Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for LORNA-19
Off-shore
24 Apr 2019 12 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone LORNA-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 137 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.7 m (24 Apr 21:45 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 137 km/h 0.0 m 783 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 140 km/h 0.7 m 698 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 24 Apr 2019 12:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 23 Apr 2019 12:00 173 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 23 Apr 2019 18:00 166 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 24 Apr 2019 00:00 166 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 24 Apr 2019 06:00 140 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 24 Apr 2019 12:00 137 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall

698 mm

Up to 4.8 million can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 24 Apr 2019 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmIndonesia4,817,692 
50-100 mmIndonesia, Cocos (Keeling) Islands15,186,448
+
Indonesia15,185,852 
Cocos (Keeling) Islands596 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 23 Apr 2019 12:00 736 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 23 Apr 2019 18:00 843 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 24 Apr 2019 00:00 830 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 24 Apr 2019 06:00 877 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 24 Apr 2019 12:00 783 4.8 million
- - - - Indonesia, Cocos (Keeling) Islands




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

0.7 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.7m in Kekatang, Indonesia. This height is estimated for 24 Apr 2019 21:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 24 Apr 2019 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
24 Apr 2019 21:45 Kekatang Indonesia  0.7
24 Apr 2019 21:45 Menango Indonesia  0.7
24 Apr 2019 21:45 Tandjungkarang Indonesia  0.7
24 Apr 2019 21:45 Telukbetung Indonesia  0.7
24 Apr 2019 21:45 Tarahan Indonesia  0.7
24 Apr 2019 21:45 Kiluan Indonesia  0.7
24 Apr 2019 22:00 Umbulan Pepanggar Indonesia  0.5
24 Apr 2019 22:00 Kalianda Indonesia  0.5
25 Apr 2019 01:45 Tjikawung Indonesia  0.4
25 Apr 2019 01:45 Sumur Indonesia  0.4
24 Apr 2019 22:15 Lubuktandjung Indonesia  0.4
24 Apr 2019 22:15 Pasarkerkap Indonesia  0.4
24 Apr 2019 22:15 Kerkap Indonesia  0.4
24 Apr 2019 22:15 Bangkahulu Indonesia  0.4
24 Apr 2019 22:15 Pekansaptoe Indonesia  0.4
24 Apr 2019 21:45 Serangai Indonesia  0.4
24 Apr 2019 21:45 Penampung Indonesia  0.4
24 Apr 2019 21:45 Lais Indonesia  0.4
24 Apr 2019 21:45 Baru Indonesia  0.4
24 Apr 2019 21:45 Ketaun Indonesia  0.3
27 Apr 2019 06:30 Aerdjeruk Indonesia  0.3
27 Apr 2019 06:30 Babakancibeber Indonesia  0.3
25 Apr 2019 14:00 Kolitjaah Indonesia  0.3
25 Apr 2019 14:00 Tjiteureup Indonesia  0.3
25 Apr 2019 14:00 Labuhan Indonesia  0.3
25 Apr 2019 14:00 Kaduperasi Indonesia  0.3
24 Apr 2019 23:30 Maringgai Indonesia  0.3
24 Apr 2019 22:00 Ketapang Indonesia  0.3
24 Apr 2019 21:00 Guring Indonesia  0.3
24 Apr 2019 21:00 Kota Agung Indonesia  0.3
27 Apr 2019 05:45 Chilachap Indonesia  0.3
27 Apr 2019 05:45 Adipala Indonesia  0.3
24 Apr 2019 22:15 Pondokkapoer Indonesia  0.3
24 Apr 2019 21:00 Waiharoe Indonesia  0.3
24 Apr 2019 21:00 Karangberak Indonesia  0.3
24 Apr 2019 21:00 Sawangbalak Indonesia  0.3
24 Apr 2019 23:00 Merak Indonesia  0.3
24 Apr 2019 23:00 Domas Indonesia  0.3
24 Apr 2019 21:00 Bandjaragung Indonesia  0.3
27 Apr 2019 05:45 Binangoen Indonesia  0.3
24 Apr 2019 21:30 Seblat Indonesia  0.3
24 Apr 2019 21:30 Pasarseblat Indonesia  0.3
26 Apr 2019 10:30 Umbulan Padulmanan Indonesia  0.3
24 Apr 2019 22:15 Pasartalo Indonesia  0.3
