Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for FREDDY-23
in Mozambique, Madagascar
13 Feb 2023 06 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone FREDDY-23 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 140 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (13 Feb 06:00 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Madagascar)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 140 km/h 0.2 m 188 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 205 km/h 0.7 m 1068 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 13 Feb 2023 06:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 06 Feb 2023 06:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 06 Feb 2023 12:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 06 Feb 2023 18:00 104 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 07 Feb 2023 00:00 140 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 07 Feb 2023 06:00 140 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 07 Feb 2023 12:00 148 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 07 Feb 2023 18:00 158 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 08 Feb 2023 00:00 162 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 08 Feb 2023 06:00 151 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 08 Feb 2023 12:00 137 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 08 Feb 2023 18:00 137 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 09 Feb 2023 00:00 122 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 09 Feb 2023 06:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 09 Feb 2023 12:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 09 Feb 2023 18:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 16 10 Feb 2023 00:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 17 10 Feb 2023 06:00 122 - - - - - - -
GREEN 18 10 Feb 2023 12:00 112 - - - - - - -
GREEN 19 10 Feb 2023 18:00 148 - - - - - - -
GREEN 20 11 Feb 2023 00:00 148 - - - - - - -
GREEN 21 11 Feb 2023 06:00 140 - - - - - - -
GREEN 22 11 Feb 2023 12:00 169 -
- - - - - Australia
GREEN 23 11 Feb 2023 18:00 166 - - - - - - -
GREEN 24 12 Feb 2023 00:00 180 - - - - - - -
GREEN 25 12 Feb 2023 06:00 - 1.1 million
Indonesia, Democratic Republic of the Congo, Tanzania, East Timor, Zambia, Malawi, Madagascar, Mozambique, Zimbabwe, Australia, Botswana
GREEN 26 12 Feb 2023 12:00 155 - - - - - - -
GREEN 27 12 Feb 2023 18:00 155 - - - - - - -
GREEN 28 13 Feb 2023 00:00 166 - - - - - - -
GREEN 29 13 Feb 2023 06:00 158 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall

1068 mm

Up to 470 thousand can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 13 Feb 2023 06:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmIndonesia, Zimbabwe465,681
+
Indonesia382,714 
Zimbabwe82,966 
50-100 mmIndonesia, Malawi, Zambia, Madagascar, Mozambique, Zimbabwe, Botswana, South Africa, Lesotho21,278,093
+
Indonesia11,700,739 
Malawi368,893 
Zambia326 
Madagascar284,724 
Mozambique3,376,157 
Zimbabwe2,791,250 
