Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for CELIA-22
in Mexico
17 Jun 2022 06 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone CELIA-22 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 158 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.5 m (17 Jun 11:45 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 158 km/h 0.5 m 243 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 162 km/h 0.6 m 621 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 17 Jun 2022 06:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 16 Jun 2022 18:00 144 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 17 Jun 2022 00:00 162 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 17 Jun 2022 06:00 158 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall

621 mm

Up to 1.1 million can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 17 Jun 2022 06:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmUnited States, Mexico, Belize, Guatemala, Honduras, Nicaragua, Costa Rica, Panama1,050,527
+
Mexico676,416 
United States48,400 
Belize9,796 
Guatemala20,079 
Honduras126,368 
Nicaragua2,244 
Costa Rica89,526 
Panama77,694 
50-100 mmMexico, United States, Belize, Guatemala, Honduras, Nicaragua, El Salvador, Costa Rica, Panama21,087,760
+
Mexico6,397,214 
United States1,350,651 
Belize244,840 
Guatemala2,326,411 
Honduras4,281,107 
Nicaragua2,198,380 
El Salvador337,128 
Costa Rica3,525,541 
Panama426,484 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 16 Jun 2022 18:00 158 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 17 Jun 2022 00:00 212 -
- - - - - Costa Rica
Blue 3 17 Jun 2022 06:00 334 1.1 million
- - - - Mexico, United States, Belize, Guatemala, Honduras, Nicaragua, El Salvador, Costa Rica, Panama




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Florida, Feather Sound, United States. This height is estimated for 18/06/2022 23:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 17 Jun 2022 06:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
18/06/2022 23:00 Florida, Feather Sound United States  0.3
18/06/2022 22:00 Florida, Punta Rassa United States  0.3
19/06/2022 11:00 Florida, Nine Mile United States  0.3
19/06/2022 11:00 Campeche, Isla del Carmen Paso Real Mexico  0.3
16/06/2022 19:00 Baja California Sur, San Jose del Cabo Mexico  0.2
19/06/2022 18:00 Texas, El Campo Club Community United States  0.2
18/06/2022 23:00 Florida, Tierra Verde United States  0.2
18/06/2022 23:00 Florida, Bayway United States  0.2
18/06/2022 23:00 Florida, Lakewood Estates United States  0.2
19/06/2022 18:00 Texas, North Beach United States  0.2
19/06/2022 10:00 Corozal, Corozal Belize  0.2
19/06/2022 18:00 Atlantico Norte, Cabo Gracias Viejo Nicaragua  0.2
19/06/2022 10:00 Quintana Roo, Calderita Mexico  0.2
19/06/2022 17:00 Gracias a Dios, Irlaya Honduras  0.2
19/06/2022 17:00 Texas, Caruthers Cove Colonia United States  0.2
19/06/2022 17:00 Belize, Belize City Belize  0.2
19/06/2022 17:00 Gracias a Dios, Cabo Gracias a Dios Honduras  0.2
