Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for LORNA-19
Off-shore
24 Apr 2019 18 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone LORNA-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 169 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.7 m (24 Apr 21:45 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 169 km/h 0.0 m 800 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 140 km/h 0.7 m 698 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 24 Apr 2019 18:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 23 Apr 2019 12:00 173 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 23 Apr 2019 18:00 166 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 24 Apr 2019 00:00 166 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 24 Apr 2019 06:00 140 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 24 Apr 2019 12:00 137 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 24 Apr 2019 18:00 169 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall

698 mm

Up to 6.7 million can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 24 Apr 2019 18:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmIndonesia6,682,711 
50-100 mmIndonesia19,940,137 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 23 Apr 2019 12:00 736 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 23 Apr 2019 18:00 843 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 24 Apr 2019 00:00 830 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 24 Apr 2019 06:00 877 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 24 Apr 2019 12:00 783 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 24 Apr 2019 18:00 800 6.7 million
- - - - Indonesia




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

0.7 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.7m in Kiluan, Indonesia. This height is estimated for 24 Apr 2019 21:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 24 Apr 2019 18:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
24 Apr 2019 21:45 Kiluan Indonesia  0.7
24 Apr 2019 21:45 Kekatang Indonesia  0.7
24 Apr 2019 21:45 Menango Indonesia  0.7
24 Apr 2019 21:45 Tandjungkarang Indonesia  0.7
24 Apr 2019 21:45 Telukbetung Indonesia  0.7
24 Apr 2019 21:45 Tarahan Indonesia  0.7
24 Apr 2019 22:00 Umbulan Pepanggar Indonesia  0.5
24 Apr 2019 22:00 Kalianda Indonesia  0.5
25 Apr 2019 01:45 Tjikawung Indonesia  0.4
25 Apr 2019 01:45 Sumur Indonesia  0.4
27 Apr 2019 16:00 Lubuktandjung Indonesia  0.4
27 Apr 2019 16:00 Pasarkerkap Indonesia  0.4
27 Apr 2019 16:00 Kerkap Indonesia  0.4
27 Apr 2019 16:00 Bangkahulu Indonesia  0.4
27 Apr 2019 16:00 Pekansaptoe Indonesia  0.4
27 Apr 2019 16:00 Tiop Indonesia  0.4
27 Apr 2019 16:00 Buriai Indonesia  0.4
27 Apr 2019 15:45 Ketaun Indonesia  0.4
27 Apr 2019 15:45 Serangai Indonesia  0.4
27 Apr 2019 15:45 Penampung Indonesia  0.4
27 Apr 2019 15:45 Pondokkapoer Indonesia  0.4
25 Apr 2019 13:45 Babakancibeber Indonesia  0.4
25 Apr 2019 13:45 Kolitjaah Indonesia  0.4
25 Apr 2019 13:45 Tjiteureup Indonesia  0.4
25 Apr 2019 13:45 Labuhan Indonesia  0.4
25 Apr 2019 13:45 Kaduperasi Indonesia  0.4
27 Apr 2019 16:00 Lais Indonesia  0.4
27 Apr 2019 16:00 Baru Indonesia  0.4
27 Apr 2019 06:30 Aerdjeruk Indonesia  0.4
25 Apr 2019 15:45 Maringgai Indonesia  0.4
27 Apr 2019 15:45 Ipun Indonesia  0.3
27 Apr 2019 15:45 Airrami Indonesia  0.3
27 Apr 2019 15:45 Pasarseblat Indonesia  0.3
24 Apr 2019 21:00 Guring Indonesia  0.3
24 Apr 2019 21:00 Kota Agung Indonesia  0.3
27 Apr 2019 05:45 Chilachap Indonesia  0.3