Botswana157 
South Africa2,755,844 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 06 Feb 2023 06:00 195 -
- - - - - Indonesia
Blue 2 06 Feb 2023 12:00 154 -
- - - - - Madagascar
Blue 3 06 Feb 2023 18:00 190 -
- - - - - Madagascar
Blue 4 07 Feb 2023 00:00 102 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 07 Feb 2023 06:00 232 -
- - - - - Indonesia
Blue 6 07 Feb 2023 12:00 245 -
- - - - - Indonesia, Madagascar
Blue 7 07 Feb 2023 18:00 242 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 08 Feb 2023 00:00 157 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 08 Feb 2023 06:00 307 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 08 Feb 2023 12:00 228 -
- - - - - Tanzania, Madagascar
Blue 11 08 Feb 2023 18:00 249 Few people
- - - - South Africa, Eswatini
Blue 12 09 Feb 2023 00:00 130 Few people
- - - - South Africa
Blue 13 09 Feb 2023 06:00 123 -
- - - - - Indonesia
Blue 14 09 Feb 2023 12:00 209 -
- - - - - Botswana
Blue 15 09 Feb 2023 18:00 239 -
- - - - - Madagascar, South Africa
Blue 16 10 Feb 2023 00:00 112 - - - - - - -
Blue 17 10 Feb 2023 06:00 210 - - - - - - -
Blue 18 10 Feb 2023 12:00 141 - - - - - - -
Blue 19 10 Feb 2023 18:00 215 -
- - - - - Zimbabwe
Blue 20 11 Feb 2023 00:00 155 -
- - - - - Mozambique
Blue 21 11 Feb 2023 06:00 151 -
- - - - - Mozambique, Eswatini, South Africa
Blue 22 11 Feb 2023 12:00 213 -
- - - - - Madagascar, Eswatini, South Africa
Blue 23 11 Feb 2023 18:00 266 -
- - - - - Indonesia
Blue 24 12 Feb 2023 00:00 216 -
- - - - - Malawi
Blue 25 12 Feb 2023 06:00 204 -
- - - - - Indonesia
Blue 26 12 Feb 2023 12:00 181 -
- - - - - Democratic Republic of the Congo
Blue 27 12 Feb 2023 18:00 256 -
- - - - - Indonesia, Zimbabwe
Blue 28 13 Feb 2023 00:00 128 Few people
- - - - Indonesia
Blue 29 13 Feb 2023 06:00 278 470 thousand
- - - - Indonesia, Malawi, Zambia, Madagascar, Mozambique, Zimbabwe, Botswana, South Africa, Lesotho




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Thangoo, Australia. This height is estimated for 13 Feb 2023 06:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 13 Feb 2023 06:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
13 Feb 2023 06:00 Thangoo Australia  0.2
13 Feb 2023 06:00 Broome Australia  0.2
13 Feb 2023 07:00 Voloina Madagascar  0.2
13 Feb 2023 07:00 Manambia Madagascar  0.2
13 Feb 2023 07:00 Anantoraka Madagascar  0.2
13 Feb 2023 07:00 Maroantsetra Madagascar  0.2
13 Feb 2023 07:00 Andranofotsy Madagascar  0.2
13 Feb 2023 07:00 Mahalevona Madagascar  0.2
13 Feb 2023 07:15 Ambanizana Madagascar  0.2
13 Feb 2023 07:15 Benjana Madagascar  0.2
13 Feb 2023 12:00 Ambanhe Mozambique  0.2
13 Feb 2023 12:00 Ampara Mozambique  0.2
13 Feb 2023 10:15 Kollan I Australia  0.2
13 Feb 2023 09:30 Pamandali Indonesia  0.2
13 Feb 2023 09:30 Napabalana Indonesia  0.2
13 Feb 2023 09:30 Rumba Indonesia  0.2
13 Feb 2023 09:30 Tioro Indonesia  0.2
13 Feb 2023 09:30 Kembano Indonesia  0.2
13 Feb 2023 09:30 Tampo Indonesia  0.2
13 Feb 2023 09:45 Masara Indonesia  0.2
13 Feb 2023 09:45 Bonea Indonesia  0.2