18/06/2022 22:00 Florida, Sanibel Island Fort Myers Beach United States  0.2
19/06/2022 17:00 Toledo, Cattle Landing Belize  0.2
19/06/2022 12:00 Florida, Apalachicola United States  0.2
19/06/2022 18:00 Texas, Port Ingleside United States  0.2
19/06/2022 10:00 Corozal, Santeneja Belize  0.2
19/06/2022 16:00 Gracias a Dios, Pusuaya Honduras  0.2
18/06/2022 22:00 Florida, Bahia Shores United States  0.2
18/06/2022 22:00 Florida, Saint Petersburg Beach United States  0.2
16/06/2022 19:00 Baja California Sur, El Tule Mexico  0.2
19/06/2022 18:00 Tamaulipas, El Mezquite Mexico  0.2
18/06/2022 19:00 Florida, Anna Maria United States  0.2
18/06/2022 19:00 Florida, Holmes Beach United States  0.2
18/06/2022 19:00 Florida, Ilexhurst United States  0.2
19/06/2022 17:00 Texas, Beach City United States  0.2
18/06/2022 22:00 Florida, Fort De Soto United States  0.2
19/06/2022 17:00 Quintana Roo, Vigia Chico Mexico  0.2
19/06/2022 17:00 Texas, Galveston Island Jamaica Beach United States  0.2
19/06/2022 09:00 Baja California Sur, Puerto Charley Mexico  0.2
19/06/2022 17:00 Veracruz, Buen Pais Mexico  0.2
19/06/2022 17:00 Islas de la Bahia, Isla de Roatan Roatan Honduras  0.2
19/06/2022 17:00 Texas, Caplen United States  0.2
19/06/2022 17:00 Texas, Gilchrist United States  0.2
19/06/2022 17:00 Texas, Crystal Beach United States  0.2
19/06/2022 17:00 Texas, Patton United States  0.2
19/06/2022 17:00 Tamaulipas, El Porvenir Mexico  0.2
19/06/2022 17:00 Texas, Galveston Island Bay Harbor United States  0.2
19/06/2022 17:00 Colon, Puerto Castilla Honduras  0.2
19/06/2022 16:00 Veracruz, Anton Lizardo Mexico  0.2
19/06/2022 15:00 Louisiana, Cypremort Point United States  0.2
19/06/2022 10:00 Louisiana, Cocodrie United States  0.2
19/06/2022 17:00 Veracruz, Veracruz Mexico  0.2
19/06/2022 17:00 Colon, Empalme Honduras  0.2
19/06/2022 17:00 Islas de la Bahia, Isla de Roatan Santa Elena Honduras  0.2
19/06/2022 16:00 Tamaulipas, Las Guayabas Mexico  0.2
19/06/2022 16:00 Texas, Quintana United States  0.2
18/06/2022 21:00 Florida, Sanibel Island Captiva United States  0.2
18/06/2022 21:00 Florida, Sanibel Island Wulfert United States  0.2
19/06/2022 17:00 Tamaulipas, El Mezquital Mexico  0.2
19/06/2022 17:00 Texas, Cedar Point United States  0.2
19/06/2022 18:00 Islas de la Bahia, Isla de Guanaja Red Cliff Honduras  0.2
19/06/2022 17:00 Corozal, Ambergris Cay San Pedro Belize  0.2
19/06/2022 15:00 Florida, Boca Grande United States  0.2
19/06/2022 18:00 Corozal, Ambergris Cay Bacalar Chico Belize  0.2
19/06/2022 16:00 Veracruz, Tecolutla Mexico  0.2
19/06/2022 16:00 Veracruz, La Guadalupe Mexico  0.2
19/06/2022 18:00 Texas, Seabrook United States  0.2
19/06/2022 16:00 Pinar del Rio, El Hondon Cuba  0.2
19/06/2022 16:00 Texas, Smith Point United States  0.2
17/06/2022 01:00 Chiapas, Pasito de la Senora Mexico  0.2
19/06/2022 17:00 Louisiana, Cameron United States  0.2
19/06/2022 17:00 Quintana Roo, Majahual Mexico  0.2
19/06/2022 17:00 Veracruz, Monte Gordo Mexico  0.2
19/06/2022 17:00 Gracias a Dios, Barra del Patuca Honduras  0.2
19/06/2022 17:00 Gracias a Dios, Huarta Honduras  0.2
