Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for LORNA-19
Off-shore

Impact

Tropical Cyclone LORNA-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 105 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.9 m (30 Apr 23:30 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 105 km/h 0.9 m n.a. 0.5
HWRF Overall 177 km/h 0.9 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

177 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 29 Apr 2019 06:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 23 Apr 2019 12:00 174 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 23 Apr 2019 18:00 157 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 24 Apr 2019 00:00 201 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 24 Apr 2019 06:00 203 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 24 Apr 2019 12:00 179 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 24 Apr 2019 18:00 190 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 25 Apr 2019 00:00 178 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 25 Apr 2019 06:00 214 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 25 Apr 2019 12:00 203 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 25 Apr 2019 18:00 190 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 26 Apr 2019 00:00 220 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 26 Apr 2019 06:00 202 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 26 Apr 2019 12:00 169 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 26 Apr 2019 18:00 172 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 27 Apr 2019 00:00 177 - - - - - - -
GREEN 16 27 Apr 2019 06:00 176 - - - - - - -
GREEN 17 27 Apr 2019 12:00 184 - - - - - - -
GREEN 18 27 Apr 2019 18:00 188 - - - - - - -
GREEN 19 28 Apr 2019 00:00 137 - - - - - - -
GREEN 20 28 Apr 2019 06:00 136 - - - - - - -
GREEN 21 28 Apr 2019 12:00 157 - - - - - - -
GREEN 22 28 Apr 2019 18:00 183 - - - - - - -
GREEN 23 29 Apr 2019 00:00 111 - - - - - - -
GREEN 24 29 Apr 2019 06:00 105 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 29 Apr 2019 06:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 23 Apr 2019 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 2 23 Apr 2019 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 3 24 Apr 2019 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 4 24 Apr 2019 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 5 24 Apr 2019 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 6 24 Apr 2019 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 7 25 Apr 2019 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 8 25 Apr 2019 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 9 25 Apr 2019 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 10 25 Apr 2019 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 11 26 Apr 2019 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 12 26 Apr 2019 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 13 26 Apr 2019 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 14 26 Apr 2019 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 15 27 Apr 2019 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 