13 Feb 2023 11:00 Port Hedland Australia  0.2
13 Feb 2023 11:00 Wedgefield Australia  0.2
13 Feb 2023 09:30 Kolono Indonesia  0.2
13 Feb 2023 11:45 Manica Mozambique  0.2
13 Feb 2023 11:45 Nova Sofala Mozambique  0.2
13 Feb 2023 10:30 Pender Australia  0.2
13 Feb 2023 09:30 Toroboeloe Indonesia  0.2
13 Feb 2023 11:00 Catembe Mozambique  0.2
13 Feb 2023 11:00 Joannisse Mozambique  0.2
13 Feb 2023 11:00 Maziba Mozambique  0.2
13 Feb 2023 11:15 Bela Vista Mozambique  0.2
13 Feb 2023 11:15 Aiai Mozambique  0.2
13 Feb 2023 11:15 Machavene Mozambique  0.2
13 Feb 2023 11:15 Cimbene Mozambique  0.2
13 Feb 2023 11:45 Metambanhe Mozambique  0.2
13 Feb 2023 09:45 Lakara Indonesia  0.2
13 Feb 2023 09:45 Wansabari Indonesia  0.2
13 Feb 2023 11:30 Divinhe Mozambique  0.2
13 Feb 2023 11:30 Chiloane Mozambique  0.2
13 Feb 2023 11:15 Maputo Mozambique  0.2
13 Feb 2023 10:00 Tinangea Indonesia  0.2
13 Feb 2023 12:00 Mazumba Mozambique  0.2
13 Feb 2023 12:00 Dinguiduane Mozambique  0.2
13 Feb 2023 12:00 Jo Mozambique  0.2
13 Feb 2023 12:00 Bartolomeu Dias Mozambique  0.2
13 Feb 2023 07:00 Rantabe Madagascar  0.2
13 Feb 2023 07:00 Tampolo Madagascar  0.1
13 Feb 2023 10:00 Chichocane Mozambique  0.1
13 Feb 2023 10:00 Xetoquica Mozambique  0.1
13 Feb 2023 10:00 Vilanculos Mozambique  0.1
13 Feb 2023 10:00 China Mozambique  0.1
13 Feb 2023 10:00 Mahoa Mozambique  0.1
13 Feb 2023 10:00 Fabiao Mozambique  0.1
13 Feb 2023 10:00 Uetela Mozambique  0.1
13 Feb 2023 09:30 Tama Mozambique  0.1
13 Feb 2023 09:30 Jonja Mozambique  0.1
13 Feb 2023 09:30 Bingue Mozambique  0.1
13 Feb 2023 10:45 Canhamba Mozambique  0.1
13 Feb 2023 09:30 Ponta Beaco Timor-Leste  0.1
13 Feb 2023 09:45 Rupia Mozambique  0.1
13 Feb 2023 09:45 Machesse Mozambique  0.1
13 Feb 2023 09:30 Uatolari Timor-Leste  0.1
13 Feb 2023 10:00 Maconharumo Mozambique  0.1
13 Feb 2023 07:15 Maintimbato Madagascar  0.1
13 Feb 2023 09:15 Belana Timor-Leste  0.1
13 Feb 2023 08:30 Muntjar Indonesia  0.1
13 Feb 2023 08:30 Blimbing Indonesia  0.1
13 Feb 2023 08:30 Dadapan Indonesia  0.1
13 Feb 2023 08:30 Banyuwangi Indonesia  0.1
13 Feb 2023 08:30 Banjuwangi Indonesia  0.1
13 Feb 2023 08:30 Gilimanuk Indonesia  0.1
13 Feb 2023 08:30 Penginoeman Indonesia  0.1
13 Feb 2023 08:30 Belimbingsari Indonesia  0.1
13 Feb 2023 08:30 Tjandikesuma Indonesia  0.1
13 Feb 2023 09:30 Roliai Indonesia  0.1
13 Feb 2023 09:30 Kicras Timor-Leste  0.1
13 Feb 2023 07:00 Antalavia Madagascar  0.1
13 Feb 2023 09:00 Suai Timor-Leste  0.1
13 Feb 2023 09:00 Weoe Indonesia  0.1
13 Feb 2023 09:00 Besikama Indonesia  0.1
13 Feb 2023 09:00 Namfaloes Indonesia  0.1
13 Feb 2023 11:45 Natalia Mozambique  0.1
13 Feb 2023 11:45 Inhassoro Mozambique  0.1
13 Feb 2023 11:45 Catine Mozambique  0.1
13 Feb 2023 12:00 Beira Mozambique  0.1
13 Feb 2023 12:00 Damiao Mozambique  0.1
13 Feb 2023 11:15 Antunes Mozambique  0.1
13 Feb 2023 11:15 Chamba Mozambique  0.1
13 Feb 2023 09:00 Naoeleoe Indonesia  0.1
13 Feb 2023 11:30 Laisse Mozambique  0.1
13 Feb 2023 09:15 Menoe Indonesia  0.1
