Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for LORNA-19
Off-shore
28 Apr 2019 18 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone LORNA-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 183 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.9 m (30 Apr 23:30 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 183 km/h 0.9 m n.a. 0.5
HWRF Overall 177 km/h 0.9 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 28 Apr 2019 18:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 23 Apr 2019 12:00 174 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 23 Apr 2019 18:00 157 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 24 Apr 2019 00:00 201 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 24 Apr 2019 06:00 203 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 24 Apr 2019 12:00 179 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 24 Apr 2019 18:00 190 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 25 Apr 2019 00:00 178 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 25 Apr 2019 06:00 214 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 25 Apr 2019 12:00 203 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 25 Apr 2019 18:00 190 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 26 Apr 2019 00:00 220 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 26 Apr 2019 06:00 202 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 26 Apr 2019 12:00 169 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 26 Apr 2019 18:00 172 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 27 Apr 2019 00:00 177 - - - - - - -
GREEN 16 27 Apr 2019 06:00 176 - - - - - - -
GREEN 17 27 Apr 2019 12:00 184 - - - - - - -
GREEN 18 27 Apr 2019 18:00 188 - - - - - - -
GREEN 19 28 Apr 2019 00:00 137 - - - - - - -
GREEN 20 28 Apr 2019 06:00 136 - - - - - - -
GREEN 21 28 Apr 2019 12:00 157 - - - - - - -
GREEN 22 28 Apr 2019 18:00 183 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall

-1 mm

No people can be affected rain lower than 100mm





Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 28 Apr 2019 18:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 23 Apr 2019 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 2 23 Apr 2019 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 3 24 Apr 2019 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 4 24 Apr 2019 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 5 24 Apr 2019 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 6 24 Apr 2019 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 7 25 Apr 2019 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 8 25 Apr 2019 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 9 25 Apr 2019 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 10 25 Apr 2019 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 11 26 Apr 2019 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 12 26 Apr 2019 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 13 26 Apr 2019 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 14 26 Apr 2019 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 15 27 Apr 2019 