Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for LORNA-19
Off-shore
24 Apr 2019 12 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone LORNA-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 179 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.7 m (24 Apr 21:45 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 179 km/h 0.7 m n.a. 0.5
HWRF Overall 177 km/h 0.9 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 24 Apr 2019 12:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 23 Apr 2019 12:00 174 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 23 Apr 2019 18:00 157 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 24 Apr 2019 00:00 201 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 24 Apr 2019 06:00 203 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 24 Apr 2019 12:00 179 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall

-1 mm

No people can be affected rain lower than 100mm





Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 24 Apr 2019 12:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 23 Apr 2019 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 2 23 Apr 2019 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 3 24 Apr 2019 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 4 24 Apr 2019 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 5 24 Apr 2019 12:00 - - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

0.7 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.7m in Kiluan, Indonesia. This height is estimated for 24 Apr 2019 21:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 24 Apr 2019 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
24 Apr 2019 21:45 Kiluan Indonesia  0.7
24 Apr 2019 21:45 Kekatang Indonesia  0.7
24 Apr 2019 21:45 Menango Indonesia  0.7
24 Apr 2019 21:45 Telukbetung Indonesia  0.7
24 Apr 2019 21:45 Tarahan Indonesia  0.7
24 Apr 2019 21:45 Tandjungkarang Indonesia  0.7
24 Apr 2019 22:00 Umbulan Pepanggar Indonesia  0.5
24 Apr 2019 22:00 Kalianda Indonesia  0.5
24 Apr 2019 22:30 Lubuktandjung Indonesia  0.4
24 Apr 2019 22:30 Pasarkerkap Indonesia  0.4
24 Apr 2019 22:30 Kerkap Indonesia  0.4
24 Apr 2019 22:30 Bangkahulu Indonesia  0.4
24 Apr 2019 22:30 Pekansaptoe Indonesia  0.4
27 Apr 2019 06:30 Tjikawung Indonesia  0.4
27 Apr 2019 06:30 Sumur Indonesia  0.4
27 Apr 2019 06:30 Aerdjeruk Indonesia  0.4
27 Apr 2019 06:30 Babakancibeber Indonesia  0.4
25 Apr 2019 14:00 Kolitjaah Indonesia  0.4
25 Apr 2019 14:00 Tjiteureup Indonesia  0.4
25 Apr 2019 14:00 Labuhan Indonesia  0.4
25 Apr 2019 14:00 Kaduperasi Indonesia  0.4
24 Apr 2019 22:00 Serangai Indonesia  0.4
24 Apr 2019 22:00 Penampung Indonesia  0.4
24 Apr 2019 22:00 Lais Indonesia  0.4
24 Apr 2019 22:00 Baru Indonesia  0.4
24 Apr 2019 21:45 Ketaun Indonesia  0.4
25 Apr 2019 15:45 Maringgai Indonesia  0.4
24 Apr 2019 22:15 Pondokkapoer Indonesia  0.3
26 Apr 2019 09:15 Guring Indonesia  0.3
26 Apr 2019 09:15 Kota Agung Indonesia  0.3
26 Apr 2019 09:15 Bandjaragung Indonesia  0.3
26 Apr 2019 09:15 Waiharoe Indonesia  0.3
26 Apr 2019 09:15 Karangberak Indonesia  0.3
26 Apr 2019 09:15 Sawangbalak Indonesia  0.3
24 Apr 2019 22:00 Seblat Indonesia  0.3
25 Apr 2019 16:00 Merak Indonesia  0.3
25 Apr 2019 16:00 Domas Indonesia  0.3
