Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for LORNA-19
Off-shore

Impact

Tropical Cyclone LORNA-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 203 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.8 m (24 Apr 21:45 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 203 km/h 0.8 m n.a. 0.5
HWRF Overall 177 km/h 0.9 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 24 Apr 2019 06:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 23 Apr 2019 12:00 174 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 23 Apr 2019 18:00 157 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 24 Apr 2019 00:00 201 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 24 Apr 2019 06:00 203 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h

Rainfall

-1 mm

No people can be affected rain lower than 100mm





Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 24 Apr 2019 06:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 23 Apr 2019 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 2 23 Apr 2019 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 3 24 Apr 2019 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 4 24 Apr 2019 06:00 - - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.8 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.8m in Kiluan, Indonesia. This height is estimated for 24 Apr 2019 21:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 24 Apr 2019 06:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
24 Apr 2019 21:45 Kiluan Indonesia  0.8
24 Apr 2019 21:45 Kekatang Indonesia  0.8
24 Apr 2019 21:45 Menango Indonesia  0.8
24 Apr 2019 21:45 Tandjungkarang Indonesia  0.7
24 Apr 2019 21:45 Telukbetung Indonesia  0.7
24 Apr 2019 21:45 Tarahan Indonesia  0.7
24 Apr 2019 22:00 Umbulan Pepanggar Indonesia  0.5
24 Apr 2019 22:00 Kalianda Indonesia  0.5
25 Apr 2019 01:00 Lubuktandjung Indonesia  0.4
25 Apr 2019 01:00 Pasarkerkap Indonesia  0.4
25 Apr 2019 01:00 Kerkap Indonesia  0.4
25 Apr 2019 01:00 Bangkahulu Indonesia  0.4
25 Apr 2019 01:00 Pekansaptoe Indonesia  0.4
25 Apr 2019 08:15 Tjikawung Indonesia  0.4
25 Apr 2019 08:15 Sumur Indonesia  0.4
25 Apr 2019 14:00 Babakancibeber Indonesia  0.4
25 Apr 2019 14:00 Kolitjaah Indonesia  0.4
25 Apr 2019 14:00 Tjiteureup Indonesia  0.4
25 Apr 2019 14:00 Labuhan Indonesia  0.4
25 Apr 2019 14:00 Kaduperasi Indonesia  0.4
24 Apr 2019 21:45 Ketaun Indonesia  0.3
24 Apr 2019 21:45 Serangai Indonesia  0.3
24 Apr 2019 21:45 Penampung Indonesia  0.3
25 Apr 2019 15:45 Maringgai Indonesia  0.3
24 Apr 2019 22:00 Lais Indonesia  0.3
24 Apr 2019 22:00 Baru Indonesia  0.3
24 Apr 2019 09:30 Chilachap Indonesia  0.3
24 Apr 2019 09:30 Adipala Indonesia  0.3
24 Apr 2019 09:30 Binangoen Indonesia  0.3
26 Apr 2019 06:30 Umbulan Padulmanan Indonesia  0.3
25 Apr 2019 23:00 Guring Indonesia  0.3
25 Apr 2019 23:00 Kota Agung Indonesia  0.3
24 Apr 2019 22:15 Pondokkapoer Indonesia  0.3
24 Apr 2019 09:00 Djagalaja Indonesia  0.3
24 Apr 2019 09:00 Bendungan Indonesia  0.3
24 Apr 2019 09:00 Galur Indonesia  0.3
24 Apr 2019 09:00 Srandakan Indonesia  0.3
24 Apr 2019 11:15 Merak Indonesia  0.3
24 Apr 2019 11:15 Domas Indonesia  0.3
24 Apr 2019 09:45 Ajah Indonesia  0.3
24 Apr 2019 09:15 Aerdjeruk Indonesia  0.3
24 Apr 2019 09:00 Bakau Indonesia  0.3
24 Apr 2019 09:00 Ketapang Indonesia  0.3
25 Apr 2019 13:00 Waiharoe Indonesia  0.3
25 Apr 2019 13:00 Karangberak Indonesia  0.3
25 Apr 2019 13:00 Sawangbalak Indonesia  0.3
24 Apr 2019 09:30 Petanahan Indonesia  0.3
24 Apr 2019 09:00 Mundjungan Indonesia  0.3
24 Apr 2019 09:00 Tasikmadoe Indonesia  0.3
24 Apr 2019 09:00 Popoh Indonesia  0.3
25 Apr 2019 23:15 Bandjaragung Indonesia  0.3
24 Apr 2019 09:00 Kebonongan Indonesia  0.3
