Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for LORNA-19 Off-shore from 23 Apr 2019 12:00 UTC to 29 Apr 2019 12:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for LORNA-19

Off-shore

click on

to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone LORNA-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	104 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.7 m (29 Apr 15:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	--

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
GFS Current	104 km/h	0.0 m	159 mm	0.5
GFS Overall	140 km/h	0.7 m	698 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

140 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 29 Apr 2019 00:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5
1	23 Apr 2019 12:00	173	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	23 Apr 2019 18:00	166	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	24 Apr 2019 00:00	166	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	24 Apr 2019 06:00	140	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	24 Apr 2019 12:00	137	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	24 Apr 2019 18:00	169	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	25 Apr 2019 00:00	162	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	25 Apr 2019 06:00	151	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	25 Apr 2019 12:00	126	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
10	25 Apr 2019 18:00	155	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
11	26 Apr 2019 00:00	155	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
12	26 Apr 2019 06:00	140	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
13	26 Apr 2019 12:00	151	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
14	26 Apr 2019 18:00	155	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
15	27 Apr 2019 00:00	144	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
16	27 Apr 2019 06:00	133	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
17	27 Apr 2019 12:00	140	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
18	27 Apr 2019 18:00	140	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
19	28 Apr 2019 00:00	119	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
20	28 Apr 2019 06:00	130	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
21	28 Apr 2019 12:00	115	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
22	28 Apr 2019 18:00	104	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
23	29 Apr 2019 00:00	104	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

TOP

Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 29 Apr 2019 00:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
100-250 mm	Indonesia	1,269,112
50-100 mm	Indonesia	18,605,302

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	23 Apr 2019 12:00	736	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	23 Apr 2019 18:00	843	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	24 Apr 2019 00:00	830	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	24 Apr 2019 06:00	877	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	24 Apr 2019 12:00	783	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	24 Apr 2019 18:00	800	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	25 Apr 2019 00:00	604	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	25 Apr 2019 06:00	606	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	25 Apr 2019 12:00	539	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
10	25 Apr 2019 18:00	498	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
11	26 Apr 2019 00:00	528	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
12	26 Apr 2019 06:00	603	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
13	26 Apr 2019 12:00	607	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
14	26 Apr 2019 18:00	628	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
15	27 Apr 2019 00:00	473	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
16	27 Apr 2019 06:00	393	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
17	27 Apr 2019 12:00	455	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
18	27 Apr 2019 18:00	391	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
19	28 Apr 2019 00:00	454	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
20	28 Apr 2019 06:00	326	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
21	28 Apr 2019 12:00	273	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
22	28 Apr 2019 18:00	241	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
23	29 Apr 2019 00:00	159	1.3 million			-	-	-	-	Indonesia