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 16 27 Apr 2019 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 17 27 Apr 2019 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 18 27 Apr 2019 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 19 28 Apr 2019 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 20 28 Apr 2019 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 21 28 Apr 2019 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 22 28 Apr 2019 18:00 - - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

0.9 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.9m in Lubuktandjung, Indonesia. This height is estimated for 30 Apr 2019 23:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 28 Apr 2019 18:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
30 Apr 2019 23:30 Lubuktandjung Indonesia  0.9
30 Apr 2019 23:30 Pasarkerkap Indonesia  0.9
30 Apr 2019 23:30 Kerkap Indonesia  0.9
30 Apr 2019 23:30 Bangkahulu Indonesia  0.9
30 Apr 2019 23:30 Pekansaptoe Indonesia  0.9
30 Apr 2019 23:15 Serangai Indonesia  0.9
30 Apr 2019 23:15 Penampung Indonesia  0.9
30 Apr 2019 23:15 Lais Indonesia  0.9
30 Apr 2019 23:15 Baru Indonesia  0.9
29 Apr 2019 21:15 Chilachap Indonesia  0.8
29 Apr 2019 21:15 Adipala Indonesia  0.8
29 Apr 2019 21:15 Binangoen Indonesia  0.8
29 Apr 2019 05:00 Guring Indonesia  0.8
29 Apr 2019 05:00 Kota Agung Indonesia  0.8
29 Apr 2019 05:00 Waiharoe Indonesia  0.8
29 Apr 2019 05:00 Karangberak Indonesia  0.8
29 Apr 2019 05:00 Sawangbalak Indonesia  0.8
01 May 2019 04:15 Kiluan Indonesia  0.8
01 May 2019 04:15 Kekatang Indonesia  0.8
01 May 2019 04:15 Menango Indonesia  0.8
29 Apr 2019 06:00 Babakancibeber Indonesia  0.8
29 Apr 2019 06:00 Kolitjaah Indonesia  0.8
29 Apr 2019 06:00 Tjiteureup Indonesia  0.8
29 Apr 2019 06:00 Labuhan Indonesia  0.8
29 Apr 2019 06:00 Kaduperasi Indonesia  0.8
01 May 2019 04:30 Tandjungkarang Indonesia  0.8
01 May 2019 04:30 Telukbetung Indonesia  0.8
01 May 2019 04:30 Tarahan Indonesia  0.8
30 Apr 2019 23:15 Ketaun Indonesia  0.7
29 Apr 2019 08:15 Tjikawung Indonesia  0.7
29 Apr 2019 08:15 Sumur Indonesia  0.7
28 Apr 2019 21:45 Tiop Indonesia  0.7
28 Apr 2019 21:45 Buriai Indonesia  0.7
30 Apr 2019 23:15 Pondokkapoer Indonesia  0.7
29 Apr 2019 05:00 Bandjaragung Indonesia  0.7
29 Apr 2019 06:00 Aerdjeruk Indonesia  0.7
29 Apr 2019 13:45 Seblat Indonesia  0.7
29 Apr 2019 13:45 Pasarseblat Indonesia  0.7
28 Apr 2019 22:45 Sindangsari Indonesia  0.6
28 Apr 2019 22:45 Cijulang Indonesia  0.6
28 Apr 2019 22:45 Cikalong Indonesia  0.6
28 Apr 2019 22:45 Pangadaran Indonesia  0.6
28 Apr 2019 22:00 Pasartalo Indonesia  0.6
28 Apr 2019 22:00 Pasaralas Indonesia  0.6
28 Apr 2019 22:00 Pasarpino Indonesia  0.6
28 Apr 2019 22:00 Mana Indonesia  0.6
28 Apr 2019 20:15 Belowa Indonesia  0.6
28 Apr 2019 20:15 Taoabi Indonesia  0.6
28 Apr 2019 20:15 Poelaudoea Indonesia  0.6
29 Apr 2019 08:45 Djagalaja Indonesia  0.6
29 Apr 2019 09:00 Mundjungan Indonesia  0.6
29 Apr 2019 09:00 Tasikmadoe Indonesia  0.6
29 Apr 2019 09:00 Popoh Indonesia  0.6
29 Apr 2019 06:30 Ajah Indonesia  0.6
29 Apr 2019 09:30 Karbang Indonesia  0.6
29 Apr 2019 09:30 Walur Indonesia  0.6
