Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for CELIA-22
in Mexico

Impact

Tropical Cyclone CELIA-22 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 144 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.4 m (16 Jun 23:45 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 144 km/h 0.4 m 158 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 162 km/h 0.6 m 621 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 16 Jun 2022 18:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 16 Jun 2022 18:00 144 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h

Rainfall

621 mm

Up to 630 thousand can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 16 Jun 2022 18:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmMexico, Belize, Guatemala, Honduras, Nicaragua628,205
+
Mexico574,276 
Belize3,447 
Guatemala31 
Honduras25,861 
Nicaragua24,588 
50-100 mmUnited States, Mexico, Belize, Guatemala, Honduras, Nicaragua, Costa Rica, Panama13,448,355
+
United States1,542 
Mexico5,618,923 
Belize153,723 
Guatemala1,383,162 
Honduras1,172,504 
Nicaragua948,268 
Costa Rica3,737,213 
Panama433,017 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 16 Jun 2022 18:00 868 630 thousand
- - - - United States, Mexico, Belize, Guatemala, Honduras, Nicaragua, Costa Rica, Panama




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.4m in Bahia Kino, Mexico. This height is estimated for 16 Jun 2022 23:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 16 Jun 2022 18:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
16 Jun 2022 23:45 Bahia Kino Mexico  0.4
17 Jun 2022 00:00 Molino Lacy Mexico  0.3
17 Jun 2022 00:00 Molino Mexico  0.3
17 Jun 2022 00:00 Puerto Libertad Mexico  0.3
17 Jun 2022 00:00 Tecomate Mexico  0.3
17 Jun 2022 00:00 Cabo Tepoca Mexico  0.3
17 Jun 2022 00:00 El Desemboque Mexico  0.3
16 Jun 2022 23:45 San Rafael Mexico  0.3
17 Jun 2022 00:00 Agua de las Flores Mexico  0.3
16 Jun 2022 21:45 El Castillo Mexico  0.3
16 Jun 2022 21:45 Las Arenitas Mexico  0.3
16 Jun 2022 21:30 Novillero Mexico  0.2
16 Jun 2022 21:30 Cuantla Mexico  0.2
17 Jun 2022 00:00 El Barril Mexico  0.2
16 Jun 2022 21:00 Cuamecate Mexico  0.2
16 Jun 2022 21:00 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
16 Jun 2022 23:15 Tastiota Mexico  0.2
16 Jun 2022 22:45 Guaymas Mexico  0.2
16 Jun 2022 22:45 Empalme Mexico  0.2
16 Jun 2022 21:45 Datilito Mexico  0.2
16 Jun 2022 21:45 La Paz Mexico  0.2
16 Jun 2022 21:45 Rosario Mexico  0.2
16 Jun 2022 23:15 Atanacio Mexico  0.2
16 Jun 2022 23:15 El Paredoncito Mexico  0.2
16 Jun 2022 23:15 Borabampo Mexico  0.2
16 Jun 2022 23:00 Guasimas Mexico  0.2
16 Jun 2022 23:00 San Jose Mexico  0.2
16 Jun 2022 21:30 La Boca Mexico  0.2
16 Jun 2022 21:15 Boca del Rio Mexico  0.2
16 Jun 2022 21:15 La Playa Colorada Mexico  0.2
