Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for LORNA-19 Off-shore from 23 Apr 2019 12:00 UTC to 29 Apr 2019 12:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for LORNA-19

Off-shore

click on

to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone LORNA-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	115 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.7 m (29 Apr 10:30 UTC)
Vulnerability	--

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
GFS Current	115 km/h	0.0 m	273 mm	0.5
GFS Overall	140 km/h	0.7 m	698 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

140 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 28 Apr 2019 12:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5
1	23 Apr 2019 12:00	173	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	23 Apr 2019 18:00	166	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	24 Apr 2019 00:00	166	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	24 Apr 2019 06:00	140	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	24 Apr 2019 12:00	137	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	24 Apr 2019 18:00	169	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	25 Apr 2019 00:00	162	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	25 Apr 2019 06:00	151	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	25 Apr 2019 12:00	126	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
10	25 Apr 2019 18:00	155	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
11	26 Apr 2019 00:00	155	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
12	26 Apr 2019 06:00	140	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
13	26 Apr 2019 12:00	151	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
14	26 Apr 2019 18:00	155	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
15	27 Apr 2019 00:00	144	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
16	27 Apr 2019 06:00	133	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
17	27 Apr 2019 12:00	140	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
18	27 Apr 2019 18:00	140	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
19	28 Apr 2019 00:00	119	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
20	28 Apr 2019 06:00	130	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
21	28 Apr 2019 12:00	115	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

TOP

Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 28 Apr 2019 12:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
100-250 mm	Indonesia	1,426,387
50-100 mm	Indonesia	18,107,467

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	23 Apr 2019 12:00	736	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	23 Apr 2019 18:00	843	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	24 Apr 2019 00:00	830	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	24 Apr 2019 06:00	877	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	24 Apr 2019 12:00	783	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	24 Apr 2019 18:00	800	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	25 Apr 2019 00:00	604	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	25 Apr 2019 06:00	606	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	25 Apr 2019 12:00	539	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
10	25 Apr 2019 18:00	498	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
11	26 Apr 2019 00:00	528	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
12	26 Apr 2019 06:00	603	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
13	26 Apr 2019 12:00	607	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
14	26 Apr 2019 18:00	628	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
15	27 Apr 2019 00:00	473	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
16	27 Apr 2019 06:00	393	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
17	27 Apr 2019 12:00	455	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
18	27 Apr 2019 18:00	391	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
19	28 Apr 2019 00:00	454	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
20	28 Apr 2019 06:00	326	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
21	28 Apr 2019 12:00	273	1.4 million			-	-	-	-	Indonesia

