Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for CELIA-22
in Mexico
18 Jun 2022 00 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone CELIA-22 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 115 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.5 m (18 Jun 06:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 115 km/h 0.5 m 202 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 162 km/h 0.6 m 621 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

162 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 18 Jun 2022 00:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 16 Jun 2022 18:00 144 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 17 Jun 2022 00:00 162 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 17 Jun 2022 06:00 158 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 17 Jun 2022 12:00 151 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 17 Jun 2022 18:00 122 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 18 Jun 2022 00:00 115 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 18 Jun 2022 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmMexico, Belize, Guatemala, Honduras, Nicaragua, El Salvador, Costa Rica2,871,191
+
Mexico1,512,041 
Belize2,103 
Guatemala782,187 
Honduras284,473 
Nicaragua169,095 
El Salvador61,482 
Costa Rica59,807 
50-100 mmMexico, United States, Belize, Guatemala, Honduras, Nicaragua, El Salvador, Costa Rica, Panama30,483,571
+
Mexico7,632,595 
United States518,385 
Belize249,615 
Guatemala6,540,894 
Honduras4,923,726 
Nicaragua4,915,568 
El Salvador1,195,911 
Costa Rica3,921,734 
Panama585,138 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 16 Jun 2022 18:00 158 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 17 Jun 2022 00:00 212 -
- - - - - Costa Rica
Blue 3 17 Jun 2022 06:00 243 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 17 Jun 2022 12:00 138 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 17 Jun 2022 18:00 172 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 18 Jun 2022 00:00 316 2.9 million
- - - - Mexico, United States, Belize, Guatemala, Honduras, Nicaragua, El Salvador, Costa Rica, Panama




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Florida, Feather Sound, United States. This height is estimated for 18/06/2022 06:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 18 Jun 2022 00:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
18/06/2022 06:00 Florida, Feather Sound United States  0.3
19/06/2022 09:00 Corozal, Corozal Belize  0.3
19/06/2022 08:00 Quintana Roo, Calderita Mexico  0.3
18/06/2022 18:00 Campeche, Isla del Carmen Paso Real Mexico  0.2
19/06/2022 15:00 Veracruz, Buen Pais Mexico  0.2
18/06/2022 04:00 Florida, Tierra Verde United States  0.2
18/06/2022 04:00 Florida, Bayway United States  0.2
18/06/2022 04:00 Florida, Lakewood Estates United States  0.2
19/06/2022 17:00 Texas, El Campo Club Community United States  0.2
19/06/2022 16:00 Texas, North Beach United States  0.2
19/06/2022 14:00 Atlantico Norte, Cabo Gracias Viejo Nicaragua  0.2
19/06/2022 07:00 Belize, Belize City Belize  0.2
19/06/2022 16:00 Tamaulipas, El Mezquite Mexico  0.2