29 Apr 2019 09:30 Pasarpulaupisang Indonesia  0.6
29 Apr 2019 09:30 Wainapal Indonesia  0.6
29 Apr 2019 09:30 Krui Indonesia  0.6
29 Apr 2019 09:30 Kerbang Indonesia  0.6
29 Apr 2019 09:30 Padangnegeri Indonesia  0.6
29 Apr 2019 09:30 Tandjungbaringin Indonesia  0.6
28 Apr 2019 22:15 Ngalam Indonesia  0.6
29 Apr 2019 05:00 Tampang Indonesia  0.6
29 Apr 2019 22:15 Panggul Indonesia  0.6
29 Apr 2019 15:30 Petanahan Indonesia  0.6
01 May 2019 04:15 Umbulan Pepanggar Indonesia  0.5
01 May 2019 04:15 Kalianda Indonesia  0.5
29 Apr 2019 16:30 Pahanuma Indonesia  0.5
29 Apr 2019 14:15 Kabue Indonesia  0.5
29 Apr 2019 01:00 Ipun Indonesia  0.5
29 Apr 2019 01:00 Airrami Indonesia  0.5
29 Apr 2019 15:30 Kaliputjang Indonesia  0.5
30 Apr 2019 00:45 Chikalong Indonesia  0.5
30 Apr 2019 00:45 Kalapagenep Indonesia  0.5
30 Apr 2019 09:15 Muarabinuangeun Indonesia  0.5
28 Apr 2019 22:00 Bulasat Indonesia  0.5
29 Apr 2019 06:00 Kalak Indonesia  0.5
29 Apr 2019 06:00 Patjitan Indonesia  0.5
29 Apr 2019 14:45 Galur Indonesia  0.5
29 Apr 2019 14:45 Srandakan Indonesia  0.5
29 Apr 2019 14:45 Kebonongan Indonesia  0.5
29 Apr 2019 14:45 Tirtohardjo Indonesia  0.5
29 Apr 2019 15:00 Deliugo Indonesia  0.5
30 Apr 2019 20:00 Belimbing Indonesia  0.5
29 Apr 2019 14:45 Ngadirodjo Indonesia  0.5
29 Apr 2019 04:45 Putih Indonesia  0.5
29 Apr 2019 07:15 Karanganjar Indonesia  0.5
30 Apr 2019 11:15 Bandaragung Indonesia  0.4
30 Apr 2019 11:15 Tjampang Indonesia  0.4
29 Apr 2019 15:15 Tandjungaur Indonesia  0.4
29 Apr 2019 15:15 Beriang Indonesia  0.4
30 Apr 2019 07:00 Karanghawu Indonesia  0.4
30 Apr 2019 07:00 Tjimadja Indonesia  0.4
30 Apr 2019 07:00 Tjiateul Indonesia  0.4
29 Apr 2019 10:30 Maringgai Indonesia  0.4
29 Apr 2019 14:30 Bendungan Indonesia  0.4
30 Apr 2019 23:30 Anjer-Kidu Indonesia  0.4
28 Apr 2019 22:15 Pasarseluma Indonesia  0.4
29 Apr 2019 19:45 Point Marianne British Indian Ocean Territory  0.4
29 Apr 2019 19:45 East Point Plantation British Indian Ocean Territory  0.4
29 Apr 2019 09:30 South Point Christmas Island  0.4
29 Apr 2019 09:30 The Settlement Christmas Island  0.4
30 Apr 2019 20:45 Bakau Indonesia  0.4
30 Apr 2019 20:45 Ketapang Indonesia  0.4
29 Apr 2019 15:00 Djepitoe Indonesia  0.4
28 Apr 2019 23:00 Tandjungraja Indonesia  0.4
28 Apr 2019 21:45 Waibatang Indonesia  0.4
29 Apr 2019 15:00 Limau Indonesia  0.4
29 Apr 2019 06:45 Babadan Indonesia  0.4
29 Apr 2019 06:45 Lingkungsari Indonesia  0.4
29 Apr 2019 06:45 Tjiagra Indonesia  0.4
29 Apr 2019 07:15 Bandjarnegeri Indonesia  0.4
29 Apr 2019 07:15 Ngaras Indonesia  0.4
29 Apr 2019 07:15 Negeriratoe Indonesia  0.4
29 Apr 2019 07:15 Kotodjawa Indonesia  0.4
28 Apr 2019 23:00 Chihara Indonesia  0.4
28 Apr 2019 23:00 Bajah Indonesia  0.4
28 Apr 2019 22:15 Plotot Indonesia  0.4
28 Apr 2019 21:45 Pandanganget Indonesia  0.4
28 Apr 2019 21:45 Bintuhan Indonesia  0.4
29 Apr 2019 08:30 Merak Indonesia  0.4
29 Apr 2019 08:30 Domas Indonesia  0.4
28 Apr 2019 23:00 Tjikaret Indonesia  0.4
29 Apr 2019 10:15 Tanara Indonesia  0.3
29 Apr 2019 10:15 Ketapang Indonesia  0.3
29 Apr 2019 05:45 Biha Indonesia  0.3
29 Apr 2019 10:15 Kramat Indonesia  0.3