25 Apr 2019 07:15 Pasarseblat Indonesia  0.3
24 Apr 2019 22:15 Ngalam Indonesia  0.3
27 Apr 2019 06:00 Chilachap Indonesia  0.3
27 Apr 2019 06:00 Adipala Indonesia  0.3
25 Apr 2019 14:00 Bakau Indonesia  0.3
25 Apr 2019 14:00 Ketapang Indonesia  0.3
25 Apr 2019 14:00 Anjer-Kidu Indonesia  0.3
25 Apr 2019 22:45 Tiop Indonesia  0.3
25 Apr 2019 22:45 Buriai Indonesia  0.3
24 Apr 2019 16:45 Binangoen Indonesia  0.3
24 Apr 2019 22:15 Pasarseluma Indonesia  0.3
26 Apr 2019 09:15 Putih Indonesia  0.3
25 Apr 2019 09:45 Umbulan Padulmanan Indonesia  0.3
24 Apr 2019 22:00 Point Marianne British Indian Ocean Territory  0.3
24 Apr 2019 22:00 East Point Plantation British Indian Ocean Territory  0.3
25 Apr 2019 23:15 Tampang Indonesia  0.3
25 Apr 2019 23:15 Ipun Indonesia  0.3
25 Apr 2019 23:15 Airrami Indonesia  0.3
25 Apr 2019 13:30 Ajah Indonesia  0.3
25 Apr 2019 13:30 Petanahan Indonesia  0.3
27 Apr 2019 06:15 Karanganjar Indonesia  0.3
27 Apr 2019 06:15 Chikalong Indonesia  0.3
26 Apr 2019 08:45 Muarabinuangeun Indonesia  0.3
26 Apr 2019 09:00 Pasarpino Indonesia  0.3
26 Apr 2019 09:00 Mana Indonesia  0.3
26 Apr 2019 09:00 Tandjungaur Indonesia  0.3
26 Apr 2019 09:00 Beriang Indonesia  0.3
26 Apr 2019 08:45 Kabue Indonesia  0.2
26 Apr 2019 08:45 Belowa Indonesia  0.2
26 Apr 2019 08:45 Taoabi Indonesia  0.2
26 Apr 2019 08:45 Poelaudoea Indonesia  0.2
26 Apr 2019 01:00 Tasikmadoe Indonesia  0.2
26 Apr 2019 01:00 Popoh Indonesia  0.2
25 Apr 2019 01:00 Pasartalo Indonesia  0.2
25 Apr 2019 01:00 Pasaralas Indonesia  0.2
26 Apr 2019 01:15 Deliugo Indonesia  0.2
26 Apr 2019 01:15 Kalak Indonesia  0.2
27 Apr 2019 05:30 Mundjungan Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 15:30 La Roche Godon French Southern and Antarctic Lands  0.2
27 Apr 2019 06:15 Kalapagenep Indonesia  0.2
25 Apr 2019 23:15 Belimbing Indonesia  0.2
27 Apr 2019 06:00 Kaliputjang Indonesia  0.2
25 Apr 2019 07:15 Pangadaran Indonesia  0.2
26 Apr 2019 15:15 Karbang Indonesia  0.2
26 Apr 2019 15:15 Walur Indonesia  0.2
26 Apr 2019 15:15 Pasarpulaupisang Indonesia  0.2
26 Apr 2019 15:15 Wainapal Indonesia  0.2
26 Apr 2019 15:15 Krui Indonesia  0.2
26 Apr 2019 15:15 Kerbang Indonesia  0.2
26 Apr 2019 15:15 Padangnegeri Indonesia  0.2
26 Apr 2019 15:15 Tandjungbaringin Indonesia  0.2
26 Apr 2019 00:00 Sindangsari Indonesia  0.2
26 Apr 2019 00:00 Cijulang Indonesia  0.2
26 Apr 2019 00:00 Cikalong Indonesia  0.2
25 Apr 2019 13:30 Djagalaja Indonesia  0.2
25 Apr 2019 13:30 Bendungan Indonesia  0.2
25 Apr 2019 13:30 Galur Indonesia  0.2
25 Apr 2019 13:30 Srandakan Indonesia  0.2
25 Apr 2019 13:30 Kebonongan Indonesia  0.2
25 Apr 2019 13:30 Tirtohardjo Indonesia  0.2
26 Apr 2019 01:15 Djepitoe Indonesia  0.2
27 Apr 2019 08:30 Tanara Indonesia  0.2
27 Apr 2019 08:30 Ketapang Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 21:45 Pahanuma Indonesia  0.2
27 Apr 2019 08:30 Kramat Indonesia  0.2
27 Apr 2019 08:30 Cengkarengbelakang Indonesia  0.2
26 Apr 2019 01:15 Patjitan Indonesia  0.2
27 Apr 2019 06:00 Ngadirodjo Indonesia  0.2
26 Apr 2019 01:30 Panggul Indonesia  0.2
26 Apr 2019 09:00 Tandjungraja Indonesia  0.2
26 Apr 2019 09:00 Pandanganget Indonesia  0.2
26 Apr 2019 09:00 Bintuhan Indonesia  0.2
26 Apr 2019 09:00 Limau Indonesia  0.2
27 Apr 2019 06:30 South Point Christmas Island  0.2
