Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for LINCOLN-24 in Australia from 15 Feb 2024 18:00 UTC to 24 Feb 2024 06:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for LINCOLN-24

in Australia

21 Feb 2024 12 UTC

click on

to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone LINCOLN-24 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	HWRF
Exposed countries
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	58 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.4 m (21 Feb 13:15 UTC)
Vulnerability	Low (Australia)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
HWRF Current	58 km/h	0.4 m	83 mm	0.5
HWRF Overall	90 km/h	0.9 m	392 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

90 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 21 Feb 2024 12:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5
1	15 Feb 2024 18:00	61	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	16 Feb 2024 00:00	72	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	16 Feb 2024 06:00	65	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	16 Feb 2024 12:00	58	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	16 Feb 2024 18:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	17 Feb 2024 00:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	17 Feb 2024 06:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	17 Feb 2024 12:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	17 Feb 2024 18:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
10	18 Feb 2024 00:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
11	18 Feb 2024 06:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
12	18 Feb 2024 12:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
13	18 Feb 2024 18:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
14	19 Feb 2024 00:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
15	19 Feb 2024 06:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
16	19 Feb 2024 12:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
17	19 Feb 2024 18:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
18	20 Feb 2024 00:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
19	20 Feb 2024 06:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
20	20 Feb 2024 12:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
21	20 Feb 2024 18:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
22	21 Feb 2024 00:00	58	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
23	21 Feb 2024 06:00	58	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
24	21 Feb 2024 12:00	94	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 21 Feb 2024 12:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	15 Feb 2024 18:00	119	-		-	-	-	-	-	Australia
2	16 Feb 2024 00:00	235	-		-	-	-	-	-	Australia
3	16 Feb 2024 06:00	205	-		-	-	-	-	-	Australia
4	16 Feb 2024 12:00	131	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	16 Feb 2024 18:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	17 Feb 2024 00:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	17 Feb 2024 06:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	17 Feb 2024 12:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	17 Feb 2024 18:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
10	18 Feb 2024 00:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
11	18 Feb 2024 06:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
12	18 Feb 2024 12:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
13	18 Feb 2024 18:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
14	19 Feb 2024 00:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
15	19 Feb 2024 06:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
16	19 Feb 2024 12:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
17	19 Feb 2024 18:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
18	20 Feb 2024 00:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
19	20 Feb 2024 06:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
20	20 Feb 2024 12:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
21	20 Feb 2024 18:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
22	21 Feb 2024 00:00	163	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
23	21 Feb 2024 06:00	136	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
24	21 Feb 2024 12:00	500	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.4m in Wyndham, Australia. This height is estimated for 21 Feb 2024 13:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 21 Feb 2024 12:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	21 Feb 2024 13:15	Wyndham	Australia	0.4
	21 Feb 2024 17:30	Kollan I	Australia	0.3
	21 Feb 2024 15:15	Port Augusta West	Australia	0.3
	21 Feb 2024 15:15	Port Augusta	Australia	0.3
	21 Feb 2024 15:15	Stirling North	Australia	0.3
	21 Feb 2024 17:30	Port Davis	Australia	0.3
