Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for LORNA-19 Off-shore from 23 Apr 2019 12:00 UTC to 29 Apr 2019 12:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for LORNA-19

Off-shore

click on

to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone LORNA-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	97 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.7 m (30 Apr 11:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	--

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
GFS Current	97 km/h	0.0 m	137 mm	0.5
GFS Overall	140 km/h	0.7 m	698 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

140 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 30 Apr 2019 00:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5
1	23 Apr 2019 12:00	173	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	23 Apr 2019 18:00	166	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	24 Apr 2019 00:00	166	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	24 Apr 2019 06:00	140	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	24 Apr 2019 12:00	137	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	24 Apr 2019 18:00	169	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	25 Apr 2019 00:00	162	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	25 Apr 2019 06:00	151	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	25 Apr 2019 12:00	126	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
10	25 Apr 2019 18:00	155	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
11	26 Apr 2019 00:00	155	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
12	26 Apr 2019 06:00	140	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
13	26 Apr 2019 12:00	151	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
14	26 Apr 2019 18:00	155	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
15	27 Apr 2019 00:00	144	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
16	27 Apr 2019 06:00	133	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
17	27 Apr 2019 12:00	140	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
18	27 Apr 2019 18:00	140	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
19	28 Apr 2019 00:00	119	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
20	28 Apr 2019 06:00	130	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
21	28 Apr 2019 12:00	115	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
22	28 Apr 2019 18:00	104	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
23	29 Apr 2019 00:00	104	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
24	29 Apr 2019 06:00	104	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
25	29 Apr 2019 12:00	90	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
26	29 Apr 2019 18:00	90	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
27	30 Apr 2019 00:00	97	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 30 Apr 2019 00:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
100-250 mm	Indonesia	880,499
50-100 mm	Indonesia	16,463,127

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	23 Apr 2019 12:00	736	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	23 Apr 2019 18:00	843	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	24 Apr 2019 00:00	830	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	24 Apr 2019 06:00	877	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	24 Apr 2019 12:00	783	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	24 Apr 2019 18:00	800	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	25 Apr 2019 00:00	604	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	25 Apr 2019 06:00	606	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	25 Apr 2019 12:00	539	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
10	25 Apr 2019 18:00	498	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
11	26 Apr 2019 00:00	528	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
12	26 Apr 2019 06:00	603	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
13	26 Apr 2019 12:00	607	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
14	26 Apr 2019 18:00	628	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
15	27 Apr 2019 00:00	473	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
16	27 Apr 2019 06:00	393	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
17	27 Apr 2019 12:00	455	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
18	27 Apr 2019 18:00	391	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
19	28 Apr 2019 00:00	454	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
20	28 Apr 2019 06:00	326	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
21	28 Apr 2019 12:00	273	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
22	28 Apr 2019 18:00	241	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
23	29 Apr 2019 00:00	159	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
24	29 Apr 2019 06:00	158	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
25	29 Apr 2019 12:00	165	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
26	29 Apr 2019 18:00	166	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
27	30 Apr 2019 00:00	137	880 thousand			-	-	-	-	Indonesia

