Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for LORNA-19
Off-shore

Impact

Tropical Cyclone LORNA-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 174 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.7 m (24 Apr 21:45 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 174 km/h 0.7 m n.a. 0.5
HWRF Overall 177 km/h 0.9 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 23 Apr 2019 12:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 23 Apr 2019 12:00 174 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h

Rainfall

-1 mm

No people can be affected rain lower than 100mm





Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 23 Apr 2019 12:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 23 Apr 2019 12:00 - - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.7 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.7m in Kiluan, Indonesia. This height is estimated for 24 Apr 2019 21:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 23 Apr 2019 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
24 Apr 2019 21:45 Kiluan Indonesia  0.7
24 Apr 2019 21:45 Kekatang Indonesia  0.7
24 Apr 2019 21:45 Menango Indonesia  0.7
24 Apr 2019 21:45 Tandjungkarang Indonesia  0.7
24 Apr 2019 21:45 Telukbetung Indonesia  0.7
24 Apr 2019 21:45 Tarahan Indonesia  0.7
23 Apr 2019 20:00 Serangai Indonesia  0.5
23 Apr 2019 20:00 Penampung Indonesia  0.5
23 Apr 2019 20:00 Lais Indonesia  0.5
23 Apr 2019 20:00 Baru Indonesia  0.5
23 Apr 2019 20:00 Lubuktandjung Indonesia  0.5
23 Apr 2019 20:00 Pasarkerkap Indonesia  0.5
23 Apr 2019 20:00 Kerkap Indonesia  0.5
23 Apr 2019 20:00 Bangkahulu Indonesia  0.5
23 Apr 2019 20:00 Pekansaptoe Indonesia  0.5
23 Apr 2019 20:00 Ketaun Indonesia  0.5
24 Apr 2019 01:00 Umbulan Pepanggar Indonesia  0.5
24 Apr 2019 01:00 Kalianda Indonesia  0.5
23 Apr 2019 19:45 Tjikawung Indonesia  0.4
23 Apr 2019 19:45 Sumur Indonesia  0.4
23 Apr 2019 19:45 Seblat Indonesia  0.4
23 Apr 2019 20:00 Pondokkapoer Indonesia  0.4
23 Apr 2019 19:45 Pasarseblat Indonesia  0.4
23 Apr 2019 19:45 Aerdjeruk Indonesia  0.4
23 Apr 2019 19:45 Babakancibeber Indonesia  0.4
23 Apr 2019 19:45 Kolitjaah Indonesia  0.4
23 Apr 2019 19:45 Tjiteureup Indonesia  0.4
23 Apr 2019 19:45 Labuhan Indonesia  0.4
23 Apr 2019 19:45 Kaduperasi Indonesia  0.4
23 Apr 2019 19:45 Ipun Indonesia  0.4
23 Apr 2019 19:45 Airrami Indonesia  0.4
24 Apr 2019 23:15 Maringgai Indonesia  0.3
24 Apr 2019 09:30 Chilachap Indonesia  0.3
24 Apr 2019 09:30 Adipala Indonesia  0.3
24 Apr 2019 09:30 Binangoen Indonesia  0.3
24 Apr 2019 23:00 Merak Indonesia  0.3
24 Apr 2019 23:00 Domas Indonesia  0.3
23 Apr 2019 19:45 Tiop Indonesia  0.3
23 Apr 2019 19:45 Buriai Indonesia  0.3
24 Apr 2019 09:00 Bakau Indonesia  0.3
24 Apr 2019 09:00 Ketapang Indonesia  0.3
26 Apr 2019 10:30 Umbulan Padulmanan Indonesia  0.3
25 Apr 2019 07:00 Guring Indonesia  0.3
25 Apr 2019 07:00 Kota Agung Indonesia  0.3
24 Apr 2019 09:30 Ajah Indonesia  0.3
24 Apr 2019 09:00 Djagalaja Indonesia  0.3
24 Apr 2019 09:00 Bendungan Indonesia  0.3
24 Apr 2019 09:00 Galur Indonesia  0.3
24 Apr 2019 09:00 Srandakan Indonesia  0.3
23 Apr 2019 21:00 Waiharoe Indonesia  0.3
23 Apr 2019 21:00 Karangberak Indonesia  0.3
23 Apr 2019 21:00 Sawangbalak Indonesia  0.3
23 Apr 2019 19:45 Ngalam Indonesia  0.3
24 Apr 2019 09:00 Mundjungan Indonesia  0.3
24 Apr 2019 09:00 Tasikmadoe Indonesia  0.3
24 Apr 2019 09:00 Popoh Indonesia  0.3
24 Apr 2019 09:30 Petanahan Indonesia  0.3
24 Apr 2019 09:30 Cikalong Indonesia  0.3
24 Apr 2019 09:30 Pangadaran Indonesia  0.3
24 Apr 2019 09:30 Kaliputjang Indonesia  0.3
24 Apr 2019 09:15 Cijulang Indonesia  0.3
24 Apr 2019 09:15 Sindangsari Indonesia  0.3
24 Apr 2019 09:00 Kebonongan Indonesia  0.3
24 Apr 2019 09:00 Tirtohardjo Indonesia  0.3
24 Apr 2019 08:45 Muarabinuangeun Indonesia  0.3
