Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for CELIA-22
in Mexico
18 Jun 2022 18 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone CELIA-22 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries United States
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 72 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.4 m (18 Jun 23:15 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 72 km/h 0.4 m 161 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 162 km/h 0.6 m 621 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

162 km/h

Up to Few people can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 18 Jun 2022 18:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormUnited States45 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 16 Jun 2022 18:00 144 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 17 Jun 2022 00:00 162 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 17 Jun 2022 06:00 158 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 17 Jun 2022 12:00 151 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 17 Jun 2022 18:00 122 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 18 Jun 2022 00:00 115 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 18 Jun 2022 06:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 18 Jun 2022 12:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 18 Jun 2022 18:00 86 -
- - - - - United States
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 18 Jun 2022 18:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmPanama434 
100-250 mmMexico, Belize, Guatemala, Honduras, Nicaragua, El Salvador, Costa Rica, Panama9,130,443
+
Mexico4,397,143 
Belize23,019 
Guatemala987,050 
Honduras2,130,072 
Nicaragua1,234,479 
El Salvador148,299 
Costa Rica100,211 
Panama110,167 
50-100 mmMexico, United States, Belize, Guatemala, Honduras, Nicaragua, El Salvador, Colombia, Costa Rica, Panama32,079,457
+
Mexico7,226,566 
United States226,282 
Belize252,315 
Guatemala6,988,880 
Honduras3,399,883 
Nicaragua4,458,398 
El Salvador5,109,169 
Colombia76,993 
Costa Rica3,881,405 
Panama459,560 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 16 Jun 2022 18:00 158 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 17 Jun 2022 00:00 212 -
- - - - - Costa Rica
Blue 3 17 Jun 2022 06:00 243 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 17 Jun 2022 12:00 138 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 17 Jun 2022 18:00 172 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 18 Jun 2022 00:00 202 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 18 Jun 2022 06:00 138 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 18 Jun 2022 12:00 222 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 18 Jun 2022 18:00 337 9.1 million
- - - Mexico, United States, Belize, Guatemala, Honduras, Nicaragua, El Salvador, Colombia, Costa Rica, Panama




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Texas, Beach City, United States. This height is estimated for 19/06/2022 08:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 18 Jun 2022 18:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
19/06/2022 08:00 Texas, Beach City United States  0.3
19/06/2022 08:00 Texas, Cedar Point United States  0.3
19/06/2022 08:00 Texas, Seabrook United States  0.3
18/06/2022 06:00 Florida, Nine Mile United States  0.3
19/06/2022 04:00 Texas, El Campo Club Community United States  0.3
19/06/2022 08:00 Texas, Smith Point United States  0.3
19/06/2022 09:00 Louisiana, Cypremort Point United States  0.3
19/06/2022 03:00 Louisiana, Cameron United States  0.3
19/06/2022 05:00 Texas, North Beach United States  0.3
19/06/2022 05:00 Texas, Caplen United States  0.3
19/06/2022 05:00 Texas, Gilchrist United States  0.3
19/06/2022 04:00 Texas, Crystal Beach United States  0.3