Impact estimation for the next 72h

TOP

StormSurge

0.7 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.7m in Kiluan, Indonesia. This height is estimated for 29 Apr 2019 10:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 28 Apr 2019 12:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	29 Apr 2019 10:30	Kiluan	Indonesia	0.7
	29 Apr 2019 10:30	Kekatang	Indonesia	0.7
	29 Apr 2019 10:30	Menango	Indonesia	0.7
	29 Apr 2019 10:30	Tandjungkarang	Indonesia	0.7
	29 Apr 2019 10:30	Telukbetung	Indonesia	0.7
	29 Apr 2019 10:30	Tarahan	Indonesia	0.7
	29 Apr 2019 14:45	Umbulan Pepanggar	Indonesia	0.5
	29 Apr 2019 14:45	Kalianda	Indonesia	0.5
	28 Apr 2019 17:15	Lubuktandjung	Indonesia	0.4
	28 Apr 2019 17:15	Pasarkerkap	Indonesia	0.4
	28 Apr 2019 17:15	Kerkap	Indonesia	0.4
	28 Apr 2019 17:15	Bangkahulu	Indonesia	0.4
	28 Apr 2019 17:15	Pekansaptoe	Indonesia	0.4
	29 Apr 2019 09:00	Tiop	Indonesia	0.4
	29 Apr 2019 09:00	Buriai	Indonesia	0.4
	29 Apr 2019 15:15	Tjikawung	Indonesia	0.4
	29 Apr 2019 15:15	Sumur	Indonesia	0.4
	29 Apr 2019 15:15	Aerdjeruk	Indonesia	0.4
	29 Apr 2019 15:15	Babakancibeber	Indonesia	0.4
	28 Apr 2019 17:15	Penampung	Indonesia	0.4
	28 Apr 2019 17:15	Lais	Indonesia	0.4
	28 Apr 2019 17:15	Baru	Indonesia	0.4
	29 Apr 2019 09:00	Serangai	Indonesia	0.4
	29 Apr 2019 09:00	Ketaun	Indonesia	0.4
	28 Apr 2019 21:15	Belowa	Indonesia	0.4
	28 Apr 2019 21:15	Taoabi	Indonesia	0.4
	28 Apr 2019 21:15	Poelaudoea	Indonesia	0.4
	29 Apr 2019 09:15	Pondokkapoer	Indonesia	0.4
	29 Apr 2019 15:15	Kolitjaah	Indonesia	0.3
	29 Apr 2019 15:15	Tjiteureup	Indonesia	0.3
	29 Apr 2019 15:15	Labuhan	Indonesia	0.3
	29 Apr 2019 15:15	Kaduperasi	Indonesia	0.3
	29 Apr 2019 08:45	Seblat	Indonesia	0.3
	29 Apr 2019 08:45	Pasarseblat	Indonesia	0.3
	28 Apr 2019 21:45	Waiharoe	Indonesia	0.3
	28 Apr 2019 21:45	Guring	Indonesia	0.3
	28 Apr 2019 21:45	Kota Agung	Indonesia	0.3
	28 Apr 2019 21:45	Karangberak	Indonesia	0.3
	28 Apr 2019 21:45	Sawangbalak	Indonesia	0.3
	29 Apr 2019 09:00	Ipun	Indonesia	0.3
	29 Apr 2019 09:00	Airrami	Indonesia	0.3
	29 Apr 2019 09:30	Chilachap	Indonesia	0.3
	29 Apr 2019 09:30	Adipala	Indonesia	0.3
	29 Apr 2019 09:15	Pasartalo	Indonesia	0.3
	29 Apr 2019 09:15	Pasaralas	Indonesia	0.3
	29 Apr 2019 14:30	Muarabinuangeun	Indonesia	0.3
	28 Apr 2019 21:45	Bandjaragung	Indonesia	0.3
	28 Apr 2019 23:45	Merak	Indonesia	0.3
	28 Apr 2019 23:45	Domas	Indonesia	0.3
	29 Apr 2019 15:00	Bakau	Indonesia	0.3
	29 Apr 2019 15:00	Ketapang	Indonesia	0.3
	30 Apr 2019 10:30	Ngalam	Indonesia	0.3
	30 Apr 2019 10:30	Pasarseluma	Indonesia	0.3
	28 Apr 2019 20:30	Pasarpino	Indonesia	0.3
	28 Apr 2019 20:30	Mana	Indonesia	0.3
	28 Apr 2019 21:30	Tandjungaur	Indonesia	0.3
	28 Apr 2019 21:30	Beriang	Indonesia	0.3
	28 Apr 2019 21:30	Tandjungraja	Indonesia	0.3
	28 Apr 2019 21:45	Putih	Indonesia	0.3
	29 Apr 2019 08:15	Maringgai	Indonesia	0.3
	29 Apr 2019 15:15	Anjer-Kidu	Indonesia	0.3
	30 Apr 2019 18:30	Umbulan Padulmanan	Indonesia	0.3
	28 Apr 2019 21:45	Tampang	Indonesia	0.3
	29 Apr 2019 09:15	Karbang	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 09:15	Walur	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 09:15	Pasarpulaupisang	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 09:15	Wainapal	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 09:15	Krui	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 09:15	Kerbang	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 09:15	Padangnegeri	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 09:15	Tandjungbaringin	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 20:00	Djagalaja	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 21:00	Bulasat	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 21:45	Belimbing	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 09:15	Waibatang	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 19:30	Sindangsari	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 19:30	Cijulang	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 19:30	Cikalong	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 19:30	Pangadaran	Indonesia	0.2
	30 Apr 2019 15:45	La Roche Godon	French Southern and Antarctic Lands	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 19:45	Kaliputjang	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 20:15	Binangoen	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 20:15	Ajah	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 08:45	Bendungan	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 08:45	Galur	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 08:45	Srandakan	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 08:45	Kebonongan	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 08:45	Tirtohardjo	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 21:00	Kabue	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 20:00	Tasikmadoe	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 20:00	Popoh	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 01:15	Mutua	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 01:15	Tandjoengselaka	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 10:30	Point Marianne	British Indian Ocean Territory	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 20:00	Panggul	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 20:00	Mundjungan	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 10:30	East Point Plantation	British Indian Ocean Territory	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 15:00	Petanahan	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 18:00	Kramat	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 18:00	Cengkarengbelakang	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 18:00	Tipar	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 21:15	Pahanuma	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 07:15	Ngadirodjo	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 21:00	Pandanganget	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 21:00	Bintuhan	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 21:15	Biha	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 18:15	Balubuk	Indonesia	0.2
