Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for LINCOLN-24
in Australia

Impact

Tropical Cyclone LINCOLN-24 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries Australia
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 72 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.8 m (24 Feb 07:30 UTC)
Vulnerability Low (Australia)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 72 km/h 0.8 m 71 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 90 km/h 0.9 m 392 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

90 km/h

Up to Few people can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 23 Feb 2024 12:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormAustralia03 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 15 Feb 2024 18:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 16 Feb 2024 00:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 16 Feb 2024 06:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 16 Feb 2024 12:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 16 Feb 2024 18:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 17 Feb 2024 00:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 17 Feb 2024 06:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 17 Feb 2024 12:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 17 Feb 2024 18:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 18 Feb 2024 00:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 18 Feb 2024 06:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 18 Feb 2024 12:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 18 Feb 2024 18:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 19 Feb 2024 00:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 19 Feb 2024 06:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 16 19 Feb 2024 12:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 17 19 Feb 2024 18:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 18 20 Feb 2024 00:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 19 20 Feb 2024 06:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 20 20 Feb 2024 12:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 21 20 Feb 2024 18:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 22 21 Feb 2024 00:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 23 21 Feb 2024 06:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 24 21 Feb 2024 12:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 25 21 Feb 2024 18:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 26 22 Feb 2024 00:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 27 22 Feb 2024 06:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 28 22 Feb 2024 12:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 29 22 Feb 2024 18:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 30 23 Feb 2024 00:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 31 23 Feb 2024 06:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 32 23 Feb 2024 12:00 76 -
- - - - - Australia
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 23 Feb 2024 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmAustralia09 
50-100 mmAustralia110 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 15 Feb 2024 18:00 119 -