24 Apr 2019 09:00 Tirtohardjo Indonesia  0.3
24 Apr 2019 09:15 Anjer-Kidu Indonesia  0.3
24 Apr 2019 22:00 Seblat Indonesia  0.3
24 Apr 2019 08:15 Ngalam Indonesia  0.3
24 Apr 2019 08:15 Pasarseluma Indonesia  0.3
24 Apr 2019 08:00 Pasarseblat Indonesia  0.3
24 Apr 2019 09:15 Belimbing Indonesia  0.3
24 Apr 2019 09:15 Tampang Indonesia  0.3
24 Apr 2019 09:30 Cikalong Indonesia  0.3
24 Apr 2019 09:30 Pangadaran Indonesia  0.3
24 Apr 2019 09:30 Kaliputjang Indonesia  0.3
24 Apr 2019 09:00 Djepitoe Indonesia  0.3
24 Apr 2019 09:00 Deliugo Indonesia  0.3
25 Apr 2019 21:30 Tiop Indonesia  0.3
25 Apr 2019 21:30 Buriai Indonesia  0.3
24 Apr 2019 08:15 Pasartalo Indonesia  0.3
24 Apr 2019 08:15 Pasaralas Indonesia  0.3
24 Apr 2019 08:15 Airrami Indonesia  0.3
24 Apr 2019 09:00 Patjitan Indonesia  0.3
24 Apr 2019 09:00 Ngadirodjo Indonesia  0.3
24 Apr 2019 09:00 Kalak Indonesia  0.3
24 Apr 2019 09:00 Panggul Indonesia  0.3
24 Apr 2019 22:00 Point Marianne British Indian Ocean Territory  0.3
24 Apr 2019 22:00 East Point Plantation British Indian Ocean Territory  0.3
24 Apr 2019 09:30 Sindangsari Indonesia  0.3
24 Apr 2019 09:30 Cijulang Indonesia  0.3
24 Apr 2019 08:45 Putih Indonesia  0.3
26 Apr 2019 09:00 Ipun Indonesia  0.3
24 Apr 2019 10:15 Karbang Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 10:15 Walur Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 10:15 Pasarpulaupisang Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 10:15 Wainapal Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 10:15 Krui Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 10:15 Kerbang Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 10:15 Padangnegeri Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 10:15 Tandjungbaringin Indonesia  0.2
25 Apr 2019 23:30 Muarabinuangeun Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 08:15 Pasarpino Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 08:15 Mana Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 08:00 Tandjungaur Indonesia  0.2
26 Apr 2019 09:15 Belowa Indonesia  0.2
26 Apr 2019 09:15 Taoabi Indonesia  0.2
26 Apr 2019 09:15 Poelaudoea Indonesia  0.2
26 Apr 2019 09:00 Beriang Indonesia  0.2
26 Apr 2019 08:45 Kabue Indonesia  0.2
26 Apr 2019 07:45 Topoali Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 15:30 La Roche Godon French Southern and Antarctic Lands  0.2
24 Apr 2019 09:00 Karanghawu Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 09:00 Tjimadja Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 09:00 Tjiateul Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 08:45 Lingkungsari Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 08:45 Tjiagra Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 08:30 Bulasat Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 09:15 Kalapagenep Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 09:15 Chikalong Indonesia  0.2
25 Apr 2019 05:00 Pangkal Dudat Indonesia  0.2
25 Apr 2019 05:00 Tandjungkiras Indonesia  0.2
25 Apr 2019 05:00 Membalong Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 09:00 Karanganjar Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 23:00 Tanara Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 23:00 Ketapang Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 08:30 Tandjungraja Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 08:45 Waibatang Indonesia  0.2
25 Apr 2019 07:30 Pasirputih Indonesia  0.2
25 Apr 2019 07:30 Muaratjilamaja Indonesia  0.2
25 Apr 2019 09:15 Kramat Indonesia  0.2
25 Apr 2019 09:15 Cengkarengbelakang Indonesia  0.2