Impact estimation for the next 72h

TOP

StormSurge

0.7 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.7m in Kiluan, Indonesia. This height is estimated for 29 Apr 2019 15:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 29 Apr 2019 00:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	29 Apr 2019 15:00	Kiluan	Indonesia	0.7
	29 Apr 2019 15:00	Kekatang	Indonesia	0.7
	29 Apr 2019 15:00	Menango	Indonesia	0.7
	29 Apr 2019 15:00	Tandjungkarang	Indonesia	0.7
	29 Apr 2019 15:00	Telukbetung	Indonesia	0.7
	29 Apr 2019 15:00	Tarahan	Indonesia	0.7
	29 Apr 2019 14:45	Umbulan Pepanggar	Indonesia	0.5
	29 Apr 2019 14:45	Kalianda	Indonesia	0.5
	29 Apr 2019 09:00	Tiop	Indonesia	0.4
	29 Apr 2019 09:00	Buriai	Indonesia	0.4
	29 Apr 2019 09:15	Lubuktandjung	Indonesia	0.4
	29 Apr 2019 09:15	Pasarkerkap	Indonesia	0.4
	29 Apr 2019 09:15	Kerkap	Indonesia	0.4
	29 Apr 2019 09:15	Bangkahulu	Indonesia	0.4
	29 Apr 2019 09:15	Pekansaptoe	Indonesia	0.4
	29 Apr 2019 09:15	Pondokkapoer	Indonesia	0.4
	29 Apr 2019 22:15	Tjikawung	Indonesia	0.4
	29 Apr 2019 22:15	Sumur	Indonesia	0.4
	29 Apr 2019 15:00	Aerdjeruk	Indonesia	0.4
	29 Apr 2019 15:00	Babakancibeber	Indonesia	0.4
	29 Apr 2019 09:15	Ketaun	Indonesia	0.4
	29 Apr 2019 09:15	Serangai	Indonesia	0.4
	29 Apr 2019 09:15	Penampung	Indonesia	0.4
	01 May 2019 15:00	Kolitjaah	Indonesia	0.4
	01 May 2019 15:00	Tjiteureup	Indonesia	0.4
	01 May 2019 15:00	Labuhan	Indonesia	0.4
	01 May 2019 15:00	Kaduperasi	Indonesia	0.4
	29 Apr 2019 09:00	Lais	Indonesia	0.4
	29 Apr 2019 09:00	Baru	Indonesia	0.4
	01 May 2019 16:00	Umbulan Padulmanan	Indonesia	0.3
	29 Apr 2019 09:15	Seblat	Indonesia	0.3
	01 May 2019 14:30	Guring	Indonesia	0.3
	01 May 2019 14:30	Kota Agung	Indonesia	0.3
	29 Apr 2019 09:45	Pasarseblat	Indonesia	0.3
	29 Apr 2019 09:30	Chilachap	Indonesia	0.3
	29 Apr 2019 09:30	Adipala	Indonesia	0.3
	29 Apr 2019 09:15	Pasartalo	Indonesia	0.3
	29 Apr 2019 09:15	Pasaralas	Indonesia	0.3
	01 May 2019 20:00	Mutua	Indonesia	0.3
	01 May 2019 20:00	Tandjoengselaka	Indonesia	0.3
	29 Apr 2019 09:00	Ipun	Indonesia	0.3
	29 Apr 2019 09:00	Airrami	Indonesia	0.3
	29 Apr 2019 07:45	Muarabinuangeun	Indonesia	0.3
	01 May 2019 14:45	Waiharoe	Indonesia	0.3
	01 May 2019 14:45	Karangberak	Indonesia	0.3
	01 May 2019 14:45	Sawangbalak	Indonesia	0.3
	01 May 2019 15:30	Anjer-Kidu	Indonesia	0.3
	01 May 2019 14:30	Bandjaragung	Indonesia	0.3
	29 Apr 2019 00:00	Merak	Indonesia	0.3
	29 Apr 2019 00:00	Domas	Indonesia	0.3
	29 Apr 2019 09:30	Ngalam	Indonesia	0.3
	30 Apr 2019 21:45	Belowa	Indonesia	0.3
	30 Apr 2019 21:45	Taoabi	Indonesia	0.3
	30 Apr 2019 21:45	Poelaudoea	Indonesia	0.3
	01 May 2019 14:30	Binangoen	Indonesia	0.3
	30 Apr 2019 10:30	Pasarseluma	Indonesia	0.3
	29 Apr 2019 15:00	Bakau	Indonesia	0.3
	29 Apr 2019 15:00	Ketapang	Indonesia	0.3
	01 May 2019 14:30	Ajah	Indonesia	0.3
	29 Apr 2019 09:30	Karbang	Indonesia	0.3
	29 Apr 2019 09:30	Walur	Indonesia	0.3
	29 Apr 2019 09:30	Pasarpulaupisang	Indonesia	0.3
	29 Apr 2019 09:30	Wainapal	Indonesia	0.3
	29 Apr 2019 09:30	Krui	Indonesia	0.3
	29 Apr 2019 09:30	Kerbang	Indonesia	0.3
	29 Apr 2019 09:30	Padangnegeri	Indonesia	0.3
	29 Apr 2019 09:30	Tandjungbaringin	Indonesia	0.3
	29 Apr 2019 08:15	Maringgai	Indonesia	0.3
	01 May 2019 23:00	Tandjungbatuaajer	Indonesia	0.3
	29 Apr 2019 09:45	Pasarpino	Indonesia	0.3
	29 Apr 2019 09:45	Mana	Indonesia	0.3
	01 May 2019 14:30	Petanahan	Indonesia	0.3
	01 May 2019 14:30	Putih	Indonesia	0.3
	29 Apr 2019 15:30	La Roche Godon	French Southern and Antarctic Lands	0.3
	29 Apr 2019 09:45	Tandjungaur	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 21:30	Waibatang	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 15:15	Tasikmadoe	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 15:15	Popoh	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 14:30	Tampang	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 13:30	Kendal	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 13:30	Mangkang-Kulan	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 13:30	Djomblang	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 13:30	Semarang	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 13:30	Karangroto	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 14:45	Karanghawu	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 14:45	Tjimadja	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 14:45	Tjiateul	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 15:45	Bulasat	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 22:00	Belimbing	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 10:30	Point Marianne	British Indian Ocean Territory	0.2
	01 May 2019 14:15	Djagalaja	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 14:15	Bendungan	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 10:45	East Point Plantation	British Indian Ocean Territory	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 08:45	Galur	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 08:45	Srandakan	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 08:45	Kebonongan	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 08:45	Tirtohardjo	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 09:00	Cijulang	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 09:00	Cikalong	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 09:00	Pangadaran	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 09:00	Kaliputjang	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 15:15	Mundjungan	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 22:30	Simnangpesa	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 22:30	Tandjungklumpang	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 14:30	Topoali	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 09:30	Beriang	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 09:30	Tandjungraja	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 09:15	Pahanuma	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 15:15	Sindangsari	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 07:15	Ngadirodjo	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 