Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for LORNA-19
Off-shore

Impact

Tropical Cyclone LORNA-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 202 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.6 m (26 Apr 10:15 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 202 km/h 0.6 m n.a. 0.5
HWRF Overall 177 km/h 0.9 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 26 Apr 2019 06:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 23 Apr 2019 12:00 174 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 23 Apr 2019 18:00 157 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 24 Apr 2019 00:00 201 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 24 Apr 2019 06:00 203 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 24 Apr 2019 12:00 179 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 24 Apr 2019 18:00 190 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 25 Apr 2019 00:00 178 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 25 Apr 2019 06:00 214 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 25 Apr 2019 12:00 203 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 25 Apr 2019 18:00 190 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 26 Apr 2019 00:00 220 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 26 Apr 2019 06:00 202 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h

Rainfall

-1 mm

No people can be affected rain lower than 100mm





Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 26 Apr 2019 06:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 23 Apr 2019 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 2 23 Apr 2019 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 3 24 Apr 2019 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 4 24 Apr 2019 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 5 24 Apr 2019 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 6 24 Apr 2019 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 7 25 Apr 2019 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 8 25 Apr 2019 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 9 25 Apr 2019 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 10 25 Apr 2019 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 11 26 Apr 2019 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 12 26 Apr 2019 06:00 - - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.6 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.6m in Kekatang, Indonesia. This height is estimated for 26 Apr 2019 10:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 26 Apr 2019 06:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
26 Apr 2019 10:15 Kekatang Indonesia  0.6
26 Apr 2019 10:15 Menango Indonesia  0.6
26 Apr 2019 10:15 Kiluan Indonesia  0.6
26 Apr 2019 10:15 Tandjungkarang Indonesia  0.6
26 Apr 2019 10:15 Telukbetung Indonesia  0.6
26 Apr 2019 10:15 Tarahan Indonesia  0.6
27 Apr 2019 15:45 Ketaun Indonesia  0.5
27 Apr 2019 15:45 Serangai Indonesia  0.5
27 Apr 2019 15:45 Penampung Indonesia  0.5
27 Apr 2019 15:45 Lais Indonesia  0.5
27 Apr 2019 15:45 Baru Indonesia  0.5
27 Apr 2019 15:45 Lubuktandjung Indonesia  0.5
27 Apr 2019 15:45 Pasarkerkap Indonesia  0.5
27 Apr 2019 16:00 Kerkap Indonesia  0.5
27 Apr 2019 16:00 Bangkahulu Indonesia  0.5
27 Apr 2019 16:00 Pekansaptoe Indonesia  0.5
27 Apr 2019 05:30 Tjikawung Indonesia  0.5
27 Apr 2019 05:30 Aerdjeruk Indonesia  0.5
27 Apr 2019 15:30 Seblat Indonesia  0.5
27 Apr 2019 15:30 Pasarseblat Indonesia  0.4
28 Apr 2019 08:15 Chilachap Indonesia  0.4
28 Apr 2019 08:15 Adipala Indonesia  0.4
28 Apr 2019 20:45 Sumur Indonesia  0.4
27 Apr 2019 16:00 Tiop Indonesia  0.4
27 Apr 2019 16:00 Buriai Indonesia  0.4
27 Apr 2019 07:15 Pondokkapoer Indonesia  0.4
28 Apr 2019 08:30 Babakancibeber Indonesia  0.4
28 Apr 2019 08:30 Kolitjaah Indonesia  0.4
28 Apr 2019 08:30 Tjiteureup Indonesia  0.4
28 Apr 2019 08:30 Labuhan Indonesia  0.4
28 Apr 2019 08:30 Kaduperasi Indonesia  0.4
28 Apr 2019 08:45 Umbulan Pepanggar Indonesia  0.4
28 Apr 2019 08:45 Kalianda Indonesia  0.4
27 Apr 2019 15:30 Ipun Indonesia  0.4
27 Apr 2019 15:30 Airrami Indonesia  0.4
28 Apr 2019 07:30 Djagalaja Indonesia  0.4
28 Apr 2019 07:30 Bendungan Indonesia  0.4
28 Apr 2019 07:30 Galur Indonesia  0.4
28 Apr 2019 07:30 Srandakan Indonesia  0.4
28 Apr 2019 07:45 Ajah Indonesia  0.4
28 Apr 2019 07:45 Petanahan Indonesia  0.4
28 Apr 2019 08:30 Guring Indonesia  0.4
28 Apr 2019 08:30 Kota Agung Indonesia  0.4
28 Apr 2019 08:00 Binangoen Indonesia  0.4
27 Apr 2019 15:30 Ngalam Indonesia  0.4
28 Apr 2019 08:30 Waiharoe Indonesia  0.4
28 Apr 2019 08:30 Karangberak Indonesia  0.4
28 Apr 2019 08:30 Sawangbalak Indonesia  0.4
27 Apr 2019 16:00 Belimbing Indonesia  0.4
27 Apr 2019 16:00 Tampang Indonesia  0.4
28 Apr 2019 08:45 Pasartalo Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 08:45 Pasaralas Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 08:45 Pasarpino Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 08:45 Mana Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 08:00 Cijulang Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 08:00 Cikalong Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 08:00 Pangadaran Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 08:00 Kaliputjang Indonesia  0.3
27 Apr 2019 16:00 Pasarseluma Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 07:45 Sindangsari Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 07:30 Kebonongan Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 07:30 Tirtohardjo Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 08:30 Belowa Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 08:30 Taoabi Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 08:30 Poelaudoea Indonesia  0.3
27 Apr 2019 06:45 Muarabinuangeun Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 09:15 Waibatang Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 09:15 Karbang Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 09:15 Walur Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 20:45 Maringgai Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 08:30 Chikalong Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 08:30 Kalapagenep Indonesia  0.3
27 Apr 2019 06:15 Karanganjar Indonesia  0.3
26 Apr 2019 09:00 Bandjaragung Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 09:00 Bandaragung Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 09:00 Tjampang Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 09:15 Mundjungan Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 09:15 Tasikmadoe Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 09:15 Popoh Indonesia  0.3
26 Apr 2019 10:30 Umbulan Padulmanan Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 05:15 Point Marianne British Indian Ocean Territory  0.3
28 Apr 2019 05:15 East Point Plantation British Indian Ocean Territory  0.3
28 Apr 2019 08:30 South Point Christmas Island  0.3
28 Apr 2019 08:30 The Settlement Christmas Island  0.3
27 Apr 2019 05:15 Babadan Indonesia  0.3
27 Apr 2019 05:15 Lingkungsari Indonesia  0.3