27 Apr 2019 05:45 Adipala Indonesia  0.3
27 Apr 2019 16:00 Seblat Indonesia  0.3
24 Apr 2019 22:00 Ketapang Indonesia  0.3
25 Apr 2019 16:00 Merak Indonesia  0.3
25 Apr 2019 16:00 Domas Indonesia  0.3
24 Apr 2019 21:00 Waiharoe Indonesia  0.3
24 Apr 2019 21:00 Karangberak Indonesia  0.3
24 Apr 2019 21:00 Sawangbalak Indonesia  0.3
26 Apr 2019 01:45 Binangoen Indonesia  0.3
24 Apr 2019 21:00 Bandjaragung Indonesia  0.3
26 Apr 2019 10:30 Umbulan Padulmanan Indonesia  0.3
27 Apr 2019 15:30 Ngalam Indonesia  0.3
27 Apr 2019 15:30 Pasarseluma Indonesia  0.3
27 Apr 2019 16:30 Pasartalo Indonesia  0.3
27 Apr 2019 16:30 Pasaralas Indonesia  0.3
27 Apr 2019 16:30 Pasarpino Indonesia  0.3
27 Apr 2019 16:30 Mana Indonesia  0.3
25 Apr 2019 23:45 Muarabinuangeun Indonesia  0.3
27 Apr 2019 05:45 Deliugo Indonesia  0.3
27 Apr 2019 05:45 Kalak Indonesia  0.3
27 Apr 2019 05:45 Patjitan Indonesia  0.3
27 Apr 2019 16:15 Pangadaran Indonesia  0.3
27 Apr 2019 16:15 Kaliputjang Indonesia  0.3
25 Apr 2019 14:00 Bakau Indonesia  0.3
27 Apr 2019 16:15 Cikalong Indonesia  0.3
27 Apr 2019 06:00 Djagalaja Indonesia  0.3
24 Apr 2019 21:00 Putih Indonesia  0.3
27 Apr 2019 05:45 Djepitoe Indonesia  0.3
27 Apr 2019 06:15 Ajah Indonesia  0.3
25 Apr 2019 14:00 Anjer-Kidu Indonesia  0.3
27 Apr 2019 06:00 Petanahan Indonesia  0.3
27 Apr 2019 05:45 Tasikmadoe Indonesia  0.3
27 Apr 2019 05:45 Popoh Indonesia  0.3
27 Apr 2019 16:15 Tandjungaur Indonesia  0.3
24 Apr 2019 21:00 Tampang Indonesia  0.3
27 Apr 2019 06:00 Ngadirodjo Indonesia  0.2
27 Apr 2019 15:45 Beriang Indonesia  0.2
27 Apr 2019 15:45 Tandjungraja Indonesia  0.2
27 Apr 2019 16:15 Karbang Indonesia  0.2
27 Apr 2019 16:15 Walur Indonesia  0.2
27 Apr 2019 16:15 Pasarpulaupisang Indonesia  0.2
27 Apr 2019 16:15 Wainapal Indonesia  0.2
27 Apr 2019 16:15 Krui Indonesia  0.2
27 Apr 2019 16:15 Kerbang Indonesia  0.2
27 Apr 2019 16:15 Padangnegeri Indonesia  0.2
27 Apr 2019 16:15 Tandjungbaringin Indonesia  0.2
27 Apr 2019 06:00 Panggul Indonesia  0.2
27 Apr 2019 05:45 Bendungan Indonesia  0.2
27 Apr 2019 05:45 Galur Indonesia  0.2
27 Apr 2019 05:45 Srandakan Indonesia  0.2
27 Apr 2019 05:45 Kebonongan Indonesia  0.2
27 Apr 2019 05:45 Tirtohardjo Indonesia  0.2
27 Apr 2019 06:30 Mundjungan Indonesia  0.2
27 Apr 2019 16:00 Waibatang Indonesia  0.2
27 Apr 2019 16:15 Belimbing Indonesia  0.2
27 Apr 2019 06:15 Sindangsari Indonesia  0.2
27 Apr 2019 06:15 Cijulang Indonesia  0.2
27 Apr 2019 16:00 Pahanuma Indonesia  0.2
27 Apr 2019 16:00 Belowa Indonesia  0.2
27 Apr 2019 16:00 Taoabi Indonesia  0.2
27 Apr 2019 06:15 Karanganjar Indonesia  0.2
27 Apr 2019 06:15 Chikalong Indonesia  0.2
27 Apr 2019 06:15 Kalapagenep Indonesia  0.2
25 Apr 2019 09:30 Kramat Indonesia  0.2
25 Apr 2019 09:30 Cengkarengbelakang Indonesia  0.2
25 Apr 2019 09:30 Tipar Indonesia  0.2
27 Apr 2019 16:00 Kabue Indonesia  0.2
27 Apr 2019 16:00 Poelaudoea Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 23:15 Tanara Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 23:15 Ketapang Indonesia  0.2
27 Apr 2019 16:30 Bandjarnegeri Indonesia  0.2
27 Apr 2019 16:30 Ngaras Indonesia  0.2
27 Apr 2019 16:30 Negeriratoe Indonesia  0.2
27 Apr 2019 16:30 Kotodjawa Indonesia  0.2
27 Apr 2019 16:30 Bandaragung Indonesia  0.2
27 Apr 2019 16:30 Tjampang Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 21:30 Point Marianne British Indian Ocean Territory  0.2
24 Apr 2019 21:30 East Point Plantation British Indian Ocean Territory  0.2
24 Apr 2019 21:15 Bulasat Indonesia  0.2
27 Apr 2019 15:45 Pandanganget Indonesia  0.2