07:15	Panggul	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 12:45	Wedung	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 12:45	Kedungmalang	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 01:45	Batangan	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 01:45	Rembang	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 22:15	Tangjungrusa	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 09:15	Kabue	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 13:45	Gunung	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 14:00	Karanganjar	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 14:00	Chikalong	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 14:00	Kalapagenep	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 02:45	Taju	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 02:45	Bulumanis	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 09:30	Biha	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 18:00	Kramat	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 18:00	Cengkarengbelakang	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 18:00	Tipar	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 01:45	Lasem	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 22:30	Dendang	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 22:00	Djepuh	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 09:30	Pandanganget	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 09:30	Limau	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 20:00	Lemanbang	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 20:00	Tambakbaja	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 20:00	Remen	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 02:00	Karangsari	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 19:45	Kalipang	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 14:30	Babadan	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 14:30	Lingkungsari	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 14:30	Tjiagra	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 18:15	Balubuk	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 09:15	Bintuhan	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 14:15	Kalak	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 14:15	Patjitan	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 18:15	Jepara	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 18:15	Bugel	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 18:15	Karanggondang	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 14:15	Deliugo	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 09:30	Bandjarnegeri	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 09:30	Ngaras	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 09:30	Negeriratoe	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 09:30	Kotodjawa	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 09:30	Bandaragung	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 09:30	Tjampang	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 20:00	Padangan-wetan	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 14:30	Djepitoe	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 08:30	Pasirputih	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 08:30	Muaratjilamaja	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 15:00	South Point	Christmas Island	0.2
	01 May 2019 15:00	The Settlement	Christmas Island	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 09:30	Marang	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 20:15	Pangkal Dudat	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 20:15	Tandjungkiras	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 20:15	Membalong	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 09:00	Cilancang	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 09:00	Cirebon	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 14:30	Tjikaret	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 14:30	Chihara	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 14:30	Bajah	Indonesia	0.2
	02 May 2019 00:00	Sidja	Indonesia	0.2
	02 May 2019 00:00	Pekalongan	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 07:30	Petaroekan	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 07:30	Sigedang	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 14:30	Plotot	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 21:45	Karangampel	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 14:30	Tjibeber	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 18:30	Pedes	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 10:30	Tanara	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 10:30	Ketapang	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 18:45	Sungaibuntu	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 15:00	Pameungpeuk	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 15:00	Bangbajang	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 07:45	Patrol	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 07:45	Kandanghaur	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 15:00	Tjimari	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 14:30	Cidora	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 14:45	Sindangbarang	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 14:45	Gardu	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 14:45	Tjiaun	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 21:15	Losan	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 15:00	Bulakamba	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 15:00	Klampok	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 21:15	Indramaju	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 20:45	Cangkring	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 23:45	Pemalang	Indonesia	0.2
	02 May 2019 00:00	Wanasari	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 05:15	Tegal	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 08:30	West Island	Cocos (Keeling) Islands	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.