16 27 Apr 2019 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 17 27 Apr 2019 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 18 27 Apr 2019 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 19 28 Apr 2019 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 20 28 Apr 2019 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 21 28 Apr 2019 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 22 28 Apr 2019 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 23 29 Apr 2019 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 24 29 Apr 2019 06:00 - - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.9 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.9m in Lubuktandjung, Indonesia. This height is estimated for 30 Apr 2019 23:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 29 Apr 2019 06:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
30 Apr 2019 23:30 Lubuktandjung Indonesia  0.9
30 Apr 2019 23:30 Pasarkerkap Indonesia  0.9
30 Apr 2019 23:30 Kerkap Indonesia  0.9
30 Apr 2019 23:30 Bangkahulu Indonesia  0.9
30 Apr 2019 23:30 Pekansaptoe Indonesia  0.9
30 Apr 2019 23:15 Serangai Indonesia  0.9
30 Apr 2019 23:15 Penampung Indonesia  0.9
30 Apr 2019 23:15 Lais Indonesia  0.9
30 Apr 2019 23:15 Baru Indonesia  0.9
29 Apr 2019 21:15 Chilachap Indonesia  0.9
29 Apr 2019 21:15 Adipala Indonesia  0.9
29 Apr 2019 21:15 Binangoen Indonesia  0.9
01 May 2019 04:15 Kiluan Indonesia  0.8
01 May 2019 04:15 Kekatang Indonesia  0.8
01 May 2019 04:15 Menango Indonesia  0.8
01 May 2019 04:30 Telukbetung Indonesia  0.8
01 May 2019 04:30 Tarahan Indonesia  0.8
01 May 2019 04:30 Tandjungkarang Indonesia  0.8
29 Apr 2019 08:15 Tjikawung Indonesia  0.8
29 Apr 2019 08:15 Sumur Indonesia  0.8
30 Apr 2019 23:15 Ketaun Indonesia  0.8
29 Apr 2019 06:00 Babakancibeber Indonesia  0.8
29 Apr 2019 06:00 Kolitjaah Indonesia  0.8
29 Apr 2019 06:00 Tjiteureup Indonesia  0.8
29 Apr 2019 06:00 Labuhan Indonesia  0.8
29 Apr 2019 06:00 Kaduperasi Indonesia  0.8
30 Apr 2019 23:15 Pondokkapoer Indonesia  0.7
01 May 2019 22:30 Guring Indonesia  0.7
01 May 2019 22:30 Kota Agung Indonesia  0.7
30 Apr 2019 09:30 Aerdjeruk Indonesia  0.7
29 Apr 2019 13:45 Seblat Indonesia  0.6
29 Apr 2019 13:45 Pasarseblat Indonesia  0.6
29 Apr 2019 22:15 Panggul Indonesia  0.6
29 Apr 2019 22:15 Mundjungan Indonesia  0.6
29 Apr 2019 22:15 Tasikmadoe Indonesia  0.6
30 Apr 2019 10:45 Tiop Indonesia  0.6
30 Apr 2019 10:45 Buriai Indonesia  0.6
29 Apr 2019 08:45 Djagalaja Indonesia  0.6
29 Apr 2019 15:15 Bandjaragung Indonesia  0.6
29 Apr 2019 15:45 Ajah Indonesia  0.6
29 Apr 2019 09:30 Karbang Indonesia  0.6
29 Apr 2019 09:30 Walur Indonesia  0.6
29 Apr 2019 09:30 Pasarpulaupisang Indonesia  0.6
29 Apr 2019 09:30 Wainapal Indonesia  0.6
29 Apr 2019 09:30 Krui Indonesia  0.6
29 Apr 2019 09:30 Kerbang Indonesia  0.6
29 Apr 2019 09:30 Padangnegeri Indonesia  0.6
29 Apr 2019 09:30 Tandjungbaringin Indonesia  0.6
30 Apr 2019 21:45 Popoh Indonesia  0.6
01 May 2019 04:15 Umbulan Pepanggar Indonesia  0.6
01 May 2019 04:15 Kalianda Indonesia  0.6
29 Apr 2019 20:45 Waiharoe Indonesia  0.6
29 Apr 2019 20:45 Karangberak Indonesia  0.6