24 Apr 2019 17:15 Topoali Indonesia  0.3
23 Apr 2019 19:45 Pasarseluma Indonesia  0.3
24 Apr 2019 09:00 Djepitoe Indonesia  0.3
24 Apr 2019 09:00 Deliugo Indonesia  0.3
24 Apr 2019 09:15 Anjer-Kidu Indonesia  0.3
24 Apr 2019 22:00 Pasartalo Indonesia  0.3
24 Apr 2019 22:00 Pasaralas Indonesia  0.3
23 Apr 2019 21:00 Bandjaragung Indonesia  0.3
25 Apr 2019 09:30 Kramat Indonesia  0.3
25 Apr 2019 09:30 Cengkarengbelakang Indonesia  0.3
25 Apr 2019 09:30 Tipar Indonesia  0.3
24 Apr 2019 22:00 Pasarpino Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 22:00 Mana Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 09:00 Ngadirodjo Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 09:00 Panggul Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 09:00 Belimbing Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 09:00 Tampang Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 09:00 Kalak Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 09:00 Patjitan Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 09:00 Putih Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 03:00 La Roche Godon French Southern and Antarctic Lands  0.2
25 Apr 2019 09:45 Balubuk Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 22:45 Tanara Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 10:15 Karbang Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 10:15 Walur Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 10:15 Pasarpulaupisang Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 10:15 Wainapal Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 10:15 Krui Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 10:15 Kerbang Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 10:15 Padangnegeri Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 10:15 Tandjungbaringin Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 08:00 Tandjungaur Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 09:00 Bulasat Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 21:45 Point Marianne British Indian Ocean Territory  0.2
24 Apr 2019 21:45 East Point Plantation British Indian Ocean Territory  0.2
26 Apr 2019 08:15 Gunung Indonesia  0.2
25 Apr 2019 09:30 Ketapang Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 08:45 Plotot Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 09:15 Chikalong Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 09:15 Kalapagenep Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 08:30 Kabue Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 08:30 Belowa Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 08:30 Taoabi Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 08:30 Poelaudoea Indonesia  0.2
25 Apr 2019 07:45 Pasirputih Indonesia  0.2
25 Apr 2019 07:45 Muaratjilamaja Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 16:45 Pangkal Dudat Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 16:45 Tandjungkiras Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 16:45 Membalong Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 08:30 Karanghawu Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 08:30 Tjimadja Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 08:30 Tjiateul Indonesia  0.2
25 Apr 2019 19:00 Tandjoengselaka Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 09:15 Karanganjar Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 08:45 Chihara Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 17:00 Djepuh Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 17:00 Tangjungrusa Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 17:00 Dendang Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 17:00 Simnangpesa Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 17:00 Tandjungklumpang Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 08:45 Beriang Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 08:15 Pahanuma Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 08:45 Bajah Indonesia  0.2
