Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for LORNA-19
Off-shore
27 Apr 2019 00 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone LORNA-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 177 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.8 m (29 Apr 14:45 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 177 km/h 0.8 m n.a. 0.5
HWRF Overall 177 km/h 0.9 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 27 Apr 2019 00:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 23 Apr 2019 12:00 174 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 23 Apr 2019 18:00 157 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 24 Apr 2019 00:00 201 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 24 Apr 2019 06:00 203 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 24 Apr 2019 12:00 179 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 24 Apr 2019 18:00 190 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 25 Apr 2019 00:00 178 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 25 Apr 2019 06:00 214 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 25 Apr 2019 12:00 203 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 25 Apr 2019 18:00 190 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 26 Apr 2019 00:00 220 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 26 Apr 2019 06:00 202 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 26 Apr 2019 12:00 169 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 26 Apr 2019 18:00 172 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 27 Apr 2019 00:00 177 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall

-1 mm

No people can be affected rain lower than 100mm





Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 27 Apr 2019 00:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 23 Apr 2019 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 2 23 Apr 2019 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 3 24 Apr 2019 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 4 24 Apr 2019 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 5 24 Apr 2019 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 6 24 Apr 2019 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 7 25 Apr 2019 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 8 25 Apr 2019 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 9 25 Apr 2019 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 10 25 Apr 2019 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 11 26 Apr 2019 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 12 26 Apr 2019 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 13 26 Apr 2019 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 14 26 Apr 2019 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 15 27 Apr 2019 00:00 - - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

0.8 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.8m in Kekatang, Indonesia. This height is estimated for 29 Apr 2019 14:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 27 Apr 2019 00:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
29 Apr 2019 14:45 Kekatang Indonesia  0.8
29 Apr 2019 14:45 Menango Indonesia  0.8
29 Apr 2019 14:45 Kiluan Indonesia  0.8
29 Apr 2019 14:45 Telukbetung Indonesia  0.7
29 Apr 2019 14:45 Tarahan Indonesia  0.7
29 Apr 2019 14:45 Tandjungkarang Indonesia  0.7
29 Apr 2019 14:45 Umbulan Pepanggar Indonesia  0.5
29 Apr 2019 14:45 Kalianda Indonesia  0.5
28 Apr 2019 08:15 Chilachap Indonesia  0.5
28 Apr 2019 08:15 Adipala Indonesia  0.5
27 Apr 2019 15:45 Ketaun Indonesia  0.5
27 Apr 2019 15:45 Serangai Indonesia  0.5
27 Apr 2019 15:45 Penampung Indonesia  0.5
27 Apr 2019 15:45 Lais Indonesia  0.5
27 Apr 2019 15:45 Baru Indonesia  0.5
27 Apr 2019 15:45 Lubuktandjung Indonesia  0.5
27 Apr 2019 15:45 Pasarkerkap Indonesia  0.5
27 Apr 2019 16:45 Tjikawung Indonesia  0.5
27 Apr 2019 16:45 Aerdjeruk Indonesia  0.5
27 Apr 2019 16:00 Kerkap Indonesia  0.5
27 Apr 2019 16:00 Bangkahulu Indonesia  0.5
27 Apr 2019 16:00 Pekansaptoe Indonesia  0.5
27 Apr 2019 07:15 Pondokkapoer Indonesia  0.5
28 Apr 2019 08:30 Waiharoe Indonesia  0.5
28 Apr 2019 08:30 Guring Indonesia  0.5
28 Apr 2019 08:30 Kota Agung Indonesia  0.5
28 Apr 2019 08:30 Karangberak Indonesia  0.5
28 Apr 2019 08:30 Sawangbalak Indonesia  0.5
27 Apr 2019 16:00 Seblat Indonesia  0.4
27 Apr 2019 16:00 Pasarseblat Indonesia  0.4
28 Apr 2019 21:45 Tiop Indonesia  0.4
28 Apr 2019 21:45 Buriai Indonesia  0.4
28 Apr 2019 08:00 Binangoen Indonesia  0.4
27 Apr 2019 06:30 Sumur Indonesia  0.4
27 Apr 2019 06:15 Mundjungan Indonesia  0.4
27 Apr 2019 06:15 Tasikmadoe Indonesia  0.4
27 Apr 2019 06:15 Popoh Indonesia  0.4
28 Apr 2019 07:45 Ajah Indonesia  0.4
28 Apr 2019 07:45 Petanahan Indonesia  0.4
