Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for CELIA-22
in Mexico
19 Jun 2022 06 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone CELIA-22 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 58 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.4 m (19 Jun 12:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 58 km/h 0.4 m 96 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 162 km/h 0.6 m 621 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

162 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 19 Jun 2022 06:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 16 Jun 2022 18:00 144 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 17 Jun 2022 00:00 162 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 17 Jun 2022 06:00 158 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 17 Jun 2022 12:00 151 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 17 Jun 2022 18:00 122 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 18 Jun 2022 00:00 115 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 18 Jun 2022 06:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 18 Jun 2022 12:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 18 Jun 2022 18:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 19 Jun 2022 00:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 19 Jun 2022 06:00 79 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 19 Jun 2022 06:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmMexico, Belize, Guatemala, Honduras, Nicaragua, El Salvador, Costa Rica, Panama5,198,046
+
Mexico929,201 
Belize136,934 
Guatemala1,295,569 
Honduras1,826,200 
Nicaragua388,237 
El Salvador50,400 
Costa Rica441,580 
Panama129,922 
50-100 mmMexico, Belize, Guatemala, Honduras, Nicaragua, El Salvador, Colombia, Costa Rica, Panama36,955,210
+
Mexico13,816,364 
Belize170,291 
Guatemala10,469,655 
Honduras1,636,635 
Nicaragua5,456,310 
El Salvador1,055,460 
Colombia76,993 
Costa Rica3,813,491 
Panama460,007 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 16 Jun 2022 18:00 158 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 17 Jun 2022 00:00 212 -
- - - - - Costa Rica
Blue 3 17 Jun 2022 06:00 243 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 17 Jun 2022 12:00 138 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 17 Jun 2022 18:00 172 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 18 Jun 2022 00:00 202 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 18 Jun 2022 06:00 138 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 18 Jun 2022 12:00 222 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 18 Jun 2022 18:00 161 -
- - - - - Costa Rica, Panama
Blue 10 19 Jun 2022 00:00 219 Few people
- - - - Mexico, Panama
Blue 11 19 Jun 2022 06:00 306 5.2 million
- - - - Mexico, Belize, Guatemala, Honduras, Nicaragua, El Salvador, Colombia, Costa Rica, Panama




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Texas, Beach City, United States. This height is estimated for 18/06/2022 20:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 19 Jun 2022 06:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
18/06/2022 20:00 Texas, Beach City United States  0.3
18/06/2022 19:00 Louisiana, Cypremort Point United States  0.3
18/06/2022 21:00 Texas, Cedar Point United States  0.3
18/06/2022 21:00 Texas, Seabrook United States  0.3
18/06/2022 21:00 Texas, Smith Point United States  0.3
18/06/2022 18:00 Florida, Nine Mile United States  0.3
18/06/2022 17:00 Texas, North Beach United States  0.3
19/06/2022 09:00 Tamaulipas, El Mezquite Mexico  0.3
18/06/2022 15:00 Louisiana, Cameron United States  0.3
18/06/2022 15:00 Texas, Caplen United States  0.3
18/06/2022 15:00 Texas, Gilchrist United States  0.3
18/06/2022 17:00 Texas, Caruthers Cove Colonia United States  0.2
18/06/2022 16:00 Texas, Crystal Beach United States  0.2
18/06/2022 16:00 Texas, Patton United States  0.2
18/06/2022 20:00 Texas, El Campo Club Community United States  0.2
