Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for FREDDY-23
in Mozambique, Madagascar
13 Feb 2023 00 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone FREDDY-23 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 166 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (13 Feb 00:00 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Madagascar)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 166 km/h 0.3 m 128 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 205 km/h 0.7 m 1068 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 13 Feb 2023 00:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 06 Feb 2023 06:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 06 Feb 2023 12:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 06 Feb 2023 18:00 104 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 07 Feb 2023 00:00 140 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 07 Feb 2023 06:00 140 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 07 Feb 2023 12:00 148 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 07 Feb 2023 18:00 158 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 08 Feb 2023 00:00 162 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 08 Feb 2023 06:00 151 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 08 Feb 2023 12:00 137 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 08 Feb 2023 18:00 137 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 09 Feb 2023 00:00 122 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 09 Feb 2023 06:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 09 Feb 2023 12:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 09 Feb 2023 18:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 16 10 Feb 2023 00:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 17 10 Feb 2023 06:00 122 - - - - - - -
GREEN 18 10 Feb 2023 12:00 112 - - - - - - -
GREEN 19 10 Feb 2023 18:00 148 - - - - - - -
GREEN 20 11 Feb 2023 00:00 148 - - - - - - -
GREEN 21 11 Feb 2023 06:00 140 - - - - - - -
GREEN 22 11 Feb 2023 12:00 169 -
- - - - - Australia
GREEN 23 11 Feb 2023 18:00 166 - - - - - - -
GREEN 24 12 Feb 2023 00:00 180 - - - - - - -
GREEN 25 12 Feb 2023 06:00 - 1.1 million
Indonesia, Democratic Republic of the Congo, Tanzania, East Timor, Zambia, Malawi, Madagascar, Mozambique, Zimbabwe, Australia, Botswana
GREEN 26 12 Feb 2023 12:00 155 - - - - - - -
GREEN 27 12 Feb 2023 18:00 155 - - - - - - -
GREEN 28 13 Feb 2023 00:00 166 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall

1068 mm

Up to 3.6 million can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 13 Feb 2023 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmIndonesia, Mozambique, Zimbabwe3,596,237
+
Indonesia3,547,300 
Mozambique40,607 
Zimbabwe8,328 
50-100 mmIndonesia, Tanzania, Mozambique, Malawi, Madagascar, Zimbabwe, Botswana, South Africa15,832,213
+
Indonesia7,413,507 
Tanzania24,077 
Mozambique2,976,866 
Malawi183,895 
Madagascar261,574 
Zimbabwe3,715,165 
Botswana3,240 