13 Feb 2023 11:45 Nhangau Mozambique  0.1
13 Feb 2023 07:15 Fananehana Madagascar  0.1
13 Feb 2023 09:30 Chofandicho Mozambique  0.1
13 Feb 2023 09:30 Panaca Mozambique  0.1
13 Feb 2023 10:30 Wasalangka Indonesia  0.1
13 Feb 2023 12:00 Tungkaranasam Indonesia  0.1
13 Feb 2023 12:00 Sekapoeng Indonesia  0.1
13 Feb 2023 09:30 Oetoeke Indonesia  0.1
13 Feb 2023 09:30 Kolbane Indonesia  0.1
13 Feb 2023 09:00 Oetune Indonesia  0.1
13 Feb 2023 09:00 Toineke Indonesia  0.1
13 Feb 2023 06:00 Waterbank Australia  0.1
13 Feb 2023 06:00 Masokoamena Madagascar  0.1
13 Feb 2023 06:00 Katsepy Madagascar  0.1
13 Feb 2023 06:00 Majunga Madagascar  0.1
13 Feb 2023 06:00 Boanamary Madagascar  0.1
13 Feb 2023 06:00 Ampitilova Madagascar  0.1
13 Feb 2023 06:00 Moraharivo Madagascar  0.1
13 Feb 2023 06:00 Antsianitia Madagascar  0.1
13 Feb 2023 09:00 Rabe Indonesia  0.1
13 Feb 2023 11:30 Asneira Mozambique  0.1
13 Feb 2023 10:15 Vila Luisa Mozambique  0.1
13 Feb 2023 06:00 Manambolosy Madagascar  0.1
13 Feb 2023 06:00 Fahambahy Madagascar  0.1
13 Feb 2023 06:00 Tampolo Madagascar  0.1
13 Feb 2023 06:00 Andilamboahangy Madagascar  0.1
13 Feb 2023 06:00 Mananara Madagascar  0.1
13 Feb 2023 06:00 Ambatofitarafana Madagascar  0.1
13 Feb 2023 06:00 Ivontaka Madagascar  0.1
13 Feb 2023 06:00 Seranambe Madagascar  0.1
13 Feb 2023 10:30 Tampoena Wo Indonesia  0.1
13 Feb 2023 09:45 Morrumbene Mozambique  0.1
13 Feb 2023 09:45 Mabsil Mozambique  0.1
13 Feb 2023 09:45 Marivate Mozambique  0.1
13 Feb 2023 09:45 Guiducua Mozambique  0.1
13 Feb 2023 11:45 Afonso Mozambique  0.1
13 Feb 2023 11:45 Caulino Mozambique  0.1
13 Feb 2023 10:45 Jacob Mozambique  0.1
13 Feb 2023 10:45 Chavanine Mozambique  0.1
13 Feb 2023 09:30 D'lhelo Mozambique  0.1
13 Feb 2023 09:30 Linchica Mozambique  0.1
13 Feb 2023 06:00 Learmonth Australia  0.1
13 Feb 2023 10:15 Port Edward South Africa  0.1
13 Feb 2023 10:15 Bushyvales South Africa  0.1
13 Feb 2023 10:15 Margate South Africa  0.1
13 Feb 2023 09:30 Oetefoe-ketjil Indonesia  0.1
13 Feb 2023 09:30 Roti Indonesia  0.1
13 Feb 2023 09:30 Usulain Indonesia  0.1
13 Feb 2023 09:30 Oisina Indonesia  0.1
13 Feb 2023 09:30 Tablolong Indonesia  0.1
13 Feb 2023 09:30 Naioni Indonesia  0.1
13 Feb 2023 09:30 Tuakdale Indonesia  0.1
13 Feb 2023 09:30 Manoelairoti Indonesia  0.1
13 Feb 2023 09:30 Sekalac Indonesia  0.1
13 Feb 2023 09:30 Buraen Indonesia  0.1
13 Feb 2023 12:00 Baliga Indonesia  0.1
13 Feb 2023 12:00 Laboean Indonesia  0.1
13 Feb 2023 12:00 Sumberkuning Indonesia  0.1
13 Feb 2023 12:00 Sampang Indonesia  0.1
13 Feb 2023 10:30 Tinley Manor South Africa  0.1
13 Feb 2023 09:30 Eahun Indonesia  0.1
13 Feb 2023 09:30 Pepela Indonesia  0.1
13 Feb 2023 09:30 Batuidu Indonesia  0.1
13 Feb 2023 06:45 Anoromby Madagascar  0.1
13 Feb 2023 09:45 Oetefoe-besar Indonesia  0.1
13 Feb 2023 09:45 Besdale Indonesia  0.1
13 Feb 2023 09:45 Akle Indonesia  0.1
13 Feb 2023 09:45 Silain Indonesia  0.1
13 Feb 2023 09:45 Hala Indonesia  0.1
13 Feb 2023 09:45 Hansisi Indonesia  0.1