18/06/2022 16:00 Texas, Port Ingleside United States  0.2
18/06/2022 07:00 Atlantico Norte, Cabo Gracias Viejo Nicaragua  0.2
19/06/2022 02:00 Corozal, Corozal Belize  0.2
18/06/2022 16:00 Texas, Galveston Island Jamaica Beach United States  0.2
19/06/2022 12:00 Gracias a Dios, Irlaya Honduras  0.2
17/06/2022 12:00 Campeche, Isla del Carmen Paso Real Mexico  0.2
19/06/2022 01:00 Quintana Roo, Calderita Mexico  0.2
18/06/2022 17:00 Texas, Galveston Island Bay Harbor United States  0.2
19/06/2022 12:00 Gracias a Dios, Cabo Gracias a Dios Honduras  0.2
19/06/2022 12:00 Gracias a Dios, Pusuaya Honduras  0.2
18/06/2022 18:00 Florida, Apalachicola United States  0.2
19/06/2022 10:00 Toledo, Cattle Landing Belize  0.2
19/06/2022 07:00 Veracruz, Buen Pais Mexico  0.2
18/06/2022 16:00 Louisiana, Cocodrie United States  0.2
18/06/2022 11:00 Belize, Belize City Belize  0.2
19/06/2022 17:00 Pinar del Rio, El Hondon Cuba  0.2
19/06/2022 09:00 Tamaulipas, El Porvenir Mexico  0.2
19/06/2022 17:00 Atlantico Norte, Tahuantla Nicaragua  0.2
19/06/2022 17:00 Atlantico Norte, Puerto Isabel Nicaragua  0.2
19/06/2022 01:00 Corozal, Santeneja Belize  0.2
19/06/2022 04:00 Veracruz, Anton Lizardo Mexico  0.2
18/06/2022 17:00 Texas, Quintana United States  0.2
19/06/2022 18:00 Atlantico Norte, Coco Haulover Nicaragua  0.2
19/06/2022 05:00 Veracruz, Veracruz Mexico  0.2
19/06/2022 08:00 Colon, Empalme Honduras  0.2
19/06/2022 12:00 Gracias a Dios, Barra del Patuca Honduras  0.2
19/06/2022 12:00 Gracias a Dios, Tusi Cocal Honduras  0.2
19/06/2022 12:00 Gracias a Dios, Huarta Honduras  0.2
19/06/2022 08:00 Colon, Puerto Castilla Honduras  0.2
19/06/2022 18:00 Atlantico Sur, Sandy Bay Sirpi Nicaragua  0.2
19/06/2022 18:00 Atlantico Sur, Barra de Rio Grande Nicaragua  0.2
19/06/2022 08:00 Islas de la Bahia, Isla de Roatan Roatan Honduras  0.2
19/06/2022 09:00 Tamaulipas, El Mezquital Mexico  0.2
18/06/2022 08:00 Quintana Roo, Vigia Chico Mexico  0.2
19/06/2022 18:00 Atlantico Norte, Huahua Nicaragua  0.2
19/06/2022 12:00 Gracias a Dios, Rio Platano Honduras  0.2
19/06/2022 09:00 Islas de la Bahia, Isla de Roatan Santa Elena Honduras  0.2
19/06/2022 08:00 Islas de la Bahia, Isla de Guanaja Red Cliff Honduras  0.2
18/06/2022 14:00 Louisiana, Medicant Island Bassa Bassa United States  0.2
19/06/2022 09:00 Tamaulipas, Las Guayabas Mexico  0.2
19/06/2022 16:00 Atlantico Norte, Tuapi Nicaragua  0.2
17/06/2022 16:00 Florida, Punta Rassa United States  0.2
18/06/2022 21:00 Veracruz, La Guadalupe Mexico  0.2
19/06/2022 09:00 Corozal, Ambergris Cay San Pedro Belize  0.2
19/06/2022 07:00 Veracruz, El Laurel Mexico  0.2
19/06/2022 10:00 Corozal, Ambergris Cay Bacalar Chico Belize  0.2
19/06/2022 08:00 Veracruz, Tecolutla Mexico  0.2
19/06/2022 07:00 Veracruz, Monte Gordo Mexico  0.2
19/06/2022 10:00 Quintana Roo, Majahual Mexico  0.2
19/06/2022 11:00 Quintana Roo, El Placer Mexico  0.2
17/06/2022 09:00 Baja California Sur, Puerto Charley Mexico  0.2
19/06/2022 17:00 Pinar del Rio, La Furnia Cuba  0.2
19/06/2022 14:00 Florida, Feather Sound United States  0.2
19/06/2022 15:00 Pinar del Rio, Punta de Fisga Cuba  0.2
19/06/2022 15:00 Atlantico Sur, Islas del Maiz (Corn Islands) Corn Island Nicaragua  0.2
19/06/2022 17:00 Atlantico Sur, Monkey Point Nicaragua  0.2
19/06/2022 12:00 Florida, Bahia Shores United States  0.2
19/06/2022 12:00 Florida, Saint Petersburg Beach United States  0.2
19/06/2022 18:00 Bocas del Toro, Loma Partida Panama  0.2
19/06/2022 18:00 Bocas del Toro, Macca Bite Panama  0.2
19/06/2022 18:00 Atlantico Sur, Barra Punta Gorda Nicaragua  0.2
19/06/2022 16:00 Bocas del Toro, Quebrada Jones Panama  0.2
19/06/2022 12:00 Florida, Fort De Soto United States  0.2
18/06/2022 14:00 Louisiana, Cheniere Caminada United States  0.2
18/06/2022 14:00 Louisiana, Grand Isle United States  0.2
19/06/2022 12:00 Florida, Tierra Verde United States  0.1
19/06/2022 12:00 Florida, Bayway United States  0.1