South Africa1,253,885 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 06 Feb 2023 06:00 195 -
- - - - - Indonesia
Blue 2 06 Feb 2023 12:00 154 -
- - - - - Madagascar
Blue 3 06 Feb 2023 18:00 190 -
- - - - - Madagascar
Blue 4 07 Feb 2023 00:00 102 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 07 Feb 2023 06:00 232 -
- - - - - Indonesia
Blue 6 07 Feb 2023 12:00 245 -
- - - - - Indonesia, Madagascar
Blue 7 07 Feb 2023 18:00 242 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 08 Feb 2023 00:00 157 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 08 Feb 2023 06:00 307 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 08 Feb 2023 12:00 228 -
- - - - - Tanzania, Madagascar
Blue 11 08 Feb 2023 18:00 249 Few people
- - - - South Africa, Eswatini
Blue 12 09 Feb 2023 00:00 130 Few people
- - - - South Africa
Blue 13 09 Feb 2023 06:00 123 -
- - - - - Indonesia
Blue 14 09 Feb 2023 12:00 209 -
- - - - - Botswana
Blue 15 09 Feb 2023 18:00 239 -
- - - - - Madagascar, South Africa
Blue 16 10 Feb 2023 00:00 112 - - - - - - -
Blue 17 10 Feb 2023 06:00 210 - - - - - - -
Blue 18 10 Feb 2023 12:00 141 - - - - - - -
Blue 19 10 Feb 2023 18:00 215 -
- - - - - Zimbabwe
Blue 20 11 Feb 2023 00:00 155 -
- - - - - Mozambique
Blue 21 11 Feb 2023 06:00 151 -
- - - - - Mozambique, Eswatini, South Africa
Blue 22 11 Feb 2023 12:00 213 -
- - - - - Madagascar, Eswatini, South Africa
Blue 23 11 Feb 2023 18:00 266 -
- - - - - Indonesia
Blue 24 12 Feb 2023 00:00 216 -
- - - - - Malawi
Blue 25 12 Feb 2023 06:00 204 -
- - - - - Indonesia
Blue 26 12 Feb 2023 12:00 181 -
- - - - - Democratic Republic of the Congo
Blue 27 12 Feb 2023 18:00 256 -
- - - - - Indonesia, Zimbabwe
Blue 28 13 Feb 2023 00:00 315 3.6 million
- - - - Indonesia, Tanzania, Mozambique, Malawi, Madagascar, Zimbabwe, Botswana, South Africa




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Ambanhe, Mozambique. This height is estimated for 13 Feb 2023 00:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 13 Feb 2023 00:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
13 Feb 2023 00:00 Ambanhe Mozambique  0.3
13 Feb 2023 00:00 Ampara Mozambique  0.3
13 Feb 2023 00:00 Manica Mozambique  0.3
13 Feb 2023 00:00 Nova Sofala Mozambique  0.3
13 Feb 2023 00:15 Antunes Mozambique  0.3
13 Feb 2023 00:15 Chamba Mozambique  0.3
13 Feb 2023 00:15 Beira Mozambique  0.3
13 Feb 2023 00:15 Damiao Mozambique  0.3
13 Feb 2023 00:00 Nhangau Mozambique  0.3
13 Feb 2023 00:00 Metambanhe Mozambique  0.3
13 Feb 2023 00:00 Chiloane Mozambique  0.2
13 Feb 2023 02:30 Derby Australia  0.2
13 Feb 2023 00:00 Divinhe Mozambique  0.2
13 Feb 2023 05:45 Thangoo Australia  0.2
13 Feb 2023 00:00 Chofandicho Mozambique  0.2
13 Feb 2023 00:00 Panaca Mozambique  0.2
13 Feb 2023 05:30 Broome Australia  0.2
13 Feb 2023 03:15 Dampier Australia  0.2
13 Feb 2023 03:15 Karratha Australia  0.2
13 Feb 2023 00:00 Tama Mozambique  0.2
13 Feb 2023 00:30 Mazumba Mozambique  0.2
13 Feb 2023 00:30 Dinguiduane Mozambique  0.2
13 Feb 2023 00:30 Jo Mozambique  0.2
13 Feb 2023 00:30 Bartolomeu Dias Mozambique  0.2
