Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for LORNA-19 Off-shore from 23 Apr 2019 12:00 UTC to 29 Apr 2019 12:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for LORNA-19

Off-shore

click on

to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone LORNA-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	104 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.7 m (29 Apr 14:45 UTC)
Vulnerability	--

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
GFS Current	104 km/h	0.0 m	158 mm	0.5
GFS Overall	140 km/h	0.7 m	698 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

140 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 29 Apr 2019 06:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5
1	23 Apr 2019 12:00	173	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	23 Apr 2019 18:00	166	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	24 Apr 2019 00:00	166	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	24 Apr 2019 06:00	140	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	24 Apr 2019 12:00	137	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	24 Apr 2019 18:00	169	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	25 Apr 2019 00:00	162	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	25 Apr 2019 06:00	151	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	25 Apr 2019 12:00	126	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
10	25 Apr 2019 18:00	155	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
11	26 Apr 2019 00:00	155	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
12	26 Apr 2019 06:00	140	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
13	26 Apr 2019 12:00	151	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
14	26 Apr 2019 18:00	155	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
15	27 Apr 2019 00:00	144	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
16	27 Apr 2019 06:00	133	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
17	27 Apr 2019 12:00	140	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
18	27 Apr 2019 18:00	140	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
19	28 Apr 2019 00:00	119	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
20	28 Apr 2019 06:00	130	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
21	28 Apr 2019 12:00	115	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
22	28 Apr 2019 18:00	104	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
23	29 Apr 2019 00:00	104	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
24	29 Apr 2019 06:00	104	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 29 Apr 2019 06:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
100-250 mm	Indonesia	880,611
50-100 mm	Indonesia	11,125,260

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	23 Apr 2019 12:00	736	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	23 Apr 2019 18:00	843	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	24 Apr 2019 00:00	830	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	24 Apr 2019 06:00	877	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	24 Apr 2019 12:00	783	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	24 Apr 2019 18:00	800	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	25 Apr 2019 00:00	604	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	25 Apr 2019 06:00	606	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	25 Apr 2019 12:00	539	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
10	25 Apr 2019 18:00	498	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
11	26 Apr 2019 00:00	528	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
12	26 Apr 2019 06:00	603	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
13	26 Apr 2019 12:00	607	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
14	26 Apr 2019 18:00	628	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
15	27 Apr 2019 00:00	473	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
16	27 Apr 2019 06:00	393	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
17	27 Apr 2019 12:00	455	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
18	27 Apr 2019 18:00	391	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
19	28 Apr 2019 00:00	454	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
20	28 Apr 2019 06:00	326	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
21	28 Apr 2019 12:00	273	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
22	28 Apr 2019 18:00	241	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
23	29 Apr 2019 00:00	159	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
24	29 Apr 2019 06:00	158	880 thousand			-	-	-	-	Indonesia