	21 Feb 2024 17:30	Port Germein	Australia	0.3
	21 Feb 2024 17:30	Port Pirie	Australia	0.3
	21 Feb 2024 17:30	Solomontown	Australia	0.3
	21 Feb 2024 17:30	Telowie	Australia	0.3
	21 Feb 2024 12:00	Derby	Australia	0.3
	21 Feb 2024 13:45	Price	Australia	0.2
	21 Feb 2024 13:45	Port Clinton	Australia	0.2
	21 Feb 2024 13:45	Port Wakefield	Australia	0.2
	21 Feb 2024 13:45	Wakefield	Australia	0.2
	21 Feb 2024 13:45	Inkerman	Australia	0.2
	21 Feb 2024 13:45	Ardrossan	Australia	0.2
	21 Feb 2024 13:45	Parham	Australia	0.2
	21 Feb 2024 16:00	Pender	Australia	0.2
	21 Feb 2024 14:15	Port Bonython	Australia	0.2
	21 Feb 2024 12:30	Whyalla	Australia	0.2
	21 Feb 2024 13:00	Esperance	Australia	0.2
	21 Feb 2024 13:00	Doombup	Australia	0.2
	21 Feb 2024 17:45	Wisanger	Australia	0.2
	21 Feb 2024 17:45	Emu Bay	Australia	0.2
	21 Feb 2024 13:45	Port Prime	Australia	0.2
	21 Feb 2024 15:30	Semaphore	Australia	0.2
	21 Feb 2024 15:30	Grange	Australia	0.2
	21 Feb 2024 15:30	Largs	Australia	0.2
	21 Feb 2024 15:30	Birkenhead	Australia	0.2
	21 Feb 2024 15:30	Port Adelaide	Australia	0.2
	21 Feb 2024 15:30	Marino	Australia	0.2
	21 Feb 2024 15:30	Seaton	Australia	0.2
	21 Feb 2024 15:30	Halletts Cove	Australia	0.2
	21 Feb 2024 15:30	Glenelg	Australia	0.2
	21 Feb 2024 15:30	Kingston Park	Australia	0.2
	21 Feb 2024 15:30	Brighton	Australia	0.2
	21 Feb 2024 15:30	Somerton	Australia	0.2
	21 Feb 2024 15:30	Seacliff	Australia	0.2
	21 Feb 2024 15:30	Finsbury	Australia	0.2
	21 Feb 2024 15:30	Seaview	Australia	0.2
	21 Feb 2024 15:30	Oaklands	Australia	0.2
	21 Feb 2024 15:30	Sturt	Australia	0.2
	21 Feb 2024 15:30	Darlington	Australia	0.2
	21 Feb 2024 15:30	Port Noarlunga	Australia	0.2
	21 Feb 2024 15:30	Moana	Australia	0.2
	21 Feb 2024 15:30	Seaford	Australia	0.2
	21 Feb 2024 15:30	Noarlunga	Australia	0.2
	21 Feb 2024 12:00	The Palms	Australia	0.2
	21 Feb 2024 12:00	Larrakeyah	Australia	0.2
	21 Feb 2024 12:00	Fannie Bay	Australia	0.2
	21 Feb 2024 12:00	Parap	Australia	0.2
	21 Feb 2024 12:00	Darwin	Australia	0.2
	21 Feb 2024 12:00	Nightcliff	Australia	0.2
	21 Feb 2024 12:00	Ludmilla	Australia	0.2
	21 Feb 2024 12:00	Bagot	Australia	0.2
	21 Feb 2024 12:00	Leanyer	Australia	0.2
	21 Feb 2024 12:00	Knuckeys Lagoon	Australia	0.2
	21 Feb 2024 12:00	Berrimah	Australia	0.2
	21 Feb 2024 17:45	North Cape	Australia	0.2
	21 Feb 2024 14:45	East Lewis I	Australia	0.2
	21 Feb 2024 14:45	Dampier	Australia	0.2
	21 Feb 2024 14:45	Karratha	Australia	0.2
	21 Feb 2024 17:45	Stenhouse Bay	Australia	0.2
	21 Feb 2024 17:45	Marion Bay	Australia	0.2
	21 Feb 2024 15:30	Port Willunga	Australia	0.2
	21 Feb 2024 15:30	Aldinga	Australia	0.2
	21 Feb 2024 17:45	Inneston	Australia	0.2
	21 Feb 2024 15:30	Wool Bay	Australia	0.2
	21 Feb 2024 15:30	Stansbury	Australia	0.2
	21 Feb 2024 15:30	Port Vincent	Australia	0.2
	21 Feb 2024 15:30	Coobowie	Australia	0.2
	21 Feb 2024 15:30	Edithburgh	Australia	0.2
	21 Feb 2024 15:30	Normanville	Australia	0.2
	21 Feb 2024 15:30	Carrickalinga	Australia	0.2
	21 Feb 2024 15:30	Yankalilla	Australia	0.2
	21 Feb 2024 15:30	Silver Sands	Australia	0.2
	21 Feb 2024 15:30	Sellicks Hill	Australia	0.2
	21 Feb 2024 15:30	Saint Kilda	Australia	0.2
	21 Feb 2024 17:45	Kingscote	Australia	0.2
	21 Feb 2024 13:45	Pine Point	Australia	0.2
	21 Feb 2024 12:00	Derby	Australia	0.2
	21 Feb 2024 17:45	Port Moorowie	Australia	0.2
	21 Feb 2024 17:15	Streaky Bay	Australia	0.2
	21 Feb 2024 13:30	Salt Lake	Australia	0.2
	21 Feb 2024 13:30	Muston	Australia	0.2
	21 Feb 2024 13:30	American River	Australia	0.2
	21 Feb 2024 12:00	Port Hedland	Australia	0.2
	21 Feb 2024 12:00	Wedgefield	Australia	0.2
	21 Feb 2024 15:15	Eucla Motel	Australia	0.2
	21 Feb 2024 16:45	Port Julia	Australia	0.2
	21 Feb 2024 13:15	Warooka	Australia	0.2
	21 Feb 2024 12:00	Rapid Bay	Australia	0.2
	21 Feb 2024 12:00	Second Valley	Australia	0.2
	21 Feb 2024 15:30	Port Broughton	Australia	0.2
	21 Feb 2024 13:00	Mardie	Australia	0.2
	21 Feb 2024 17:00	Haslam	Australia	0.2
	21 Feb 2024 13:15	Grassy Flat	Australia	0.2
	21 Feb 2024 12:00	Wickham	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 12:00	Point Samson	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 12:00	Cossack	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 13:45	Waitpinga	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 13:45	Wallaroo	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 13:45	Tickera	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 13:45	Encounter Bay	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 17:45	Laura Bay	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 17:45	Smoky Bay	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 14:00	Penneshaw	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 13:45	Victor Harbour	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 13:45	Hindmarsh Valley	