25 Apr 2019 09:15 Tipar Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 08:45 Babadan Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 09:15 Bandaragung Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 09:15 Tjampang Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 07:45 Pandanganget Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 07:45 Bintuhan Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 09:15 Bandjarnegeri Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 09:15 Ngaras Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 09:15 Negeriratoe Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 09:15 Kotodjawa Indonesia  0.2
26 Apr 2019 09:00 Pahanuma Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 08:45 Biha Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 08:45 Marang Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 08:45 Limau Indonesia  0.2
26 Apr 2019 05:45 Balubuk Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 08:30 Tjikaret Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 08:45 Sindangbarang Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 08:45 Gardu Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 08:45 Chihara Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 08:45 Bajah Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 08:45 Pameungpeuk Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 08:45 Bangbajang Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 08:45 Cidora Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 08:45 Tjimari Indonesia  0.2
27 Apr 2019 06:00 South Point Christmas Island  0.2
27 Apr 2019 06:00 The Settlement Christmas Island  0.2
24 Apr 2019 08:45 Tjiaun Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 08:45 Tjibeber Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 08:45 Plotot Indonesia  0.2
26 Apr 2019 07:45 Gunung Indonesia  0.2
25 Apr 2019 05:30 Pedes Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 08:00 West Island Cocos (Keeling) Islands  0.2
24 Apr 2019 14:00 Patrol Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 14:00 Kandanghaur Indonesia  0.2
25 Apr 2019 15:30 Tandjungbatuaajer Indonesia  0.2
25 Apr 2019 05:30 Sungaibuntu Indonesia  0.2
25 Apr 2019 15:30 Simnangpesa Indonesia  0.2
25 Apr 2019 15:30 Tandjungklumpang Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 16:45 Djepuh Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 16:45 Tangjungrusa Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 16:45 Dendang Indonesia  0.2
25 Apr 2019 08:00 Mutua Indonesia  0.1
25 Apr 2019 12:45 Kendal Indonesia  0.1
25 Apr 2019 12:45 Mangkang-Kulan Indonesia  0.1
25 Apr 2019 12:45 Djomblang Indonesia  0.1
25 Apr 2019 12:45 Semarang Indonesia  0.1
25 Apr 2019 12:45 Karangroto Indonesia  0.1
25 Apr 2019 03:15 Cilancang Indonesia  0.1
25 Apr 2019 03:15 Cirebon Indonesia  0.1
25 Apr 2019 19:15 Tandjoengselaka Indonesia  0.1
25 Apr 2019 07:30 Cangkring Indonesia  0.1
24 Apr 2019 14:00 Indramaju Indonesia  0.1
24 Apr 2019 17:15 Losan Indonesia  0.1
24 Apr 2019 17:15 Bulakamba Indonesia  0.1
24 Apr 2019 17:15 Klampok Indonesia  0.1
24 Apr 2019 16:45 Tegal Indonesia  0.1
24 Apr 2019 16:45 Wanasari Indonesia  0.1
25 Apr 2019 12:15 Wedung Indonesia  0.1
25 Apr 2019 12:15 Kedungmalang Indonesia  0.1
25 Apr 2019 14:15 Petaroekan Indonesia  0.1
25 Apr 2019 14:15 Sigedang Indonesia  0.1
25 Apr 2019 14:15 Pekalongan Indonesia  0.1
25 Apr 2019 18:45 Batangan Indonesia  0.1
25 Apr 2019 18:45 Rembang Indonesia  0.1
25 Apr 2019 15:15 Karangampel Indonesia  0.1
25 Apr 2019 18:45 Lasem Indonesia  0.1
25 Apr 2019 18:45 Karangsari Indonesia  0.1
25 Apr 2019 18:45 Taju Indonesia  0.1
25 Apr 2019 18:45 Bulumanis Indonesia  0.1
25 Apr 2019 13:30 Sidja Indonesia  0.1
25 Apr 2019 13:30 Pemalang Indonesia  0.1
25 Apr 2019 12:00 Jepara Indonesia  0.1
25 Apr 2019 12:00 Bugel Indonesia  0.1
25 Apr 2019 12:00 Karanggondang Indonesia  0.1