Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for LORNA-19 Off-shore from 23 Apr 2019 12:00 UTC to 29 Apr 2019 12:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for LORNA-19

Off-shore

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to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone LORNA-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	151 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.6 m (26 Apr 10:30 UTC)
Vulnerability	--

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
GFS Current	151 km/h	0.0 m	606 mm	0.5
GFS Overall	140 km/h	0.7 m	698 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 25 Apr 2019 06:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5
1	23 Apr 2019 12:00	173	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	23 Apr 2019 18:00	166	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	24 Apr 2019 00:00	166	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	24 Apr 2019 06:00	140	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	24 Apr 2019 12:00	137	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	24 Apr 2019 18:00	169	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	25 Apr 2019 00:00	162	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	25 Apr 2019 06:00	151	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

698 mm

Up to 8.4 million can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 25 Apr 2019 06:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
100-250 mm	Indonesia	8,351,483
50-100 mm	Indonesia	22,296,921

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	23 Apr 2019 12:00	736	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	23 Apr 2019 18:00	843	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	24 Apr 2019 00:00	830	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	24 Apr 2019 06:00	877	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	24 Apr 2019 12:00	783	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	24 Apr 2019 18:00	800	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	25 Apr 2019 00:00	604	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	25 Apr 2019 06:00	606	8.4 million			-	-	-	-	Indonesia

