Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for VERONICA-19
in Australia

Impact

Tropical Cyclone VERONICA-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Australia
Exposed population 20 thousand in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 173 km/h
Maximum storm surge 3.1 m (23 Mar 23:30 UTC)
Vulnerability Low (Australia)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 173 km/h 0.0 m 1404 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 202 km/h 2.2 m 1279 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

202 km/h

Up to 20 thousand in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 23 Mar 2019 12:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
CAT. 2Australia3,332 
CAT. 1Australia12,105 
Tropical StormAustralia31,685 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 19 Mar 2019 18:00 202 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 20 Mar 2019 00:00 209 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 20 Mar 2019 06:00 212 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 20 Mar 2019 12:00 220 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 20 Mar 2019 18:00 212 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 21 Mar 2019 00:00 212 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 21 Mar 2019 06:00 212 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 21 Mar 2019 12:00 212 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 21 Mar 2019 18:00 220 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 22 Mar 2019 00:00 212 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 22 Mar 2019 06:00 198 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 22 Mar 2019 12:00 202 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 22 Mar 2019 18:00 194 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 23 Mar 2019 00:00 180 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 23 Mar 2019 06:00 187 - - - - - - -
GREEN 16 23 Mar 2019 12:00 173 20 thousand
- - - Australia
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 23 Mar 2019 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
more than 1000 mmAustralia135 
750-1000 mmAustralia81 
500-750 mmAustralia9,213 
250-500 mmIndonesia, Australia667,496
+
Indonesia661,083 
Australia6,413 
100-250 mmIndonesia, Australia10,592,457
+
Indonesia10,591,220 
Australia1,237 
50-100 mmIndonesia, Timor-Leste, Australia40,620,442
+
Indonesia40,526,017 
Timor-Leste86,993 
Other countries513 
Australia6,919 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 19 Mar 2019 18:00 1398 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 20 Mar 2019 00:00 1687 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 20 Mar 2019 06:00 1603 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 20 Mar 2019 12:00 1541 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 20 Mar 2019 18:00 1548 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 21 Mar 2019 00:00 1622 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 21 Mar 2019 06:00 1590 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 21 Mar 2019 12:00 1624 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 21 Mar 2019 18:00 1084 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 22 Mar 2019 00:00 1066 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 22 Mar 2019 06:00 720 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 22 Mar 2019 12:00 707 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 22 Mar 2019 18:00 805 - - - - - - -
Blue 14 23 Mar 2019 00:00 1193 - - - - - - -
Blue 15 23 Mar 2019 06:00 1214 - - - - - - -
Blue 16 23 Mar 2019 12:00 1404 11.3 million
Indonesia, Timor-Leste, Other countries, Australia