19/06/2022 17:00 Veracruz, El Laurel Mexico  0.2
19/06/2022 17:00 Gracias a Dios, Tusi Cocal Honduras  0.2
19/06/2022 18:00 Quintana Roo, El Placer Mexico  0.2
19/06/2022 17:00 Gracias a Dios, Rio Platano Honduras  0.2
19/06/2022 16:00 Louisiana, Medicant Island Bassa Bassa United States  0.2
19/06/2022 16:00 Louisiana, West Point United States  0.2
19/06/2022 08:00 Valle, Puerto Grande Honduras  0.2
19/06/2022 08:00 Valle, El Moray Honduras  0.2
19/06/2022 16:00 Louisiana, Port Fourchon United States  0.2
19/06/2022 16:00 Louisiana, Breton United States  0.2
19/06/2022 14:00 Louisiana, Cheniere Caminada United States  0.1
19/06/2022 14:00 Louisiana, Grand Isle United States  0.1
17/06/2022 01:00 Escuintla, Sipacate Guatemala  0.1
19/06/2022 15:00 Louisiana, Port Eads United States  0.1
19/06/2022 16:00 Pinar del Rio, Punta de Fisga Cuba  0.1
19/06/2022 15:00 Louisiana, South Pass United States  0.1
17/06/2022 08:00 Escuintla, El Naranjo Guatemala  0.1
19/06/2022 18:00 Pinar del Rio, La Furnia Cuba  0.1
19/06/2022 09:00 Puntarenas, San Lucas Costa Rica  0.1
16/06/2022 19:00 Baja California Sur, Punta Colorada Mexico  0.1
16/06/2022 19:00 Baja California Sur, Punta Arena Mexico  0.1
19/06/2022 08:00 Valle, El Ajustillo Honduras  0.1
19/06/2022 08:00 Valle, Las Piletas Honduras  0.1
17/06/2022 02:00 Baja California Sur, San Carlos Mexico  0.1
16/06/2022 19:00 Michoacan de Ocampo, Melchor Ocampo Mexico  0.1
19/06/2022 18:00 Atlantico Norte, Tuapi Nicaragua  0.1
19/06/2022 16:00 Florida, Dry Tortugas Fort Jefferson United States  0.1
16/06/2022 23:00 Sonora, Atanacio Mexico  0.1
19/06/2022 11:00 Escuintla, San Jose Guatemala  0.1
19/06/2022 11:00 Escuintla, La Barrita Guatemala  0.1
19/06/2022 08:00 Leon, Linda Vista Nicaragua  0.1
19/06/2022 10:00 Sinaloa, Las Arenitas Mexico  0.1
17/06/2022 01:00 Bocas del Toro, Boquita Panama  0.1
16/06/2022 19:00 Baja California Sur, Ensenada de los Muertos Mexico  0.1
19/06/2022 10:00 Escuintla, Iztapa Guatemala  0.1
19/06/2022 11:00 Santa Rosa, Papaturro Guatemala  0.1
19/06/2022 13:00 Valle, Gualora Honduras  0.1
16/06/2022 19:00 Baja California Sur, El Cardoncito Mexico  0.1
19/06/2022 15:00 Puntarenas, Gigante Costa Rica  0.1
19/06/2022 13:00 Sonora, San Jose Mexico  0.1
19/06/2022 13:00 Sonora, Guaymas Mexico  0.1
19/06/2022 16:00 Atlantico Norte, Tahuantla Nicaragua  0.1
19/06/2022 16:00 Atlantico Norte, Puerto Isabel Nicaragua  0.1
19/06/2022 08:00 Chiriqui, Batipa Panama  0.1
19/06/2022 14:00 Atlantico Norte, Coco Haulover Nicaragua  0.1
19/06/2022 15:00 Baja California Sur, Tripui Mexico  0.1
18/06/2022 18:00 Guanacaste, El Jobo Costa Rica  0.1
19/06/2022 14:00 Atlantico Norte, Huahua Nicaragua  0.1
16/06/2022 19:00 Oaxaca, Majada Villalobos Mexico  0.1
16/06/2022 22:00 Baja California Sur, Puerto Magdalena Mexico  0.1
19/06/2022 16:00 Oaxaca, Garrapateras Mexico  0.1
19/06/2022 09:00 Puntarenas, Puerto Escondido Costa Rica  0.1
19/06/2022 09:00 Puntarenas, Playa Blanca Costa Rica  0.1
19/06/2022 16:00 Atlantico Sur, Sandy Bay Sirpi Nicaragua  0.1