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.7 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.7m in Kiluan, Indonesia. This height is estimated for 30 Apr 2019 11:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 30 Apr 2019 00:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	30 Apr 2019 11:00	Kiluan	Indonesia	0.7
	30 Apr 2019 11:00	Kekatang	Indonesia	0.7
	30 Apr 2019 11:00	Menango	Indonesia	0.7
	30 Apr 2019 11:00	Tandjungkarang	Indonesia	0.6
	30 Apr 2019 11:00	Telukbetung	Indonesia	0.6
	30 Apr 2019 11:00	Tarahan	Indonesia	0.6
	30 Apr 2019 10:45	Umbulan Pepanggar	Indonesia	0.5
	30 Apr 2019 10:45	Kalianda	Indonesia	0.5
	02 May 2019 04:15	Lubuktandjung	Indonesia	0.4
	02 May 2019 04:15	Pasarkerkap	Indonesia	0.4
	02 May 2019 04:15	Kerkap	Indonesia	0.4
	02 May 2019 04:15	Bangkahulu	Indonesia	0.4
	02 May 2019 04:15	Pekansaptoe	Indonesia	0.4
	30 Apr 2019 09:00	Tiop	Indonesia	0.4
	30 Apr 2019 09:00	Buriai	Indonesia	0.4
	30 Apr 2019 10:00	Guring	Indonesia	0.4
	30 Apr 2019 10:00	Kota Agung	Indonesia	0.4
	01 May 2019 15:30	Babakancibeber	Indonesia	0.4
	01 May 2019 15:30	Kolitjaah	Indonesia	0.4
	01 May 2019 15:30	Tjiteureup	Indonesia	0.4
	01 May 2019 15:30	Labuhan	Indonesia	0.4
	01 May 2019 15:30	Kaduperasi	Indonesia	0.4
	01 May 2019 15:15	Tjikawung	Indonesia	0.4
	01 May 2019 15:15	Sumur	Indonesia	0.4
	01 May 2019 15:15	Aerdjeruk	Indonesia	0.4
	02 May 2019 04:15	Serangai	Indonesia	0.4
	02 May 2019 04:15	Penampung	Indonesia	0.4
	02 May 2019 04:15	Lais	Indonesia	0.4
	02 May 2019 04:15	Baru	Indonesia	0.4
	02 May 2019 03:45	Pondokkapoer	Indonesia	0.3
	30 Apr 2019 10:00	Waiharoe	Indonesia	0.3
	30 Apr 2019 10:00	Karangberak	Indonesia	0.3
	30 Apr 2019 10:00	Sawangbalak	Indonesia	0.3
	02 May 2019 04:15	Ketaun	Indonesia	0.3
	02 May 2019 04:00	Seblat	Indonesia	0.3
	02 May 2019 04:00	Pasarseblat	Indonesia	0.3
	02 May 2019 11:45	Umbulan Padulmanan	Indonesia	0.3
	02 May 2019 06:15	Merak	Indonesia	0.3
	02 May 2019 06:15	Domas	Indonesia	0.3
	30 Apr 2019 10:00	Bandjaragung	Indonesia	0.3
	01 May 2019 20:00	Mutua	Indonesia	0.3
	01 May 2019 20:00	Tandjoengselaka	Indonesia	0.3
	02 May 2019 05:45	Maringgai	Indonesia	0.3
	30 Apr 2019 10:00	Putih	Indonesia	0.3
	01 May 2019 15:30	Anjer-Kidu	Indonesia	0.3
	02 May 2019 01:45	Batangan	Indonesia	0.3
	02 May 2019 01:45	Rembang	Indonesia	0.3
	30 Apr 2019 10:00	Tampang	Indonesia	0.3
	02 May 2019 02:45	Taju	Indonesia	0.3
	02 May 2019 02:45	Bulumanis	Indonesia	0.3
	02 May 2019 03:45	Ngalam	Indonesia	0.3
	02 May 2019 01:45	Lasem	Indonesia	0.3
	30 Apr 2019 09:45	Pasartalo	Indonesia	0.3
	30 Apr 2019 09:45	Pasaralas	Indonesia	0.3
	30 Apr 2019 09:45	Pasarpino	Indonesia	0.3
	30 Apr 2019 09:45	Mana	Indonesia	0.3
	02 May 2019 04:00	Airrami	Indonesia	0.3
	30 Apr 2019 21:45	Belowa	Indonesia	0.3
	30 Apr 2019 21:45	Taoabi	Indonesia	0.3
	30 Apr 2019 21:45	Poelaudoea	Indonesia	0.3
	02 May 2019 03:45	Pasarseluma	Indonesia	0.3
	30 Apr 2019 10:45	Bakau	Indonesia	0.3
	30 Apr 2019 10:45	Ketapang	Indonesia	0.3
	30 Apr 2019 21:00	Ipun	Indonesia	0.3
	02 May 2019 01:45	Karangsari	Indonesia	0.3
	01 May 2019 14:30	Chilachap	Indonesia	0.3
	01 May 2019 14:30	Adipala	Indonesia	0.3
	01 May 2019 14:30	Binangoen	Indonesia	0.3
	02 May 2019 01:30	Kalipang	Indonesia	0.3
	02 May 2019 01:30	Lemanbang	Indonesia	0.3
	02 May 2019 01:30	Tambakbaja	Indonesia	0.3
	30 Apr 2019 22:15	Belimbing	Indonesia	0.3
	02 May 2019 09:30	Cilancang	Indonesia	0.3