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

3.1 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  3.1m in Port Hedland, Australia. This height is estimated for 23 Mar 2019 23:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 23 Mar 2019 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
23 Mar 2019 23:30 Port Hedland Australia  3.1
23 Mar 2019 23:30 Wedgefield Australia  3.1
23 Mar 2019 16:45 East Lewis I Australia  1.1
23 Mar 2019 16:45 Dampier Australia  1.1
23 Mar 2019 16:45 Karratha Australia  1.1
23 Mar 2019 15:45 Wickham Australia  1.1
23 Mar 2019 15:45 Point Samson Australia  1.1
23 Mar 2019 15:45 Cossack Australia  1.1
23 Mar 2019 21:45 Condon Australia  1.1
23 Mar 2019 22:45 Pardoo Australia  1.0
23 Mar 2019 12:00 Ah Chong I Australia  0.5
23 Mar 2019 13:15 Mardie Australia  0.5
24 Mar 2019 00:00 Broome Australia  0.4
24 Mar 2019 00:00 Thangoo Australia  0.4
24 Mar 2019 06:15 Derby Australia  0.4
23 Mar 2019 14:30 Onslow Australia  0.3
24 Mar 2019 05:30 Derby Australia  0.3
23 Mar 2019 13:30 Glenroy Australia  0.3
23 Mar 2019 12:00 Learmonth Australia  0.3
23 Mar 2019 23:30 Waterbank Australia  0.3
23 Mar 2019 23:15 Kennedys Cottage Australia  0.3
23 Mar 2019 12:30 Exmouth Australia  0.3
23 Mar 2019 15:00 Muntjar Indonesia  0.2
23 Mar 2019 15:00 Blimbing Indonesia  0.2
23 Mar 2019 15:00 Dadapan Indonesia  0.2
23 Mar 2019 15:00 Banyuwangi Indonesia  0.2
23 Mar 2019 15:00 Banjuwangi Indonesia  0.2
23 Mar 2019 15:00 Gilimanuk Indonesia  0.2
23 Mar 2019 15:00 Penginoeman Indonesia  0.2
23 Mar 2019 15:00 Belimbingsari Indonesia  0.2
23 Mar 2019 15:00 Tjandikesuma Indonesia  0.2
23 Mar 2019 15:00 Banjoebiroe Indonesia  0.2
23 Mar 2019 15:00 Cupel Indonesia  0.2
24 Mar 2019 00:15 Pender Australia  0.2
25 Mar 2019 14:00 Setiroek Indonesia  0.2
24 Mar 2019 02:00 Kollan I Australia  0.2
25 Mar 2019 06:15 Umbulan Padulmanan Indonesia  0.2
23 Mar 2019 12:30 Bundera Bundera Australia  0.2
23 Mar 2019 12:30 Warroora Australia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 12:30 Cardabia Australia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 12:30 Ningaloo Australia  0.1
25 Mar 2019 13:45 Pagatan Indonesia  0.1
25 Mar 2019 05:30 Topoali Indonesia  0.1
24 Mar 2019 09:45 Masara Indonesia  0.1
24 Mar 2019 09:45 Tioro Indonesia  0.1
24 Mar 2019 09:45 Kembano Indonesia  0.1
24 Mar 2019 09:45 Tampo Indonesia  0.1
24 Mar 2019 09:45 Napabalana Indonesia  0.1
24 Mar 2019 09:45 Bonea Indonesia  0.1
24 Mar 2019 09:45 Koroni Indonesia  0.1
24 Mar 2019 09:45 Lebo Indonesia  0.1
24 Mar 2019 09:45 Raha Indonesia  0.1
24 Mar 2019 09:45 Wansabari Indonesia  0.1
24 Mar 2019 09:30 Pamandali Indonesia  0.1
24 Mar 2019 10:00 Lakara Indonesia  0.1
24 Mar 2019 09:45 Toroboeloe Indonesia  0.1
24 Mar 2019 09:45 Tinangea Indonesia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 21:00 Gnaraloo Australia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 21:30 Brassan Indonesia  0.1
24 Mar 2019 09:30 Roliai Indonesia  0.1
25 Mar 2019 05:15 Gunung Indonesia  0.1
25 Mar 2019 09:45 Cangkring Indonesia  0.1
25 Mar 2019 09:45 Indramaju Indonesia  0.1
24 Mar 2019 06:00 Cape Cuvier Australia  0.1
24 Mar 2019 09:30 Daole Indonesia  0.1
24 Mar 2019 09:15 Lemo Indonesia  0.1
24 Mar 2019 09:15 Laora Indonesia  0.1
24 Mar 2019 09:15 Kasiputih Indonesia  0.1
25 Mar 2019 10:15 Bapuju Indonesia  0.1
25 Mar 2019 10:15 Bahaur Indonesia  0.1
24 Mar 2019 06:00 Quobba Australia  0.1
25 Mar 2019 14:15 Segintong Indonesia  0.1
25 Mar 2019 10:15 Pedes Indonesia  0.1
25 Mar 2019 10:15 Sungaibuntu Indonesia  0.1
25 Mar 2019 07:30 Pangkal Dudat Indonesia  0.1
25 Mar 2019 07:30 Tandjungkiras Indonesia  0.1
25 Mar 2019 07:30 Membalong Indonesia  0.1
25 Mar 2019 07:30 Djepuh Indonesia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 22:45 Keoen Indonesia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 22:45 Daeoerendale Indonesia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 22:45 Mamaloek Indonesia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 22:45 Eahun Indonesia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 22:45 Pepela Indonesia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 22:45 Roti Indonesia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 22:45 Batuidu Indonesia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 22:45 Usulain Indonesia  0.1
25 Mar 2019 10:00 Kualalupak Indonesia  0.1
25 Mar 2019 14:45 Tandjoengselaka Indonesia  0.1
24 Mar 2019 07:45 Carnarvon Australia  0.1
25 Mar 2019 07:45 Patrol Indonesia  0.1
25 Mar 2019 07:45 Kandanghaur Indonesia  0.1
25 Mar 2019 14:30 Mutua Indonesia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 14:00 Mboe Eain Indonesia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 14:00 Nembrala Indonesia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 14:00 Abuan Indonesia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 14:00 Ulua Indonesia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 14:00 Toedameda Indonesia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 14:00 Batutuah Indonesia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 14:00 Oeseda Indonesia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 14:00 Namodale Indonesia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 14:00 Husdale Indonesia  0.1
24 Mar 2019 09:30 Langadai Indonesia  0.1
24 Mar 2019 20:00 Pagatan Indonesia  0.1
24 Mar 2019 20:00 Semisir Indonesia  0.1
24 Mar 2019 20:00 Salinau Indonesia  0.1
24 Mar 2019 20:00 Semaras Indonesia  0.1
24 Mar 2019 09:00 Sembelimbingan Indonesia  0.1
24 Mar 2019 09:00 Berangas Indonesia  0.1
24 Mar 2019 09:00 Soengaibali Indonesia  0.1
25 Mar 2019 09:00 Aluhaluh Indonesia  0.1
25 Mar 2019 09:00 Tambakkarangan Indonesia  0.1
25 Mar 2019 09:00 Bawahalajung Indonesia  0.1
24 Mar 2019 20:30 Boenati Indonesia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 12:00 Waingapu Indonesia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 12:00 Matawai Indonesia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 12:00 Pajeti Indonesia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 12:00 Lakohembi Indonesia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 23:30 Prancak Indonesia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 23:30 Negara Indonesia  0.1
24 Mar 2019 03:00 Kencong Indonesia  0.1
24 Mar 2019 03:00 Lodjedjer Indonesia  0.1
24 Mar 2019 11:30 Pringgabaja Indonesia  0.1
24 Mar 2019 11:30 Lombok Indonesia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 13:15 Maoedoeloeng Indonesia  0.1