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 13:30	Glenroy	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 13:45	Port Hughes	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 13:45	Warburto	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 13:45	Port Moonta	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 13:45	Moonta Bay	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 13:45	Moonta	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 15:45	Toegrama	Indonesia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 17:45	Pardoo	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 13:45	Port Elliot	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 13:45	Middleton	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 16:00	Salt Creek	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 16:00	Woods Well	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 12:30	Rupari	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 12:30	Tulkineara	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 12:30	Magrath Flat	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 15:00	North Shields	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 15:00	Poonindie	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 15:00	Louth Bay	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 15:00	Tumby	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 15:00	Tumby Bay	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 17:15	Condon	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 17:30	Sceale Bay	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 17:30	Toorna Park	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 18:00	Elliston	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 12:30	Onslow	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 14:00	Goolwa	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 17:15	Denial Bay	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 17:15	Thevenard	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 17:15	Ceduna	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 14:15	Cowell	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 13:45	Hindmarsh Island	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 14:15	Point Soultar	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 14:15	Point Turton	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 14:15	Port Minlacowie	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 14:15	Brentwood	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 18:00	Venus Bay	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 12:00	Vivonne	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 17:15	Salebe	Indonesia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 17:15	Modan	Indonesia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 18:00	Port Kenny	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 14:30	Ah Chong I	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 18:00	Menango	Indonesia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 18:00	Tandjungkarang	Indonesia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 18:00	Telukbetung	Indonesia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 18:00	Tarahan	Indonesia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 15:45	Sanindara	Indonesia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 15:30	Port Neill	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 15:30	Arno Bay	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 14:45	Eyre	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 15:45	Kennedys Cottage	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 15:45	Waterbank	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 16:30	Broome	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 18:00	Namasan	Indonesia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 18:00	Utarom	Indonesia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 18:00	Kaimana	Indonesia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 18:00	Moearona	Indonesia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 14:30	Tulka	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 14:30	Port Lincoln	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 12:00	Tjikawung	Indonesia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 12:00	Sumur	Indonesia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 18:00	Bahomia	Indonesia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 18:00	Maiwawa	Indonesia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 18:00	Djokdjoh	Indonesia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 15:45	Fowlers Bay	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 13:00	Corny Point	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 13:15	Balgowan	Australia	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.