29 Apr 2019 10:30 Cengkarengbelakang Indonesia  0.3
29 Apr 2019 09:30 Marang Indonesia  0.3
29 Apr 2019 05:15 Tjibeber Indonesia  0.3
29 Apr 2019 16:00 Umbulan Padulmanan Indonesia  0.3
30 Apr 2019 15:15 La Roche Godon French Southern and Antarctic Lands  0.3
29 Apr 2019 11:30 Tipar Indonesia  0.3
29 Apr 2019 14:45 West Island Cocos (Keeling) Islands  0.3
30 Apr 2019 10:00 Pameungpeuk Indonesia  0.3
30 Apr 2019 10:00 Bangbajang Indonesia  0.3
01 May 2019 10:30 Patrol Indonesia  0.3
01 May 2019 10:30 Kandanghaur Indonesia  0.3
29 Apr 2019 08:30 Cidora Indonesia  0.3
29 Apr 2019 08:30 Tjimari Indonesia  0.3
30 Apr 2019 00:30 Sindangbarang Indonesia  0.3
30 Apr 2019 00:30 Gardu Indonesia  0.3
29 Apr 2019 11:30 Balubuk Indonesia  0.2
30 Apr 2019 00:30 Tjiaun Indonesia  0.2
01 May 2019 18:00 Mangkang-Kulan Indonesia  0.2
01 May 2019 18:00 Djomblang Indonesia  0.2
01 May 2019 18:00 Semarang Indonesia  0.2
01 May 2019 18:00 Karangroto Indonesia  0.2
29 Apr 2019 13:00 Gunung Indonesia  0.2
29 Apr 2019 00:30 Mutua Indonesia  0.2
01 May 2019 04:15 Djepuh Indonesia  0.2
01 May 2019 04:15 Tangjungrusa Indonesia  0.2
01 May 2019 04:15 Dendang Indonesia  0.2
01 May 2019 04:15 Simnangpesa Indonesia  0.2
01 May 2019 04:15 Tandjungklumpang Indonesia  0.2
29 Apr 2019 13:15 Topoali Indonesia  0.2
29 Apr 2019 00:45 Tandjoengselaka Indonesia  0.2
29 Apr 2019 08:15 Pasirputih Indonesia  0.2
29 Apr 2019 08:15 Muaratjilamaja Indonesia  0.2
01 May 2019 10:30 Cangkring Indonesia  0.2
01 May 2019 18:00 Wedung Indonesia  0.2
01 May 2019 18:00 Kedungmalang Indonesia  0.2
01 May 2019 13:30 Cilancang Indonesia  0.2
01 May 2019 13:30 Cirebon Indonesia  0.2
01 May 2019 10:30 Indramaju Indonesia  0.2
01 May 2019 04:15 Pangkal Dudat Indonesia  0.2
01 May 2019 04:15 Tandjungkiras Indonesia  0.2
01 May 2019 04:15 Membalong Indonesia  0.2
29 Apr 2019 16:15 Tandjungbatuaajer Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 23:30 Kendal Indonesia  0.2
01 May 2019 18:00 Pedes Indonesia  0.2
01 May 2019 18:00 Sungaibuntu Indonesia  0.2
29 Apr 2019 02:00 Batangan Indonesia  0.2
29 Apr 2019 02:00 Rembang Indonesia  0.2
29 Apr 2019 08:15 Karangampel Indonesia  0.2
01 May 2019 14:30 Lasem Indonesia  0.2
01 May 2019 13:30 Losan Indonesia  0.2
01 May 2019 13:30 Bulakamba Indonesia  0.2
01 May 2019 13:30 Klampok Indonesia  0.2
01 May 2019 18:00 Jepara Indonesia  0.2
01 May 2019 18:00 Bugel Indonesia  0.2
01 May 2019 18:00 Karanggondang Indonesia  0.2
29 Apr 2019 01:45 Lemanbang Indonesia  0.2
29 Apr 2019 01:45 Tambakbaja Indonesia  0.2
29 Apr 2019 01:45 Remen Indonesia  0.2
29 Apr 2019 02:30 Taju Indonesia  0.2
29 Apr 2019 02:30 Bulumanis Indonesia  0.2
29 Apr 2019 02:00 Karangsari Indonesia  0.2
29 Apr 2019 01:30 Kalipang Indonesia  0.2
29 Apr 2019 01:30 Padangan-wetan Indonesia  0.2
29 Apr 2019 07:00 Pekalongan Indonesia  0.2
29 Apr 2019 07:00 Sidja Indonesia  0.2
29 Apr 2019 07:00 Tegal Indonesia  0.2
29 Apr 2019 07:00 Wanasari Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 22:45 Petaroekan Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 22:45 Sigedang Indonesia  0.2
29 Apr 2019 07:00 Pemalang Indonesia  0.2