- - - - - Australia
Blue 2 16 Feb 2024 00:00 235 -
- - - - - Australia
Blue 3 16 Feb 2024 06:00 205 -
- - - - - Australia
Blue 4 16 Feb 2024 12:00 131 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 16 Feb 2024 18:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 17 Feb 2024 00:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 17 Feb 2024 06:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 17 Feb 2024 12:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 17 Feb 2024 18:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 18 Feb 2024 00:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 18 Feb 2024 06:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 18 Feb 2024 12:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 18 Feb 2024 18:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 14 19 Feb 2024 00:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 15 19 Feb 2024 06:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 16 19 Feb 2024 12:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 17 19 Feb 2024 18:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 18 20 Feb 2024 00:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 19 20 Feb 2024 06:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 20 20 Feb 2024 12:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 21 20 Feb 2024 18:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 22 21 Feb 2024 00:00 163 - - - - - - -
Blue 23 21 Feb 2024 06:00 136 - - - - - - -
Blue 24 21 Feb 2024 12:00 83 - - - - - - -
Blue 25 21 Feb 2024 18:00 191 - - - - - - -
Blue 26 22 Feb 2024 00:00 247 - - - - - - -
Blue 27 22 Feb 2024 06:00 111 - - - - - - -
Blue 28 22 Feb 2024 12:00 77 - - - - - - -
Blue 29 22 Feb 2024 18:00 225 - - - - - - -
Blue 30 23 Feb 2024 00:00 203 - - - - - - -
Blue 31 23 Feb 2024 06:00 108 - - - - - - -
Blue 32 23 Feb 2024 12:00 308 Few people
- - - - Australia




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.8 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.8m in Learmonth, Australia. This height is estimated for 24 Feb 2024 07:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 23 Feb 2024 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
24 Feb 2024 07:30 Learmonth Australia  0.8
24 Feb 2024 06:15 Exmouth Australia  0.5
23 Feb 2024 12:00 Port Augusta West Australia  0.4
23 Feb 2024 12:00 Port Augusta Australia  0.4
23 Feb 2024 12:00 Stirling North Australia  0.4
23 Feb 2024 14:00 East Lewis I Australia  0.4
23 Feb 2024 14:00 Dampier Australia  0.4
23 Feb 2024 14:00 Karratha Australia  0.4
23 Feb 2024 12:00 Mardie Australia  0.4
24 Feb 2024 03:15 Onslow Australia  0.4
23 Feb 2024 12:30 Wickham Australia  0.4
23 Feb 2024 12:30 Point Samson Australia  0.4
23 Feb 2024 12:30 Cossack Australia  0.4
23 Feb 2024 12:00 Port Bonython Australia  0.4
23 Feb 2024 12:00 Port Germein Australia  0.3
23 Feb 2024 12:00 Telowie Australia  0.3
24 Feb 2024 06:15 Glenroy Australia  0.3
24 Feb 2024 05:30 Soeam Indonesia  0.3
23 Feb 2024 12:00 Port Hedland Australia  0.3
23 Feb 2024 12:00 Wedgefield Australia  0.3
23 Feb 2024 12:15 Whyalla Australia  0.3
23 Feb 2024 15:00 Ah Chong I Australia  0.3
23 Feb 2024 12:00 Port Pirie Australia  0.3
23 Feb 2024 12:00 Solomontown Australia  0.3