19/06/2022 12:00 Florida, Lakewood Estates United States  0.1
18/06/2022 10:00 Louisiana, West Point United States  0.1
19/06/2022 13:00 Florida, Dry Tortugas Fort Jefferson United States  0.1
19/06/2022 16:00 Bocas del Toro, Lennond Panama  0.1
19/06/2022 16:00 Bocas del Toro, Carretera Bocas Panama  0.1
19/06/2022 16:00 Bocas del Toro, Bocas del Toro Panama  0.1
19/06/2022 16:00 Bocas del Toro, Big Creek Panama  0.1
19/06/2022 16:00 Bocas del Toro, Caremero Panama  0.1
17/06/2022 15:00 Florida, Sanibel Island Fort Myers Beach United States  0.1
19/06/2022 17:00 Atlantico Sur, Amerisco Nicaragua  0.1
19/06/2022 17:00 Limon, Barra Costa Rica  0.1
19/06/2022 17:00 Limon, Colorado Costa Rica  0.1
19/06/2022 18:00 Limon, Doce Millas Costa Rica  0.1
18/06/2022 14:00 Louisiana, Port Fourchon United States  0.1
18/06/2022 15:00 Louisiana, Breton United States  0.1
19/06/2022 14:00 Sinaloa, Las Arenitas Mexico  0.1
19/06/2022 17:00 Louisiana, Port Eads United States  0.1
19/06/2022 18:00 Louisiana, South Pass United States  0.1
18/06/2022 13:00 Valle, Puerto Grande Honduras  0.1
18/06/2022 13:00 Valle, El Moray Honduras  0.1
19/06/2022 12:00 Florida, Anna Maria United States  0.1
19/06/2022 12:00 Florida, Holmes Beach United States  0.1
19/06/2022 12:00 Florida, Ilexhurst United States  0.1
19/06/2022 14:00 Sonora, Atanacio Mexico  0.1
18/06/2022 16:00 Sonora, Guaymas Mexico  0.1
18/06/2022 13:00 Valle, El Ajustillo Honduras  0.1
18/06/2022 13:00 Valle, Las Piletas Honduras  0.1
19/06/2022 16:00 Sonora, San Jose Mexico  0.1
19/06/2022 12:00 Michoacan de Ocampo, Melchor Ocampo Mexico  0.1
19/06/2022 15:00 Puntarenas, San Lucas Costa Rica  0.1
17/06/2022 15:00 Florida, Boca Grande United States  0.1
19/06/2022 01:00 Chiapas, Pasito de la Senora Mexico  0.1
19/06/2022 15:00 Puntarenas, Gigante Costa Rica  0.1
17/06/2022 11:00 Escuintla, Sipacate Guatemala  0.1
17/06/2022 15:00 Florida, Sanibel Island Captiva United States  0.1
17/06/2022 15:00 Florida, Sanibel Island Wulfert United States  0.1
19/06/2022 13:00 Valle, Gualora Honduras  0.1
19/06/2022 16:00 Baja California Sur, Tripui Mexico  0.1
16/06/2022 18:00 Puntarenas, Madrigal Costa Rica  0.1
17/06/2022 12:00 Baja California Sur, San Carlos Mexico  0.1
19/06/2022 15:00 Baja California Sur, Punta Colorada Mexico  0.1
19/06/2022 15:00 Baja California Sur, Punta Arena Mexico  0.1
19/06/2022 17:00 Bocas del Toro, Boquita Panama  0.1
19/06/2022 13:00 Chiriqui, Batipa Panama  0.1
19/06/2022 15:00 Baja California Sur, Ensenada de los Muertos Mexico  0.1
19/06/2022 08:00 Puntarenas, Playa Blanca Costa Rica  0.1
19/06/2022 08:00 Puntarenas, Puerto Escondido Costa Rica  0.1
17/06/2022 09:00 Escuintla, El Naranjo Guatemala  0.1
17/06/2022 11:00 Escuintla, La Barrita Guatemala  0.1
19/06/2022 18:00 Bocas del Toro, Isla Torta Panama  0.1
19/06/2022 14:00 Baja California Sur, San Jose del Cabo Mexico  0.1
19/06/2022 16:00 Baja California Sur, El Cardoncito Mexico  0.1
19/06/2022 15:00 Baja California Sur, El Tule Mexico  0.1
19/06/2022 14:00 Puntarenas, Esterillo Este Costa Rica  0.1
19/06/2022 14:00 Puntarenas, Bejuco Costa Rica  0.1
17/06/2022 11:00 Escuintla, San Jose Guatemala  0.1
18/06/2022 11:00 Oaxaca, Majada Villalobos Mexico  0.1
19/06/2022 12:00 Puntarenas, Esterillos Este Costa Rica  0.1
17/06/2022 11:00 Escuintla, Iztapa Guatemala  0.1
19/06/2022 11:00 Santa Rosa, Papaturro Guatemala  0.1
19/06/2022 15:00 Oaxaca, Bajos de Chila Mexico  0.1
17/06/2022 10:00 Leon, Linda Vista Nicaragua  0.1
19/06/2022 16:00 Oaxaca, Puerto Angel Mexico  0.1
19/06/2022 17:00 Guanacaste, Puerto San Juanillo Costa Rica  0.1
19/06/2022 16:00 Guanacaste, El Jobo Costa Rica  0.1
19/06/2022 18:00 Chiriqui, Mata Hambre Panama  0.1
18/06/2022 13:00 Oaxaca, Garrapateras Mexico  0.1
19/06/2022 17:00 Guanacaste, Carrillo Costa Rica  0.1
19/06/2022 18:00 Chiriqui, Finca Pino Panama  0.1
19/06/2022 18:00 Chiriqui, Salado de Los Guavos Panama  0.1
19/06/2022 18:00 Chiriqui, Salado de Los Guabos Panama  0.1