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.7 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.7m in Kiluan, Indonesia. This height is estimated for 29 Apr 2019 14:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 29 Apr 2019 06:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	29 Apr 2019 14:45	Kiluan	Indonesia	0.7
	29 Apr 2019 14:45	Kekatang	Indonesia	0.7
	29 Apr 2019 14:45	Menango	Indonesia	0.7
	29 Apr 2019 15:00	Tandjungkarang	Indonesia	0.7
	29 Apr 2019 15:00	Telukbetung	Indonesia	0.7
	29 Apr 2019 15:00	Tarahan	Indonesia	0.7
	29 Apr 2019 14:45	Umbulan Pepanggar	Indonesia	0.5
	29 Apr 2019 14:45	Kalianda	Indonesia	0.5
	29 Apr 2019 09:00	Tiop	Indonesia	0.4
	29 Apr 2019 09:00	Buriai	Indonesia	0.4
	29 Apr 2019 09:15	Lubuktandjung	Indonesia	0.4
	29 Apr 2019 09:15	Pasarkerkap	Indonesia	0.4
	29 Apr 2019 09:15	Kerkap	Indonesia	0.4
	29 Apr 2019 09:15	Bangkahulu	Indonesia	0.4
	29 Apr 2019 09:15	Pekansaptoe	Indonesia	0.4
	29 Apr 2019 22:15	Tjikawung	Indonesia	0.4
	29 Apr 2019 22:15	Sumur	Indonesia	0.4
	29 Apr 2019 09:15	Pondokkapoer	Indonesia	0.4
	29 Apr 2019 15:15	Aerdjeruk	Indonesia	0.4
	29 Apr 2019 15:15	Babakancibeber	Indonesia	0.4
	29 Apr 2019 09:15	Ketaun	Indonesia	0.4
	29 Apr 2019 09:15	Serangai	Indonesia	0.4
	29 Apr 2019 09:15	Penampung	Indonesia	0.4
	29 Apr 2019 09:00	Lais	Indonesia	0.4
	29 Apr 2019 09:00	Baru	Indonesia	0.4
	01 May 2019 15:30	Kolitjaah	Indonesia	0.4
	01 May 2019 15:30	Tjiteureup	Indonesia	0.4
	01 May 2019 15:30	Labuhan	Indonesia	0.4
	01 May 2019 15:30	Kaduperasi	Indonesia	0.4
	29 Apr 2019 09:15	Seblat	Indonesia	0.4
	30 Apr 2019 10:00	Guring	Indonesia	0.3
	30 Apr 2019 10:00	Kota Agung	Indonesia	0.3
	29 Apr 2019 09:00	Pasarseblat	Indonesia	0.3
	29 Apr 2019 09:30	Chilachap	Indonesia	0.3
	29 Apr 2019 09:30	Adipala	Indonesia	0.3
	29 Apr 2019 09:15	Pasartalo	Indonesia	0.3
	29 Apr 2019 09:15	Pasaralas	Indonesia	0.3
	01 May 2019 16:00	Umbulan Padulmanan	Indonesia	0.3
	29 Apr 2019 09:00	Ipun	Indonesia	0.3
	29 Apr 2019 09:00	Airrami	Indonesia	0.3
	01 May 2019 20:00	Mutua	Indonesia	0.3
	01 May 2019 20:00	Tandjoengselaka	Indonesia	0.3
	29 Apr 2019 07:45	Muarabinuangeun	Indonesia	0.3
	02 May 2019 05:45	Maringgai	Indonesia	0.3
	30 Apr 2019 10:00	Waiharoe	Indonesia	0.3
	30 Apr 2019 10:00	Karangberak	Indonesia	0.3
	30 Apr 2019 10:00	Sawangbalak	Indonesia	0.3
	02 May 2019 06:00	Merak	Indonesia	0.3
	02 May 2019 06:00	Domas	Indonesia	0.3
	01 May 2019 15:30	Anjer-Kidu	Indonesia	0.3
	29 Apr 2019 09:30	Ngalam	Indonesia	0.3
	01 May 2019 14:30	Bandjaragung	Indonesia	0.3
	29 Apr 2019 09:00	Belowa	Indonesia	0.3
	29 Apr 2019 09:00	Taoabi	Indonesia	0.3
	29 Apr 2019 09:00	Poelaudoea	Indonesia	0.3
	29 Apr 2019 09:15	Pasarseluma	Indonesia	0.3
	02 May 2019 01:45	Batangan	Indonesia	0.3
	02 May 2019 01:45	Rembang	Indonesia	0.3
	01 May 2019 14:30	Binangoen	Indonesia	0.3
	02 May 2019 02:45	Taju	Indonesia	0.3
	02 May 2019 02:45	Bulumanis	Indonesia	0.3
	29 Apr 2019 09:15	Pasarpino	Indonesia	0.3
	29 Apr 2019 09:15	Mana	Indonesia	0.3
	29 Apr 2019 15:00	Bakau	Indonesia	0.3
	29 Apr 2019 15:00	Ketapang	Indonesia	0.3
	01 May 2019 14:30	Ajah	Indonesia	0.3
	01 May 2019 16:00	Karbang	Indonesia	0.3
	01 May 2019 16:00	Walur	Indonesia	0.3
	01 May 2019 16:00	Pasarpulaupisang	Indonesia	0.3
	01 May 2019 16:00	Wainapal	Indonesia	0.3
	01 May 2019 16:00	Krui	Indonesia	0.3
	01 May 2019 16:00	Kerbang	Indonesia	0.3
	01 May 2019 16:00	Padangnegeri	Indonesia	0.3
	01 May 2019 16:00	Tandjungbaringin	Indonesia	0.3
	30 Apr 2019 10:00	Putih	Indonesia	0.3
	29 Apr 2019 21:30	Waibatang	Indonesia	0.3
	02 May 2019 01:45	Lasem	Indonesia	0.3
	01 May 2019 13:30	Kendal	Indonesia	0.3
	01 May 2019 13:30	Mangkang-Kulan	Indonesia	0.3
	01 May 2019 13:30	Djomblang	Indonesia	0.3
	01 May 2019 13:30	Semarang	Indonesia	0.3
	01 May 2019 13:30	Karangroto	Indonesia	0.3
	01 May 2019 23:00	Tandjungbatuaajer	Indonesia	0.3
	02 May 2019 01:45	Karangsari	Indonesia	0.3
	30 Apr 2019 10:00	Tampang	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 09:00	Cijulang	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 09:00	Cikalong	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 09:00	Pangadaran	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 09:00	Kaliputjang	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 09:45	Tandjungaur	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 15:30	La Roche Godon	French Southern and Antarctic Lands	0.2
	01 May 2019 14:30	Petanahan	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 08:45	Bendungan	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 08:45	Galur	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 08:45	Srandakan	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 08:45	Kebonongan	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 08:45	Tirtohardjo	Indonesia	0.2
	02 May 2019 01:30	Padangan-wetan	Indonesia	0.2
	02 May 2019 01:30	Kalipang	Indonesia	0.2
	02 May 2019 01:30	Lemanbang	Indonesia	0.2
	02 May 2019 01:30	Tambakbaja	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 09:30	Bulasat	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 07:00	Tasikmadoe	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 07:00	Popoh	Indonesia	0.2
	02 May 2019 02:00	Remen	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 22:00	Belimbing	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 08:45	Djagalaja	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 10:30	Point Marianne	British Indian Ocean Territory	0.2
	01 May 2019 10:30	East Point Plantation	British Indian Ocean Territory	0.2
