Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for CELIA-22
in Mexico
17 Jun 2022 12 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone CELIA-22 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 151 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.5 m (17 Jun 12:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 151 km/h 0.5 m 138 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 162 km/h 0.6 m 621 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 17 Jun 2022 12:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 16 Jun 2022 18:00 144 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 17 Jun 2022 00:00 162 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 17 Jun 2022 06:00 158 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 17 Jun 2022 12:00 151 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall

621 mm

Up to 3.6 million can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 17 Jun 2022 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmMexico, Belize, Guatemala, Honduras, Nicaragua, El Salvador, Costa Rica, Panama3,627,777
+
Mexico1,168,430 
Belize123,206 
Guatemala387,566 
Honduras1,314,100 
Nicaragua186,799 
El Salvador189,948 
Costa Rica168,438 
Panama89,287 
50-100 mmMexico, United States, Belize, Guatemala, Honduras, Nicaragua, El Salvador, Costa Rica, Panama25,718,014
+
Mexico7,146,281 
United States537,917 
Belize220,667 
Guatemala2,658,495 
Honduras4,204,141 
Nicaragua4,861,992 
El Salvador1,994,088 
Costa Rica3,594,192 
Panama500,237 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 16 Jun 2022 18:00 158 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 17 Jun 2022 00:00 212 -
- - - - - Costa Rica
Blue 3 17 Jun 2022 06:00 243 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 17 Jun 2022 12:00 448 3.6 million
- - - - Mexico, United States, Belize, Guatemala, Honduras, Nicaragua, El Salvador, Costa Rica, Panama




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Florida, Nine Mile, United States. This height is estimated for 18/06/2022 12:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 17 Jun 2022 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
18/06/2022 12:00 Florida, Nine Mile United States  0.3
18/06/2022 16:00 Florida, Punta Rassa United States  0.2
19/06/2022 06:00 Florida, Feather Sound United States  0.2
19/06/2022 06:00 Campeche, Isla del Carmen Paso Real Mexico  0.2
18/06/2022 12:00 Florida, Apalachicola United States  0.2
19/06/2022 17:00 Gracias a Dios, Irlaya Honduras  0.2
19/06/2022 16:00 Belize, Belize City Belize  0.2
19/06/2022 13:00 Texas, North Beach United States  0.2
19/06/2022 16:00 Gracias a Dios, Cabo Gracias a Dios Honduras  0.2
19/06/2022 16:00 Atlantico Norte, Cabo Gracias Viejo Nicaragua  0.2
19/06/2022 16:00 Toledo, Cattle Landing Belize  0.2
19/06/2022 18:00 Corozal, Corozal Belize  0.2
19/06/2022 12:00 Texas, Caruthers Cove Colonia United States  0.2
19/06/2022 03:00 Baja California Sur, Puerto Charley Mexico  0.2
19/06/2022 17:00 Quintana Roo, Vigia Chico Mexico  0.2
19/06/2022 18:00 Gracias a Dios, Pusuaya Honduras  0.2