16 Jun 2022 21:30 Altata Mexico  0.2
16 Jun 2022 23:00 San Bruno Mexico  0.2
16 Jun 2022 23:45 Boca Nueva Mexico  0.2
16 Jun 2022 23:45 Paso Real Mexico  0.2
16 Jun 2022 23:15 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.2
16 Jun 2022 21:15 El Nuevo Mexico  0.2
16 Jun 2022 21:15 Toro Mocho Mexico  0.2
16 Jun 2022 21:15 San Blas Mexico  0.2
16 Jun 2022 20:45 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
16 Jun 2022 22:45 Loreto Mexico  0.2
16 Jun 2022 22:45 Ligui Mexico  0.2
16 Jun 2022 22:45 Tripui Mexico  0.2
16 Jun 2022 23:15 Mulege Mexico  0.2
16 Jun 2022 23:45 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
16 Jun 2022 20:45 Perihuete Mexico  0.2
16 Jun 2022 22:00 Las Bocas Mexico  0.2
16 Jun 2022 21:15 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.2
16 Jun 2022 22:30 Cachoana Mexico  0.2
16 Jun 2022 22:45 Liliba Mexico  0.2
16 Jun 2022 21:00 Puerto Charley Mexico  0.2
16 Jun 2022 21:00 Quinones Mexico  0.2
16 Jun 2022 23:00 San Carlos Mexico  0.2
16 Jun 2022 21:15 La Puerta Mexico  0.2
16 Jun 2022 23:15 Los Dolores Mexico  0.2
16 Jun 2022 23:45 Noham Mexico  0.2
16 Jun 2022 23:45 Porfirio Diaz Mexico  0.2
16 Jun 2022 23:45 Chenkan Mexico  0.2
16 Jun 2022 22:15 Santa Marta Mexico  0.2
16 Jun 2022 22:00 Camahuiroa Mexico  0.2
16 Jun 2022 21:00 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.2
16 Jun 2022 22:45 San Bruno Mexico  0.2
17 Jun 2022 00:00 Hoquel Mexico  0.2
17 Jun 2022 00:00 Champoton Mexico  0.2
16 Jun 2022 23:00 Ciudad del Carmen Mexico  0.2
16 Jun 2022 22:15 Topolobampo Mexico  0.2
16 Jun 2022 23:00 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.2
16 Jun 2022 23:00 San Ignacio Mexico  0.2
16 Jun 2022 23:45 Sabancuy Mexico  0.2
16 Jun 2022 23:00 San Juanico Mexico  0.2
17 Jun 2022 00:00 Las Champas Guatemala  0.2
17 Jun 2022 00:00 Barra de Santiago El Salvador  0.2
17 Jun 2022 00:00 Buenos Aires El Salvador  0.2
17 Jun 2022 00:00 Metalio El Salvador  0.2
17 Jun 2022 00:00 Acajutla El Salvador  0.2
17 Jun 2022 00:00 Los Cobanos El Salvador  0.2
16 Jun 2022 21:30 Caimanero Mexico  0.2
16 Jun 2022 21:30 Jarilla Mexico  0.2
16 Jun 2022 20:45 Rancho Datilari Mexico  0.2
16 Jun 2022 22:15 San Cosme Mexico  0.2
16 Jun 2022 21:45 Cuero Honduras  0.2
16 Jun 2022 21:45 Boca del Toro Honduras  0.2
16 Jun 2022 21:45 El Porvenir Honduras  0.2
16 Jun 2022 21:45 La Ceiba Honduras  0.2
17 Jun 2022 00:00 Haltunchen Mexico  0.2
16 Jun 2022 22:30 El Real Mexico  0.2
16 Jun 2022 22:30 Chupadero Mexico  0.2
16 Jun 2022 22:30 Apisa Mexico  0.2
17 Jun 2022 00:00 Victoria Mexico  0.2
17 Jun 2022 00:00 Balchacah Mexico  0.2
16 Jun 2022 22:30 El Aquajito Mexico  0.2
16 Jun 2022 23:45 Calla de Campos Mexico  0.2
16 Jun 2022 23:45 Chula Mexico  0.2
17 Jun 2022 00:00 Barra de la Gabina Guatemala  0.2