19/06/2022 04:00 Texas, Patton United States  0.3
19/06/2022 05:00 Texas, Caruthers Cove Colonia United States  0.2
19/06/2022 01:00 Toledo, Cattle Landing Belize  0.2
19/06/2022 02:00 Tamaulipas, El Mezquite Mexico  0.2
18/06/2022 20:00 Atlantico Norte, Cabo Gracias Viejo Nicaragua  0.2
18/06/2022 18:00 Corozal, Corozal Belize  0.2
18/06/2022 17:00 Quintana Roo, Calderita Mexico  0.2
19/06/2022 04:00 Texas, Port Ingleside United States  0.2
19/06/2022 06:00 Gracias a Dios, Irlaya Honduras  0.2
18/06/2022 01:00 Campeche, Isla del Carmen Paso Real Mexico  0.2
19/06/2022 03:00 Louisiana, Cocodrie United States  0.2
19/06/2022 18:00 Veracruz, Buen Pais Mexico  0.2
19/06/2022 06:00 Gracias a Dios, Cabo Gracias a Dios Honduras  0.2
19/06/2022 04:00 Texas, Galveston Island Jamaica Beach United States  0.2
19/06/2022 01:00 Louisiana, Medicant Island Bassa Bassa United States  0.2
19/06/2022 17:00 Pinar del Rio, El Hondon Cuba  0.2
19/06/2022 05:00 Texas, Galveston Island Bay Harbor United States  0.2
19/06/2022 11:00 Belize, Belize City Belize  0.2
19/06/2022 18:00 Gracias a Dios, Pusuaya Honduras  0.2
18/06/2022 23:00 Veracruz, Anton Lizardo Mexico  0.2
19/06/2022 11:00 Corozal, Santeneja Belize  0.2
18/06/2022 21:00 Veracruz, Veracruz Mexico  0.2
19/06/2022 05:00 Texas, Quintana United States  0.2
19/06/2022 05:00 Florida, Apalachicola United States  0.2
19/06/2022 18:00 Gracias a Dios, Huarta Honduras  0.2
19/06/2022 17:00 Tamaulipas, El Porvenir Mexico  0.2
19/06/2022 17:00 Gracias a Dios, Tusi Cocal Honduras  0.2
19/06/2022 17:00 Colon, Puerto Castilla Honduras  0.2
19/06/2022 13:00 Islas de la Bahia, Isla de Roatan Roatan Honduras  0.2
19/06/2022 17:00 Colon, Empalme Honduras  0.2
19/06/2022 17:00 Gracias a Dios, Barra del Patuca Honduras  0.2
19/06/2022 17:00 Islas de la Bahia, Isla de Roatan Santa Elena Honduras  0.2
17/06/2022 22:00 Baja California Sur, Puerto Charley Mexico  0.2
19/06/2022 18:00 Gracias a Dios, Rio Platano Honduras  0.2
19/06/2022 17:00 Islas de la Bahia, Isla de Guanaja Red Cliff Honduras  0.2
19/06/2022 01:00 Tamaulipas, El Mezquital Mexico  0.2
18/06/2022 22:00 Atlantico Norte, Tahuantla Nicaragua  0.2
18/06/2022 22:00 Atlantico Norte, Puerto Isabel Nicaragua  0.2
19/06/2022 13:00 Veracruz, La Guadalupe Mexico  0.2
18/06/2022 23:00 Veracruz, Monte Gordo Mexico  0.2
19/06/2022 05:00 Atlantico Norte, Tuapi Nicaragua  0.2
18/06/2022 22:00 Veracruz, Tecolutla Mexico  0.2
19/06/2022 05:00 Atlantico Norte, Coco Haulover Nicaragua  0.2
19/06/2022 13:00 Corozal, Ambergris Cay San Pedro Belize  0.2
19/06/2022 08:00 Quintana Roo, Vigia Chico Mexico  0.2
19/06/2022 00:00 Tamaulipas, Las Guayabas Mexico  0.2
19/06/2022 13:00 Corozal, Ambergris Cay Bacalar Chico Belize  0.2
19/06/2022 05:00 Atlantico Norte, Huahua Nicaragua  0.2
19/06/2022 09:00 Veracruz, El Laurel Mexico  0.2
19/06/2022 11:00 Quintana Roo, Majahual Mexico  0.2
17/06/2022 14:00 Florida, Punta Rassa United States  0.2
19/06/2022 12:00 Quintana Roo, El Placer Mexico  0.2
18/06/2022 13:00 Florida, Feather Sound United States  0.2
19/06/2022 01:00 Louisiana, Cheniere Caminada United States  0.2
19/06/2022 01:00 Louisiana, Grand Isle United States  0.2
19/06/2022 15:00 Pinar del Rio, Punta de Fisga Cuba  0.2
19/06/2022 05:00 Atlantico Sur, Sandy Bay Sirpi Nicaragua  0.2
19/06/2022 17:00 Pinar del Rio, La Furnia Cuba  0.2
19/06/2022 06:00 Atlantico Sur, Barra de Rio Grande Nicaragua  0.2
18/06/2022 22:00 Louisiana, West Point United States  0.2
19/06/2022 03:00 Louisiana, Port Fourchon United States  0.2
19/06/2022 03:00 Louisiana, Breton United States  0.2
17/06/2022 04:00 Chiriqui, Batipa Panama  0.2
18/06/2022 19:00 Florida, Sanibel Island Fort Myers Beach United States  0.2
19/06/2022 12:00 Florida, Dry Tortugas Fort Jefferson United States  0.2
19/06/2022 02:00 Sinaloa, Las Arenitas Mexico  0.1