27 Apr 2019 05:15 Tjiagra Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 07:15 Panggul Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 08:30 Pasarpulaupisang Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 08:30 Wainapal Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 08:30 Krui Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 08:30 Kerbang Indonesia  0.3
27 Apr 2019 16:00 Bulasat Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 08:00 Karanghawu Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 08:00 Tjimadja Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 08:00 Tjiateul Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 23:45 Merak Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 23:45 Domas Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 07:45 Djepitoe Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 07:45 Deliugo Indonesia  0.3
27 Apr 2019 16:45 Bakau Indonesia  0.3
27 Apr 2019 16:45 Ketapang Indonesia  0.3
27 Apr 2019 16:00 Pahanuma Indonesia  0.3
27 Apr 2019 16:15 Tandjungaur Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 08:00 Ngadirodjo Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 07:45 Kalak Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 07:45 Patjitan Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 08:15 Kabue Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 08:45 Putih Indonesia  0.3
27 Apr 2019 16:15 Beriang Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 08:15 Tjikaret Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 08:15 Padangnegeri Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 08:15 Tandjungbaringin Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 08:15 Biha Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 08:15 Marang Indonesia  0.3
27 Apr 2019 16:15 Anjer-Kidu Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 07:45 Bajah Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 08:15 Cidora Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 08:15 Tjimari Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 08:15 Pameungpeuk Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 08:15 Bangbajang Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 08:15 Tjibeber Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 08:45 Tandjungraja Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 21:30 Pandanganget Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 21:30 Bintuhan Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 08:15 Sindangbarang Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 08:15 Gardu Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 08:15 Tjiaun Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 21:15 Limau Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 08:15 Bandjarnegeri Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 08:15 Ngaras Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 08:15 Negeriratoe Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 08:15 Kotodjawa Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 08:15 Plotot Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 08:15 Chihara Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 21:30 Kramat Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 21:30 Cengkarengbelakang Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 21:30 Tipar Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 09:00 West Island Cocos (Keeling) Islands  0.2
28 Apr 2019 09:00 Cilancang Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 09:00 Cirebon Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 01:00 Topoali Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 20:30 Tanara Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 20:30 Ketapang Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 06:30 Pasirputih Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 06:30 Muaratjilamaja Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 06:15 Patrol Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 06:15 Kandanghaur Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 21:15 Pangkal Dudat Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 21:15 Tandjungkiras Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 21:15 Membalong Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 22:00 Balubuk Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 12:30 Kendal Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 12:30 Mangkang-Kulan Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 12:30 Djomblang Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 12:30 Semarang Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 12:30 Karangroto Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 22:00 Pedes Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 01:00 Gunung Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 22:00 Sungaibuntu Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 10:15 Taju Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 10:15 Bulumanis Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 10:15 Batangan Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 14:15 Tandjoengselaka Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 14:15 Mutua Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 08:15 Karangampel Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 08:45 Losan Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 08:45 Bulakamba Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 09:30 Rembang Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 09:00 Lemanbang Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 09:00 Tambakbaja Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 09:00 Remen Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 09:30 Lasem Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 08:45 Klampok Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 08:45 Kalipang Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 06:00 Cangkring Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 09:30 Padangan-wetan Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 06:15 Indramaju Indonesia  0.2
27 Apr 2019 23:45 Djepuh Indonesia  0.2
27 Apr 2019 23:45 Tangjungrusa Indonesia  0.2
27 Apr 2019 23:45 Dendang Indonesia  0.2
27 Apr 2019 23:45 Simnangpesa Indonesia  0.2
27 Apr 2019 23:45 Tandjungklumpang Indonesia  0.2
29 Apr 2019 03:45 Tandjungbatuaajer Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 09:45 Karangsari Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 12:00 Wedung Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 12:00 Kedungmalang Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 11:45 Jepara Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 11:45 Bugel Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 11:45 Karanggondang Indonesia  0.2
26 Apr 2019 08:30 La Roche Godon French Southern and Antarctic Lands  0.2
28 Apr 2019 07:45 Petaroekan Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 07:45 Sigedang Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 07:45 Pekalongan Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 08:30 Tegal Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 08:30 Wanasari Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 12:00 Sidja Indonesia  0.1
28 Apr 2019 08:00 Pemalang Indonesia  0.1