29 Apr 2019 20:45 Sawangbalak Indonesia  0.6
29 Apr 2019 15:30 Petanahan Indonesia  0.5
29 Apr 2019 16:30 Pahanuma Indonesia  0.5
29 Apr 2019 16:30 Belowa Indonesia  0.5
29 Apr 2019 16:30 Taoabi Indonesia  0.5
30 Apr 2019 23:00 Ipun Indonesia  0.5
30 Apr 2019 23:00 Airrami Indonesia  0.5
29 Apr 2019 15:15 Tampang Indonesia  0.5
30 Apr 2019 09:15 Muarabinuangeun Indonesia  0.5
30 Apr 2019 10:30 Poelaudoea Indonesia  0.5
01 May 2019 23:30 Chikalong Indonesia  0.5
01 May 2019 23:30 Kalapagenep Indonesia  0.5
29 Apr 2019 14:15 Kabue Indonesia  0.5
29 Apr 2019 06:30 Kaliputjang Indonesia  0.5
30 Apr 2019 00:45 Sindangsari Indonesia  0.5
30 Apr 2019 00:45 Cijulang Indonesia  0.5
30 Apr 2019 00:45 Cikalong Indonesia  0.5
30 Apr 2019 00:45 Pangadaran Indonesia  0.5
30 Apr 2019 20:30 Pasartalo Indonesia  0.5
29 Apr 2019 14:45 Galur Indonesia  0.5
29 Apr 2019 14:45 Srandakan Indonesia  0.5
29 Apr 2019 14:45 Kebonongan Indonesia  0.5
29 Apr 2019 14:45 Tirtohardjo Indonesia  0.5
30 Apr 2019 20:00 Belimbing Indonesia  0.5
01 May 2019 15:00 Pasaralas Indonesia  0.5
30 Apr 2019 20:00 Putih Indonesia  0.5
29 Apr 2019 14:45 Ngadirodjo Indonesia  0.5
30 Apr 2019 07:00 Karanghawu Indonesia  0.5
30 Apr 2019 07:00 Tjimadja Indonesia  0.5
30 Apr 2019 07:00 Tjiateul Indonesia  0.5
30 Apr 2019 11:15 Bandaragung Indonesia  0.5
30 Apr 2019 11:15 Tjampang Indonesia  0.5
29 Apr 2019 15:00 Deliugo Indonesia  0.5
29 Apr 2019 15:00 Kalak Indonesia  0.5
29 Apr 2019 14:30 Bendungan Indonesia  0.5
29 Apr 2019 06:00 Patjitan Indonesia  0.5
29 Apr 2019 10:30 Maringgai Indonesia  0.5
29 Apr 2019 07:15 Karanganjar Indonesia  0.5
30 Apr 2019 23:30 Anjer-Kidu Indonesia  0.4
30 Apr 2019 10:30 Ngalam Indonesia  0.4
30 Apr 2019 10:30 Pasarseluma Indonesia  0.4
30 Apr 2019 10:00 Pasarpino Indonesia  0.4
30 Apr 2019 10:00 Mana Indonesia  0.4
30 Apr 2019 21:45 Bulasat Indonesia  0.4
01 May 2019 00:00 Bakau Indonesia  0.4
01 May 2019 00:00 Ketapang Indonesia  0.4
29 Apr 2019 22:15 Djepitoe Indonesia  0.4
29 Apr 2019 15:15 Tandjungaur Indonesia  0.4
29 Apr 2019 15:15 Beriang Indonesia  0.4
29 Apr 2019 07:15 Bandjarnegeri Indonesia  0.4
29 Apr 2019 07:15 Ngaras Indonesia  0.4
29 Apr 2019 07:15 Negeriratoe Indonesia  0.4
29 Apr 2019 07:15 Kotodjawa Indonesia  0.4
29 Apr 2019 06:45 South Point Christmas Island  0.4
29 Apr 2019 06:45 The Settlement Christmas Island  0.4
29 Apr 2019 08:30 Merak Indonesia  0.4
29 Apr 2019 08:30 Domas Indonesia  0.4
29 Apr 2019 19:45 Point Marianne British Indian Ocean Territory  0.4
29 Apr 2019 19:45 East Point Plantation British Indian Ocean Territory  0.4
30 Apr 2019 10:30 Chihara Indonesia  0.4
30 Apr 2019 10:30 Bajah Indonesia  0.4
29 Apr 2019 06:45 Babadan Indonesia  0.4
29 Apr 2019 06:45 Lingkungsari Indonesia  0.4
29 Apr 2019 06:45 Tjiagra Indonesia  0.4
30 Apr 2019 10:30 Waibatang Indonesia  0.4
29 Apr 2019 23:30 Tjikaret Indonesia  0.4
29 Apr 2019 10:15 Tanara Indonesia  0.4
29 Apr 2019 10:15 Ketapang Indonesia  0.4
29 Apr 2019 15:00 Limau Indonesia  0.4
29 Apr 2019 10:15 Kramat Indonesia  0.3
01 May 2019 14:45 Tandjungraja Indonesia  0.3
01 May 2019 23:30 Plotot Indonesia  0.3