27 Apr 2019 15:45 Bintuhan Indonesia  0.2
27 Apr 2019 16:00 Limau Indonesia  0.2
27 Apr 2019 16:15 Biha Indonesia  0.2
26 Apr 2019 08:30 Topoali Indonesia  0.2
27 Apr 2019 05:30 Plotot Indonesia  0.2
27 Apr 2019 05:30 Chihara Indonesia  0.2
27 Apr 2019 05:30 Bajah Indonesia  0.2
27 Apr 2019 05:45 Karanghawu Indonesia  0.2
27 Apr 2019 05:45 Tjimadja Indonesia  0.2
27 Apr 2019 05:45 Tjiateul Indonesia  0.2
27 Apr 2019 16:15 Marang Indonesia  0.2
27 Apr 2019 06:00 Bangbajang Indonesia  0.2
27 Apr 2019 06:00 Pameungpeuk Indonesia  0.2
27 Apr 2019 06:00 Tjimari Indonesia  0.2
27 Apr 2019 06:00 Cidora Indonesia  0.2
27 Apr 2019 06:00 Tjiaun Indonesia  0.2
27 Apr 2019 05:30 Tjibeber Indonesia  0.2
25 Apr 2019 05:00 Pangkal Dudat Indonesia  0.2
25 Apr 2019 05:00 Tandjungkiras Indonesia  0.2
25 Apr 2019 05:00 Membalong Indonesia  0.2
27 Apr 2019 06:00 Gardu Indonesia  0.2
27 Apr 2019 06:00 Lingkungsari Indonesia  0.2
27 Apr 2019 06:00 Tjiagra Indonesia  0.2
27 Apr 2019 05:15 Babadan Indonesia  0.2
25 Apr 2019 07:45 Pasirputih Indonesia  0.2
25 Apr 2019 07:45 Muaratjilamaja Indonesia  0.2
25 Apr 2019 09:45 Balubuk Indonesia  0.2
27 Apr 2019 06:00 Sindangbarang Indonesia  0.2
26 Apr 2019 01:00 South Point Christmas Island  0.2
26 Apr 2019 01:00 The Settlement Christmas Island  0.2
27 Apr 2019 05:30 Tjikaret Indonesia  0.2
26 Apr 2019 08:15 Gunung Indonesia  0.2
25 Apr 2019 11:15 Djepuh Indonesia  0.2
25 Apr 2019 11:15 Tangjungrusa Indonesia  0.2
25 Apr 2019 11:15 Dendang Indonesia  0.2
25 Apr 2019 11:15 Simnangpesa Indonesia  0.2
25 Apr 2019 11:15 Tandjungklumpang Indonesia  0.2
27 Apr 2019 15:30 Cilancang Indonesia  0.2
27 Apr 2019 15:30 Cirebon Indonesia  0.2
27 Apr 2019 06:15 Kendal Indonesia  0.2
27 Apr 2019 06:15 Mangkang-Kulan Indonesia  0.2
27 Apr 2019 06:15 Djomblang Indonesia  0.2
27 Apr 2019 06:15 Semarang Indonesia  0.2
27 Apr 2019 06:15 Karangroto Indonesia  0.2
27 Apr 2019 10:00 Pedes Indonesia  0.2
27 Apr 2019 10:00 Sungaibuntu Indonesia  0.2
25 Apr 2019 15:15 Tandjungbatuaajer Indonesia  0.2
26 Apr 2019 00:45 Mutua Indonesia  0.2
27 Apr 2019 08:00 Tandjoengselaka Indonesia  0.1
27 Apr 2019 15:30 Losan Indonesia  0.1
27 Apr 2019 15:30 Bulakamba Indonesia  0.1
27 Apr 2019 15:30 Klampok Indonesia  0.1
27 Apr 2019 13:00 Batangan Indonesia  0.1
27 Apr 2019 13:00 Rembang Indonesia  0.1
27 Apr 2019 13:00 Lasem Indonesia  0.1
25 Apr 2019 02:45 Patrol Indonesia  0.1
25 Apr 2019 02:45 Kandanghaur Indonesia  0.1
27 Apr 2019 14:15 Taju Indonesia  0.1
27 Apr 2019 14:15 Bulumanis Indonesia  0.1
27 Apr 2019 14:30 Tegal Indonesia  0.1
27 Apr 2019 14:30 Wanasari Indonesia  0.1
27 Apr 2019 16:00 West Island Cocos (Keeling) Islands  0.1
27 Apr 2019 15:30 Petaroekan Indonesia  0.1
27 Apr 2019 15:30 Sigedang Indonesia  0.1
27 Apr 2019 15:30 Pekalongan Indonesia  0.1
27 Apr 2019 16:30 Karangampel Indonesia  0.1
27 Apr 2019 15:45 Wedung Indonesia  0.1
27 Apr 2019 15:45 Kedungmalang Indonesia  0.1
25 Apr 2019 02:15 La Roche Godon French Southern and Antarctic Lands  0.1
27 Apr 2019 13:15 Padangan-wetan Indonesia  0.1
27 Apr 2019 14:30 Sidja Indonesia  0.1
27 Apr 2019 13:45 Karangsari Indonesia  0.1
27 Apr 2019 14:15 Pemalang Indonesia  0.1
27 Apr 2019 15:45 Jepara Indonesia  0.1
27 Apr 2019 15:45 Bugel Indonesia  0.1
27 Apr 2019 15:45 Karanggondang Indonesia  0.1
25 Apr 2019 02:45 Cangkring Indonesia  0.1
25 Apr 2019 02:45 Indramaju Indonesia  0.1
27 Apr 2019 12:30 Kalipang Indonesia  0.1
27 Apr 2019 12:30 Lemanbang Indonesia  0.1
27 Apr 2019 12:30 Tambakbaja Indonesia  0.1
27 Apr 2019 13:00 Remen Indonesia  0.1