Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for LORNA-19 Off-shore from 23 Apr 2019 12:00 UTC to 29 Apr 2019 12:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for LORNA-19

Off-shore

click on

to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone LORNA-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	155 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.7 m (29 Apr 14:45 UTC)
Vulnerability	--

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
GFS Current	155 km/h	0.0 m	628 mm	0.5
GFS Overall	140 km/h	0.7 m	698 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 26 Apr 2019 18:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5
1	23 Apr 2019 12:00	173	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	23 Apr 2019 18:00	166	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	24 Apr 2019 00:00	166	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	24 Apr 2019 06:00	140	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	24 Apr 2019 12:00	137	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	24 Apr 2019 18:00	169	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	25 Apr 2019 00:00	162	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	25 Apr 2019 06:00	151	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	25 Apr 2019 12:00	126	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
10	25 Apr 2019 18:00	155	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
11	26 Apr 2019 00:00	155	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
12	26 Apr 2019 06:00	140	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
13	26 Apr 2019 12:00	151	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
14	26 Apr 2019 18:00	155	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

698 mm

Up to 4.4 million can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 26 Apr 2019 18:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
100-250 mm	Indonesia	4,352,577
50-100 mm	Indonesia	36,641,287

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	23 Apr 2019 12:00	736	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	23 Apr 2019 18:00	843	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	24 Apr 2019 00:00	830	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	24 Apr 2019 06:00	877	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	24 Apr 2019 12:00	783	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	24 Apr 2019 18:00	800	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	25 Apr 2019 00:00	604	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	25 Apr 2019 06:00	606	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	25 Apr 2019 12:00	539	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
10	25 Apr 2019 18:00	498	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
11	26 Apr 2019 00:00	528	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
12	26 Apr 2019 06:00	603	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
13	26 Apr 2019 12:00	607	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
14	26 Apr 2019 18:00	628	4.4 million			-	-	-	-	Indonesia