19/06/2022 08:00 Corozal, Santeneja Belize  0.2
18/06/2022 05:00 Florida, Punta Rassa United States  0.2
19/06/2022 15:00 Veracruz, Anton Lizardo Mexico  0.2
19/06/2022 14:00 Toledo, Cattle Landing Belize  0.2
19/06/2022 18:00 Texas, Beach City United States  0.2
18/06/2022 05:00 Florida, Nine Mile United States  0.2
19/06/2022 15:00 Gracias a Dios, Irlaya Honduras  0.2
19/06/2022 15:00 Veracruz, Veracruz Mexico  0.2
19/06/2022 15:00 Gracias a Dios, Pusuaya Honduras  0.2
19/06/2022 17:00 Louisiana, Cocodrie United States  0.2
18/06/2022 04:00 Florida, Bahia Shores United States  0.2
18/06/2022 04:00 Florida, Saint Petersburg Beach United States  0.2
19/06/2022 14:00 Gracias a Dios, Cabo Gracias a Dios Honduras  0.2
18/06/2022 04:00 Florida, Fort De Soto United States  0.2
19/06/2022 16:00 Louisiana, Cameron United States  0.2
19/06/2022 18:00 Louisiana, Cypremort Point United States  0.2
18/06/2022 04:00 Florida, Anna Maria United States  0.2
18/06/2022 04:00 Florida, Holmes Beach United States  0.2
18/06/2022 04:00 Florida, Ilexhurst United States  0.2
19/06/2022 16:00 Texas, Caruthers Cove Colonia United States  0.2
19/06/2022 18:00 Texas, Cedar Point United States  0.2
19/06/2022 15:00 Veracruz, Monte Gordo Mexico  0.2
19/06/2022 15:00 Veracruz, La Guadalupe Mexico  0.2
19/06/2022 06:00 Quintana Roo, Vigia Chico Mexico  0.2
19/06/2022 18:00 Tamaulipas, El Porvenir Mexico  0.2
19/06/2022 15:00 Veracruz, Tecolutla Mexico  0.2
19/06/2022 15:00 Veracruz, El Laurel Mexico  0.2
19/06/2022 14:00 Colon, Puerto Castilla Honduras  0.2
19/06/2022 18:00 Pinar del Rio, El Hondon Cuba  0.2
19/06/2022 16:00 Islas de la Bahia, Isla de Roatan Roatan Honduras  0.2
19/06/2022 13:00 Colon, Empalme Honduras  0.2
19/06/2022 18:00 Tamaulipas, El Mezquital Mexico  0.2
19/06/2022 14:00 Texas, Caplen United States  0.2
19/06/2022 14:00 Texas, Gilchrist United States  0.2
19/06/2022 15:00 Texas, Port Ingleside United States  0.2
19/06/2022 16:00 Islas de la Bahia, Isla de Roatan Santa Elena Honduras  0.2
19/06/2022 16:00 Tamaulipas, Las Guayabas Mexico  0.2
19/06/2022 16:00 Louisiana, Medicant Island Bassa Bassa United States  0.2
19/06/2022 18:00 Texas, Seabrook United States  0.2
18/06/2022 04:00 Florida, Boca Grande United States  0.2
19/06/2022 16:00 Islas de la Bahia, Isla de Guanaja Red Cliff Honduras  0.2
19/06/2022 18:00 Atlantico Norte, Tahuantla Nicaragua  0.2
19/06/2022 18:00 Atlantico Norte, Puerto Isabel Nicaragua  0.2
19/06/2022 17:00 Gracias a Dios, Barra del Patuca Honduras  0.2
19/06/2022 16:00 Gracias a Dios, Tusi Cocal Honduras  0.2
19/06/2022 16:00 Gracias a Dios, Huarta Honduras  0.2
19/06/2022 05:00 Corozal, Ambergris Cay San Pedro Belize  0.2
19/06/2022 16:00 Louisiana, West Point United States  0.2
18/06/2022 15:00 Baja California Sur, Puerto Charley Mexico  0.2
19/06/2022 15:00 Texas, Crystal Beach United States  0.2
19/06/2022 15:00 Texas, Patton United States  0.2
19/06/2022 18:00 Gracias a Dios, Rio Platano Honduras  0.2
18/06/2022 04:00 Florida, Sanibel Island Fort Myers Beach United States  0.2
19/06/2022 17:00 Corozal, Ambergris Cay Bacalar Chico Belize  0.2