24 Feb 2024 05:30 Heits Indonesia  0.3
23 Feb 2024 12:00 Port Davis Australia  0.3
25 Feb 2024 09:15 Running Creek Australia  0.2
24 Feb 2024 23:15 Ok Village Australia  0.2
25 Feb 2024 02:30 Aloszville Australia  0.2
24 Feb 2024 05:15 Kladar Indonesia  0.2
24 Feb 2024 05:15 Sabon Indonesia  0.2
24 Feb 2024 05:15 Tor Indonesia  0.2
25 Feb 2024 14:30 Cape York Australia  0.2
24 Feb 2024 04:30 Dolatanden Indonesia  0.2
24 Feb 2024 11:00 Sarire Indonesia  0.2
24 Feb 2024 11:00 Tamarike Indonesia  0.2
25 Feb 2024 10:45 Asaramio Papua New Guinea  0.2
25 Feb 2024 10:45 Tapapi Papua New Guinea  0.2
25 Feb 2024 10:45 Amagoa Papua New Guinea  0.2
25 Feb 2024 10:45 Sisiama No 1 Papua New Guinea  0.2
25 Feb 2024 10:45 Tugara Papua New Guinea  0.2
25 Feb 2024 10:45 Bamio Papua New Guinea  0.2
25 Feb 2024 10:45 Orapoi Papua New Guinea  0.2
25 Feb 2024 10:45 Buniki Papua New Guinea  0.2
25 Feb 2024 10:45 Bina No 1 Papua New Guinea  0.2
25 Feb 2024 10:45 Airua Papua New Guinea  0.2
25 Feb 2024 10:45 Bunigi Papua New Guinea  0.2
24 Feb 2024 11:15 Tamerau Indonesia  0.2
24 Feb 2024 06:15 Badu Australia  0.2
24 Feb 2024 06:15 Taroea Anim Indonesia  0.2
25 Feb 2024 13:45 Port Kennedy Australia  0.2
25 Feb 2024 06:30 Aibinio Papua New Guinea  0.2
25 Feb 2024 06:30 Gesco Papua New Guinea  0.2
25 Feb 2024 06:30 Dameramuda Papua New Guinea  0.2
25 Feb 2024 06:30 Umuda I Papua New Guinea  0.2
25 Feb 2024 09:30 Segero Papua New Guinea  0.2
25 Feb 2024 09:30 Dibiri Papua New Guinea  0.2
25 Feb 2024 09:30 Oropai Papua New Guinea  0.2
25 Feb 2024 09:30 Tirere Papua New Guinea  0.2
25 Feb 2024 09:30 Maipani Papua New Guinea  0.2
24 Feb 2024 18:00 Karumba Australia  0.2
24 Feb 2024 11:00 Matara Indonesia  0.2
24 Feb 2024 11:00 Urum Indonesia  0.2
24 Feb 2024 11:00 Merauke Indonesia  0.2
24 Feb 2024 11:00 Daub Indonesia  0.2
24 Feb 2024 11:30 Barattar Indonesia  0.2
24 Feb 2024 20:45 Alyangula Australia  0.2
24 Feb 2024 16:15 Apiope Papua New Guinea  0.2
24 Feb 2024 16:15 Marea Papua New Guinea  0.2
24 Feb 2024 16:15 Iuku Papua New Guinea  0.2
24 Feb 2024 16:15 Herekera Papua New Guinea  0.2
25 Feb 2024 10:00 Giwaretore Papua New Guinea  0.2
25 Feb 2024 10:00 Ibou Papua New Guinea  0.2
24 Feb 2024 15:30 Kapai Papua New Guinea  0.2
24 Feb 2024 15:30 Ravi-kevau Papua New Guinea  0.2
24 Feb 2024 16:00 Akoma Papua New Guinea  0.2
24 Feb 2024 07:15 Hammond I Australia  0.2
24 Feb 2024 19:15 Numbulwar Australia  0.2
25 Feb 2024 11:00 Katatai Papua New Guinea  0.2
25 Feb 2024 11:00 Sui Papua New Guinea  0.2
25 Feb 2024 11:00 Parama Papua New Guinea  0.2
24 Feb 2024 16:45 Mariki Papua New Guinea  0.2
24 Feb 2024 16:45 Kinipo Papua New Guinea  0.2
24 Feb 2024 10:45 Anansai Indonesia  0.2
24 Feb 2024 10:45 Wendu Indonesia  0.2
25 Feb 2024 09:45 Misiki Papua New Guinea  0.2
25 Feb 2024 09:45 Gibu Papua New Guinea  0.2
25 Feb 2024 09:45 Morigio I Papua New Guinea  0.2
25 Feb 2024 09:45 Mapoi'a Papua New Guinea  0.2
25 Feb 2024 07:30 Mira Papua New Guinea  0.2
25 Feb 2024 07:30 Mairipepea Papua New Guinea  0.2
25 Feb 2024 07:30 Moravamu Papua New Guinea  0.2
25 Feb 2024 07:30 Kamaua Papua New Guinea  0.2
25 Feb 2024 07:30 Koravaki Papua New Guinea  0.2
25 Feb 2024 07:30 Ara'ava Papua New Guinea  0.2