	02 May 2019 09:30	Cirebon	Indonesia	0.3
	02 May 2019 01:45	Padangan-wetan	Indonesia	0.3
	02 May 2019 02:00	Remen	Indonesia	0.3
	30 Apr 2019 16:00	La Roche Godon	French Southern and Antarctic Lands	0.3
	01 May 2019 23:15	Tandjungbatuaajer	Indonesia	0.3
	01 May 2019 14:30	Ajah	Indonesia	0.3
	02 May 2019 06:45	Tipar	Indonesia	0.3
	02 May 2019 06:45	Balubuk	Indonesia	0.3
	01 May 2019 16:00	Karbang	Indonesia	0.3
	01 May 2019 16:00	Walur	Indonesia	0.3
	01 May 2019 16:00	Pasarpulaupisang	Indonesia	0.3
	01 May 2019 16:00	Wainapal	Indonesia	0.3
	01 May 2019 16:00	Krui	Indonesia	0.3
	01 May 2019 16:00	Kerbang	Indonesia	0.3
	01 May 2019 16:00	Padangnegeri	Indonesia	0.3
	01 May 2019 16:00	Tandjungbaringin	Indonesia	0.3
	02 May 2019 11:45	Pangkal Dudat	Indonesia	0.3
	02 May 2019 11:45	Tandjungkiras	Indonesia	0.3
	02 May 2019 11:45	Membalong	Indonesia	0.3
	01 May 2019 13:45	Kendal	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 13:45	Mangkang-Kulan	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 13:45	Djomblang	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 13:45	Semarang	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 13:45	Karangroto	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 14:30	Petanahan	Indonesia	0.2
	30 Apr 2019 09:45	Tandjungaur	Indonesia	0.2
	02 May 2019 11:15	Djepuh	Indonesia	0.2
	02 May 2019 11:15	Tangjungrusa	Indonesia	0.2
	02 May 2019 11:15	Dendang	Indonesia	0.2
	02 May 2019 11:15	Simnangpesa	Indonesia	0.2
	02 May 2019 11:15	Tandjungklumpang	Indonesia	0.2
	02 May 2019 12:45	Topoali	Indonesia	0.2
	30 Apr 2019 09:30	Waibatang	Indonesia	0.2
	30 Apr 2019 09:30	Beriang	Indonesia	0.2
	30 Apr 2019 09:30	Tandjungraja	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 14:30	Ngadirodjo	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 14:30	Panggul	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 14:30	Mundjungan	Indonesia	0.2
	02 May 2019 08:45	Pasirputih	Indonesia	0.2
	02 May 2019 08:45	Muaratjilamaja	Indonesia	0.2
	02 May 2019 09:15	Losan	Indonesia	0.2
	02 May 2019 09:45	Karangampel	Indonesia	0.2
	02 May 2019 09:15	Bulakamba	Indonesia	0.2
	02 May 2019 06:00	Ketapang	Indonesia	0.2
	02 May 2019 06:00	Kramat	Indonesia	0.2
	02 May 2019 06:00	Cengkarengbelakang	Indonesia	0.2
	02 May 2019 09:30	Klampok	Indonesia	0.2
	02 May 2019 09:00	Patrol	Indonesia	0.2
	02 May 2019 09:00	Kandanghaur	Indonesia	0.2
	02 May 2019 05:45	Tanara	Indonesia	0.2
	30 Apr 2019 21:30	Muarabinuangeun	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 10:30	Point Marianne	British Indian Ocean Territory	0.2
	01 May 2019 10:30	East Point Plantation	British Indian Ocean Territory	0.2
	01 May 2019 15:45	Bulasat	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 13:00	Wedung	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 13:00	Kedungmalang	Indonesia	0.2
	02 May 2019 13:15	Gunung	Indonesia	0.2
	02 May 2019 09:00	Cangkring	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 14:15	Djagalaja	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 14:15	Bendungan	Indonesia	0.2
	02 May 2019 08:45	Indramaju	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 14:30	Galur	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 14:30	Srandakan	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 14:30	Kebonongan	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 14:30	Tirtohardjo	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 14:15	Pangadaran	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 14:15	Kaliputjang	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 14:30	Patjitan	Indonesia	0.2