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.7 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.7m in Kiluan, Indonesia. This height is estimated for 29 Apr 2019 14:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 26 Apr 2019 18:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	29 Apr 2019 14:45	Kiluan	Indonesia	0.7
	29 Apr 2019 14:45	Kekatang	Indonesia	0.7
	29 Apr 2019 14:45	Menango	Indonesia	0.7
	29 Apr 2019 14:45	Tandjungkarang	Indonesia	0.6
	29 Apr 2019 14:45	Telukbetung	Indonesia	0.6
	29 Apr 2019 14:45	Tarahan	Indonesia	0.6
	29 Apr 2019 14:45	Umbulan Pepanggar	Indonesia	0.5
	29 Apr 2019 14:45	Kalianda	Indonesia	0.5
	28 Apr 2019 20:45	Tjikawung	Indonesia	0.4
	28 Apr 2019 20:45	Sumur	Indonesia	0.4
	28 Apr 2019 17:15	Lubuktandjung	Indonesia	0.4
	28 Apr 2019 17:15	Pasarkerkap	Indonesia	0.4
	28 Apr 2019 17:15	Kerkap	Indonesia	0.4
	28 Apr 2019 17:15	Bangkahulu	Indonesia	0.4
	28 Apr 2019 17:15	Pekansaptoe	Indonesia	0.4
	28 Apr 2019 07:30	Chilachap	Indonesia	0.4
	28 Apr 2019 07:30	Adipala	Indonesia	0.4
	27 Apr 2019 16:00	Tiop	Indonesia	0.4
	27 Apr 2019 16:00	Buriai	Indonesia	0.4
	27 Apr 2019 15:45	Pondokkapoer	Indonesia	0.4
	27 Apr 2019 16:00	Aerdjeruk	Indonesia	0.4
	27 Apr 2019 16:00	Babakancibeber	Indonesia	0.4
	28 Apr 2019 21:15	Belowa	Indonesia	0.4
	28 Apr 2019 21:15	Taoabi	Indonesia	0.4
	28 Apr 2019 21:15	Poelaudoea	Indonesia	0.4
	27 Apr 2019 16:00	Serangai	Indonesia	0.4
	27 Apr 2019 16:00	Penampung	Indonesia	0.4
	27 Apr 2019 16:00	Lais	Indonesia	0.4
	27 Apr 2019 16:00	Baru	Indonesia	0.4
	27 Apr 2019 15:45	Ketaun	Indonesia	0.4
	27 Apr 2019 05:45	Binangoen	Indonesia	0.4
	27 Apr 2019 05:15	Muarabinuangeun	Indonesia	0.3
	27 Apr 2019 16:00	Guring	Indonesia	0.3
	27 Apr 2019 16:00	Kota Agung	Indonesia	0.3
	27 Apr 2019 16:00	Tjiteureup	Indonesia	0.3
	29 Apr 2019 15:15	Kolitjaah	Indonesia	0.3
	29 Apr 2019 15:15	Labuhan	Indonesia	0.3
	29 Apr 2019 15:15	Kaduperasi	Indonesia	0.3
	27 Apr 2019 15:15	Seblat	Indonesia	0.3
	27 Apr 2019 15:15	Pasarseblat	Indonesia	0.3
	28 Apr 2019 07:45	Ajah	Indonesia	0.3
	28 Apr 2019 07:45	Petanahan	Indonesia	0.3
	28 Apr 2019 09:30	Pasartalo	Indonesia	0.3
	28 Apr 2019 09:30	Pasaralas	Indonesia	0.3
	28 Apr 2019 09:30	Pasarpino	Indonesia	0.3
	28 Apr 2019 09:30	Mana	Indonesia	0.3
	28 Apr 2019 08:00	Sindangsari	Indonesia	0.3
	28 Apr 2019 08:00	Cijulang	Indonesia	0.3
	28 Apr 2019 08:00	Cikalong	Indonesia	0.3
	28 Apr 2019 08:00	Pangadaran	Indonesia	0.3
	27 Apr 2019 16:15	Waiharoe	Indonesia	0.3
	27 Apr 2019 16:15	Karangberak	Indonesia	0.3
	27 Apr 2019 16:15	Sawangbalak	Indonesia	0.3
	28 Apr 2019 23:45	Merak	Indonesia	0.3
	28 Apr 2019 23:45	Domas	Indonesia	0.3
	28 Apr 2019 21:00	Airrami	Indonesia	0.3
	27 Apr 2019 16:00	Waibatang	Indonesia	0.3
	27 Apr 2019 16:00	Karbang	Indonesia	0.3
	27 Apr 2019 16:00	Walur	Indonesia	0.3
	28 Apr 2019 08:45	Ngalam	Indonesia	0.3
	27 Apr 2019 15:30	Ipun	Indonesia	0.3
	28 Apr 2019 07:15	Kaliputjang	Indonesia	0.3
	28 Apr 2019 07:30	Tasikmadoe	Indonesia	0.3
	28 Apr 2019 07:30	Popoh	Indonesia	0.3
	27 Apr 2019 16:15	Bandjaragung	Indonesia	0.3
	28 Apr 2019 08:00	Djagalaja	Indonesia	0.3
	28 Apr 2019 08:00	Bendungan	Indonesia	0.3
	28 Apr 2019 08:00	Galur	Indonesia	0.3
	28 Apr 2019 08:00	Srandakan	Indonesia	0.3
	27 Apr 2019 23:45	Umbulan Padulmanan	Indonesia	0.3
	27 Apr 2019 16:15	Pasarpulaupisang	Indonesia	0.3
	27 Apr 2019 16:15	Wainapal	Indonesia	0.3
	27 Apr 2019 16:15	Krui	Indonesia	0.3
	27 Apr 2019 16:15	Kerbang	Indonesia	0.3
	27 Apr 2019 16:15	Padangnegeri	Indonesia	0.3
	27 Apr 2019 16:15	Tandjungbaringin	Indonesia	0.3
	27 Apr 2019 16:15	Putih	Indonesia	0.3
	28 Apr 2019 08:45	Pasarseluma	Indonesia	0.3
	28 Apr 2019 21:30	Tandjungaur	Indonesia	0.3
	28 Apr 2019 21:30	Beriang	Indonesia	0.3
	28 Apr 2019 21:30	Tandjungraja	Indonesia	0.3
	27 Apr 2019 16:15	Tampang	Indonesia	0.3
	27 Apr 2019 16:15	Belimbing	Indonesia	0.3
	29 Apr 2019 11:15	Maringgai	Indonesia	0.3
	28 Apr 2019 07:30	Djepitoe	Indonesia	0.3
	27 Apr 2019 05:45	Deliugo	Indonesia	0.3
	27 Apr 2019 05:45	Kalak	Indonesia	0.3
	27 Apr 2019 05:45	Patjitan	Indonesia	0.3
	29 Apr 2019 10:00	Bakau	Indonesia	0.3
	29 Apr 2019 10:00	Ketapang	Indonesia	0.3
	28 Apr 2019 07:30	Mundjungan	Indonesia	0.3
	27 Apr 2019 16:00	Anjer-Kidu	Indonesia	0.3
	27 Apr 2019 16:00	Pahanuma	Indonesia	0.3
	28 Apr 2019 07:30	Kebonongan	Indonesia	0.3
	28 Apr 2019 07:30	Tirtohardjo	Indonesia	0.3
	28 Apr 2019 08:00	Ngadirodjo	Indonesia	0.3
	28 Apr 2019 08:00	Panggul	Indonesia	0.3
	27 Apr 2019 16:00	Bulasat	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 09:15	Cilancang	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 09:15	Cirebon	Indonesia	0.2
	27 Apr 2019 16:00	Kabue	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 01:00	Topoali	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 06:45	Pasirputih	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 06:45	Muaratjilamaja	Indonesia	0.2
	27 Apr 2019 16:00	Bandaragung	Indonesia	0.2
	27 Apr 2019 16:00	Tjampang	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 05:15	Tanara	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 05:15	Ketapang	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 05:15	Kramat	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 05:15	Cengkarengbelakang	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 06:15	Patrol	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 06:15	Kandanghaur	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 15:30	La Roche Godon	French Southern and Antarctic Lands	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 07:45	Kalapagenep	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 06:00	Tipar	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 09:00	Bandjarnegeri	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 09:00	Ngaras	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 09:00	Negeriratoe	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 09:00	Kotodjawa	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 07:45	Karanganjar	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 07:45	Chikalong	Indonesia	0.2