19/06/2022 12:00 Texas, El Campo Club Community United States  0.2
18/06/2022 16:00 Florida, Tierra Verde United States  0.2
18/06/2022 16:00 Florida, Bayway United States  0.2
18/06/2022 16:00 Florida, Lakewood Estates United States  0.2
19/06/2022 18:00 Quintana Roo, Calderita Mexico  0.2
19/06/2022 12:00 Texas, Port Ingleside United States  0.2
18/06/2022 15:00 Florida, Sanibel Island Fort Myers Beach United States  0.2
19/06/2022 17:00 Corozal, Ambergris Cay San Pedro Belize  0.2
19/06/2022 18:00 Corozal, Santeneja Belize  0.2
19/06/2022 14:00 Veracruz, Buen Pais Mexico  0.2
19/06/2022 11:00 Tamaulipas, El Mezquite Mexico  0.2
19/06/2022 18:00 Islas de la Bahia, Isla de Roatan Roatan Honduras  0.2
19/06/2022 18:00 Corozal, Ambergris Cay Bacalar Chico Belize  0.2
19/06/2022 17:00 Islas de la Bahia, Isla de Roatan Santa Elena Honduras  0.2
19/06/2022 15:00 Colon, Puerto Castilla Honduras  0.2
19/06/2022 17:00 Islas de la Bahia, Isla de Guanaja Red Cliff Honduras  0.2
19/06/2022 17:00 Colon, Empalme Honduras  0.2
19/06/2022 17:00 Quintana Roo, Majahual Mexico  0.2
19/06/2022 18:00 Gracias a Dios, Huarta Honduras  0.2
19/06/2022 18:00 Gracias a Dios, Tusi Cocal Honduras  0.2
19/06/2022 18:00 Gracias a Dios, Barra del Patuca Honduras  0.2
19/06/2022 16:00 Veracruz, Anton Lizardo Mexico  0.2
19/06/2022 18:00 Quintana Roo, El Placer Mexico  0.2
19/06/2022 18:00 Gracias a Dios, Rio Platano Honduras  0.2
19/06/2022 11:00 Texas, Beach City United States  0.2
19/06/2022 16:00 Pinar del Rio, El Hondon Cuba  0.2
19/06/2022 12:00 Louisiana, Cocodrie United States  0.2
19/06/2022 07:00 Texas, Crystal Beach United States  0.2
19/06/2022 07:00 Texas, Patton United States  0.2
19/06/2022 13:00 Veracruz, Veracruz Mexico  0.2
19/06/2022 15:00 Texas, Caplen United States  0.2
19/06/2022 15:00 Texas, Gilchrist United States  0.2
19/06/2022 16:00 Louisiana, Cameron United States  0.2
19/06/2022 13:00 Texas, Seabrook United States  0.2
18/06/2022 14:00 Florida, Boca Grande United States  0.2
18/06/2022 16:00 Florida, Bahia Shores United States  0.2
18/06/2022 16:00 Florida, Saint Petersburg Beach United States  0.2
18/06/2022 14:00 Florida, Sanibel Island Captiva United States  0.2
18/06/2022 14:00 Florida, Sanibel Island Wulfert United States  0.2
19/06/2022 15:00 Veracruz, Monte Gordo Mexico  0.2
19/06/2022 15:00 Veracruz, La Guadalupe Mexico  0.2
19/06/2022 12:00 Texas, Cedar Point United States  0.2
19/06/2022 10:00 Tamaulipas, El Mezquital Mexico  0.2
19/06/2022 14:00 Veracruz, Tecolutla Mexico  0.2
19/06/2022 06:00 Louisiana, Cypremort Point United States  0.2
19/06/2022 07:00 Texas, Galveston Island Jamaica Beach United States  0.2
18/06/2022 16:00 Florida, Fort De Soto United States  0.2
19/06/2022 13:00 Texas, Smith Point United States  0.2
19/06/2022 13:00 Texas, Quintana United States  0.2
19/06/2022 09:00 Tamaulipas, El Porvenir Mexico  0.2
19/06/2022 14:00 Louisiana, Medicant Island Bassa Bassa United States  0.2
19/06/2022 13:00 Veracruz, El Laurel Mexico  0.2
19/06/2022 11:00 Tamaulipas, Las Guayabas Mexico  0.2
19/06/2022 07:00 Texas, Galveston Island Bay Harbor United States  0.2