27 Apr 2019 15:30 Ipun Indonesia  0.4
27 Apr 2019 15:30 Airrami Indonesia  0.4
27 Apr 2019 16:00 Pasarseluma Indonesia  0.4
27 Apr 2019 16:00 Pasartalo Indonesia  0.4
27 Apr 2019 16:00 Pasaralas Indonesia  0.4
27 Apr 2019 06:30 Babakancibeber Indonesia  0.4
27 Apr 2019 06:30 Kolitjaah Indonesia  0.4
27 Apr 2019 06:30 Tjiteureup Indonesia  0.4
27 Apr 2019 06:30 Labuhan Indonesia  0.4
27 Apr 2019 06:30 Kaduperasi Indonesia  0.4
27 Apr 2019 05:30 Belimbing Indonesia  0.3
27 Apr 2019 05:30 Tampang Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 08:30 Bandjaragung Indonesia  0.3
27 Apr 2019 15:30 Ngalam Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 07:30 Djagalaja Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 07:30 Bendungan Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 07:30 Galur Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 07:30 Srandakan Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 18:30 South Point Christmas Island  0.3
28 Apr 2019 18:30 The Settlement Christmas Island  0.3
29 Apr 2019 15:45 Muarabinuangeun Indonesia  0.3
27 Apr 2019 16:30 Pasarpino Indonesia  0.3
27 Apr 2019 16:30 Mana Indonesia  0.3
29 Apr 2019 09:30 Tandjungaur Indonesia  0.3
29 Apr 2019 09:30 Beriang Indonesia  0.3
27 Apr 2019 05:15 Babadan Indonesia  0.3
27 Apr 2019 05:15 Lingkungsari Indonesia  0.3
27 Apr 2019 05:15 Tjiagra Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 20:45 Bulasat Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 08:45 Sindangsari Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 08:45 Cijulang Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 08:45 Cikalong Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 08:45 Pangadaran Indonesia  0.3
27 Apr 2019 06:15 Kaliputjang Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 00:00 Umbulan Padulmanan Indonesia  0.3
29 Apr 2019 09:00 Pahanuma Indonesia  0.3
29 Apr 2019 09:00 Kabue Indonesia  0.3
29 Apr 2019 09:00 Belowa Indonesia  0.3
29 Apr 2019 09:00 Taoabi Indonesia  0.3
29 Apr 2019 09:00 Poelaudoea Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 07:30 Kebonongan Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 07:30 Tirtohardjo Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 08:30 Putih Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 07:45 Patjitan Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 07:45 Ngadirodjo Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 07:45 Deliugo Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 07:45 Kalak Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 09:15 Waibatang Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 09:15 Karbang Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 09:15 Walur Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 04:15 Point Marianne British Indian Ocean Territory  0.3
28 Apr 2019 04:15 East Point Plantation British Indian Ocean Territory  0.3
29 Apr 2019 15:00 Bakau Indonesia  0.3
29 Apr 2019 15:00 Ketapang Indonesia  0.3
29 Apr 2019 11:45 Merak Indonesia  0.3
29 Apr 2019 11:45 Domas Indonesia  0.3
27 Apr 2019 16:30 Bandaragung Indonesia  0.3
27 Apr 2019 16:30 Tjampang Indonesia  0.3
27 Apr 2019 05:45 Djepitoe Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 08:45 Karanghawu Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 08:45 Tjimadja Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 08:45 Tjiateul Indonesia  0.3
27 Apr 2019 15:45 Tandjungraja Indonesia  0.3
27 Apr 2019 06:00 Panggul Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 09:15 Pasarpulaupisang Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 09:15 Wainapal Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 09:15 Krui Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 09:15 Kerbang Indonesia  0.3
29 Apr 2019 08:15 Maringgai Indonesia  0.3
27 Apr 2019 15:30 Padangnegeri Indonesia  0.3
27 Apr 2019 15:30 Tandjungbaringin Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 19:15 Karanganjar Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 19:15 Chikalong Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 19:15 Kalapagenep Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 18:45 Anjer-Kidu Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 08:15 Bandjarnegeri Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 08:15 Ngaras Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 08:15 Negeriratoe Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 08:15 Kotodjawa Indonesia  0.3
29 Apr 2019 09:30 Bintuhan Indonesia  0.3
29 Apr 2019 09:30 Limau Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 08:15 Plotot Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 08:15 Chihara Indonesia  0.3
29 Apr 2019 09:30 Biha Indonesia  0.3
