Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for LORNA-19
Off-shore
27 Apr 2019 12 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone LORNA-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 184 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.9 m (29 Apr 14:45 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 184 km/h 0.9 m n.a. 0.5
HWRF Overall 177 km/h 0.9 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 27 Apr 2019 12:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 23 Apr 2019 12:00 174 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 23 Apr 2019 18:00 157 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 24 Apr 2019 00:00 201 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 24 Apr 2019 06:00 203 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 24 Apr 2019 12:00 179 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 24 Apr 2019 18:00 190 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 25 Apr 2019 00:00 178 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 25 Apr 2019 06:00 214 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 25 Apr 2019 12:00 203 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 25 Apr 2019 18:00 190 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 26 Apr 2019 00:00 220 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 26 Apr 2019 06:00 202 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 26 Apr 2019 12:00 169 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 26 Apr 2019 18:00 172 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 27 Apr 2019 00:00 177 - - - - - - -
GREEN 16 27 Apr 2019 06:00 176 - - - - - - -
GREEN 17 27 Apr 2019 12:00 184 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall

-1 mm

No people can be affected rain lower than 100mm





Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 27 Apr 2019 12:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 23 Apr 2019 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 2 23 Apr 2019 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 3 24 Apr 2019 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 4 24 Apr 2019 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 5 24 Apr 2019 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 6 24 Apr 2019 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 7 25 Apr 2019 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 8 25 Apr 2019 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 9 25 Apr 2019 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 10 25 Apr 2019 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 11 26 Apr 2019 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 12 26 Apr 2019 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 13 26 Apr 2019 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 14 26 Apr 2019 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 15 27 Apr 2019 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 16 27 Apr 2019 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 17 27 Apr 2019 12:00 - - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

0.9 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.9m in Kekatang, Indonesia. This height is estimated for 29 Apr 2019 14:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 27 Apr 2019 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
29 Apr 2019 14:45 Kekatang Indonesia  0.9
29 Apr 2019 14:45 Menango Indonesia  0.9
29 Apr 2019 15:00 Kiluan Indonesia  0.9
29 Apr 2019 14:45 Telukbetung Indonesia  0.8
29 Apr 2019 14:45 Tarahan Indonesia  0.8
29 Apr 2019 14:30 Tandjungkarang Indonesia  0.8
29 Apr 2019 14:45 Umbulan Pepanggar Indonesia  0.6
29 Apr 2019 14:45 Kalianda Indonesia  0.6
28 Apr 2019 08:15 Chilachap Indonesia  0.6
28 Apr 2019 08:15 Adipala Indonesia  0.6
27 Apr 2019 15:45 Ketaun Indonesia  0.5
27 Apr 2019 15:45 Serangai Indonesia  0.5
27 Apr 2019 15:45 Penampung Indonesia  0.5
27 Apr 2019 15:45 Lais Indonesia  0.5
27 Apr 2019 15:45 Baru Indonesia  0.5
27 Apr 2019 15:45 Lubuktandjung Indonesia  0.5
27 Apr 2019 15:45 Pasarkerkap Indonesia  0.5
27 Apr 2019 17:15 Mundjungan Indonesia  0.5
27 Apr 2019 17:15 Tasikmadoe Indonesia  0.5
27 Apr 2019 17:15 Popoh Indonesia  0.5
27 Apr 2019 16:00 Kerkap Indonesia  0.5
27 Apr 2019 16:00 Bangkahulu Indonesia  0.5
27 Apr 2019 16:00 Pekansaptoe Indonesia  0.5
27 Apr 2019 16:45 Tjikawung Indonesia  0.5
27 Apr 2019 16:45 Aerdjeruk Indonesia  0.5
27 Apr 2019 16:00 Seblat Indonesia  0.5
27 Apr 2019 16:00 Pasarseblat Indonesia  0.5
28 Apr 2019 08:30 Waiharoe Indonesia  0.5
28 Apr 2019 08:30 Guring Indonesia  0.5