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.6 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.6m in Kiluan, Indonesia. This height is estimated for 26 Apr 2019 10:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 25 Apr 2019 06:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	26 Apr 2019 10:30	Kiluan	Indonesia	0.6
	26 Apr 2019 10:30	Kekatang	Indonesia	0.6
	26 Apr 2019 10:30	Menango	Indonesia	0.6
	26 Apr 2019 10:15	Tandjungkarang	Indonesia	0.6
	26 Apr 2019 10:15	Telukbetung	Indonesia	0.6
	26 Apr 2019 10:15	Tarahan	Indonesia	0.6
	25 Apr 2019 22:45	Umbulan Pepanggar	Indonesia	0.4
	25 Apr 2019 22:45	Kalianda	Indonesia	0.4
	27 Apr 2019 06:30	Tjikawung	Indonesia	0.4
	27 Apr 2019 06:30	Sumur	Indonesia	0.4
	27 Apr 2019 16:00	Serangai	Indonesia	0.4
	27 Apr 2019 16:00	Penampung	Indonesia	0.4
	27 Apr 2019 16:00	Lais	Indonesia	0.4
	27 Apr 2019 16:00	Baru	Indonesia	0.4
	27 Apr 2019 16:00	Lubuktandjung	Indonesia	0.4
	27 Apr 2019 16:00	Pasarkerkap	Indonesia	0.4
	27 Apr 2019 16:00	Tiop	Indonesia	0.4
	27 Apr 2019 16:00	Buriai	Indonesia	0.4
	25 Apr 2019 13:45	Babakancibeber	Indonesia	0.4
	25 Apr 2019 13:45	Kolitjaah	Indonesia	0.4
	25 Apr 2019 13:45	Tjiteureup	Indonesia	0.4
	25 Apr 2019 13:45	Labuhan	Indonesia	0.4
	25 Apr 2019 13:45	Kaduperasi	Indonesia	0.4
	27 Apr 2019 15:45	Ketaun	Indonesia	0.4
	27 Apr 2019 16:00	Kerkap	Indonesia	0.4
	27 Apr 2019 16:00	Bangkahulu	Indonesia	0.4
	27 Apr 2019 16:00	Pekansaptoe	Indonesia	0.4
	27 Apr 2019 15:45	Ipun	Indonesia	0.4
	27 Apr 2019 15:45	Airrami	Indonesia	0.4
	27 Apr 2019 15:45	Pasarseblat	Indonesia	0.4
	27 Apr 2019 16:00	Aerdjeruk	Indonesia	0.4
	27 Apr 2019 15:45	Pondokkapoer	Indonesia	0.4
	25 Apr 2019 15:45	Maringgai	Indonesia	0.4
	25 Apr 2019 16:00	Merak	Indonesia	0.3
	25 Apr 2019 16:00	Domas	Indonesia	0.3
	27 Apr 2019 05:45	Chilachap	Indonesia	0.3
	27 Apr 2019 05:45	Adipala	Indonesia	0.3
	27 Apr 2019 05:45	Binangoen	Indonesia	0.3
	27 Apr 2019 15:30	Seblat	Indonesia	0.3
	25 Apr 2019 07:00	Guring	Indonesia	0.3
	25 Apr 2019 07:00	Kota Agung	Indonesia	0.3
	27 Apr 2019 16:15	Waiharoe	Indonesia	0.3
	27 Apr 2019 16:15	Karangberak	Indonesia	0.3
	27 Apr 2019 16:15	Sawangbalak	Indonesia	0.3
	25 Apr 2019 09:45	Umbulan Padulmanan	Indonesia	0.3
	27 Apr 2019 15:45	Ngalam	Indonesia	0.3
	27 Apr 2019 15:45	Pasarseluma	Indonesia	0.3
	27 Apr 2019 16:30	Pasartalo	Indonesia	0.3
	27 Apr 2019 16:30	Pasaralas	Indonesia	0.3
	27 Apr 2019 16:30	Pasarpino	Indonesia	0.3
	27 Apr 2019 16:30	Mana	Indonesia	0.3
	27 Apr 2019 06:00	Pangadaran	Indonesia	0.3
	27 Apr 2019 06:00	Kaliputjang	Indonesia	0.3
	27 Apr 2019 16:15	Bandjaragung	Indonesia	0.3
	27 Apr 2019 16:15	Tandjungaur	Indonesia	0.3
	27 Apr 2019 16:15	Cikalong	Indonesia	0.3
	25 Apr 2019 14:00	Bakau	Indonesia	0.3
	25 Apr 2019 14:00	Ketapang	Indonesia	0.3
	27 Apr 2019 16:00	Belowa	Indonesia	0.3
	27 Apr 2019 16:00	Taoabi	Indonesia	0.3
	27 Apr 2019 16:00	Poelaudoea	Indonesia	0.3
	26 Apr 2019 01:45	Muarabinuangeun	Indonesia	0.3
	27 Apr 2019 16:15	Putih	Indonesia	0.3
	27 Apr 2019 16:00	Waibatang	Indonesia	0.3
	27 Apr 2019 16:00	Karbang	Indonesia	0.3
	27 Apr 2019 16:00	Walur	Indonesia	0.3
	27 Apr 2019 16:15	Tampang	Indonesia	0.3
	27 Apr 2019 05:45	Sindangsari	Indonesia	0.3
	27 Apr 2019 05:45	Cijulang	Indonesia	0.3
	27 Apr 2019 15:45	Beriang	Indonesia	0.3
	27 Apr 2019 15:45	Tandjungraja	Indonesia	0.3
	27 Apr 2019 05:45	Deliugo	Indonesia	0.3
	27 Apr 2019 05:45	Kalak	Indonesia	0.3
	27 Apr 2019 05:45	Patjitan	Indonesia	0.3
	27 Apr 2019 06:00	Djepitoe	Indonesia	0.3
	27 Apr 2019 06:00	Petanahan	Indonesia	0.3
	27 Apr 2019 06:15	Djagalaja	Indonesia	0.3
	27 Apr 2019 06:15	Bendungan	Indonesia	0.3
	27 Apr 2019 06:15	Galur	Indonesia	0.3
	27 Apr 2019 06:15	Srandakan	Indonesia	0.3
	27 Apr 2019 05:30	Ajah	Indonesia	0.3
	25 Apr 2019 14:00	Anjer-Kidu	Indonesia	0.3
	27 Apr 2019 16:15	Belimbing	Indonesia	0.2
	27 Apr 2019 16:15	Pasarpulaupisang	Indonesia	0.2
	27 Apr 2019 16:15	Wainapal	Indonesia	0.2
	27 Apr 2019 16:15	Krui	Indonesia	0.2
	27 Apr 2019 16:15	Kerbang	Indonesia	0.2
	27 Apr 2019 16:15	Padangnegeri	Indonesia	0.2
	27 Apr 2019 16:15	Tandjungbaringin	Indonesia	0.2
	25 Apr 2019 09:30	Kramat	Indonesia	0.2
	25 Apr 2019 09:30	Cengkarengbelakang	Indonesia	0.2
	25 Apr 2019 09:30	Tipar	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 05:15	Ketapang	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 05:15	Tanara	Indonesia	0.2
	27 Apr 2019 06:15	Ngadirodjo	Indonesia	0.2
	27 Apr 2019 06:15	Panggul	Indonesia	0.2
	27 Apr 2019 06:15	Mundjungan	Indonesia	0.2
	27 Apr 2019 16:00	Pahanuma	Indonesia	0.2
	27 Apr 2019 16:15	Kabue	Indonesia	0.2
	27 Apr 2019 06:30	Tasikmadoe	Indonesia	0.2
	27 Apr 2019 06:30	Popoh	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 01:00	Topoali	Indonesia	0.2
	27 Apr 2019 06:15	Karanganjar	Indonesia	0.2
	27 Apr 2019 06:15	Chikalong	Indonesia	0.2
	27 Apr 2019 06:15	Kalapagenep	Indonesia	0.2
	27 Apr 2019 06:15	Kebonongan	Indonesia	0.2
	27 Apr 2019 06:15	Tirtohardjo	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 04:00	Point Marianne	British Indian Ocean Territory	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 04:15	East Point Plantation	British Indian Ocean Territory	0.2
	27 Apr 2019 05:30	Plotot	Indonesia	0.2