01 May 2019 22:30 West Island Cocos (Keeling) Islands  0.3
01 May 2019 14:30 Pandanganget Indonesia  0.3
01 May 2019 14:45 Bintuhan Indonesia  0.3
29 Apr 2019 10:30 Cengkarengbelakang Indonesia  0.3
01 May 2019 14:15 Biha Indonesia  0.3
01 May 2019 14:15 Marang Indonesia  0.3
02 May 2019 00:45 Umbulan Padulmanan Indonesia  0.3
29 Apr 2019 08:45 Tjibeber Indonesia  0.3
30 Apr 2019 15:15 La Roche Godon French Southern and Antarctic Lands  0.3
01 May 2019 19:45 Mutua Indonesia  0.3
01 May 2019 19:45 Tandjoengselaka Indonesia  0.3
30 Apr 2019 10:00 Pameungpeuk Indonesia  0.3
30 Apr 2019 10:00 Bangbajang Indonesia  0.3
01 May 2019 10:30 Patrol Indonesia  0.3
01 May 2019 10:30 Kandanghaur Indonesia  0.3
29 Apr 2019 11:30 Tipar Indonesia  0.3
30 Apr 2019 00:30 Cidora Indonesia  0.3
30 Apr 2019 00:30 Tjimari Indonesia  0.3
30 Apr 2019 00:30 Sindangbarang Indonesia  0.3
30 Apr 2019 00:30 Gardu Indonesia  0.3
30 Apr 2019 00:30 Tjiaun Indonesia  0.3
02 May 2019 02:15 Djepuh Indonesia  0.3
02 May 2019 02:15 Tangjungrusa Indonesia  0.3
02 May 2019 02:15 Dendang Indonesia  0.3
02 May 2019 02:15 Simnangpesa Indonesia  0.3
02 May 2019 02:15 Tandjungklumpang Indonesia  0.3
29 Apr 2019 11:30 Balubuk Indonesia  0.3
02 May 2019 02:15 Tandjungbatuaajer Indonesia  0.3
01 May 2019 04:00 Pangkal Dudat Indonesia  0.2
01 May 2019 04:00 Tandjungkiras Indonesia  0.2
01 May 2019 04:00 Membalong Indonesia  0.2
01 May 2019 18:15 Mangkang-Kulan Indonesia  0.2
01 May 2019 18:15 Djomblang Indonesia  0.2
01 May 2019 18:15 Semarang Indonesia  0.2
01 May 2019 18:15 Karangroto Indonesia  0.2
02 May 2019 01:30 Kalipang Indonesia  0.2
02 May 2019 01:30 Lemanbang Indonesia  0.2
02 May 2019 01:30 Tambakbaja Indonesia  0.2
02 May 2019 01:30 Batangan Indonesia  0.2
02 May 2019 01:30 Rembang Indonesia  0.2
02 May 2019 01:30 Lasem Indonesia  0.2
29 Apr 2019 13:00 Gunung Indonesia  0.2
02 May 2019 01:15 Remen Indonesia  0.2
01 May 2019 10:30 Cangkring Indonesia  0.2
02 May 2019 01:30 Padangan-wetan Indonesia  0.2
02 May 2019 03:30 Pasirputih Indonesia  0.2
02 May 2019 03:30 Muaratjilamaja Indonesia  0.2
01 May 2019 18:45 Kendal Indonesia  0.2
01 May 2019 13:30 Cilancang Indonesia  0.2
01 May 2019 13:30 Cirebon Indonesia  0.2
01 May 2019 10:15 Indramaju Indonesia  0.2
29 Apr 2019 13:30 Topoali Indonesia  0.2
02 May 2019 02:15 Taju Indonesia  0.2
02 May 2019 02:15 Bulumanis Indonesia  0.2
01 May 2019 18:00 Wedung Indonesia  0.2
01 May 2019 18:00 Kedungmalang Indonesia  0.2
01 May 2019 18:15 Pedes Indonesia  0.2
01 May 2019 23:00 Pekalongan Indonesia  0.2
01 May 2019 23:00 Sidja Indonesia  0.2
02 May 2019 01:15 Karangsari Indonesia  0.2
02 May 2019 00:15 Losan Indonesia  0.2
02 May 2019 00:15 Bulakamba Indonesia  0.2
02 May 2019 00:15 Klampok Indonesia  0.2
02 May 2019 00:15 Petaroekan Indonesia  0.2
02 May 2019 00:15 Sigedang Indonesia  0.2
01 May 2019 22:00 Karangampel Indonesia  0.2
01 May 2019 12:30 Sungaibuntu Indonesia  0.2
01 May 2019 18:00 Jepara Indonesia  0.2
01 May 2019 18:00 Bugel Indonesia  0.2
01 May 2019 18:00 Karanggondang Indonesia  0.2
01 May 2019 23:15 Tegal Indonesia  0.2
01 May 2019 23:15 Wanasari Indonesia  0.2
01 May 2019 23:15 Pemalang Indonesia  0.2