28 Apr 2019 08:30 Kota Agung Indonesia  0.5
28 Apr 2019 08:30 Karangberak Indonesia  0.5
28 Apr 2019 08:30 Sawangbalak Indonesia  0.5
28 Apr 2019 21:45 Tiop Indonesia  0.4
28 Apr 2019 21:45 Buriai Indonesia  0.4
29 Apr 2019 21:45 Pondokkapoer Indonesia  0.4
28 Apr 2019 21:30 Ngalam Indonesia  0.4
28 Apr 2019 07:45 Ajah Indonesia  0.4
28 Apr 2019 07:45 Petanahan Indonesia  0.4
28 Apr 2019 08:00 Binangoen Indonesia  0.4
28 Apr 2019 08:00 Sindangsari Indonesia  0.4
28 Apr 2019 08:00 Cijulang Indonesia  0.4
28 Apr 2019 08:00 Cikalong Indonesia  0.4
28 Apr 2019 08:00 Pangadaran Indonesia  0.4
30 Apr 2019 09:15 Muarabinuangeun Indonesia  0.4
27 Apr 2019 16:00 Pasarseluma Indonesia  0.4
27 Apr 2019 16:00 Pasartalo Indonesia  0.4
27 Apr 2019 16:00 Pasaralas Indonesia  0.4
29 Apr 2019 08:45 Djagalaja Indonesia  0.4
27 Apr 2019 15:45 Ipun Indonesia  0.4
27 Apr 2019 15:45 Airrami Indonesia  0.4
29 Apr 2019 09:00 Belimbing Indonesia  0.4
29 Apr 2019 09:00 Tampang Indonesia  0.4
29 Apr 2019 06:15 Sumur Indonesia  0.4
29 Apr 2019 06:15 Babakancibeber Indonesia  0.4
28 Apr 2019 19:00 South Point Christmas Island  0.4
28 Apr 2019 19:00 The Settlement Christmas Island  0.4
28 Apr 2019 08:30 Bandjaragung Indonesia  0.4
29 Apr 2019 06:30 Kolitjaah Indonesia  0.4
29 Apr 2019 06:30 Labuhan Indonesia  0.4
29 Apr 2019 06:30 Kaduperasi Indonesia  0.4
28 Apr 2019 07:45 Tjiteureup Indonesia  0.4
27 Apr 2019 16:30 Pasarpino Indonesia  0.3
27 Apr 2019 16:30 Mana Indonesia  0.3
29 Apr 2019 09:30 Putih Indonesia  0.3
29 Apr 2019 06:15 Kaliputjang Indonesia  0.3
29 Apr 2019 21:15 Tandjungaur Indonesia  0.3
29 Apr 2019 21:15 Beriang Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 20:45 Bulasat Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 09:15 Karbang Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 09:15 Walur Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 09:15 Pasarpulaupisang Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 09:15 Wainapal Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 09:15 Krui Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 09:15 Kerbang Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 09:15 Padangnegeri Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 09:15 Tandjungbaringin Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 08:30 Chikalong Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 08:30 Kalapagenep Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 08:30 Bendungan Indonesia  0.3
27 Apr 2019 16:30 Bandaragung Indonesia  0.3
27 Apr 2019 16:30 Tjampang Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 07:45 Deliugo Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 07:45 Kalak Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 07:45 Patjitan Indonesia  0.3
30 Apr 2019 10:00 Waibatang Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 08:00 Ngadirodjo Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 08:00 Panggul Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 08:30 Galur Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 08:30 Srandakan Indonesia  0.3
29 Apr 2019 09:30 Bintuhan Indonesia  0.3
29 Apr 2019 09:30 Limau Indonesia  0.3
29 Apr 2019 15:15 Anjer-Kidu Indonesia  0.3
29 Apr 2019 08:15 Maringgai Indonesia  0.3
29 Apr 2019 10:30 Bakau Indonesia  0.3
29 Apr 2019 10:30 Ketapang Indonesia  0.3
29 Apr 2019 08:45 Kebonongan Indonesia  0.3
29 Apr 2019 08:45 Tirtohardjo Indonesia  0.3
27 Apr 2019 15:45 Kabue Indonesia  0.3
27 Apr 2019 15:45 Taoabi Indonesia  0.3
27 Apr 2019 15:45 Poelaudoea Indonesia  0.3
27 Apr 2019 15:45 Djepitoe Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 00:00 Umbulan Padulmanan Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 03:45 Belowa Indonesia  0.3
29 Apr 2019 11:45 Merak Indonesia  0.3
29 Apr 2019 11:45 Domas Indonesia  0.3
29 Apr 2019 05:00 Pahanuma Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 07:45 West Island Cocos (Keeling) Islands  0.3
29 Apr 2019 09:45 Point Marianne British Indian Ocean Territory  0.3
29 Apr 2019 09:45 East Point Plantation British Indian Ocean Territory  0.3
28 Apr 2019 08:15 Bandjarnegeri Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 08:15 Ngaras Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 08:15 Negeriratoe Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 08:15 Kotodjawa Indonesia  0.3
27 Apr 2019 16:30 Karanghawu Indonesia  0.3
27 Apr 2019 16:30 Tjimadja Indonesia  0.3
27 Apr 2019 16:30 Tjiateul Indonesia  0.3