13 Feb 2023 01:30 Anantoraka Madagascar  0.2
13 Feb 2023 01:30 Maroantsetra Madagascar  0.2
13 Feb 2023 01:30 Andranofotsy Madagascar  0.2
13 Feb 2023 01:30 Mahalevona Madagascar  0.2
13 Feb 2023 01:30 Ambanizana Madagascar  0.2
13 Feb 2023 01:30 Benjana Madagascar  0.2
13 Feb 2023 05:15 Ambalatsingy Madagascar  0.2
13 Feb 2023 05:15 Singalana Madagascar  0.2
13 Feb 2023 05:15 Antetikireja Madagascar  0.2
13 Feb 2023 05:15 Antaribao Madagascar  0.2
13 Feb 2023 05:15 Tsaratanana Madagascar  0.2
13 Feb 2023 05:15 Ampasindava Madagascar  0.2
13 Feb 2023 05:15 Ankinganifahatelo Madagascar  0.2
13 Feb 2023 01:30 Voloina Madagascar  0.2
13 Feb 2023 01:30 Manambia Madagascar  0.2
13 Feb 2023 03:15 Wickham Australia  0.2
13 Feb 2023 00:00 Jonja Mozambique  0.1
13 Feb 2023 00:00 Chichocane Mozambique  0.1
13 Feb 2023 00:00 Xetoquica Mozambique  0.1
13 Feb 2023 00:00 Vilanculos Mozambique  0.1
13 Feb 2023 00:00 China Mozambique  0.1
13 Feb 2023 00:00 Mahoa Mozambique  0.1
13 Feb 2023 00:00 Fabiao Mozambique  0.1
13 Feb 2023 00:00 Uetela Mozambique  0.1
13 Feb 2023 05:00 Ambodiadabo Madagascar  0.1
13 Feb 2023 05:00 Androlavy Madagascar  0.1
13 Feb 2023 05:00 Ananalava Madagascar  0.1
13 Feb 2023 00:45 Pangkalan Indonesia  0.1
13 Feb 2023 00:45 Batoe Porong Indonesia  0.1
13 Feb 2023 00:45 Kebanjar Indonesia  0.1
13 Feb 2023 05:15 Waterbank Australia  0.1
13 Feb 2023 04:45 Mkadini Tanzania  0.1
13 Feb 2023 04:45 Kigongoni Tanzania  0.1
13 Feb 2023 04:45 Bagamoyo Tanzania  0.1
13 Feb 2023 00:15 Vila Luisa Mozambique  0.1
13 Feb 2023 00:15 D'lhelo Mozambique  0.1
13 Feb 2023 00:15 Linchica Mozambique  0.1
13 Feb 2023 00:30 Baliga Indonesia  0.1
13 Feb 2023 00:30 Laboean Indonesia  0.1
13 Feb 2023 01:15 Rantabe Madagascar  0.1
13 Feb 2023 01:15 Tampolo Madagascar  0.1
13 Feb 2023 01:00 Antalavia Madagascar  0.1
13 Feb 2023 00:00 Bingue Mozambique  0.1
13 Feb 2023 00:15 Kwa-Mashu South Africa  0.1
13 Feb 2023 00:15 La Lucia South Africa  0.1
13 Feb 2023 00:15 Selection Beach South Africa  0.1
13 Feb 2023 00:15 La Mercy South Africa  0.1
13 Feb 2023 00:15 Fraser South Africa  0.1
13 Feb 2023 00:00 Tugela Mouth South Africa  0.1
13 Feb 2023 00:00 Dokodweni South Africa  0.1
13 Feb 2023 00:00 Highfield South Africa  0.1
13 Feb 2023 01:15 Maintimbato Madagascar  0.1
13 Feb 2023 05:15 Analalava Madagascar  0.1
13 Feb 2023 00:00 Tinley Manor South Africa  0.1
13 Feb 2023 03:15 Sadani Tanzania  0.1
13 Feb 2023 00:00 Port Edward South Africa  0.1
13 Feb 2023 00:00 Bushyvales South Africa  0.1
13 Feb 2023 00:00 Margate South Africa  0.1
13 Feb 2023 05:15 Kennedys Cottage Australia  0.1
13 Feb 2023 00:30 Gueima Mozambique  0.1
13 Feb 2023 01:15 Fananehana Madagascar  0.1
13 Feb 2023 00:15 Bayhead South Africa  0.1
13 Feb 2023 00:15 Durban South Africa  0.1
13 Feb 2023 00:15 Addington South Africa  0.1
13 Feb 2023 04:00 Port Hedland Australia  0.1
13 Feb 2023 04:00 Wedgefield Australia  0.1
13 Feb 2023 00:00 Isipingo South Africa  0.1
13 Feb 2023 00:00 Westville South Africa  0.1