13 Feb 2023 09:45 Tenau Indonesia  0.1
13 Feb 2023 09:45 Namosain Indonesia  0.1
13 Feb 2023 09:45 Kupang Indonesia  0.1
13 Feb 2023 09:45 Maoelafa Indonesia  0.1
13 Feb 2023 09:30 Contra Costa Mozambique  0.1
13 Feb 2023 08:45 Daeoerendale Indonesia  0.1
13 Feb 2023 09:30 Keoen Indonesia  0.1
13 Feb 2023 09:30 Mamaloek Indonesia  0.1
13 Feb 2023 10:45 Tomodo Mozambique  0.1
13 Feb 2023 10:00 Kasiputih Indonesia  0.1
13 Feb 2023 12:00 Sidoardjo Indonesia  0.1
13 Feb 2023 09:15 La Mercy South Africa  0.1
13 Feb 2023 09:15 Fraser South Africa  0.1
13 Feb 2023 12:00 Pasuruan Indonesia  0.1
13 Feb 2023 11:30 Wickham Australia  0.1
13 Feb 2023 11:30 Point Samson Australia  0.1
13 Feb 2023 11:30 Cossack Australia  0.1
13 Feb 2023 11:45 Sungaianjar Indonesia  0.1
13 Feb 2023 10:30 Castigo Mozambique  0.1
13 Feb 2023 10:30 Mariano Mozambique  0.1
13 Feb 2023 12:00 Bayeman Indonesia  0.1
13 Feb 2023 12:00 Probolinggo Indonesia  0.1
13 Feb 2023 10:45 Laora Indonesia  0.1
13 Feb 2023 10:30 Andopitaly Madagascar  0.1
13 Feb 2023 10:30 Antohgo Madagascar  0.1
13 Feb 2023 06:15 Rantranavona Madagascar  0.1
13 Feb 2023 11:00 Daole Indonesia  0.1
13 Feb 2023 12:00 Senaking Indonesia  0.1
13 Feb 2023 09:15 Gueima Mozambique  0.1
13 Feb 2023 07:30 Sagu Indonesia  0.1
13 Feb 2023 07:30 Lewokeling Indonesia  0.1
13 Feb 2023 07:30 Witihama Indonesia  0.1
13 Feb 2023 07:30 Boleng Indonesia  0.1
13 Feb 2023 07:30 Nereng Indonesia  0.1
13 Feb 2023 07:30 Lewoleba Indonesia  0.1
13 Feb 2023 07:30 Riangeba Indonesia  0.1
13 Feb 2023 07:30 Waipoekang Indonesia  0.1
13 Feb 2023 07:30 Lewotelo Indonesia  0.1
13 Feb 2023 07:30 Pasar Hadakewa Indonesia  0.1
13 Feb 2023 07:30 Labala Indonesia  0.1
13 Feb 2023 07:30 Tokodjain Indonesia  0.1
13 Feb 2023 07:30 Hadakewa Indonesia  0.1
13 Feb 2023 11:00 Inhampsi Mozambique  0.1
13 Feb 2023 11:30 Exmouth Australia  0.1
13 Feb 2023 10:30 Behavoa Madagascar  0.1
13 Feb 2023 10:30 Befamata Madagascar  0.1
13 Feb 2023 10:15 Highfield South Africa  0.1
13 Feb 2023 10:15 Mtunzini South Africa  0.1
13 Feb 2023 10:45 Bambe Mozambique  0.1
13 Feb 2023 10:45 Maguemba Mozambique  0.1
13 Feb 2023 10:45 Macashale Mozambique  0.1
13 Feb 2023 10:45 Macanzele Mozambique  0.1
13 Feb 2023 08:15 Ulua Indonesia  0.1
13 Feb 2023 08:15 Toedameda Indonesia  0.1
13 Feb 2023 08:15 Batutuah Indonesia  0.1
13 Feb 2023 08:15 Oeseda Indonesia  0.1
13 Feb 2023 08:15 Namodale Indonesia  0.1
13 Feb 2023 08:15 Husdale Indonesia  0.1
13 Feb 2023 08:15 Bando Indonesia  0.1
13 Feb 2023 08:15 Seda Indonesia  0.1
13 Feb 2023 07:15 Poeloedae Indonesia  0.1
13 Feb 2023 07:15 Soelamoe Indonesia  0.1
13 Feb 2023 07:15 Pitai Indonesia  0.1
13 Feb 2023 07:15 Manikin Indonesia  0.1
13 Feb 2023 07:15 Pariti Indonesia  0.1
13 Feb 2023 07:15 Naimoeti Indonesia  0.1
13 Feb 2023 10:00 Darnall South Africa  0.1
13 Feb 2023 10:00 Bonds Drift South Africa  0.1
13 Feb 2023 10:00 Tugela Mouth South Africa  0.1
13 Feb 2023 10:45 Kencong Indonesia  0.1
13 Feb 2023 10:45 Lodjedjer Indonesia  0.1