30 Apr 2019 09:45 Karanganjar Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 08:00 Biha Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 08:00 Marang Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 08:15 Cidora Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 08:15 Tjimari Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 08:15 Pameungpeuk Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 08:15 Bangbajang Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 08:15 Tjibeber Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 08:15 Tjikaret Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 08:15 Sindangbarang Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 08:15 Gardu Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 08:15 Tjiaun Indonesia  0.3
27 Apr 2019 15:45 Tandjungraja Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 08:30 Plotot Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 08:30 Chihara Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 08:15 Babadan Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 08:15 Lingkungsari Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 08:15 Tjiagra Indonesia  0.3
27 Apr 2019 15:30 Pandanganget Indonesia  0.3
29 Apr 2019 14:30 Topoali Indonesia  0.3
29 Apr 2019 15:15 La Roche Godon French Southern and Antarctic Lands  0.2
27 Apr 2019 16:15 Bajah Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 06:30 Pasirputih Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 06:30 Muaratjilamaja Indonesia  0.2
29 Apr 2019 13:45 Gunung Indonesia  0.2
27 Apr 2019 18:45 Kramat Indonesia  0.2
27 Apr 2019 18:45 Cengkarengbelakang Indonesia  0.2
27 Apr 2019 18:45 Tipar Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 06:15 Patrol Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 06:15 Kandanghaur Indonesia  0.2
29 Apr 2019 09:45 Balubuk Indonesia  0.2
29 Apr 2019 02:00 Batangan Indonesia  0.2
29 Apr 2019 02:00 Rembang Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 23:45 Kendal Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 23:45 Mangkang-Kulan Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 23:45 Djomblang Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 23:45 Semarang Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 23:45 Karangroto Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 05:00 Tanara Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 05:00 Ketapang Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 06:15 Cangkring Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 09:00 Cilancang Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 09:00 Cirebon Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 00:15 Pangkal Dudat Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 00:15 Tandjungkiras Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 00:15 Membalong Indonesia  0.2
29 Apr 2019 01:45 Lasem Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 06:00 Indramaju Indonesia  0.2
29 Apr 2019 02:45 Taju Indonesia  0.2
29 Apr 2019 02:45 Bulumanis Indonesia  0.2
29 Apr 2019 09:45 Pedes Indonesia  0.2
27 Apr 2019 19:45 Sungaibuntu Indonesia  0.2
29 Apr 2019 02:00 Karangsari Indonesia  0.2
29 Apr 2019 01:45 Lemanbang Indonesia  0.2
29 Apr 2019 01:45 Tambakbaja Indonesia  0.2
29 Apr 2019 01:45 Remen Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 08:15 Karangampel Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 23:15 Wedung Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 23:15 Kedungmalang Indonesia  0.2
29 Apr 2019 01:30 Padangan-wetan Indonesia  0.2
29 Apr 2019 01:30 Kalipang Indonesia  0.2
27 Apr 2019 23:45 Djepuh Indonesia  0.2
27 Apr 2019 23:45 Tangjungrusa Indonesia  0.2
27 Apr 2019 23:45 Dendang Indonesia  0.2
27 Apr 2019 23:45 Simnangpesa Indonesia  0.2
27 Apr 2019 23:45 Tandjungklumpang Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 17:45 Tandjungbatuaajer Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 08:45 Losan Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 08:45 Bulakamba Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 08:45 Klampok Indonesia  0.2
29 Apr 2019 01:30 Mutua Indonesia  0.2
29 Apr 2019 01:30 Tandjoengselaka Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 23:15 Jepara Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 23:15 Bugel Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 23:15 Karanggondang Indonesia  0.2
29 Apr 2019 06:15 Petaroekan Indonesia  0.2
29 Apr 2019 06:15 Sigedang Indonesia  0.2
29 Apr 2019 06:15 Pekalongan Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 21:45 Tegal Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 21:45 Wanasari Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 12:45 Sidja Indonesia  0.1
29 Apr 2019 05:15 Pemalang Indonesia  0.1