16 Jun 2022 20:45 Rancho Conejo Mexico  0.2
16 Jun 2022 22:00 El Guatamota Mexico  0.2
16 Jun 2022 21:00 El Ciruelo Mexico  0.2
16 Jun 2022 21:00 Cuyutlan Mexico  0.2
16 Jun 2022 22:15 Claura Honduras  0.2
16 Jun 2022 22:15 Patlaya Honduras  0.2
16 Jun 2022 22:15 Uhi Honduras  0.2
16 Jun 2022 22:15 Pusuaya Honduras  0.2
16 Jun 2022 21:00 Dimas Mexico  0.2
16 Jun 2022 21:00 Puerto Venustiano Carranza Mexico  0.2
16 Jun 2022 21:00 La Fortuna Mexico  0.2
16 Jun 2022 21:00 El Cardoncito Mexico  0.2
16 Jun 2022 21:30 La Ventana Mexico  0.2
16 Jun 2022 21:30 Ensenada de los Muertos Mexico  0.2
16 Jun 2022 21:30 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
17 Jun 2022 00:00 Arrozal Mexico  0.2
17 Jun 2022 00:00 San Pedro Guatemala  0.2
16 Jun 2022 20:30 Marmol Mexico  0.2
16 Jun 2022 20:30 Florida Mexico  0.2
16 Jun 2022 20:30 Mazatlan Mexico  0.2
16 Jun 2022 22:30 Tambobiche Mexico  0.2
16 Jun 2022 22:30 Los Burros Mexico  0.2
17 Jun 2022 00:00 Buenavista Mexico  0.2
16 Jun 2022 21:30 Madero Amarillo Mexico  0.2
16 Jun 2022 20:30 La Palmita Mexico  0.2
16 Jun 2022 21:45 Punta Mita Mexico  0.2
16 Jun 2022 21:45 San Francisco Mexico  0.2
16 Jun 2022 21:45 Cruz de Juanacaxtle Mexico  0.2
16 Jun 2022 21:45 Monteon Mexico  0.2
16 Jun 2022 23:15 Seybaplaya Mexico  0.2
16 Jun 2022 23:15 Campeche Mexico  0.2
16 Jun 2022 21:30 Los Frailes Mexico  0.2
16 Jun 2022 21:45 Puerto Magdalena Mexico  0.2
16 Jun 2022 21:45 San Carlos Mexico  0.2
16 Jun 2022 21:30 La Ribera Mexico  0.1
16 Jun 2022 21:30 Punta Colorada Mexico  0.1
16 Jun 2022 21:30 Punta Arena Mexico  0.1
16 Jun 2022 21:30 Los Tesos Mexico  0.1
16 Jun 2022 23:45 Tierra Colorada Mexico  0.1
17 Jun 2022 00:00 Astillero Guatemala  0.1
17 Jun 2022 00:00 El Puente Nicaragua  0.1
17 Jun 2022 00:00 Venecia Nicaragua  0.1
17 Jun 2022 00:00 Jiquilillo Nicaragua  0.1
17 Jun 2022 00:00 Santo Tomas Nicaragua  0.1
17 Jun 2022 00:00 Petacaltepe Nicaragua  0.1
17 Jun 2022 00:00 Aposentillo Nicaragua  0.1
16 Jun 2022 21:15 El Tomale Mexico  0.1
16 Jun 2022 21:15 Agua Fresca Mexico  0.1
16 Jun 2022 21:15 Cunano Mexico  0.1
16 Jun 2022 23:00 Acapulco Mexico  0.1
16 Jun 2022 23:00 El Marques Mexico  0.1
16 Jun 2022 20:15 La Lima Mexico  0.1
17 Jun 2022 00:00 El Naranjo Honduras  0.1
17 Jun 2022 00:00 Boca Vieja Honduras  0.1
16 Jun 2022 23:45 La Barrita Guatemala  0.1
16 Jun 2022 23:45 San Jose Guatemala  0.1
16 Jun 2022 23:45 Iztapa Guatemala  0.1
16 Jun 2022 21:15 La Trinadad Mexico  0.1
16 Jun 2022 21:15 Las Palmas Mexico  0.1
16 Jun 2022 20:45 Hidalgo Mexico  0.1
16 Jun 2022 20:45 Francisco I. Madero Mexico  0.1
16 Jun 2022 21:30 Santa Rosa Aguan Honduras  0.1
16 Jun 2022 21:30 Limon Honduras  0.1
16 Jun 2022 21:30 San Juan de la Costa Mexico  0.1
17 Jun 2022 00:00 Balantanche Mexico  0.1
16 Jun 2022 21:45 Barron Mexico  0.1