	27 Apr 2019 15:45	Pandanganget	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 08:00	Karanghawu	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 08:00	Tjimadja	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 08:00	Tjiateul	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 04:00	Point Marianne	British Indian Ocean Territory	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 04:15	East Point Plantation	British Indian Ocean Territory	0.2
	27 Apr 2019 16:00	Limau	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 14:45	Taju	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 14:45	Bulumanis	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 14:45	Batangan	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 12:30	Kendal	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 12:30	Mangkang-Kulan	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 12:30	Djomblang	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 12:30	Semarang	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 12:30	Karangroto	Indonesia	0.2
	27 Apr 2019 16:00	Bintuhan	Indonesia	0.2
	27 Apr 2019 05:15	Babadan	Indonesia	0.2
	27 Apr 2019 05:15	Lingkungsari	Indonesia	0.2
	27 Apr 2019 05:15	Tjiagra	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 14:00	Rembang	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 01:15	Mutua	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 01:15	Tandjoengselaka	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 01:15	Gunung	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 13:45	Karangsari	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 08:15	Tjikaret	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 13:45	Lasem	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 09:00	Losan	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 09:00	Bulakamba	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 06:15	Cangkring	Indonesia	0.2
	27 Apr 2019 16:15	Biha	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 13:45	Lemanbang	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 13:45	Tambakbaja	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 13:45	Remen	Indonesia	0.2
	27 Apr 2019 05:30	Plotot	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 13:45	Kalipang	Indonesia	0.2
	27 Apr 2019 15:45	Marang	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 14:00	Padangan-wetan	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 09:15	Klampok	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 06:15	Indramaju	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 08:00	Chihara	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 08:00	Bajah	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 00:00	Pangkal Dudat	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 00:00	Tandjungkiras	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 00:00	Membalong	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 07:45	Pedes	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 07:45	Sungaibuntu	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 08:30	Karangampel	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 04:30	Balubuk	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 08:15	Tjimari	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 08:15	Pameungpeuk	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 08:15	Bangbajang	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 08:15	Sindangbarang	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 08:15	Gardu	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 08:15	Tjiaun	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 08:15	Tjibeber	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 12:15	Wedung	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 12:15	Kedungmalang	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 08:15	Cidora	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 12:45	Pekalongan	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 12:45	Sidja	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 12:00	Jepara	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 12:00	Bugel	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 12:00	Karanggondang	Indonesia	0.2
	27 Apr 2019 23:45	Djepuh	Indonesia	0.2
	27 Apr 2019 23:45	Tangjungrusa	Indonesia	0.2
	27 Apr 2019 23:45	Dendang	Indonesia	0.2
	27 Apr 2019 23:45	Simnangpesa	Indonesia	0.2
	27 Apr 2019 23:45	Tandjungklumpang	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 12:30	Sigedang	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 13:00	Petaroekan	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 08:00	The Settlement	Christmas Island	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 08:00	South Point	Christmas Island	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 00:30	Tandjungbatuaajer	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 12:45	Wanasari	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 12:45	Pemalang	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 21:30	Tegal	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 21:15	West Island	Cocos (Keeling) Islands	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.