	27 Apr 2019 16:00	Bandaragung	Indonesia	0.2
	27 Apr 2019 16:00	Tjampang	Indonesia	0.2
	27 Apr 2019 15:45	Pandanganget	Indonesia	0.2
	27 Apr 2019 16:30	Bandjarnegeri	Indonesia	0.2
	27 Apr 2019 16:30	Ngaras	Indonesia	0.2
	27 Apr 2019 16:30	Negeriratoe	Indonesia	0.2
	27 Apr 2019 16:30	Kotodjawa	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 01:45	Kendal	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 01:45	Mangkang-Kulan	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 01:45	Djomblang	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 01:45	Semarang	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 01:45	Karangroto	Indonesia	0.2
	27 Apr 2019 05:30	Karanghawu	Indonesia	0.2
	27 Apr 2019 05:30	Tjimadja	Indonesia	0.2
	27 Apr 2019 05:30	Tjiateul	Indonesia	0.2
	27 Apr 2019 15:45	Bintuhan	Indonesia	0.2
	27 Apr 2019 16:00	Limau	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 01:00	Gunung	Indonesia	0.2
	27 Apr 2019 05:30	Chihara	Indonesia	0.2
	27 Apr 2019 16:15	Biha	Indonesia	0.2
	27 Apr 2019 16:15	Bulasat	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 00:00	Pangkal Dudat	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 00:00	Tandjungkiras	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 00:00	Membalong	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 06:00	Patrol	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 06:00	Kandanghaur	Indonesia	0.2
	27 Apr 2019 05:15	Babadan	Indonesia	0.2
	27 Apr 2019 05:15	Lingkungsari	Indonesia	0.2
	27 Apr 2019 05:15	Tjiagra	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 06:00	Pasirputih	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 06:00	Muaratjilamaja	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 03:15	Cilancang	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 03:15	Cirebon	Indonesia	0.2
	27 Apr 2019 16:30	Bajah	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 06:00	Balubuk	Indonesia	0.2
	27 Apr 2019 16:15	Marang	Indonesia	0.2
	27 Apr 2019 05:15	Tjikaret	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 06:00	Cangkring	Indonesia	0.2
	27 Apr 2019 23:30	Djepuh	Indonesia	0.2
	27 Apr 2019 23:30	Tangjungrusa	Indonesia	0.2
	27 Apr 2019 23:30	Dendang	Indonesia	0.2
	27 Apr 2019 23:30	Simnangpesa	Indonesia	0.2
	27 Apr 2019 23:30	Tandjungklumpang	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 01:15	Wedung	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 01:15	Kedungmalang	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 03:00	Karangampel	Indonesia	0.2
	26 Apr 2019 01:00	South Point	Christmas Island	0.2
	26 Apr 2019 01:00	The Settlement	Christmas Island	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 06:00	Indramaju	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 06:00	Pedes	Indonesia	0.2
	27 Apr 2019 18:45	Tandjoengselaka	Indonesia	0.2
	27 Apr 2019 05:30	Tjibeber	Indonesia	0.2
	27 Apr 2019 23:30	Tandjungbatuaajer	Indonesia	0.2
	27 Apr 2019 06:00	Bangbajang	Indonesia	0.2
	27 Apr 2019 06:00	Cidora	Indonesia	0.2
	27 Apr 2019 06:00	Tjimari	Indonesia	0.2
	27 Apr 2019 06:00	Pameungpeuk	Indonesia	0.2
	27 Apr 2019 06:00	Sindangbarang	Indonesia	0.2
	27 Apr 2019 06:00	Gardu	Indonesia	0.2
	27 Apr 2019 06:00	Tjiaun	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 06:00	Sungaibuntu	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 03:00	Losan	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 02:45	Bulakamba	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 02:45	Klampok	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 01:00	Jepara	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 01:00	Bugel	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 01:00	Karanggondang	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 06:00	Pekalongan	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 06:00	Sidja	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 06:00	Tegal	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 06:00	Wanasari	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 01:30	Petaroekan	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 01:30	Sigedang	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 06:00	Karangsari	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 06:00	Taju	Indonesia	0.2
	27 Apr 2019 18:30	Mutua	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 06:00	Lemanbang	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 06:00	Tambakbaja	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 06:00	Remen	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 02:00	Bulumanis	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 02:00	Batangan	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 06:00	Kalipang	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 06:00	Rembang	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 06:00	Lasem	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 06:00	Padangan-wetan	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 06:00	Pemalang	Indonesia	0.1
	26 Apr 2019 08:30	La Roche Godon	French Southern and Antarctic Lands	0.1
	27 Apr 2019 15:30	West Island	Cocos (Keeling) Islands	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.