17 Jun 2022 00:00 La Candelaria Guatemala  0.1
17 Jun 2022 00:00 El Pumpo Guatemala  0.1
17 Jun 2022 00:00 La Avellana Guatemala  0.1
17 Jun 2022 00:00 Agua Dulce Guatemala  0.1
17 Jun 2022 00:00 La Gloria Mexico  0.1
17 Jun 2022 00:00 Chaparral Mexico  0.1
16 Jun 2022 19:00 Melchor Ocampo Mexico  0.1
16 Jun 2022 20:30 Los Inocentes Mexico  0.1
16 Jun 2022 20:30 Chiltepec Mexico  0.1
17 Jun 2022 00:00 Piedra Pintada Honduras  0.1
16 Jun 2022 21:30 Barranco Blanco Honduras  0.1
16 Jun 2022 21:30 Barra de Chapagua Honduras  0.1
16 Jun 2022 21:15 Monte de Oro Mexico  0.1
16 Jun 2022 21:15 San Pedro Mexico  0.1
17 Jun 2022 00:00 Agua Dulce Honduras  0.1
17 Jun 2022 00:00 Huajapan Mexico  0.1
17 Jun 2022 00:00 El Roble Mexico  0.1
17 Jun 2022 00:00 Cachimba Mexico  0.1
17 Jun 2022 00:00 Pesqueria Mexico  0.1
17 Jun 2022 00:00 San Dionisio del Mar Mexico  0.1
17 Jun 2022 00:00 San Francisco del Mar Mexico  0.1
17 Jun 2022 00:00 La Majada Mexico  0.1
17 Jun 2022 00:00 Barrio Nuevo Mexico  0.1
17 Jun 2022 00:00 Zihuatanejo Mexico  0.1
16 Jun 2022 20:30 Puerto Vallarta Mexico  0.1
16 Jun 2022 21:45 Pizota Mexico  0.1
17 Jun 2022 00:00 Acapan Guatemala  0.1
17 Jun 2022 00:00 Champerico Guatemala  0.1
16 Jun 2022 22:45 Hacienda Santa Elena Costa Rica  0.1
16 Jun 2022 22:45 El Ostional Nicaragua  0.1
16 Jun 2022 22:45 El Jobo Costa Rica  0.1
16 Jun 2022 22:45 Hacienda Murcielago Costa Rica  0.1
16 Jun 2022 22:45 Cuatro Caminos Nicaragua  0.1
16 Jun 2022 22:45 Murcielago Costa Rica  0.1
16 Jun 2022 22:45 Puerto Soleo Costa Rica  0.1
17 Jun 2022 00:00 Puerto de San Benito Mexico  0.1
17 Jun 2022 00:00 Ocos Guatemala  0.1
17 Jun 2022 00:00 Solo Dios Mexico  0.1
16 Jun 2022 19:00 Barra de Navidad Mexico  0.1
16 Jun 2022 19:00 Estrecho Mexico  0.1
16 Jun 2022 23:45 Las Pinas Mexico  0.1
16 Jun 2022 23:45 Playa Azul Mexico  0.1
16 Jun 2022 20:45 San Jose del Cabo Mexico  0.1
17 Jun 2022 00:00 Huitzitzil Guatemala  0.1
17 Jun 2022 00:00 Barra Madre Vieja Guatemala  0.1
17 Jun 2022 00:00 Tecojate Guatemala  0.1
17 Jun 2022 00:00 San Jose Rama Blanca Guatemala  0.1
16 Jun 2022 21:15 Cuitzmala Mexico  0.1
16 Jun 2022 21:15 La Manzanilla Mexico  0.1
16 Jun 2022 22:00 New Haven Belize  0.1
16 Jun 2022 22:00 Monkey River Belize  0.1
16 Jun 2022 22:00 Alabama Wharf Belize  0.1
16 Jun 2022 19:30 Cayaca Mexico  0.1
16 Jun 2022 21:30 Corrales Mexico  0.1
16 Jun 2022 21:30 Aquiles Serdan Mexico  0.1
16 Jun 2022 21:30 Ipala Mexico  0.1
16 Jun 2022 23:45 El Amparo Nicaragua  0.1
16 Jun 2022 23:45 El Transito Nicaragua  0.1
16 Jun 2022 23:45 El Tinco Nicaragua  0.1
16 Jun 2022 23:45 Salamina Nicaragua  0.1
16 Jun 2022 23:45 San Juan Nicaragua  0.1
16 Jun 2022 23:45 El Zapote Nicaragua  0.1
16 Jun 2022 20:30 Las Barrillas Mexico  0.1
16 Jun 2022 20:45 Desembarcadero de Miller Mexico  0.1