19/06/2022 06:00 Quintana Roo, Majahual Mexico  0.2
19/06/2022 18:00 Texas, Smith Point United States  0.2
19/06/2022 15:00 Texas, Galveston Island Jamaica Beach United States  0.2
19/06/2022 17:00 Atlantico Norte, Coco Haulover Nicaragua  0.2
19/06/2022 06:00 Quintana Roo, El Placer Mexico  0.2
19/06/2022 17:00 Louisiana, Breton United States  0.2
19/06/2022 17:00 Atlantico Norte, Huahua Nicaragua  0.2
19/06/2022 14:00 Texas, Quintana United States  0.2
18/06/2022 21:00 Florida, Apalachicola United States  0.2
19/06/2022 15:00 Texas, Galveston Island Bay Harbor United States  0.2
19/06/2022 16:00 Atlantico Norte, Tuapi Nicaragua  0.2
19/06/2022 16:00 Louisiana, Cheniere Caminada United States  0.2
19/06/2022 16:00 Louisiana, Grand Isle United States  0.2
19/06/2022 08:00 Pinar del Rio, Punta de Fisga Cuba  0.2
19/06/2022 17:00 Louisiana, Port Fourchon United States  0.2
18/06/2022 04:00 Florida, Sanibel Island Captiva United States  0.2
18/06/2022 04:00 Florida, Sanibel Island Wulfert United States  0.2
19/06/2022 18:00 Pinar del Rio, La Furnia Cuba  0.1
19/06/2022 18:00 Atlantico Sur, Sandy Bay Sirpi Nicaragua  0.1
18/06/2022 17:00 Valle, Puerto Grande Honduras  0.1
18/06/2022 17:00 Valle, El Moray Honduras  0.1
19/06/2022 18:00 Atlantico Sur, Barra de Rio Grande Nicaragua  0.1
17/06/2022 09:00 Chiapas, Pasito de la Senora Mexico  0.1
19/06/2022 18:00 Louisiana, Port Eads United States  0.1
19/06/2022 18:00 Louisiana, South Pass United States  0.1
19/06/2022 18:00 Florida, Dry Tortugas Fort Jefferson United States  0.1
18/06/2022 17:00 Valle, El Ajustillo Honduras  0.1
18/06/2022 17:00 Valle, Las Piletas Honduras  0.1
19/06/2022 15:00 Sonora, Atanacio Mexico  0.1
19/06/2022 15:00 Sonora, San Jose Mexico  0.1
18/06/2022 16:00 Sinaloa, Las Arenitas Mexico  0.1
18/06/2022 13:00 Escuintla, Sipacate Guatemala  0.1
18/06/2022 18:00 Valle, Gualora Honduras  0.1
19/06/2022 14:00 Baja California Sur, San Carlos Mexico  0.1
19/06/2022 16:00 Sonora, Guaymas Mexico  0.1
18/06/2022 11:00 Escuintla, El Naranjo Guatemala  0.1
18/06/2022 10:00 Escuintla, La Barrita Guatemala  0.1
19/06/2022 17:00 Baja California Sur, Punta Colorada Mexico  0.1
19/06/2022 17:00 Baja California Sur, Punta Arena Mexico  0.1
18/06/2022 18:00 Escuintla, San Jose Guatemala  0.1
18/06/2022 17:00 Michoacan de Ocampo, Melchor Ocampo Mexico  0.1
18/06/2022 18:00 Escuintla, Iztapa Guatemala  0.1
18/06/2022 18:00 Leon, Linda Vista Nicaragua  0.1
19/06/2022 16:00 Baja California Sur, Tripui Mexico  0.1
18/06/2022 17:00 Puntarenas, San Lucas Costa Rica  0.1
18/06/2022 18:00 Santa Rosa, Papaturro Guatemala  0.1
18/06/2022 19:00 Puntarenas, Gigante Costa Rica  0.1
19/06/2022 17:00 Baja California Sur, Ensenada de los Muertos Mexico  0.1
19/06/2022 07:00 Guanacaste, El Jobo Costa Rica  0.1
18/06/2022 17:00 Oaxaca, Majada Villalobos Mexico  0.1
16/06/2022 19:00 Baja California Sur, San Jose del Cabo Mexico  0.1
18/06/2022 17:00 Oaxaca, Garrapateras Mexico  0.1
19/06/2022 11:00 Puntarenas, Puerto Escondido Costa Rica  0.1
19/06/2022 11:00 Puntarenas, Playa Blanca Costa Rica  0.1
19/06/2022 17:00 Baja California Sur, El Cardoncito Mexico  0.1