24 Apr 2019 22:15 Pasaralas Indonesia  0.3
25 Apr 2019 14:15 Bakau Indonesia  0.3
27 Apr 2019 05:45 Deliugo Indonesia  0.3
27 Apr 2019 05:45 Kalak Indonesia  0.3
27 Apr 2019 05:45 Patjitan Indonesia  0.3
27 Apr 2019 05:45 Djepitoe Indonesia  0.3
24 Apr 2019 21:00 Putih Indonesia  0.3
25 Apr 2019 23:45 Muarabinuangeun Indonesia  0.3
27 Apr 2019 05:45 Ajah Indonesia  0.3
24 Apr 2019 21:15 Tiop Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 21:15 Buriai Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 22:15 Ngalam Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 21:00 Tampang Indonesia  0.2
27 Apr 2019 06:15 Djagalaja Indonesia  0.2
27 Apr 2019 06:15 Bendungan Indonesia  0.2
27 Apr 2019 06:15 Galur Indonesia  0.2
27 Apr 2019 06:15 Srandakan Indonesia  0.2
27 Apr 2019 06:15 Ngadirodjo Indonesia  0.2
27 Apr 2019 06:15 Panggul Indonesia  0.2
27 Apr 2019 06:15 Mundjungan Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 22:15 Pasarseluma Indonesia  0.2
27 Apr 2019 05:45 Tasikmadoe Indonesia  0.2
27 Apr 2019 05:45 Popoh Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 21:15 Ipun Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 21:15 Airrami Indonesia  0.2
27 Apr 2019 06:00 Pangadaran Indonesia  0.2
27 Apr 2019 06:00 Kaliputjang Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 21:45 Anjer-Kidu Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 23:15 Tanara Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 23:15 Ketapang Indonesia  0.2
27 Apr 2019 06:00 Petanahan Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 23:15 Kramat Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 23:15 Cengkarengbelakang Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 21:30 Point Marianne British Indian Ocean Territory  0.2
24 Apr 2019 21:30 East Point Plantation British Indian Ocean Territory  0.2
24 Apr 2019 15:30 La Roche Godon French Southern and Antarctic Lands  0.2
27 Apr 2019 05:45 Kebonongan Indonesia  0.2
27 Apr 2019 05:45 Tirtohardjo Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 22:00 Pasarpino Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 22:00 Mana Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 22:00 Tandjungaur Indonesia  0.2
25 Apr 2019 09:30 Tipar Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 20:00 Karbang Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 20:00 Walur Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 20:00 Pasarpulaupisang Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 20:00 Wainapal Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 20:00 Krui Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 20:00 Kerbang Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 20:00 Padangnegeri Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 20:00 Tandjungbaringin Indonesia  0.2
27 Apr 2019 06:15 Karanganjar Indonesia  0.2
27 Apr 2019 06:15 Chikalong Indonesia  0.2
27 Apr 2019 06:15 Kalapagenep Indonesia  0.2
27 Apr 2019 05:30 Sindangsari Indonesia  0.2
27 Apr 2019 05:30 Cijulang Indonesia  0.2
27 Apr 2019 05:30 Cikalong Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 21:15 Bulasat Indonesia  0.2
27 Apr 2019 05:30 Chihara Indonesia  0.2
27 Apr 2019 05:30 Bajah Indonesia  0.2
27 Apr 2019 05:30 Plotot Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 21:00 Belimbing Indonesia  0.2
27 Apr 2019 05:45 Karanghawu Indonesia  0.2
27 Apr 2019 05:45 Tjimadja Indonesia  0.2
27 Apr 2019 05:45 Tjiateul Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 22:00 Beriang Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 17:30 Topoali Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 20:00 Waibatang Indonesia  0.2
27 Apr 2019 05:15 Belowa Indonesia  0.2
27 Apr 2019 05:15 Taoabi Indonesia  0.2
27 Apr 2019 05:15 Poelaudoea Indonesia  0.2
27 Apr 2019 05:15 Babadan Indonesia  0.2
27 Apr 2019 05:15 Lingkungsari Indonesia  0.2