	02 May 2019 10:00	Pedes	Indonesia	0.2
	02 May 2019 10:00	Sungaibuntu	Indonesia	0.2
	02 May 2019 13:15	Jepara	Indonesia	0.2
	02 May 2019 13:15	Bugel	Indonesia	0.2
	02 May 2019 13:15	Karanggondang	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 14:15	Cikalong	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 14:00	Karanganjar	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 14:00	Chikalong	Indonesia	0.2
	30 Apr 2019 09:30	Bandaragung	Indonesia	0.2
	30 Apr 2019 09:30	Tjampang	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 15:00	South Point	Christmas Island	0.2
	01 May 2019 15:00	The Settlement	Christmas Island	0.2
	01 May 2019 14:45	Karanghawu	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 14:45	Tjimadja	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 14:45	Tjiateul	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 16:00	Pahanuma	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 15:45	Pandanganget	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 15:45	Bintuhan	Indonesia	0.2
	02 May 2019 03:45	Kabue	Indonesia	0.2
	30 Apr 2019 09:30	Bandjarnegeri	Indonesia	0.2
	30 Apr 2019 09:30	Ngaras	Indonesia	0.2
	30 Apr 2019 09:30	Negeriratoe	Indonesia	0.2
	30 Apr 2019 09:30	Kotodjawa	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 14:15	Popoh	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 14:30	Tasikmadoe	Indonesia	0.2
	30 Apr 2019 10:15	Deliugo	Indonesia	0.2
	30 Apr 2019 10:15	Kalak	Indonesia	0.2
	02 May 2019 08:15	Tegal	Indonesia	0.2
	02 May 2019 08:15	Wanasari	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 14:00	Kalapagenep	Indonesia	0.2
	02 May 2019 00:00	Sidja	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 14:15	Cijulang	Indonesia	0.2
	02 May 2019 07:00	Petaroekan	Indonesia	0.2
	02 May 2019 07:00	Sigedang	Indonesia	0.2
	02 May 2019 07:00	Pekalongan	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 14:30	Sindangsari	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 14:30	Babadan	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 14:30	Lingkungsari	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 14:30	Tjiagra	Indonesia	0.2
	02 May 2019 08:00	Pemalang	Indonesia	0.2
	30 Apr 2019 09:15	Biha	Indonesia	0.2
	30 Apr 2019 10:30	Djepitoe	Indonesia	0.2
	30 Apr 2019 09:15	Marang	Indonesia	0.2
	30 Apr 2019 09:15	Chihara	Indonesia	0.2
	30 Apr 2019 09:15	Bajah	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 14:30	Tjikaret	Indonesia	0.2
	30 Apr 2019 09:30	Limau	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 14:30	Plotot	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 14:30	Tjibeber	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 14:45	Sindangbarang	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 14:45	Gardu	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 14:45	Bangbajang	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 14:30	Cidora	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 14:30	Tjimari	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 14:30	Pameungpeuk	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 14:45	Tjiaun	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 15:15	West Island	Cocos (Keeling) Islands	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.