16 Jun 2022 21:45 Balfate Honduras  0.1
16 Jun 2022 21:45 Rio Esteban Honduras  0.1
16 Jun 2022 21:45 Miranda Honduras  0.1
16 Jun 2022 21:45 Betulia Honduras  0.1
16 Jun 2022 21:00 La Florida Mexico  0.1
16 Jun 2022 21:00 Adolfo Lopez Mateos Mexico  0.1
16 Jun 2022 20:30 Las Trojitas Mexico  0.1
16 Jun 2022 20:00 Buenaventura Mexico  0.1
16 Jun 2022 20:00 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.1
17 Jun 2022 00:00 Los Cayitos Honduras  0.1
17 Jun 2022 00:00 Quebrada Grande Honduras  0.1
16 Jun 2022 21:30 Santa Fe Honduras  0.1
16 Jun 2022 21:30 Puerto Castilla Honduras  0.1
16 Jun 2022 21:30 Pital Honduras  0.1
16 Jun 2022 21:30 Empalme Honduras  0.1
16 Jun 2022 20:30 Salina Cruz Mexico  0.1
16 Jun 2022 20:30 Lagarto Mexico  0.1
16 Jun 2022 20:30 Costa Rica Mexico  0.1
17 Jun 2022 00:00 Isla de Mendez El Salvador  0.1
17 Jun 2022 00:00 El Espiritu Santo El Salvador  0.1
17 Jun 2022 00:00 Corral de Mulas El Salvador  0.1
17 Jun 2022 00:00 El Mezquite Mexico  0.1
16 Jun 2022 19:00 Joluta Mexico  0.1
16 Jun 2022 22:00 Sipacate Guatemala  0.1
16 Jun 2022 19:45 Chola Mexico  0.1
16 Jun 2022 23:30 Neyac Mexico  0.1
16 Jun 2022 21:30 Limera Honduras  0.1
16 Jun 2022 21:30 Trujillo Honduras  0.1
16 Jun 2022 20:45 Todos Santos Mexico  0.1
16 Jun 2022 20:45 El Tule Mexico  0.1
16 Jun 2022 21:00 La Tinaja Mexico  0.1
16 Jun 2022 21:00 Pozo de Cota Mexico  0.1
17 Jun 2022 00:00 Acachapa El Salvador  0.1
17 Jun 2022 00:00 El Nispero El Salvador  0.1
16 Jun 2022 20:45 El Pescadero Mexico  0.1
17 Jun 2022 00:00 La Verde Guatemala  0.1
17 Jun 2022 00:00 El Tulate Guatemala  0.1
17 Jun 2022 00:00 Tahuesco Guatemala  0.1
17 Jun 2022 00:00 Nueva Venecia Guatemala  0.1
17 Jun 2022 00:00 Bella Vista Honduras  0.1
16 Jun 2022 22:15 Yahurabila Honduras  0.1
16 Jun 2022 21:00 Queretaro Mexico  0.1
16 Jun 2022 21:30 Saraguama Honduras  0.1
16 Jun 2022 21:30 El Tigre Honduras  0.1
16 Jun 2022 21:30 Barra Ulua Honduras  0.1
16 Jun 2022 21:30 Rio Tinto Honduras  0.1
16 Jun 2022 21:30 San Juan Honduras  0.1
17 Jun 2022 00:00 Papaturro Guatemala  0.1
16 Jun 2022 20:15 Tupilco Mexico  0.1
16 Jun 2022 20:15 Coatzacoalcos Mexico  0.1
16 Jun 2022 23:15 Cattle Landing Belize  0.1
16 Jun 2022 23:30 Barra de Caratasca Honduras  0.1
16 Jun 2022 23:30 Kaski Honduras  0.1
16 Jun 2022 23:30 Dapat Honduras  0.1
16 Jun 2022 23:30 Cauauira Honduras  0.1
16 Jun 2022 23:30 Rancho Magueyes Mexico  0.1
17 Jun 2022 00:00 El Naranjo Guatemala  0.1
16 Jun 2022 23:00 Barra del Patuca Honduras  0.1
16 Jun 2022 22:00 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.1
16 Jun 2022 20:00 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.1
17 Jun 2022 00:00 Arista Mexico  0.1
17 Jun 2022 00:00 Barra de San Jose Mexico  0.1
16 Jun 2022 22:00 Rio Lagartos Mexico  0.1