	30 Apr 2019 10:00	Karanghawu	Indonesia	0.2
	30 Apr 2019 10:00	Tjimadja	Indonesia	0.2
	30 Apr 2019 10:00	Tjiateul	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 14:30	Topoali	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 21:15	Marang	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 01:45	Batangan	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 01:45	Rembang	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 19:45	Patjitan	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 13:30	Gunung	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 21:15	Bandjarnegeri	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 21:00	Bandaragung	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 21:00	Tjampang	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 09:30	Limau	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 01:45	Lasem	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 02:45	Taju	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 02:45	Bulumanis	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 21:15	Ngaras	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 21:15	Negeriratoe	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 20:45	Karanganjar	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 20:45	Chikalong	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 06:45	Kendal	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 06:45	Mangkang-Kulan	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 06:45	Djomblang	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 06:45	Semarang	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 06:45	Karangroto	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 19:45	Kalapagenep	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 08:30	Pasirputih	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 08:30	Muaratjilamaja	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 09:30	Kotodjawa	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 02:00	Karangsari	Indonesia	0.2
	30 Apr 2019 08:45	Babadan	Indonesia	0.2
	30 Apr 2019 08:45	Lingkungsari	Indonesia	0.2
	30 Apr 2019 08:45	Tjiagra	Indonesia	0.2
	30 Apr 2019 10:15	Deliugo	Indonesia	0.2
	30 Apr 2019 10:15	Kalak	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 21:45	Tjikaret	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 15:00	Djepitoe	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 18:30	Pedes	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 01:45	Padangan-wetan	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 08:45	Cilancang	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 08:45	Cirebon	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 13:30	Kalipang	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 13:30	Lemanbang	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 13:30	Tambakbaja	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 01:45	Remen	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 20:30	Plotot	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 10:30	Tanara	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 10:30	Ketapang	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 21:15	Pangkal Dudat	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 21:15	Tandjungkiras	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 21:15	Membalong	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 18:45	Sungaibuntu	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 07:30	Petaroekan	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 07:30	Sigedang	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 07:30	Pekalongan	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 20:15	South Point	Christmas Island	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 20:15	The Settlement	Christmas Island	0.2
	01 May 2019 12:00	Tandjungbatuaajer	Indonesia	0.2
	30 Apr 2019 10:15	Chihara	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 16:30	Djepuh	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 16:30	Tangjungrusa	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 16:30	Dendang	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 16:30	Simnangpesa	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 16:30	Tandjungklumpang	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 21:15	Bajah	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 07:45	Patrol	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 07:45	Kandanghaur	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 06:45	Wedung	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 06:45	Kedungmalang	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 06:45	Sidja	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 21:15	Tjibeber	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 06:15	Jepara	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 06:15	Bugel	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 06:15	Karanggondang	Indonesia	0.2
	30 Apr 2019 09:45	Cidora	Indonesia	0.2
	30 Apr 2019 09:45	Tjimari	Indonesia	0.2
	30 Apr 2019 09:45	Pameungpeuk	Indonesia	0.2
	30 Apr 2019 09:45	Bangbajang	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 08:00	Cangkring	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 08:45	Losan	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 08:45	Bulakamba	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 08:00	Indramaju	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 21:30	West Island	Cocos (Keeling) Islands	0.1
	28 Apr 2019 20:15	Sindangbarang	Indonesia	0.1
	28 Apr 2019 20:00	Tjiaun	Indonesia	0.1
	28 Apr 2019 20:00	Gardu	Indonesia	0.1
	29 Apr 2019 08:45	Klampok	Indonesia	0.1
	01 May 2019 08:45	Karangampel	Indonesia	0.1
	29 Apr 2019 05:15	Tegal	Indonesia	0.1
	29 Apr 2019 05:15	Wanasari	Indonesia	0.1
	01 May 2019 07:00	Pemalang	Indonesia	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.