27 Apr 2019 05:15 Tjiagra Indonesia  0.2
25 Apr 2019 07:45 Pasirputih Indonesia  0.2
25 Apr 2019 07:45 Muaratjilamaja Indonesia  0.2
25 Apr 2019 05:00 Pangkal Dudat Indonesia  0.2
25 Apr 2019 05:00 Tandjungkiras Indonesia  0.2
25 Apr 2019 05:00 Membalong Indonesia  0.2
26 Apr 2019 09:00 Tandjungraja Indonesia  0.2
26 Apr 2019 01:00 South Point Christmas Island  0.2
26 Apr 2019 01:00 The Settlement Christmas Island  0.2
27 Apr 2019 06:00 Bangbajang Indonesia  0.2
25 Apr 2019 09:45 Balubuk Indonesia  0.2
27 Apr 2019 06:00 Pameungpeuk Indonesia  0.2
27 Apr 2019 06:00 Cidora Indonesia  0.2
27 Apr 2019 06:00 Tjimari Indonesia  0.2
27 Apr 2019 05:30 Tjibeber Indonesia  0.2
27 Apr 2019 06:00 Tjiaun Indonesia  0.2
27 Apr 2019 05:15 Tjikaret Indonesia  0.2
27 Apr 2019 06:00 Gardu Indonesia  0.2
27 Apr 2019 06:00 Sindangbarang Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 21:00 Kabue Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 21:45 Pahanuma Indonesia  0.2
26 Apr 2019 09:00 Pandanganget Indonesia  0.2
26 Apr 2019 09:00 Bintuhan Indonesia  0.2
26 Apr 2019 09:00 Limau Indonesia  0.2
27 Apr 2019 06:15 Kendal Indonesia  0.2
27 Apr 2019 06:15 Mangkang-Kulan Indonesia  0.2
27 Apr 2019 06:15 Djomblang Indonesia  0.2
27 Apr 2019 06:15 Semarang Indonesia  0.2
27 Apr 2019 06:15 Karangroto Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 14:00 Patrol Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 14:00 Kandanghaur Indonesia  0.2
27 Apr 2019 09:45 Pedes Indonesia  0.2
27 Apr 2019 09:45 Sungaibuntu Indonesia  0.2
26 Apr 2019 09:00 Bandjarnegeri Indonesia  0.2
26 Apr 2019 09:00 Ngaras Indonesia  0.2
26 Apr 2019 09:00 Negeriratoe Indonesia  0.2
26 Apr 2019 09:00 Kotodjawa Indonesia  0.2
26 Apr 2019 09:00 Bandaragung Indonesia  0.2
26 Apr 2019 09:00 Tjampang Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 17:15 Djepuh Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 17:15 Tangjungrusa Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 17:15 Dendang Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 17:15 Simnangpesa Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 17:15 Tandjungklumpang Indonesia  0.2
26 Apr 2019 08:45 Biha Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 17:15 Tandjungbatuaajer Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 17:00 Gunung Indonesia  0.2
26 Apr 2019 08:45 Marang Indonesia  0.1
25 Apr 2019 07:45 Mutua Indonesia  0.1
25 Apr 2019 03:15 Cilancang Indonesia  0.1
25 Apr 2019 03:15 Cirebon Indonesia  0.1
27 Apr 2019 06:45 Petaroekan Indonesia  0.1
27 Apr 2019 06:45 Sigedang Indonesia  0.1
27 Apr 2019 06:45 Pekalongan Indonesia  0.1
24 Apr 2019 14:00 Cangkring Indonesia  0.1
26 Apr 2019 14:15 Tandjoengselaka Indonesia  0.1
27 Apr 2019 05:45 Wedung Indonesia  0.1
27 Apr 2019 05:45 Kedungmalang Indonesia  0.1
24 Apr 2019 14:00 Indramaju Indonesia  0.1
27 Apr 2019 06:45 Klampok Indonesia  0.1
27 Apr 2019 06:45 Tegal Indonesia  0.1
27 Apr 2019 06:45 Wanasari Indonesia  0.1
27 Apr 2019 05:45 Sidja Indonesia  0.1
26 Apr 2019 20:00 Kalipang Indonesia  0.1
26 Apr 2019 20:00 Lemanbang Indonesia  0.1
26 Apr 2019 20:00 Tambakbaja Indonesia  0.1
26 Apr 2019 20:45 Taju Indonesia  0.1
26 Apr 2019 20:45 Bulumanis Indonesia  0.1
26 Apr 2019 20:45 Batangan Indonesia  0.1
26 Apr 2019 20:00 Rembang Indonesia  0.1
26 Apr 2019 20:00 Karangsari Indonesia  0.1
27 Apr 2019 05:15 Jepara Indonesia  0.1
27 Apr 2019 05:15 Bugel Indonesia  0.1
27 Apr 2019 05:15 Karanggondang Indonesia  0.1
26 Apr 2019 20:00 Lasem Indonesia  0.1
26 Apr 2019 20:00 Padangan-wetan Indonesia  0.1
26 Apr 2019 00:15 West Island Cocos (Keeling) Islands  0.1
26 Apr 2019 19:45 Remen Indonesia  0.1
27 Apr 2019 06:30 Pemalang Indonesia  0.1
27 Apr 2019 06:30 Losan Indonesia  0.1
27 Apr 2019 06:30 Bulakamba Indonesia  0.1
26 Apr 2019 09:30 Karangampel Indonesia  0.1