	01 May 2019 13:00	Wedung	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 13:00	Kedungmalang	Indonesia	0.2
	02 May 2019 03:30	Cilancang	Indonesia	0.2
	02 May 2019 03:30	Cirebon	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 22:30	Simnangpesa	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 22:30	Tandjungklumpang	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 15:15	Sindangsari	Indonesia	0.2
	02 May 2019 05:30	Tanara	Indonesia	0.2
	02 May 2019 05:30	Ketapang	Indonesia	0.2
	02 May 2019 05:30	Kramat	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 09:15	Pahanuma	Indonesia	0.2
	02 May 2019 05:45	Cengkarengbelakang	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 09:30	Beriang	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 09:30	Tandjungraja	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 23:45	Topoali	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 14:45	Karanghawu	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 14:45	Tjimadja	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 14:45	Tjiateul	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 09:15	Kabue	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 22:15	Tangjungrusa	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 20:15	Pangkal Dudat	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 20:15	Tandjungkiras	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 20:15	Membalong	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 21:45	Djepuh	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 21:45	Dendang	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 15:15	Mundjungan	Indonesia	0.2
	02 May 2019 03:15	Karangampel	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 07:15	Ngadirodjo	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 07:15	Panggul	Indonesia	0.2
	02 May 2019 03:15	Losan	Indonesia	0.2
	02 May 2019 03:00	Bulakamba	Indonesia	0.2
	02 May 2019 03:30	Klampok	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 09:30	Biha	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 21:30	Pandanganget	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 21:30	Bintuhan	Indonesia	0.2
	02 May 2019 00:45	Jepara	Indonesia	0.2
	02 May 2019 00:45	Bugel	Indonesia	0.2
	02 May 2019 00:45	Karanggondang	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 13:45	Gunung	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 09:30	Limau	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 14:00	Karanganjar	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 14:00	Chikalong	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 18:00	Tipar	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 14:30	Babadan	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 14:30	Lingkungsari	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 14:30	Tjiagra	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 09:30	Bandjarnegeri	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 09:30	Ngaras	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 09:30	Negeriratoe	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 09:30	Kotodjawa	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 09:30	Bandaragung	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 09:30	Tjampang	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 09:30	Marang	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 09:45	Balubuk	Indonesia	0.2
	30 Apr 2019 10:15	Deliugo	Indonesia	0.2
	30 Apr 2019 10:15	Kalak	Indonesia	0.2
	30 Apr 2019 10:15	Patjitan	Indonesia	0.2
	02 May 2019 04:15	Indramaju	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 14:00	Kalapagenep	Indonesia	0.2
	02 May 2019 03:15	Tegal	Indonesia	0.2
	02 May 2019 03:15	Wanasari	Indonesia	0.2
	02 May 2019 00:45	Petaroekan	Indonesia	0.2
	02 May 2019 00:45	Sigedang	Indonesia	0.2
	02 May 2019 00:45	Pekalongan	Indonesia	0.2
	02 May 2019 00:00	Sidja	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 14:30	Tjikaret	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 14:30	Djepitoe	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 08:30	Pasirputih	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 08:30	Muaratjilamaja	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 15:00	South Point	Christmas Island	0.2
	01 May 2019 15:00	The Settlement	Christmas Island	0.2
	02 May 2019 03:15	Pemalang	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 14:45	Chihara	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 14:45	Bajah	Indonesia	0.2
	02 May 2019 03:30	Patrol	Indonesia	0.2
	02 May 2019 03:30	Kandanghaur	Indonesia	0.2
	02 May 2019 03:00	Cangkring	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 14:30	Plotot	Indonesia	0.2
	02 May 2019 03:45	Pedes	Indonesia	0.2
	02 May 2019 03:45	Sungaibuntu	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 14:30	Tjibeber	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 15:00	Pameungpeuk	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 15:00	Bangbajang	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 15:00	Tjimari	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 14:45	Sindangbarang	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 14:45	Gardu	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 08:30	Tjiaun	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 08:30	Cidora	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 07:45	West Island	Cocos (Keeling) Islands	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.