29 Apr 2019 09:30 Marang Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 01:00 Topoali Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 08:00 Tjikaret Indonesia  0.3
29 Apr 2019 15:15 La Roche Godon French Southern and Antarctic Lands  0.2
28 Apr 2019 21:30 Pandanganget Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 08:15 Cidora Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 08:15 Tjimari Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 08:15 Pameungpeuk Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 08:15 Bangbajang Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 08:15 Sindangbarang Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 08:15 Gardu Indonesia  0.2
27 Apr 2019 15:30 Bajah Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 08:15 Tjiaun Indonesia  0.2
27 Apr 2019 16:00 Tjibeber Indonesia  0.2
29 Apr 2019 07:15 West Island Cocos (Keeling) Islands  0.2
28 Apr 2019 06:45 Pasirputih Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 06:45 Muaratjilamaja Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 01:00 Gunung Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 06:15 Patrol Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 06:15 Kandanghaur Indonesia  0.2
29 Apr 2019 09:00 Kramat Indonesia  0.2
29 Apr 2019 09:00 Cengkarengbelakang Indonesia  0.2
29 Apr 2019 09:00 Tipar Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 05:00 Tanara Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 05:00 Ketapang Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 12:30 Kendal Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 12:30 Mangkang-Kulan Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 12:30 Djomblang Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 12:30 Semarang Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 12:30 Karangroto Indonesia  0.2
29 Apr 2019 01:00 Mutua Indonesia  0.2
29 Apr 2019 01:15 Tandjoengselaka Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 14:00 Cilancang Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 14:00 Cirebon Indonesia  0.2
29 Apr 2019 09:45 Balubuk Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 06:15 Cangkring Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 00:15 Pangkal Dudat Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 00:15 Tandjungkiras Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 00:15 Membalong Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 06:15 Indramaju Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 07:45 Pedes Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 07:45 Sungaibuntu Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 14:00 Batangan Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 14:00 Rembang Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 14:45 Taju Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 14:45 Bulumanis Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 12:00 Wedung Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 12:00 Kedungmalang Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 17:30 Tandjungbatuaajer Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 10:00 Djepuh Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 10:00 Tangjungrusa Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 10:00 Dendang Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 10:00 Simnangpesa Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 10:00 Tandjungklumpang Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 13:45 Lemanbang Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 13:45 Tambakbaja Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 13:45 Remen Indonesia  0.2
29 Apr 2019 01:45 Lasem Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 08:15 Karangampel Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 13:45 Kalipang Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 13:45 Karangsari Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 11:45 Jepara Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 11:45 Bugel Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 11:45 Karanggondang Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 13:30 Padangan-wetan Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 13:45 Losan Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 13:45 Bulakamba Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 13:45 Klampok Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 12:30 Sidja Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 12:45 Pekalongan Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 13:00 Petaroekan Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 13:00 Sigedang Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 21:30 Tegal Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 21:30 Wanasari Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 13:00 Pemalang Indonesia  0.1