19/06/2022 18:00 Bocas del Toro, Loma Partida Panama  0.1
19/06/2022 02:00 Louisiana, Port Eads United States  0.1
18/06/2022 19:00 Florida, Boca Grande United States  0.1
19/06/2022 15:00 Bocas del Toro, Quebrada Jones Panama  0.1
19/06/2022 02:00 Louisiana, South Pass United States  0.1
19/06/2022 18:00 Bocas del Toro, Macca Bite Panama  0.1
18/06/2022 13:00 Chiapas, Pasito de la Senora Mexico  0.1
18/06/2022 19:00 Florida, Sanibel Island Captiva United States  0.1
18/06/2022 19:00 Florida, Sanibel Island Wulfert United States  0.1
19/06/2022 18:00 Bocas del Toro, Lennond Panama  0.1
19/06/2022 18:00 Bocas del Toro, Carretera Bocas Panama  0.1
19/06/2022 18:00 Bocas del Toro, Bocas del Toro Panama  0.1
19/06/2022 18:00 Bocas del Toro, Big Creek Panama  0.1
19/06/2022 18:00 Bocas del Toro, Caremero Panama  0.1
19/06/2022 03:00 Sonora, Guaymas Mexico  0.1
18/06/2022 02:00 Florida, Tierra Verde United States  0.1
18/06/2022 02:00 Florida, Bayway United States  0.1
18/06/2022 02:00 Florida, Lakewood Estates United States  0.1
18/06/2022 00:00 Valle, Puerto Grande Honduras  0.1
18/06/2022 00:00 Valle, El Moray Honduras  0.1
18/06/2022 01:00 Florida, Fort De Soto United States  0.1
18/06/2022 01:00 Florida, Bahia Shores United States  0.1
18/06/2022 01:00 Florida, Saint Petersburg Beach United States  0.1
18/06/2022 02:00 Florida, Anna Maria United States  0.1
18/06/2022 02:00 Florida, Holmes Beach United States  0.1
18/06/2022 02:00 Florida, Ilexhurst United States  0.1
19/06/2022 02:00 Sonora, Atanacio Mexico  0.1
19/06/2022 02:00 Sonora, San Jose Mexico  0.1
17/06/2022 04:00 Bocas del Toro, Boquita Panama  0.1
18/06/2022 01:00 Valle, El Ajustillo Honduras  0.1
18/06/2022 01:00 Valle, Las Piletas Honduras  0.1
19/06/2022 18:00 Atlantico Sur, Islas del Maiz (Corn Islands) Corn Island Nicaragua  0.1
19/06/2022 17:00 Limon, Barra Costa Rica  0.1
19/06/2022 17:00 Limon, Colorado Costa Rica  0.1
19/06/2022 17:00 Atlantico Sur, Amerisco Nicaragua  0.1
19/06/2022 17:00 Limon, Doce Millas Costa Rica  0.1
19/06/2022 15:00 Atlantico Sur, Barra Punta Gorda Nicaragua  0.1
19/06/2022 16:00 Atlantico Sur, Monkey Point Nicaragua  0.1
18/06/2022 00:00 Valle, Gualora Honduras  0.1
17/06/2022 03:00 Bocas del Toro, Isla Torta Panama  0.1
17/06/2022 21:00 Escuintla, Sipacate Guatemala  0.1
19/06/2022 01:00 Baja California Sur, Punta Colorada Mexico  0.1
19/06/2022 01:00 Baja California Sur, Punta Arena Mexico  0.1
17/06/2022 23:00 Escuintla, El Naranjo Guatemala  0.1
19/06/2022 03:00 Baja California Sur, Tripui Mexico  0.1
18/06/2022 00:00 Baja California Sur, San Carlos Mexico  0.1
17/06/2022 23:00 Escuintla, La Barrita Guatemala  0.1
19/06/2022 02:00 Baja California Sur, Ensenada de los Muertos Mexico  0.1
17/06/2022 23:00 Escuintla, San Jose Guatemala  0.1
19/06/2022 01:00 Baja California Sur, San Jose del Cabo Mexico  0.1
19/06/2022 01:00 Baja California Sur, El Cardoncito Mexico  0.1
18/06/2022 07:00 Puntarenas, Puerto Escondido Costa Rica  0.1
18/06/2022 07:00 Puntarenas, Playa Blanca Costa Rica  0.1
19/06/2022 17:00 Michoacan de Ocampo, Melchor Ocampo Mexico  0.1
17/06/2022 23:00 Escuintla, Iztapa Guatemala  0.1
17/06/2022 16:00 Leon, Linda Vista Nicaragua  0.1
18/06/2022 22:00 Oaxaca, Majada Villalobos Mexico  0.1
19/06/2022 01:00 Baja California Sur, El Tule Mexico  0.1
17/06/2022 23:00 Santa Rosa, Papaturro Guatemala  0.1
18/06/2022 22:00 Oaxaca, Garrapateras Mexico  0.1
17/06/2022 23:00 Puntarenas, San Lucas Costa Rica  0.1
19/06/2022 11:00 Oaxaca, Bajos de Chila Mexico  0.1
19/06/2022 17:00 Oaxaca, Puerto Angel Mexico  0.1
19/06/2022 16:00 Puntarenas, Gigante Costa Rica  0.1
18/06/2022 06:00 Guanacaste, El Jobo Costa Rica  0.1
16/06/2022 22:00 Chiriqui, Mata Hambre Panama  0.1
17/06/2022 00:00 Puntarenas, Esterillo Este Costa Rica  0.1
17/06/2022 00:00 Puntarenas, Bejuco Costa Rica  0.1