27 Apr 2019 06:30 The Settlement Christmas Island  0.2
24 Apr 2019 17:30 Topoali Indonesia  0.2
26 Apr 2019 09:00 Waibatang Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 21:30 Bulasat Indonesia  0.2
27 Apr 2019 05:45 Karanghawu Indonesia  0.2
27 Apr 2019 05:45 Tjimadja Indonesia  0.2
27 Apr 2019 05:45 Tjiateul Indonesia  0.2
25 Apr 2019 07:30 Pasirputih Indonesia  0.2
25 Apr 2019 07:30 Muaratjilamaja Indonesia  0.2
27 Apr 2019 09:30 Tipar Indonesia  0.2
26 Apr 2019 00:15 Lingkungsari Indonesia  0.2
26 Apr 2019 00:15 Tjiagra Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 12:00 Balubuk Indonesia  0.2
25 Apr 2019 13:45 Pangkal Dudat Indonesia  0.2
25 Apr 2019 13:45 Tandjungkiras Indonesia  0.2
25 Apr 2019 13:45 Membalong Indonesia  0.2
27 Apr 2019 06:00 Tjimari Indonesia  0.2
27 Apr 2019 06:00 Pameungpeuk Indonesia  0.2
27 Apr 2019 06:00 Cidora Indonesia  0.2
26 Apr 2019 09:00 Bandjarnegeri Indonesia  0.2
26 Apr 2019 09:00 Ngaras Indonesia  0.2
26 Apr 2019 09:00 Negeriratoe Indonesia  0.2
26 Apr 2019 09:00 Kotodjawa Indonesia  0.2
26 Apr 2019 09:00 Bandaragung Indonesia  0.2
26 Apr 2019 09:00 Tjampang Indonesia  0.2
27 Apr 2019 06:00 Bangbajang Indonesia  0.2
27 Apr 2019 05:45 Bajah Indonesia  0.2
25 Apr 2019 02:45 Tjikaret Indonesia  0.2
25 Apr 2019 02:45 Babadan Indonesia  0.2
26 Apr 2019 09:00 Biha Indonesia  0.2
26 Apr 2019 09:00 Marang Indonesia  0.2
27 Apr 2019 05:45 Plotot Indonesia  0.2
27 Apr 2019 05:30 Chihara Indonesia  0.2
27 Apr 2019 06:00 Tjiaun Indonesia  0.2
26 Apr 2019 00:15 Sindangbarang Indonesia  0.2
27 Apr 2019 05:45 Tjibeber Indonesia  0.2
27 Apr 2019 06:00 Gardu Indonesia  0.2
27 Apr 2019 10:00 Pedes Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 16:00 Gunung Indonesia  0.2
27 Apr 2019 10:00 Sungaibuntu Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 14:00 Patrol Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 14:00 Kandanghaur Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 17:00 Djepuh Indonesia  0.1
24 Apr 2019 17:00 Tangjungrusa Indonesia  0.1
24 Apr 2019 17:00 Dendang Indonesia  0.1
24 Apr 2019 17:00 Simnangpesa Indonesia  0.1
24 Apr 2019 17:00 Tandjungklumpang Indonesia  0.1
26 Apr 2019 14:15 Tandjoengselaka Indonesia  0.1
27 Apr 2019 01:45 Mutua Indonesia  0.1
27 Apr 2019 04:30 Tandjungbatuaajer Indonesia  0.1
27 Apr 2019 06:15 Kendal Indonesia  0.1
27 Apr 2019 06:15 Mangkang-Kulan Indonesia  0.1
27 Apr 2019 06:15 Djomblang Indonesia  0.1
27 Apr 2019 06:15 Semarang Indonesia  0.1
27 Apr 2019 06:15 Karangroto Indonesia  0.1
25 Apr 2019 23:30 West Island Cocos (Keeling) Islands  0.1
27 Apr 2019 05:15 Cilancang Indonesia  0.1
27 Apr 2019 05:15 Cirebon Indonesia  0.1
24 Apr 2019 14:00 Cangkring Indonesia  0.1
24 Apr 2019 14:00 Indramaju Indonesia  0.1
24 Apr 2019 16:30 Klampok Indonesia  0.1
24 Apr 2019 16:30 Tegal Indonesia  0.1
24 Apr 2019 16:30 Wanasari Indonesia  0.1
24 Apr 2019 17:15 Losan Indonesia  0.1
24 Apr 2019 17:15 Bulakamba Indonesia  0.1
25 Apr 2019 12:15 Wedung Indonesia  0.1
25 Apr 2019 12:15 Kedungmalang Indonesia  0.1
27 Apr 2019 06:45 Petaroekan Indonesia  0.1
27 Apr 2019 06:45 Sigedang Indonesia  0.1
27 Apr 2019 06:45 Pekalongan Indonesia  0.1
27 Apr 2019 07:45 Batangan Indonesia  0.1
27 Apr 2019 07:45 Rembang Indonesia  0.1