25 Feb 2024 10:30 Mibu Papua New Guinea  0.2
24 Feb 2024 16:30 Mirimairau Papua New Guinea  0.2
25 Feb 2024 09:15 Ekeirau Papua New Guinea  0.2
25 Feb 2024 08:15 Avioua Papua New Guinea  0.2
25 Feb 2024 09:15 Pai-a Papua New Guinea  0.2
25 Feb 2024 09:15 Namaituri Papua New Guinea  0.2
25 Feb 2024 08:45 Goari Papua New Guinea  0.2
25 Feb 2024 08:30 Dopima Papua New Guinea  0.2
25 Feb 2024 09:30 Ubua Papua New Guinea  0.2
25 Feb 2024 09:00 Moinamu Papua New Guinea  0.2
25 Feb 2024 09:00 Babai Papua New Guinea  0.2
25 Feb 2024 10:15 Daware Papua New Guinea  0.2
25 Feb 2024 10:15 Iasa Papua New Guinea  0.2
25 Feb 2024 10:15 Ipisia Papua New Guinea  0.2
25 Feb 2024 08:30 Veraibari Papua New Guinea  0.2
25 Feb 2024 10:15 Auti Papua New Guinea  0.2
25 Feb 2024 08:45 Uramu I Papua New Guinea  0.2
25 Feb 2024 08:30 Kaivu Papua New Guinea  0.2
25 Feb 2024 10:30 Agobara Papua New Guinea  0.2
25 Feb 2024 10:30 Samari Papua New Guinea  0.2
25 Feb 2024 10:30 Oromosapuo Papua New Guinea  0.2
24 Feb 2024 10:45 Kumbe Indonesia  0.2
25 Feb 2024 13:00 Mirua Papua New Guinea  0.2
25 Feb 2024 12:45 Daru Papua New Guinea  0.2
24 Feb 2024 07:45 Cowel Creek Australia  0.2
24 Feb 2024 20:00 Bing Bong Australia  0.2
25 Feb 2024 10:15 Dorogari Papua New Guinea  0.2
24 Feb 2024 07:45 Seisia Australia  0.2
24 Feb 2024 07:45 Bamaga Australia  0.2
24 Feb 2024 10:15 Kotad Indonesia  0.2
24 Feb 2024 10:15 Dumande Indonesia  0.2
24 Feb 2024 10:15 Onggalie Indonesia  0.2
24 Feb 2024 11:30 Kondomiraf Indonesia  0.2
25 Feb 2024 13:15 Ume Papua New Guinea  0.2
25 Feb 2024 15:15 Kuria Papua New Guinea  0.2
25 Feb 2024 14:00 Saibai Australia  0.2
23 Feb 2024 23:45 Per Indonesia  0.2
23 Feb 2024 23:45 Amborip Indonesia  0.2
23 Feb 2024 23:45 Biwarlaut Indonesia  0.2
23 Feb 2024 23:45 Jow Indonesia  0.2
23 Feb 2024 12:00 Jara Papua New Guinea  0.2
23 Feb 2024 12:00 Mari Papua New Guinea  0.2
23 Feb 2024 22:30 Otsjanep Indonesia  0.2
24 Feb 2024 10:00 Moegaigare Indonesia  0.2
24 Feb 2024 10:00 Alakoe Indonesia  0.2
24 Feb 2024 10:00 Alatepi Indonesia  0.2
25 Feb 2024 13:45 Mabaduan Papua New Guinea  0.2
25 Feb 2024 14:00 Sidabadu Papua New Guinea  0.2
25 Feb 2024 13:30 Kadawa Papua New Guinea  0.2
25 Feb 2024 14:15 Ture Ture Papua New Guinea  0.2
25 Feb 2024 14:15 Boze Papua New Guinea  0.2
24 Feb 2024 09:45 Okaba Indonesia  0.2
25 Feb 2024 13:45 Hamlet of Togo Papua New Guinea  0.2
25 Feb 2024 13:45 Waidoro Papua New Guinea  0.2
25 Feb 2024 11:30 Dauan Australia  0.2
23 Feb 2024 13:00 Boigu Australia  0.2
23 Feb 2024 13:00 Bugi Papua New Guinea  0.2
24 Feb 2024 09:45 Kobiem Indonesia  0.2
23 Feb 2024 12:00 Bula Papua New Guinea  0.2
24 Feb 2024 06:45 Birab Indonesia  0.2
26 Feb 2024 08:45 Hamelin Pool Australia  0.2
26 Feb 2024 08:45 Hamelin Australia  0.2
23 Feb 2024 13:15 Tais Papua New Guinea  0.2
24 Feb 2024 09:30 Welab Indonesia  0.2
24 Feb 2024 09:15 Papisote Indonesia  0.2
25 Feb 2024 04:15 Caburinga Village Australia  0.2
25 Feb 2024 04:15 Nhulunbuy Australia  0.2
25 Feb 2024 04:15 Gove Australia  0.2
25 Feb 2024 04:15 Yirrkala Mission Australia  0.2
25 Feb 2024 04:15 Yirrkala Australia  0.2
24 Feb 2024 13:30 Kowanyama Australia  0.2
24 Feb 2024 09:30 Dokib Indonesia  0.2
24 Feb 2024 10:15 Agats Indonesia  0.2