19/06/2022 17:00 Louisiana, West Point United States  0.2
19/06/2022 07:00 Chiapas, Pasito de la Senora Mexico  0.2
19/06/2022 17:00 Louisiana, Breton United States  0.2
17/06/2022 04:00 Valle, Puerto Grande Honduras  0.1
17/06/2022 04:00 Valle, El Moray Honduras  0.1
19/06/2022 09:00 Sonora, Atanacio Mexico  0.1
18/06/2022 16:00 Florida, Anna Maria United States  0.1
18/06/2022 16:00 Florida, Holmes Beach United States  0.1
18/06/2022 16:00 Florida, Ilexhurst United States  0.1
19/06/2022 14:00 Louisiana, Cheniere Caminada United States  0.1
19/06/2022 14:00 Louisiana, Grand Isle United States  0.1
19/06/2022 13:00 Louisiana, Port Fourchon United States  0.1
19/06/2022 18:00 Pinar del Rio, La Furnia Cuba  0.1
19/06/2022 17:00 Pinar del Rio, Punta de Fisga Cuba  0.1
19/06/2022 13:00 Louisiana, Port Eads United States  0.1
19/06/2022 07:00 Escuintla, El Naranjo Guatemala  0.1
19/06/2022 13:00 Louisiana, South Pass United States  0.1
19/06/2022 05:00 Escuintla, Sipacate Guatemala  0.1
19/06/2022 09:00 Sonora, San Jose Mexico  0.1
19/06/2022 06:00 Valle, El Ajustillo Honduras  0.1
19/06/2022 06:00 Valle, Las Piletas Honduras  0.1
19/06/2022 05:00 Escuintla, La Barrita Guatemala  0.1
19/06/2022 05:00 Escuintla, San Jose Guatemala  0.1
19/06/2022 07:00 Atlantico Norte, Tuapi Nicaragua  0.1
19/06/2022 08:00 Atlantico Norte, Tahuantla Nicaragua  0.1
19/06/2022 08:00 Atlantico Norte, Puerto Isabel Nicaragua  0.1
19/06/2022 06:00 Valle, Gualora Honduras  0.1
19/06/2022 07:00 Escuintla, Iztapa Guatemala  0.1
19/06/2022 13:00 Florida, Dry Tortugas Fort Jefferson United States  0.1
19/06/2022 07:00 Santa Rosa, Papaturro Guatemala  0.1
19/06/2022 07:00 Atlantico Norte, Huahua Nicaragua  0.1
19/06/2022 07:00 Atlantico Norte, Coco Haulover Nicaragua  0.1
19/06/2022 10:00 Sinaloa, Las Arenitas Mexico  0.1
19/06/2022 07:00 Sonora, Guaymas Mexico  0.1
19/06/2022 07:00 Baja California Sur, San Carlos Mexico  0.1
19/06/2022 01:00 Leon, Linda Vista Nicaragua  0.1
17/06/2022 01:00 Guanacaste, El Jobo Costa Rica  0.1
19/06/2022 04:00 Puntarenas, San Lucas Costa Rica  0.1
19/06/2022 05:00 Baja California Sur, Punta Colorada Mexico  0.1
19/06/2022 05:00 Baja California Sur, Punta Arena Mexico  0.1
19/06/2022 11:00 Baja California Sur, Tripui Mexico  0.1
19/06/2022 04:00 Michoacan de Ocampo, Melchor Ocampo Mexico  0.1
19/06/2022 13:00 Atlantico Sur, Sandy Bay Sirpi Nicaragua  0.1
19/06/2022 17:00 Oaxaca, Garrapateras Mexico  0.1
19/06/2022 14:00 Oaxaca, Majada Villalobos Mexico  0.1
19/06/2022 05:00 Baja California Sur, Ensenada de los Muertos Mexico  0.1
19/06/2022 15:00 Puntarenas, Playa Blanca Costa Rica  0.1
19/06/2022 15:00 Puntarenas, Puerto Escondido Costa Rica  0.1
19/06/2022 15:00 Oaxaca, Puerto Angel Mexico  0.1
19/06/2022 02:00 Puntarenas, Gigante Costa Rica  0.1
19/06/2022 14:00 Atlantico Sur, Barra de Rio Grande Nicaragua  0.1
17/06/2022 01:00 Bocas del Toro, Isla Torta Panama  0.1
16/06/2022 19:00 Bocas del Toro, Boquita Panama  0.1
19/06/2022 15:00 Oaxaca, Bajos de Chila Mexico  0.1
19/06/2022 06:00 Baja California Sur, Puerto Magdalena Mexico  0.1