26 Apr 2019 08:45 Waibatang Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 08:45 Babadan Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 08:45 Lingkungsari Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 08:45 Tjibeber Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 08:45 Tjikaret Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 09:00 Tjimari Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 09:00 Pameungpeuk Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 09:00 Bangbajang Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 08:45 Tjiagra Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 08:30 Tandjungraja Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 08:45 Cidora Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 08:45 Gardu Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 08:45 Tjiaun Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 08:45 Sindangbarang Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 08:45 Pandanganget Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 08:45 Bintuhan Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 08:45 Limau Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 17:15 Tandjungbatuaajer Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 08:30 Bandaragung Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 08:30 Tjampang Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 08:45 Kotodjawa Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 08:45 Biha Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 08:45 Marang Indonesia  0.2
25 Apr 2019 19:15 Mutua Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 08:45 Bandjarnegeri Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 08:45 Ngaras Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 08:45 Negeriratoe Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 14:00 Patrol Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 14:00 Kandanghaur Indonesia  0.2
25 Apr 2019 10:00 Pedes Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 08:00 West Island Cocos (Keeling) Islands  0.2
25 Apr 2019 23:30 Mangkang-Kulan Indonesia  0.2
25 Apr 2019 23:30 Djomblang Indonesia  0.2
25 Apr 2019 23:30 Semarang Indonesia  0.2
25 Apr 2019 23:30 Karangroto Indonesia  0.2
25 Apr 2019 10:15 Sungaibuntu Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 09:00 South Point Christmas Island  0.2
24 Apr 2019 09:00 The Settlement Christmas Island  0.2
25 Apr 2019 03:15 Cilancang Indonesia  0.2
25 Apr 2019 03:15 Cirebon Indonesia  0.2
25 Apr 2019 13:00 Kendal Indonesia  0.2
25 Apr 2019 07:30 Cangkring Indonesia  0.1
25 Apr 2019 07:30 Indramaju Indonesia  0.1
25 Apr 2019 23:15 Petaroekan Indonesia  0.1
25 Apr 2019 23:15 Sigedang Indonesia  0.1
25 Apr 2019 23:15 Pekalongan Indonesia  0.1
25 Apr 2019 12:15 Wedung Indonesia  0.1
25 Apr 2019 12:15 Kedungmalang Indonesia  0.1
25 Apr 2019 22:30 Sidja Indonesia  0.1
25 Apr 2019 22:30 Losan Indonesia  0.1
25 Apr 2019 22:30 Bulakamba Indonesia  0.1
25 Apr 2019 22:30 Klampok Indonesia  0.1
25 Apr 2019 02:30 Taju Indonesia  0.1
25 Apr 2019 02:30 Bulumanis Indonesia  0.1
25 Apr 2019 02:30 Batangan Indonesia  0.1
24 Apr 2019 16:30 Tegal Indonesia  0.1
24 Apr 2019 16:30 Wanasari Indonesia  0.1
25 Apr 2019 00:30 Kalipang Indonesia  0.1
25 Apr 2019 00:30 Lemanbang Indonesia  0.1
25 Apr 2019 00:30 Tambakbaja Indonesia  0.1
25 Apr 2019 02:30 Karangsari Indonesia  0.1
25 Apr 2019 23:00 Karangampel Indonesia  0.1
25 Apr 2019 19:00 Rembang Indonesia  0.1
25 Apr 2019 00:30 Remen Indonesia  0.1
25 Apr 2019 01:15 Lasem Indonesia  0.1
25 Apr 2019 01:15 Padangan-wetan Indonesia  0.1
25 Apr 2019 23:00 Jepara Indonesia  0.1
25 Apr 2019 23:00 Bugel Indonesia  0.1
25 Apr 2019 23:00 Karanggondang Indonesia  0.1
24 Apr 2019 16:15 Pemalang Indonesia  0.1