24 Feb 2024 09:30 Jofar Indonesia  0.2
24 Feb 2024 09:30 Wamal Indonesia  0.2
24 Feb 2024 09:30 Gelib Indonesia  0.2
24 Feb 2024 09:30 Dodalim Indonesia  0.2
24 Feb 2024 09:30 Yulbabuti Indonesia  0.2
23 Feb 2024 12:00 Port Broughton Australia  0.2
25 Feb 2024 04:15 Mapoon Australia  0.2
24 Feb 2024 15:00 Kulinchin Australia  0.2
26 Feb 2024 08:30 Gladstone Australia  0.2
24 Feb 2024 16:15 Weipa Australia  0.2
24 Feb 2024 16:15 Weipa South Australia  0.2
25 Feb 2024 12:00 Nanga Australia  0.2
24 Feb 2024 09:15 Kandala Jawal Indonesia  0.2
24 Feb 2024 08:30 Komoran Indonesia  0.2
24 Feb 2024 19:00 Warroora Australia  0.2
25 Feb 2024 12:00 Monkey Mia Australia  0.1
23 Feb 2024 12:00 Brassan Indonesia  0.1
23 Feb 2024 12:00 Muntjar Indonesia  0.1
23 Feb 2024 12:00 Blimbing Indonesia  0.1
23 Feb 2024 12:00 Dadapan Indonesia  0.1
23 Feb 2024 12:00 Banjuwangi Indonesia  0.1
23 Feb 2024 12:00 Penginoeman Indonesia  0.1
23 Feb 2024 12:00 Belimbingsari Indonesia  0.1
25 Feb 2024 12:15 Tamala Australia  0.1
24 Feb 2024 22:00 Broome Australia  0.1
24 Feb 2024 22:00 Thangoo Australia  0.1
25 Feb 2024 06:45 Carnarvon Australia  0.1
23 Feb 2024 17:00 Pardoo Australia  0.1
25 Feb 2024 12:00 Shark Bay Australia  0.1
23 Feb 2024 15:45 Condon Australia  0.1
25 Feb 2024 12:30 Carrarang Australia  0.1
24 Feb 2024 06:45 Wan Indonesia  0.1
24 Feb 2024 06:45 Konerau Indonesia  0.1
24 Feb 2024 06:45 Selemit Indonesia  0.1
24 Feb 2024 07:45 Pasirputih Indonesia  0.1
25 Feb 2024 15:00 Useless Loop Australia  0.1
24 Feb 2024 01:30 Menango Indonesia  0.1
24 Feb 2024 01:30 Tandjungkarang Indonesia  0.1
24 Feb 2024 01:30 Telukbetung Indonesia  0.1
24 Feb 2024 01:30 Tarahan Indonesia  0.1
23 Feb 2024 22:00 Amamapare Indonesia  0.1
23 Feb 2024 22:30 Ndapurutiri Indonesia  0.1
24 Feb 2024 20:45 Gnaraloo Australia  0.1
23 Feb 2024 22:30 Timuka Indonesia  0.1
23 Feb 2024 22:15 Keawkwa Indonesia  0.1
25 Feb 2024 15:30 Wyndham Australia  0.1
25 Feb 2024 01:45 Cape Cuvier Australia  0.1
23 Feb 2024 23:15 The Palms Australia  0.1
23 Feb 2024 23:15 Larrakeyah Australia  0.1
23 Feb 2024 23:15 Fannie Bay Australia  0.1
23 Feb 2024 23:15 Parap Australia  0.1
23 Feb 2024 23:15 Darwin Australia  0.1
23 Feb 2024 23:15 Nightcliff Australia  0.1
23 Feb 2024 23:15 Ludmilla Australia  0.1
23 Feb 2024 23:15 Bagot Australia  0.1
23 Feb 2024 23:15 Leanyer Australia  0.1
23 Feb 2024 23:15 Knuckeys Lagoon Australia  0.1
23 Feb 2024 23:15 Berrimah Australia  0.1
23 Feb 2024 22:00 Mimako Indonesia  0.1
24 Feb 2024 06:00 Bundera Bundera Australia  0.1
23 Feb 2024 20:45 Bapuju Indonesia  0.1
23 Feb 2024 20:45 Bahaur Indonesia  0.1
24 Feb 2024 04:15 Toegrama Indonesia  0.1
23 Feb 2024 22:30 Ipirawea Indonesia  0.1
25 Feb 2024 15:00 Denham Australia  0.1
24 Feb 2024 13:15 Cardabia Australia  0.1
25 Feb 2024 02:15 Quobba Australia  0.1
24 Feb 2024 08:30 Ningaloo Australia  0.1
23 Feb 2024 20:30 Pagatan Indonesia  0.1
23 Feb 2024 17:00 Waterbank Australia  0.1
23 Feb 2024 20:45 Kualalupak Indonesia  0.1
23 Feb 2024 22:15 Amar Indonesia  0.1
24 Feb 2024 01:15 Kekatang Indonesia  0.1
23 Feb 2024 12:00 Tickera Australia  0.1
25 Feb 2024 08:15 Dirk Hartog Australia  0.1
24 Feb 2024 06:45 Salebe Indonesia  0.1
24 Feb 2024 06:45 Modan Indonesia  0.1