13 Feb 2023 00:00 Bela Vista Mozambique  0.1
13 Feb 2023 00:00 Maziba Mozambique  0.1
13 Feb 2023 00:00 Aiai Mozambique  0.1
13 Feb 2023 00:00 Machavene Mozambique  0.1
13 Feb 2023 00:00 Cimbene Mozambique  0.1
13 Feb 2023 04:15 Msindaji Tanzania  0.1
13 Feb 2023 04:15 Mchungu Tanzania  0.1
13 Feb 2023 04:15 Nyambati Tanzania  0.1
13 Feb 2023 04:15 Salale Tanzania  0.1
13 Feb 2023 04:15 Kiombani Tanzania  0.1
13 Feb 2023 00:15 Naidooville South Africa  0.1
13 Feb 2023 00:15 Park Rynie South Africa  0.1
13 Feb 2023 00:15 Umkomaas South Africa  0.1
13 Feb 2023 00:15 Amanzimtoti South Africa  0.1
13 Feb 2023 00:15 Kingsborough South Africa  0.1
13 Feb 2023 00:00 Darnall South Africa  0.1
13 Feb 2023 00:00 Bonds Drift South Africa  0.1
13 Feb 2023 00:00 Rupia Mozambique  0.1
13 Feb 2023 00:00 Machesse Mozambique  0.1
13 Feb 2023 00:15 Muntjar Indonesia  0.1
13 Feb 2023 00:15 Blimbing Indonesia  0.1
13 Feb 2023 00:15 Dadapan Indonesia  0.1
13 Feb 2023 00:15 Banyuwangi Indonesia  0.1
13 Feb 2023 00:15 Banjuwangi Indonesia  0.1
13 Feb 2023 00:15 Gilimanuk Indonesia  0.1
13 Feb 2023 00:15 Penginoeman Indonesia  0.1
13 Feb 2023 00:15 Belimbingsari Indonesia  0.1
13 Feb 2023 00:15 Tjandikesuma Indonesia  0.1
13 Feb 2023 00:15 Stanger South Africa  0.1
13 Feb 2023 02:15 Masokoamena Madagascar  0.1
13 Feb 2023 02:15 Katsepy Madagascar  0.1
13 Feb 2023 02:15 Majunga Madagascar  0.1
13 Feb 2023 02:15 Boanamary Madagascar  0.1
13 Feb 2023 02:15 Ampitilova Madagascar  0.1
13 Feb 2023 02:15 Moraharivo Madagascar  0.1
13 Feb 2023 02:15 Antsianitia Madagascar  0.1
13 Feb 2023 03:00 Point Samson Australia  0.1
13 Feb 2023 03:00 Cossack Australia  0.1
13 Feb 2023 04:45 Kamendriky Madagascar  0.1
13 Feb 2023 04:45 Tsilambana Madagascar  0.1
13 Feb 2023 01:00 Sidoardjo Indonesia  0.1
13 Feb 2023 00:15 Sumberkuning Indonesia  0.1
13 Feb 2023 00:00 Sawarangan Indonesia  0.1
13 Feb 2023 06:00 Manambolosy Madagascar  0.1
13 Feb 2023 06:00 Fahambahy Madagascar  0.1
13 Feb 2023 06:00 Tampolo Madagascar  0.1
13 Feb 2023 06:00 Andilamboahangy Madagascar  0.1
13 Feb 2023 06:00 Mananara Madagascar  0.1
13 Feb 2023 06:00 Ambatofitarafana Madagascar  0.1
13 Feb 2023 06:00 Ivontaka Madagascar  0.1
13 Feb 2023 06:00 Seranambe Madagascar  0.1
13 Feb 2023 00:00 Enkovukeni South Africa  0.1
13 Feb 2023 00:00 David Mozambique  0.1
13 Feb 2023 01:30 Pasuruan Indonesia  0.1
13 Feb 2023 00:00 Inhampsi Mozambique  0.1
13 Feb 2023 00:00 Contra Costa Mozambique  0.1
13 Feb 2023 00:00 Jacob Mozambique  0.1
13 Feb 2023 06:00 Learmonth Australia  0.1
13 Feb 2023 00:00 Chavanine Mozambique  0.1
13 Feb 2023 00:00 Mtwalume South Africa  0.1
13 Feb 2023 00:00 Sezela South Africa  0.1
13 Feb 2023 00:00 Sampang Indonesia  0.1
13 Feb 2023 00:00 Beula Mozambique  0.1
13 Feb 2023 00:00 Morrumbene Mozambique  0.1
13 Feb 2023 00:00 Mabsil Mozambique  0.1
13 Feb 2023 00:00 Marivate Mozambique  0.1
13 Feb 2023 06:00 Ponta Beaco Timor-Leste  0.1
13 Feb 2023 05:45 Kicras Timor-Leste  0.1
13 Feb 2023 00:00 Izotsha South Africa  0.1
