:15 Boenati Indonesia  0.2
24 Mar 2019 09:45 Lakara Indonesia  0.2
24 Mar 2019 09:45 Toroboeloe Indonesia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 11:15 Pagatan Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 11:15 Semisir Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 11:15 Salinau Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 11:15 Semaras Indonesia  0.1
24 Mar 2019 09:45 Tinangea Indonesia  0.1
24 Mar 2019 09:45 Roliai Indonesia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 12:45 Bundera Bundera Australia  0.1
25 Mar 2019 04:15 Umbulan Padulmanan Indonesia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 05:15 Cardabia Australia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 11:15 Tapianbalai Indonesia  0.1
24 Mar 2019 09:30 Daole Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 10:15 Kencong Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 10:15 Lodjedjer Indonesia  0.1
24 Mar 2019 09:15 Lemo Indonesia  0.1
24 Mar 2019 09:15 Laora Indonesia  0.1
24 Mar 2019 09:15 Kasiputih Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 13:45 Konaweha Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 13:45 Kolaka Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 13:45 Tambea Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 13:45 Poendoei Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 13:45 Baru Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 08:15 Brassan Indonesia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 13:00 Ningaloo Australia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 17:15 Keoen Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 17:15 Daeoerendale Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 17:15 Mamaloek Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 17:15 Eahun Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 17:15 Pepela Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 17:15 Roti Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 17:15 Batuidu Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 17:15 Usulain Indonesia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 12:30 Warroora Australia  0.1
25 Mar 2019 06:00 Cilancang Indonesia  0.1
25 Mar 2019 06:00 Cirebon Indonesia  0.1
25 Mar 2019 06:00 Losan Indonesia  0.1
24 Mar 2019 21:30 Setiroek Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 22:00 Mboe Eain Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 22:00 Nembrala Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 22:00 Abuan Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 22:00 Ulua Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 22:00 Toedameda Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 22:00 Batutuah Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 22:00 Oeseda Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 22:00 Namodale Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 22:00 Husdale Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 19:30 Pagatan Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 08:15 Prancak Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 08:15 Negara Indonesia  0.1
25 Mar 2019 06:00 Bulakamba Indonesia  0.1
25 Mar 2019 05:45 Topoali Indonesia  0.1
25 Mar 2019 06:00 Karangampel Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 14:45 Langadai Indonesia  0.1
24 Mar 2019 09:30 Carnarvon Australia  0.1
24 Mar 2019 07:30 Gnaraloo Australia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 13:15 Lenteng Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 13:15 Rinca Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 13:15 Lo'o Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 13:15 Mboera Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 13:15 Labuhanbadjo Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 13:15 Badjo Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 13:15 Nggorang Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 08:00 Pringgabaja Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 08:00 Lombok Indonesia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 16:00 Batoe Porong Indonesia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 16:00 Kebanjar Indonesia  0.1
24 Mar 2019 05:30 Cape Cuvier Australia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 12:45 Matarape Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 12:45 Baja Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 13:30 Sembelimbingan Indonesia  0.1
24 Mar 2019 07:45 Quobba Australia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 11:15 Waingapu Indonesia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 11:15 Matawai Indonesia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 11:15 Pajeti Indonesia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 11:15 Lakohembi Indonesia  0.1
25 Mar 2019 05:45 Klampok Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 11:45 Okaoka Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 13:15 Tangetada Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 11:15 Teloekkapalpetjah Indonesia  0.1
25 Mar 2019 04:30 Gunung Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 14:45 Wasalangka Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 16:30 Manoelairoti Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 16:30 Namosain Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 16:30 Kupang Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 16:30 Poeloedae Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 16:30 Soelamoe Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 16:30 Maoelafa Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 16:30 Pitai Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 16:30 Manikin Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 16:30 Pariti Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 16:30 Naimoeti Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 06:15 Kualalupak Indonesia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 16:15 Baliga Indonesia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 16:15 Laboean Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 14:45 Berangas Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 14:45 Soengaibali Indonesia  0.1