13 Feb 2023 00:00 Port Shepstone South Africa  0.1
13 Feb 2023 00:00 Glanfield South Africa  0.1
13 Feb 2023 03:15 Mahatsaborimaika Madagascar  0.1
13 Feb 2023 03:15 Mangaoka Madagascar  0.1
13 Feb 2023 03:15 Ilomotro Madagascar  0.1
13 Feb 2023 06:00 Uatolari Timor-Leste  0.1
13 Feb 2023 03:00 Berafia Madagascar  0.1
13 Feb 2023 03:00 Tsianinkiro Madagascar  0.1
13 Feb 2023 03:00 Mahabo Madagascar  0.1
13 Feb 2023 03:00 Tsinjorano Madagascar  0.1
13 Feb 2023 03:00 Amboaboaka Madagascar  0.1
13 Feb 2023 05:00 Matapatapa Tanzania  0.1
13 Feb 2023 05:00 Kilwa Kivinje Tanzania  0.1
13 Feb 2023 00:00 Catembe Mozambique  0.1
13 Feb 2023 00:00 Joannisse Mozambique  0.1
13 Feb 2023 06:00 Anoromby Madagascar  0.1
13 Feb 2023 05:45 Belana Timor-Leste  0.1
13 Feb 2023 00:00 Canhamba Mozambique  0.1
13 Feb 2023 03:00 Nosy Faly Madagascar  0.1
13 Feb 2023 03:00 Ambato Madagascar  0.1
13 Feb 2023 03:00 Antanamazava Madagascar  0.1
13 Feb 2023 00:15 Bayeman Indonesia  0.1
13 Feb 2023 00:15 Probolinggo Indonesia  0.1
13 Feb 2023 00:15 Gending Indonesia  0.1
13 Feb 2023 00:00 Gafaria Mozambique  0.1
13 Feb 2023 00:00 Nangalete Mozambique  0.1
13 Feb 2023 00:00 Mahupe Mozambique  0.1
13 Feb 2023 00:15 Kencong Indonesia  0.1
13 Feb 2023 00:15 Lodjedjer Indonesia  0.1
13 Feb 2023 00:15 Batuulo Indonesia  0.1
13 Feb 2023 02:15 Namosain Indonesia  0.1
13 Feb 2023 02:15 Kupang Indonesia  0.1
13 Feb 2023 02:15 Poeloedae Indonesia  0.1
13 Feb 2023 02:15 Soelamoe Indonesia  0.1
13 Feb 2023 02:15 Maoelafa Indonesia  0.1
13 Feb 2023 02:15 Pitai Indonesia  0.1
13 Feb 2023 02:15 Manikin Indonesia  0.1
13 Feb 2023 02:15 Pariti Indonesia  0.1
13 Feb 2023 02:15 Naimoeti Indonesia  0.1
13 Feb 2023 02:15 Ampasina Madagascar  0.1
13 Feb 2023 02:15 Antakobola Madagascar  0.1
13 Feb 2023 02:15 Analanampotsy Madagascar  0.1
13 Feb 2023 02:15 Ampasimbe Madagascar  0.1
13 Feb 2023 02:15 Manakalana Madagascar  0.1
13 Feb 2023 02:15 Soanierana Ivongo Madagascar  0.1
13 Feb 2023 00:00 Castigo Mozambique  0.1
13 Feb 2023 00:00 Mariano Mozambique  0.1
13 Feb 2023 00:15 Macanzele Mozambique  0.1
13 Feb 2023 05:00 Bevatry Madagascar  0.1
13 Feb 2023 00:15 West Island Cocos (Keeling) Islands  0.1
13 Feb 2023 00:00 Induna Mozambique  0.1
13 Feb 2023 00:15 Mapelana South Africa  0.1
13 Feb 2023 00:15 Kraksaan Indonesia  0.1
13 Feb 2023 02:15 Bundera Bundera Australia  0.1
13 Feb 2023 04:15 Victoria Seychelles  0.1
13 Feb 2023 05:15 Condon Australia  0.1
13 Feb 2023 05:15 Pardoo Australia  0.1
13 Feb 2023 00:00 Caulino Mozambique  0.1
13 Feb 2023 00:30 Karagajar Indonesia  0.1
13 Feb 2023 05:45 Suai Timor-Leste  0.1
13 Feb 2023 00:00 Maxixe Mozambique  0.1
13 Feb 2023 00:00 Chicoque Mozambique  0.1
13 Feb 2023 00:00 Inhambane Mozambique  0.1
13 Feb 2023 00:00 Guilande Mozambique  0.1
13 Feb 2023 00:00 Banga Mozambique  0.1
13 Feb 2023 00:00 Ingale Mozambique  0.1
13 Feb 2023 00:00 Praia do Tofo Mozambique  0.1
13 Feb 2023 00:00 Miramar Mozambique  0.1
13 Feb 2023 05:45 Namfaloes Indonesia  0.1
13 Feb 2023 05:45 Besikama Indonesia  0.1